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Podcast EP 136 S&P 5,000 (Feb 8)
*No podcast Friday Feb 9th. Have a Happy Lunar New Year this weekend! Enjoy the SuperbowlPodcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesShow NotesSummary of the dayA moral victory, $SPX S&P 500 got its 5k print.Yet SPY had low volume of only 46m traded!Breadth* 848 new highs* 175 new lows* 55% advancing 40% declining* 43% below 50 day ma* 36% below the 200 day maStuck outReal Estate was the leading sectorStrongAFRM was up as high as 11% before earnings, but having constipation after earnings. You should listen to earnings call. Their prepared remarks were 12 seconds! apparently this is par the course for them. WeakPyplNycbEXPEWhat to watchNext week CPI & PPIWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Recommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
13:1108/02/2024
Podcast EP 135 Tokyo Drift Higher (Feb 7)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesShow NotesSummary of the dayDrifting higherTech in drivers seatSemi ConductorsRobloxBreadth* 996 new highs* 205 new lows* 48% advancing 47% declining* 44% below 50 day ma* 37% below the 200 day maStuck outBroad rally10 yr up to 4.19% yieldStrongWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Recommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
07:0807/02/2024
Podcast EP 134 Oh $SNAP (Feb 6)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesShow NotesSummary of the dayHonestly. Do I need to do a podcast tonight?* $SPY 57M shares traded.* $NVDA 67m shares traded* $NYCB down 22%* NQ negative* $TSLA up 2.2%* $SNAP down 30% after earningsBreadth* 383 new highs* 182 new lows* 71% advancing 25% declining* 42% below 50 day ma* 36% below the 200 day maStuck outNYCBNQ negativeStrongWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Recommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
10:3607/02/2024
Podcast EP 133 Welcome to the 2024 HUNGER GAMES! (Feb 5)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesShow NotesSummary of the dayDisclaimer: Prices can go a lot higher regardless of all below. Everyone who has a vested interest in higher prices are selling the data and stories that will make it so.That is why it is counter intuitive to consume too much financial content. Even mine. That is also why my podcasts are so short vs what you see out there in the marketplace. I try to focus on the things that matter most in under 15 min.The market already has priced all below news into prices already. That is also why I note that listening to earnings is for entertainment only. The price action is king.When you can ingest “NARRATIVE” data like earnings and sell side packaged news and still function as a trader and win, you are making huge progress in the psychology of trading. So before I get into the narrative data, I want to point out charts and “What Stuck out” section first! Because price action and charts are more important than news and narrative. I would say the healthy ratio of attention or head space for a good trader is at minimum 90:10. 90% price action and psychology vs 10% news, earnings and narrative. Stuck out over the weekend$NDX Nasdaq 100 ratio chart to QQEW Equal Weight NasdaqHere is the Semi-conductor index $SOX:The Semi Conductor index has tested this Red resistance line only three times since the peak of Dot-com. Here we are again!Closeup:I now present to you JP Morgan (Linear chart). $JPM. Maybe it is nothing. Maybe this trend line will be made irrelevant as it roars higher? We just breached it. Since the year 1998, it has only touched this line twice (dotcom and covid) upon which sold off along with broader markets. Well here we are again…$XLF #BANKS#WALLSTHere is #Apple $AAPL (Log chart)This purple trend has been tested 6 times since the Dot-com crash. It got close during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008, but no cigar. 3 times since the bottom of New Yrs Eve 2022. Maybe it is nothing. But if that trend line breaks down, watch out for your retirement accounts! Look at the second chart. We pierced below it on Friday before defending it. Well here we are again…Bouncing today, Monday trying to test 50 day ma.And new data from my weekend content consumption of Adam Taggart and Sven from Northman trader. A negative divergence in Value Line XGV.Financial freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit! Now let’s get into the narratives…Mother of all doom scrolls by Elmo. It doesn’t seem everyone is “fine” with how things are going in America as they claim.https://twitter.com/elmo/status/1751995117366296904And in a story I haven’t seen anywhere except via Peter Schiff, Nobody Special on YouTube and Adam Taggart, the Fridays jobs report was simply a lie.I checked the math. All they did was revise last yrs monthly numbers so the narrative can read “America has never been better! Vote for me” No one on @business, @CNBC @FoxBusiness, etc cares about you. They are all sell side shills making money. No one is coming to save us! They all report to team green.Nobody Special on YouTubeYou have to zoom out to see the big picture. Why would the Fed say last Wed no cuts until weakness in employment/wages? Then this fake blowout jobs data is released Friday? Everyone to kingdom come on media saying wow. And that the US economy is so strong! And yet…https://www.youtube.com/live/0jZcAkf4z5oThe answer is kick the can down the road for elections. While we all suffer in reality, they all campaign in fantasy. This is not going to end well. I believe the s**t will hit the fan well before the election.I take some liberty in quoting a mentor Bill Cara out of context but on brand.The independent investors of the West have succumbed to the media onslaught from their governments, Wall Street, central bankers, and WEF globalists. Our people have become sheeple, ready to be sheared of our wealth.When will we learn that ETFs are their Border Collies? If we stop trading their ETFs, we restrict their ability to manage the herd. If we invest only in quality companies based on asset valuations and revenue, cash flow, and earnings growth, we win. It’s only a matter of time.They then trotted Jerome Powell again on a Sunday before the Grammys to sell us. But look at the comments of the video itself! Does that sound like inflation has come down? Breadth* 289 new highs* 343 new lows* 20% advancing 76% declining* 49% below 50 day ma* 39% below the 200 day maStrongNVDAONARMOILWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Recommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
23:4805/02/2024
Podcast EP 132 Fuckbook (Feb 2)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesShow NotesSummary of the dayNon Farms payrolls came in double of expectations! Wages also grew per the report. Big big problem for rate cut bros.Biden will use this on the campaign trail. The data is dubious at best. 10 yr spiked 4.84% to 4.04% yieldMETA up 21%!!! Important not to let in biases in trading. Like yesterday when I said I hate Facebook as a co. I bought META when it was originally FB and I made 3x. But it is an important lesson as while I got the trade right, I also shunned the company. Out of sight and out of mind, and never traded it again. So I locked in the gain in yellow. But I never traded the blue area. Breadth* 912 new highs* 279 new lows* 36% advancing 60% declining* 39% below 50 day ma* 36% below the 200 day maStuck outStrongNVDA AMZN METAWeakHousingEXTR down 4.77%KGC down 4.35%KRUS down 3.87%GDX down 3.48%What to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Recommended byDoombergAdam TaggartHerb GreenbergMentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
19:1502/02/2024
Podcast EP 131 Kobe for the WIN! (Feb 1)
Eventually you will have to get on the fieldPodcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesAsking for a favorDear Friends Subscribers and Pledgers to my Substack, please post a shout out here if you find my content and work valuable.I created this Substack to share my trading knowledge and also build a community. I also introduced a daily 15 min podcast about the topline of stock markets without ads or politics, after I couldn’t find similar for myself. This really has been a joy to create but I need the support of the 2k+ subscribers. Anything you can do to help amplify I would appreciate :)NYUGrad and Substack Writers so I am notified and others can easily find my publication. Bonus Quote a favorite line or passage from a recent post. PS My tag line is “Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit.”Summary of the dayMETA up 14% ahAMZN up 7% ahAAPL down 3.17% ahIAC to buy Ask Jeeves for $1.85 bln, 2005WTF? why you bringing this up? Listen to the PodcastBreadth* 410 new highs* 177 new lows* 72% advancing 24% declining* 35% below 50 day ma* 34% below the 200 day maStuck out10 yr yield is crashing. Stocks up. Told you. Both can’t trade in tandem for longStrongWhat wasn’t?WeakQCOMKREEXTRAFRMWhat to watchNon Farm Pay roll FridayUnemploymentWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
26:1502/02/2024
Podcast EP 130 Sexy Jutsu! (Jan 31)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayWhat a circus the Financial markets are. We all hold our breath to extrapolate the musings of one organization and one man. People are making careers off reading Jerome Powell’s tea leaves. It’s just one big magic trick to distract while they attack, like Naruto’s most powerful ninja spell, the “SEXY JUTSU!”2pm ET headlines read, “S&P 500 retreats as Fed says it’s not quite ready to cut rates”Most notably he said he would cut rates early if he sees our asses getting fired. Backward world huh? Now the C suite will have to weigh: * Rollover short term debt at 7% rate* Or fire people and get the lower rateWe finished at the lows.And this morning the real big news not getting it’s deserved coverage was $NYCB. Two big CRE loans imploding on them. No one had the courage to ask Powell about it.“BREAKING: New York Community Bank stock, $NYCB, the bank that acquired the collapsed Signature Bank, falls 40% after earnings.The bank announced that they will be cutting their dividend by 70% to meet regulatory requirements.They also reported a 4th quarter LOSS of $260 million while expectations were for a GAIN of that size.This comes just a few weeks before the Fed's emergency loan program is set to expire.Some small banks are still feeling the pain.”https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1752705616873955376?t=jK7ODenI1SsfvEOqQLVVEwBreadth* 486 new highs* 180 new lows* 23% advancing 73% declining* 38% below 50 day ma* 36% below the 200 day maStuck outSomething I wanted to share with my subscribers. If you want to go long Semiconductors, just go long $NVDA. It has performed just as well as the 3X long SOXL, with less risk on the downdrafts. StrongQualcomm beats. Up 3.3% ah. However sold off a bit as the call started. Now down 2%.All slides. WeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
08:2331/01/2024
Podcast EP 129 Say "AI AI AI AI AI" 150 times (Jan 30)
Meet Bard Alphabets’ new IR moderatorGoogle CEO and team said “AI” over 150 times. Benchmark!Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayIf you produce $10m top line for the business but if they can replace you with AI that can produce 5m top line at zero costs in sales marketing while boosting enterprise value, you will be cut. Anyone who bought $GOOGL Jan 18 fwd is sweatingRegardless if what happens to the stock $MSFT, Satya Nadella is a real ceo. I dont think msft will go out of business. Fyi. He went to grade school with Adobe $ADBE ceo Shantanu Narayen. They run great great cultures. I know as my employer was acquired by adobe and i had the pleasure of meeting both during a c suite client event. The global role i served under adobe was the best times of my w2 careerBUT GOOGL and MSFT and AMD are selling off after hours. $SMH $SOX are not looking good. Breadth* 876 new highs* 129 new lows* 37% advancing 57% declining* 31% below 50 day ma* 34% below the 200 day maStuck out$SPY volume low again! Everyone is waiting on earnings and The Fed!Volume 55,826,647 vs Avg. Volume 77,671,870Strong10 yr yield still above 4%GM up 7.8%WeakWhat to watchFed Rate Decision and dot plot Wed 2pm. If Jerome confirms we will get a rate cut 6 times in 2024 at minimum, everything will rally for a little while. Until they realize wtf? Why is my mom letting me have ice cream before dinner and date that person she hates so much. Watch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
12:4930/01/2024
Podcast EP 128 Pre Game for Wednesday (Jan 29)
This year’s Super Bowl tickets are the most expensive everAs of Monday, the February 11 game is the most expensive Super Bowl on record, according to TickPick. The average price is hovering around $9,800, which is 70% more expensive than last year’s big game.The current “get-in” price (the cheapest) for this year’s game is $8,188, which is more than 50% more expensive than the cheapest ticket price of last year’s Super Bowl during this time, when it cost $5,997.Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayNever count out the Fed and their buddies. Low volume rally surgeBreadth* 1000 new highs* 147 new lows* 73% advancing 22% declining* 29% below 50 day ma* 33% below the 200 day maStuck out$VIX greenStrongWeak10 yr yieldAAPL down .36%What to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
08:2329/01/2024
Podcast EP 127 $NVDA Singularity (Jan 26)
NVIDIA is the Market & the Market is NVDAPodcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayA lot may have happened, but I was focused on not over trading today. No trades, just raising my stops. I was literally watching $NVDA, Breadth, and the 10 yr all day. The market right now is a light switch. NVDA is the lever that is moving all boats. It is in essence the entire tide. All the hopes and dreams of the market. Whether you look at NVDA against its top Semi conductor peers or the Mag 5 (minus aapl and tsla), you can see that NVDA is in the bull market driver seat. Breadth* 615 new highs* 98 new lows* 52% advancing 44% declining* 32% below 50 day ma* 35% below the 200 day maStuck outTech leads down due to Intel and Semi sectorStrongBitcoin bouncedAirbnb up 5.28%HOV up 4.89%WeakIntel finished down 11.91%What to watchEarnings next weekWed Jan 31 Fed rate decisionWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
12:3827/01/2024
Podcast EP 126 Gushing Semi-Conductors (Jan 25)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the day3:57pm. Very strong close. Lets talk about NVDA. INTEL.Semi-Conductors are running out of gas! Check out $SOX , $SMH , $NVDA , $ASML , $LRCX . My point is watch $NVDA. it is the chip market!It is a race of $META and $NVDA . The largest buyer of NVDA AI Chips and largest supplier of AI chips. Freebie. My 2nd barometric reading is almost there. This is the money printing machine in 1 chart. Multiple crashes and rallies. My long term target for this ratio chart is $25 USD. Either vix is exploding or prices of risk assets declining, and or both. Disclaimer: we can still rally some more from here. Especially if the Fed rate cut happens Jan 31 since everyone is expecting it. Watch the banks as they need lower rates.For your consideration:Here is the follow up debate to Thoughtful Money’s original Doomberg Peak Oil interview. Be ready to learn, think and formulate your own opinion. The best of the best hosted by@Adam Taggart with guests @Doomberg and Adam A. Rozencwajg.#OIL #ENERGYBreadth* 510 new highs* 161 new lows* 68% advancing 26% declining* 32% below 50 day ma* 35% below the 200 day maStuck outLot’s of strength everywhere!But weakness where it matters most! $NVDA, $AAPL, TSLA, Financials were eh.StrongWeakVisa $V off 2.4% on earnings after hours. PAY OFF YOUR CREDIT CARDS!Slides from IRIntel $INTC down 7% plus after earnings. Presentation deck, only 9 slides with content. What to watchJan 31 Fed rate decisionWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
11:4026/01/2024
Podcast EP 125 Bad Decisions (Jan 24)
For those who don’t know, the above is the KPOP group BTS. They have a song titled “Bad Decisions” Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayHe doesn't post often but always watch out for Diego Parrilla and his work. I recommend his interview below.I love his framework...Stages of expertise* Unconscious incompetence* Conscious incompetence* Conscious competence* Unconscious competenceThe entire video is masterclass. I especially loved at 19min market the hard lesson on conviction and the market doesn’t care about yours. He was in a gold position that was going against him and he asked his boss at JP Morgan if he can double up. Diego was told to sell the position and buy it back twice. In effect his manager was becoming his stop loss. So after he got out of 10,000 ounces of gold and was ready to buy back in 2x the size, he paused and stopped. My takeaway is never ever fall in love with a position. Speaking of bad decisions! Per Slopeofhope.com. In spite of the fact that, even in this brain-dead goes-up-every-day market, TSLA has been bucking the trend day after day, the degenerate gamblers at WSB figured they should put their life savings into TSLA calls.Here’s one example. As the poster says, he started with $250,000, and he put his surviving few thousand bucks into TSLA calls. I suspect his days as a “trader” are now over.Breadth* 970 new highs* 142 new lows* 42% advancing 54% declining* 35% below 50 day ma* 36% below the 200 day maStuck outTSLA after hoursIf you are curious, here is the Tesla Investor Deck. And Webcast. The Q&A is the best part. StrongWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
15:1925/01/2024
Podcast EP 124 Violent Delights Have Violent Ends (Jan 23)
The wonderful show Westworld quotes Shakespeare from Romeo and Juliet. I recommend you check out the series. Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayWith 10 min to go into close, volume was half the avg! QQQVolume 26,650,188Avg. Volume 47,111,732SPYVolume 38,164,444Avg. Volume 79,973,455Breadth* 538 new highs* 124 new lows* 47% advancing 48% declining* 32% below 50 day ma* 36% below the 200 day maStuck outMag 7 partyTSLA fought back. Earnings ThuDR HortonStrongNFLX higher after earningsTXN lower after earningsWeakReal estateBitcoin couldn’t hold onto $40k.What to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
05:4023/01/2024
Podcast EP 123 Stay Focused Daniel-San (Jan 22)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayWhen you see everyone drunk on euphoria and comingling on one side of the boat including the crew, you must stay focused on the threat of icebergs.These ratio charts compare SMH to Nasdaq 100 and the SPY. As you can see we are challenging the yr 2000. And it took a mountain of debt to get there. Look at the cost to get to these nosebleed levels:Regarding Jobs:The last time we had 12 consecutive months of negative revisions to jobs reports was 2008. Back then it was -65k on avg negative revision. In 2023 we hit negative 43k on avg per month of negative revisions. (Source Danielle DiMartino Booth ) The Bureau of Labor Statistics.81% of job growth was govt jobs for 12 months through December 2023. https://www.youtube.com/live/ZWgH-H8-fjoI realize this has nothing to do with todays price action. But it is important to never lose sight of the Forest.Breadth* 1051 new highs* 292 new lows* 70% advancing 25% declining* 31% below 50 day ma* 36% below the 200 day maStuck outBulls win againStrongWeakWhat to watchJan 31 FOMCWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar EarningsFinancial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
12:4722/01/2024
Podcast EP 122 Dog Eat Dog World (Jan 19)
*Me micromanaging short entries in the afternoon FridayPodcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the day* Roller coaster session* S&P breaking out of range, tech leading* Yields still sticky* Strong close* Bitcoin on edge of cliff* Telsa on edge of cliff* Jan 31 is FOMC rate decisionBreadth* 793 new highs* 341 new lows* 66% advancing 29% declining* 34% below 50 day ma* 37% below the 200 day maStuck out10 yr yield 4.13% regardless of this rallyStrongWeakGold relatedBitcoin relatedWhat to watchJan 31 FOMC rate decisionWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
16:3621/01/2024
Podcast EP 121 Made in Taiwan (Jan 18, 2024)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the day* TSM Taiwan semi conductor ignited AAPL* Strong finish with AAPL carrying the load with rest of Mag 7* TSLA lagging bad* COIN finished near lows* Bitcoin under 50 day* Yields stubbornly strongWill the Fed cut rates when the labor market is the 'best' in over 50 years? Will they manufacture another crisis so they can cut? Breadth* 291 new highs* 310 new lows* 58% advancing 37% declining* 37% below 50 day ma* 39% below the 200 day maStuck out* TSLA lagging bad* COIN finished near lows* Bitcoin under 50 day* Yields stubbornly strongStrongMag 6WeakCOINMARARIVNBRRRBTCOVIXARKBFBTCIBITKVYOWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
09:3019/01/2024
Podcast EP 120 Lie to Me in Davos (Jan 17, 2024)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayHow did we finish? Just like yesterday. Massive selloff impulse into last 10 min. This is controlled selling. You have been warned.My lie detector is still working pretty goodHow is breadth doing since 2pm? While mkts bounced, you could have known the true intentions. On Tue apparently the selling was attributed to Fed head Chris Waller who dissapointed markets with projecting only 3 rate cuts vs 6. How juvenile. It is akin to children begging for sweets. "This view is consistent with the FOMC's economic projections in December, in which the median projection was three 25-basis-point cuts in 2024".This morning Lagarde (ECB) warned that market expectations weren’t helping policy makers in their fight against inflation.“It is not helping our fight against inflation, if the anticipation is such that they are way too high compared with what’s likely to happen."And inflation stopped going down, with what seemed to be an uptick. Keep in mind these are all phony govt numbers. So if their metrics show inflation is slightly reaccelerating, that means it is raging.Breadth* 112 new highs* 451 new lows* 21% advancing 75% declining* 38% below 50 day ma* 39.5% below the 200 day maStuck outYields are risingStrongVolatilityWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
27:2618/01/2024
Podcast EP 119 Snow Job (Jan 16, 2024)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayReverse order with time stamps3:58pm look at the selling momentum into the close! It is telling me that last 10 minute ramp is suspect and a snow job.Breadth* 227 new highs* 346 new lows* 19% advancing 78% declining* 32% below 50 day ma* 37% below the 200 day maStuck out10 yr yield gained 3% to close at 4.06%StrongWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
16:1616/01/2024
Podcast EP 118 Frigid Week Inbound (Jan 12, 2024)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesRecommended byDoomberg Adam Taggart Herb Greenberg Mentored by @BillCaraSubstack Featured 2XPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the day* TSLA well below its 200 day* Bitcoin and related ETFs all red* 10 yr sticky at 3.9 - 4%* Real estate shares red* Oil and Nat Gas up on war and weatherBreadth* 588 new highs* 140 new lows* 51% advancing 43% declining* 26% below 50 day ma* 34% below the 200 day maStuck outStrongWeak$TSLA is 3% of Nasdaq 100 and 1.7% of S&P500. It is becoming the next Blackberry. Hertz is selling off 20k EVs and Tesla cars are 80% of that. Not a huge number but Model 3 from Hertz are listed at $17k. After rebates $14k. Seems everyone including Tesla are cutting prices.What to watchEarnings have begunWatch bitcoin relatedWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the treasure is worth the pursuit. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
31:2413/01/2024
Podcast EP 117 She/Her/It Terminator (Jan 11, 2024)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the daySo much to cover today!CPI data came in hot. The writers for the sell side went into scamble mode.The bitcoin etfs started trading today and it was messy. $MARA opened up 5% then settled down at the lows. Bitcoin itself hit 49k but sold off.The sell sides Apex Terminator model came onto CNBC and proclaimed it was likely after the etfs were approved, that each $BTC will reach $1.5m USD!!! Yeh and Gold will be $10M USD per ounce! There is nothing to smile about in the top 10 holdings of ARKKThe market tried to rally at lunch time. First the $VIX was pummeled but no rally. Then the 10yr was pressured below 4% and that did the trick.But look at breadth, specifically the NYSE ADV/DEC up down volume as of 3:20pm. It would have told you rallys were to be sold.COIN which is 10% of ARKK finished at lows of the day. Yet they are supposed to be the custodian for the majority of the approved spot bitcoin ETFs.10 yr yields closed at lows of the day. It holds the fate of prices.Breadth* 424 new highs* 202 new lows* 39% advancing 56% declining* 25% below 50 day ma* 34% below the 200 day maStuck out10 Yr Yield under pressureTSLA loses 200 day maStrongMagnificent 6WeakWhat to watchPPI FriWatch Crypto Animal SpiritsWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
14:0811/01/2024
Podcast EP 116 Believe (Jan 10)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayMy breadth study has confirmed the initial signal to be defensive. This does not mean sell everything. Or short everything. It is one of my indicators of many, but it has proved reliable with minimal fake outs. And I am saying this as NVDA, META, and GOOGL, are making new highs.However the day was very bullish, regardless of slow volume on SPY. The hotly anticipated Bitcoin etf finally arrived after hours…I think?! 11 total ETFs. That is a lot of sales and marketing teams all out pitching and selling.Breadth* 430 new highs* 181 new lows* 53% advancing 42% declining* 23% below 50 day ma* 34% below the 200 day maStuck out10 yr yield not yieldingStrongNew Highs for NVDA, META, GOOGL, ISRG, COST, TJX, HD, VRTX, JNPR, MA, V, GE, LLY, KBH, DHI, PHMWeakEnergyWhat to watchCPI NumbersFri PPIWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
06:5511/01/2024
Podcast EP 115 $1M per $BTC coin (Jan 9, 2024)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayYou can’t make this up. On the eve if the spot bitcoin etf approval, I wanted to share a reminder…when someone says any 1 unit of measure for a speculative vehicle will go to $1m USD by a certain date…run!Saylor “You do not sell your bitcoin!” (until I sell 1st)Cathie “Bitcoin Will Be $1 Million per Coin by 2030”Breadth* 194 new highs* 172 new lows* 28% advancing 68% declining* 23% below 50 day ma* 34% below the 200 day maStuck outStrongWeakWhat to watchCPI ThuPPI FriWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
14:0210/01/2024
Podcast EP 114 Don't Panic, OK Panic (Jan 8)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the daySkipping #113 to avoid bad luckStrong rally all day Lots of anticipation for spot bitcoin ETF approval this weekBreadth* 240 new highs* 173 new lows* 72% advancing 24% declining* 21% below 50 day ma* 33% below the 200 day maStuck out10 yr yield fought back to close above 4%It’s all about the BitcoinsStrongWeakEnergyWhat to watchanimal spirits for spot bitcoin etfCPI data ThuPPI FriWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
09:2309/01/2024
Podcast EP 112 Take some INITIATIVE in 24! (Jan 5, 2024)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”Show NotesSummary of the dayA pullback to the 50 day ma for $SPX would be normal and still maintain bullish momentum. Keep watching yields. Under 4.5% is good. Over 4.5% is bad.Trade setupI wanted to share a freebie trade setup. This is a preview of the type of technical setups I wll share from my observations of hundreds of charts and companies per day. $ARKK. Most will know this stock as ARK Investment Management LLC, managed by Cathie Woods. She is usually a regular on CNBC talking her book. The entire holdings of $ARKK are here. Top 10 below:Perfect setup whether you are bullish or bearish. Defined risk, defined stops. Offers initiative trade expectations. If you got in on Dec 13, 2023, it offered a nice pop for a trade. You could have easily sold for profit before the New Yrs eve party. ARKK today:It is currently offering a similar balance area to watch and trade. If you are bullish in the market and thus bullish on $ARKK, as it has performed very well in line with QQQ, you can go long or buy options as it breaks up initiatively out of this range. If you are bearish the market or ARKK you can sell short or buy options as it breaks initiatively down out of this new range. Each trade offers an attractive risk reward and areas to put in stops. Even better, ARKK is also in a state of back testing a breakout from a huge basing pattern. It will either back test and go up, or backtest and fail. The least likely scenario is that it will chop for a long time. Another example of this setup can be seen if you travel with me in my time machine. $SNPS Synopsys is a company not many people have heard of. Synopsys is an American electronic design automation company based in Mountain View, California that focuses on silicon design and verification, silicon intellectual property and software security and quality. If you bought the multi-year range breakout on Dec 2, 2013 at $37, you would be up 1,200% today. Sure, not as great as $NVDA at 13,000%, but it was an still is a non stop elevator ride. Initiative trades coming out of a balance areas in either direction, are what you should be hunting. Hope you enjoyed this preview of one type out of many setups that my Premium service will focus on, in addition to continued education!Breadth* 148 new highs* 130 new lows* 47% advancing 47% declining* 22% below 50 day ma* 34% below the 200 day maStuck out10 Yr is 4.03%. Russell was weakest but indices didn’t move much.StrongKRUS up 17% on earnings. Might be over extended.WeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
21:4105/01/2024
Podcast EP 111 When Chick-fil-A is Closed Sundays! (Jan 4, 2024)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesPremium Service Preview“Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to learn how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the day* 10 yr at 4%* Closed at the lows of the day* We have lost almost all of the Fed Pivot Santa rally since Dec 13Breadth* 165 new highs* 121 new lows* 40% advancing 55% declining* 21% below 50 day ma* 35% below the 200 day maStuck outThe Hughes Center next to the Sphere in Las Vegas is in special servicing or default. Owned by $BX Blackstone. There are a few others noted in this video.#CRE#REALESTATEStrong10 YrHealthcareFinancialWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
16:2305/01/2024
Podcast EP 110 The Grinch followed Santa! (Jan 3, 2024)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesPremium Service Preview“"Honesty in a sea of deception is of great value” - Ralph (Pledged)“I like your in-depth analyses of the markets as well as pointing out what might lurk underneath that could rise up to bite us” - Sorell (Pledged)—“Your Wrap on the markets every day keeps me focused and grounded” - Lj (Pledged)—"I want to lean how to read the market for longer term trades as opposed to what Wall Street wants me to do” G.M (Pledged)—"I like your objective view on the markets” Ron P (Pledged)—"Good info. Succinct and relevant. Very good calls this month.” Andy J. (Pledged)I want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gambling* Over time you will develop ability to analyze the markets and become more comfortable making your own decisions and controlling your own wealthI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayThey picked on $AAPL yesterday. Today was $TSLA turn. Russell 2000 leads downSell off all day. Lunch algo’s tried to fight back. I sent out an alert at 2:51pm via Notes that the buying looked weak:And on cue the selloff continuedGo check out the M3 market report by Melody Wright 👇🏘#housingBreadth* 113 new highs* 102 new lows* 23% advancing 73% declining* 21% below 50 day ma* 34% below the 200 day maStuck outEnergy was the only sector up Bitcoin lost it’s mojoStrongVolatilityUSD10yr is trying to get above 4%WeakRussell 2000Real Estate relatedConsumer CyclicalTechWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
11:0804/01/2024
Podcast EP 109 Just Another Tuesday (Jan 2 '04)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | Google Podcasts | AmazonFollow me on Substack NotesPremium Service PreviewI want to thank the 2000+ Subscribers who support the Substack! * I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content viewable in daily show notes for Premium subscribers* Complimentary PDF copy of the upcoming book "The Maverick Investor's Handbook" by Bill Cara, one of my mentors. (a $20 value but priceless learnings).*This book is geared toward longer time frame investors, Baby Boomers retiring who want to manage their own 401k/wealth, and younger investors trying to avoid the #YOLO gamblingI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayWhat a crazy New Years Eve. Earthquakes in Japan and NYC (mini), Epstein client list coming out, etc. But the day was fairly weak on wall st. The NQ chart summarizes it nicelyAnd here is the 10 yr via $TNXThe S&P futures has already lost 50% of the Fed Pivot pop from Dec 13Breadth* 219 new highs* 79 new lows* 35% advancing 62% declining* 18% below 50 day ma* 32% below the 200 day maStuck out10 yr bouncingStrongWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Watch inflationary signalsWatch if yields decouple from USDEconomic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
11:2602/01/2024
Podcast EP 108 Outside Reversal Day (Dec 20)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Jan 1, 2024I want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayThat was fun! Selling was furious and there was no real trigger. Other than we are way overbought. This also why I advise people to not pursue 1 day or 0 day options. If you were long 0dte at lunch time, how do you recover? I know everyone is drunk on green every day for weeks. But this is a time to be fearful. To lighten up. I have been banging the table that insurance was basically free up until today. Outside DayA chart pattern where the high is above the previous day's high and the low is below the previous day's low.Outside Reversal DayA two-day chart pattern that can indicate a reversal in trend. Like with outside days, the second day's high must be above the previous day's high, while the low must be below the previous day's low. In addition, the second day must close in the opposite direction of the previous trend (e.g. in an uptrend, the second day must close down). This pattern is similar to the engulfing candlestick pattern, but requires the entire range (high and low) to be engulfed, not just the open and close.Breadth* 1202 new highs* 186 new lows* 21% advancing 75% declining* 21% below 50 day ma* 34% below the 200 day maStuck out2:42pm the wheels started coming off. I posted real time right before. $VOLD began to fall and never stopped.Strong$VIXGoogle up dispite it allWeakWhat to watchInflation and inflation sensitive areasIe Oil Gold USD $DXY yields etcWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
12:2521/12/2023
Podcast EP 107 Japanese BOJ Happy Ending? (Dec 18)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Jan 1, 2024I want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayHoliday break. Will share a few best of starting this Wednesday. If anything crazy happens I will email or hop on the mic.Bulls in control via Mag 7What to watch overnight into Tue. Bank of Japan conclude meeting Tue. Will they actually crush the Yen carry trade? Will they allow Yen to rise? Or continue to bow down to the west? https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/boj-focus-japans-progress-hitting-price-goal-2023-12-18/Breadth* 841 new highs* 168 new lows* 48% advancing 46% declining* 22% below 50 day ma* 35% below the 200 day maStuck outReal estate taking breatherVIX fightingStrongmostly everythingWeakWhat to watchBank of JapanWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
18:4819/12/2023
Podcast EP 106 The Camaro is Dead! (Dec 15)
The Chevrolet Camaro is dead once again!https://www.roadandtrack.com/news/a46146387/chevrolet-camaro-production-ends/Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Jan 1, 2024I want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayIMPORTANT. This entire FOMC induced rally is being engineered. One day after Powell speaks and says the fight is not over, while wall st interprets it as the Fed Pivot due to dovish dot plot, NY fed goes on CNBC and says we are not talking about cutting rates. This is about wall st bonuses. CEO bonuses. Fund Manager Bonuses. They are measured on increasing shareholder value. Higher price means bigger bonus. More secret lovers. More Ferrari’s. Another house in North Fork or Incline Village. More importantly, the fact wall st is telegraphing rate cuts is inflationary. When and if inflation rages, who will believe The Fed has the tools or courage to fight it with 9% plus fed funds rate? No one is managing risk amymore. Everyone is leaning to one side.Be fearful when everyone is greedy.Breadth* 735 new highs* 124 new lows* 32% advancing 63% declining* 21% below 50 day ma* 34% below the 200 day maStuck outWe are just driftingStrongTechWeakAll other sectorsWhat to watchUSD and currency pairsInflationary Commodities. Are they rising?Like OilWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
16:3616/12/2023
Podcast EP 105 Curve Ball (Dec 14)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Jan 1, 2024I want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the day10 trading days left!Rotation out of Magnificent 7 and into Russell 2k and Housing relatedEU to open membership talks with Ukraine and Moldova VIX was green10 Yr was down but closed off its lows and fought back all dayOil finished up but off its highsBreadth* 1,920 new highs* 119 new lows* 74% advancing 22% declining* 20% below 50 day ma* 33% below the 200 day maStuck outExcept TSLA and NVDA, magnificent 7 were redStrongReal EstateEnergyBasic MaterialsWeakAdobe down 6.35% plusWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
08:3014/12/2023
Podcast EP 104 Santa is Here and it's Ryan Reynolds (Dec 13)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Jan 1, 2024I want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayFOMC declaring victory on inflation is akin The Japanese Empire declaring they will fight until the end, right before the B-24 flew their two missions in WWII. On Nov 5 Podcast #84 I noted the Fed basically pivoted. But now the public media and wall st are also declaring such. The data the Fed is spewing at us is completely ficticious. Stocks are melting upBut trouble is showing up with real inflation. USD and yields sold off hard. Oil, hard assets and crypto are now also spikingHome builders and loan product sellers are exploding. The household is about to get hit with another inflation bomb. The things the fed doesnt count that take up more than 60% of our take home pay, are about to go higher in price while the USD falls. Scary timesHere is a good summary of the FOMC news today. Joseph Wang runs Fedguy.com but used to be a trader on the Fed’s open market desk.Breadth* 1,471 new highs* 243 new lows* 82% advancing 14% declining* 22% below 50 day ma* 36% below the 200 day maStuck outSanta Rally is here.Inflationary items seemed to bounce. * Oil* Home builders* Gold and Silver* Crypto* USD weakStrongAll risk assetsBut curiously Tech didn’t leadWeakUSDADBE - on light quidanceANYTHING BEARISHWhat to watchOILVIXGOLDBONDSWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
12:1614/12/2023
Podcast EP 103 Ballers (Dec 12)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Jan 1, 2024I want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayYTDEither FOMC leaked or we are front running. All green. VIX and Oil going to zero.Insurance is free. Unless you believe VIX is going to zero.Oil is pricing in a recession or new found supply“These violent delights have violent ends!”Breadth* 834 new highs* 240 new lows* 49% advancing 47% declining* 26% below 50 day ma* 41% below the 200 day maStuck outCPI came in and we rqllied higherVIX closed off lows but trajectory is zeroOil closed at lows $68.79StrongWeakWhat to watchWed FOMC 2pmWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
12:1513/12/2023
Podcast EP 102 All Quiet on the Western Front (Dec 11)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Jan 1, 2024I want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the day* Low volume* SMH lifetime highs* Bitcoin under pressure with regulation around corner* $WFC in news about predatory lending and targeting certain demographicsBreadth* 812 new highs* 210 new lows* 52% advancing 43% declining* 25% below 50 day ma* 41% below the 200 day maStuck outThe Wells Fargo news, while not surprising, is sad. The customers have been sold this “American dream” which just is fictional at this point.“Regulators caught Wells Fargo, other banks in probe over mortgage pricing discrimination”Published Mon, Dec 11 202310:00 AM ESThttps://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/11/wells-fargo-mortgage-lenders-probed-over-racial-discrimination.htmlKey Points* Wells Fargo received an official notice from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau on problems with its use of mortgage rate discounts, sources said.* Wells Fargo hired a law firm to grill mortgage bankers whose sales included high levels of the discounts, said the sources.* Several banks received MRAs about lending practices last year, the CFPB said without naming any of the institutions.* In their industry review, regulators found “statistically significant disparities” in the rates in which Black and female borrowers got pricing exceptions compared with other customers.StrongWeakMag 7What to watchTue CPI 8:30amWed FOMCWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
09:5312/12/2023
Podcast EP 101 Where thou Truth Lie? (Dec 8)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Jan 1, 2024I want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayThe title wasn’t a typo. Someone is withholding the truth. * % of companies with strong/healthy Altman Z-scores (which combine account profitability, leverage, liquidity, solvency, activity ratios, etc. to measure bankruptcy risk) has dropped below 10% for first time on record per @fathommacro @lizannsonders. https://twitter.com/LizAnnSonders/status/1732743034100428951* Jobs data beat this morning. It was the Goldilocks print. Not too hot not too cold. Won’t trigger Powell to raise, yet Americans are still gainfully employed, is the deduction* Jobs data has been revised down almost every time this year after the fact!* Consumer credit has never been higher in the history of Homosapien* This has been the longest period of yield curve inversion in financial market history* $VIX is pricing in no landing* #Bitcoin $BTC is pricing in a useless faux currency* Magnificent 7 made up 80% of the S&P 500 YTD gains in 2023* all consumer stimulus programs are now past us* The last time Gross Federal Debt as Percent of Gross Domestic Product was at this level, World War II was ending and we went deep into debt to defeat the enemy. 2024 financial markets are 100% going to either move violently lower or higher. I don’t expect a tight range. The real world experience may also be very extreme. It is time to get our own houses in order and be strong mentally, spiritually, physically, & financially so that we can provide for our families.Breadth* 583 new highs* 154 new lows* 56% advancing 38% declining* 24% below 50 day ma* 41% below the 200 day maStuck outStocks are on a 6 week win streakSPY is 7 points away from lifetime highs, SPX 204 points awayBreadth is still strong to the positiveStrongEnergy, Tech and Financials leadWeakGoldGDX down 2.11%Yields week for the past month but trying to stop going down at 4.2%What to watchWatch yields Watch Mag 7 Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
13:5408/12/2023
Podcast EP 100 Stuck in Box (Dec 7)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayWelcome to episode #100, sort of. Because I skipped #13 to avoid bad luck 👍Breadth* 257 new highs* 157 new lows* 66% advancing 29% declining* 24% below 50 day ma* 41% below the 200 day maStuck outHomebuilders continue to amazeStrongWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
10:1908/12/2023
Podcast EP 99 Angel Number 99 (Dec 6)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayWelcome to Episode #99. If you didn’t know the number is considered very lucky and designated as an Angel number. It is also a very lucky number in the Chinese culture. Chinese people like 9 very much as 9 has the same pronunciation with 久 (Jiu, meaning everlasting). On the Valentine’s Day, a man usually presents his lover 99 or 999 roses to symbolize the eternal love. Meaning of Seeing Angel Number 99If you keep seeing the number 99, your guardian angels are trying to convey that a significant chapter in your life is ending. This ending brings you an opportunity to embrace new beginnings and seek spiritual growth. Your angels want you to focus on your spiritual journey and inner wisdom. Listen to your intuition, trust your instincts, and work towards your divine purpose.* Magnificent 7 all closed red (TSLA +0.27%)* Selloff last 15 min of day, otherwise we didn’t do much* Gold is taking a breather. Will $2k hold? Can it rocket to new highs?* 10 Yr is trying to bottom but the move from Nov is still amazing* Is Oil telegraphing a recession and peak demand in the rear view?* K Hov ($HOV) up big after earnings but it has had trouble overcoming this descending trendline Breadth* 394 new highs* 156 new lows* 43% advancing 51% declining* 26% below 50 day ma* 43% below the 200 day maStuck outNYSE Up Down Breadth didn’t do much until 3pm and then sell off pressure at 3:45pmStrongWeakWhat to watchJobless claim data Thu amWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
11:2407/12/2023
Podcast EP 98 Yield Crush(Dec 5)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Jan 1, 2024. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,800+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the day$SPX VIX ratio chart is at lifetime high. You should be buying protection. Not new long positions100 Basis Point Rate Cut In 1 month is basically what has happenedAnimal Spirits$ETHBreadth* 266 new highs* 149 new lows* 29% advancing 66% declining* 25% below 50 day ma* 43% below the 200 day maStuck outYields are pinned at 4.1%StrongWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
18:4206/12/2023
Podcast EP 97 Which one is coming? (Dec 4)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Nov 27th. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,300+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayBreadth* 442 new highs* 105 new lows* 44% advancing 50% declining* 24% below 50 day ma* 41% below the 200 day maStuck outGold as I warned, got smacked…for now.StrongWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
08:5205/12/2023
Podcast EP 96 Skynet By Cyberdyne Systems (Dec 1)
Are you Sarah Connor? Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Nov 27th. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,700+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the day$SPY Yearly high. Sneeze from lifetime XHB New lifetime highJerome Powell is losing the war on inflation.No one believes he will be vigilant enough to reach a 2% inflation rate. We are very overboughtExpect a pullbackThe real question is, will there be more upside before Jan 1?Gold is signaling higher prices and USD risking going lowerBreadth* 769 new highs* 121 new lows* 80% advancing 15% declining* 24% below 50 day ma* 41% below the 200 day maStuck outAFRM is up 400% this yr. Normal?And here is Michael Pento throwing a cold shower on the exuberence. Never miss great content by following Adam’s Substack * March may be an explosive month. Repo facility will be running dry along with treasury liquidity* 1.8T of corporate debt needs to rollover at current higher rates in next 12-18 months StrongWeakUSDYieldsWhat to watchWatch YieldsWatch mag 7 FED TALK Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
08:5304/12/2023
Podcast EP 95 Good Afternoon! Go Fcuk Yourself!(Nov 30)
If you haven’t seen Spirited on Apple TV, I highly recommend for holidays. But as I push through this flu or cold, my general mood when people speak to me in public is summed up perfectly by the movies “Good afternoon” skit. It basically means…Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Nov 27th. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,300+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayGreat bullish day for the Dow. Broke above the august highs. I saw it as rotation all day, until the last 15 minutesNasdaq tried to recover at close but Mag 7 was down all dayReal pimple is 10 year yield which is putting up a fight.$VIX looks dead but I believe that is a warning for bulls. VIX isn’t going to zeroBreadth* 287 new highs* 152 new lows* 52% advancing 42% declining* 28% below 50 day ma* 46% below the 200 day maStuck outNQ was weak all day along with RTY but everything rallied into closeYields not giving up the fightStrongWeakVolatilityWhat to watchJerome Powell speaks two times on Friday!Watch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
16:4301/12/2023
Podcast EP 94 Close but No Cigar (Nov 29)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Nov 27th. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,700+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayMixed bagBreadth improved10 yr fought backBreadth* 549 new highs* 149 new lows* 59% advancing 35% declining* 29% below 50 day ma* 47% below the 200 day maStuck outMag 7 were weakStrongWeakWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
08:5230/11/2023
Podcast EP 93 Shop til You Drop and Die (Nov 28)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple | YouTube | AmazonFollow me on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Dec 1. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,700+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowPhotos from MilanPlease share your stories from the Holiday Break in the comments :)Show NotesSummary of the dayAnother low volume slow burner. Breadth* 305 new highs* 172 new lows* 50% advancing 44% declining* 30% below 50 day ma* 50% below the 200 day maStuck outTSLA up 4%StrongConsumer CyclicalRisk on stocks that are usually heavily shorted.Here is a samplingWeak10 yr yieldHealthcareKHOVDISPJTWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
23:0529/11/2023
Podcast EP 92 Swipe Right (Nov 15)
No Podcast Covering market sessions from Thu Nov 16 - Tue Nov 21. Does this sound like ‘Let’s be friends”?"I value our conversation because I think it's paramount that you and I understand each other clearly, leader to leader, with no misconceptions or miscommunication," Biden said."It is unrealistic for one side to remodel the other, and conflict and confrontation has terrible consequences for both sides," he said. "The world at large is big enough for the two countries to succeed." Xi said.Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple Podcast | Amazon MusicFollow on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Nov 27th. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,300+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayDOW was strongestYields awakePositive breadthClosed a little tepidBreadth* 418 new highs (3.5x)* 121 new lows* 56% advancing 39% declining* 34% below 50 day ma* 55% below the 200 day maStuck outTech weakestNVDA MSFT META redStrongWeakHousing profit takingWhat to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
15:1216/11/2023
Podcast EP 91 #YOLO (Nov 14)
YOLO = YOU ONLY LIVE ONCEHODL = HOLD ON FOR DEAR LIFEPodcast Available onSpotify | Apple Podcast | Amazon MusicFollow on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Nov 27th. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,300+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayALL of the ingredients are there for Santa. Get your cookies and Milk ready.The Russell 2000 was up 5.4% today!!!It took Santa 2 weeks to to do what took months in the summer.Xmas is still over 1 month away, so a lot can still happen.Before today there was a 15% chance The Fed would hike in December. Today, after the CPI the data shows no chance of a December rate hike. The narrative sold today is inflation is dead and we are now waiting for rate cuts. I don’t believe it will be that easy. New bull markets don’t start like a V. Breadth* 477 new highs* 179 new lows* 84% advancing 12% declining* 36% below 50 day ma* 56% below the 200 day maStuck outYields and VIX stopped going down in the morning while markets rallied all dayStrongEVERYTHINGGDX up 4.77% with USD rising and yields fallingWeakNot much other than bearish positions and etfs. Insurance is free!What to watchWatch breadthWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
15:1715/11/2023
Podcast EP 90 A Quiet Place (Nov 13)
If you have never seen “A Quiet Place” I recommend highly. Here is the trailerSchedule Alert: No Podcast Fri Nov 17 - Tue Nov 21I will be online but in a different time zone taking a short break. I will be posting via Substack Notes occasionally, so please follow me there. Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple Podcast | Amazon MusicFollow on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Nov 27th. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,300+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayEveryone is waiting for government reported CPI numbers. * cpi beats, implies Fed is not done higher for longer* cpi falls, implies inflation is moderating and Fed will become teddy bear vs grizzlyBreadth* 178 new highs* 330 new lows* 45% advancing 48% declining* 56% below 50 day ma* 66% below the 200 day maStuck outVery quiet dayStrongEnergyHealthcareConsumer DefensiveWeakUtilitiesReal EstateTech (minus Mag 7)What to watchCPI data Tue morningWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
09:1614/11/2023
Podcast EP 89 It's Beginning to look a lot like... (Nov 10)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple Podcast | Amazon MusicFollow on Substack Notes33% Discount Ends Nov 27th. It has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,300+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayWhere do I begin? * Megacaps Mag 7 rallied hard* Meanwhile yields also rallied from Thursday selloff* Breadth still produced more new lows* It’s end of year and everyone is racing to max their bonuses* Put Options are cheap!And then at 4:36pm after trading has closed, Moody’s downgrades America! Leaving all the buyers this week holding the bag.They waited as long as they could with that headline/downgrade. It will be interesting to see what happens to the USD and currencies on Sunday. Hey maybe this downgrade goes overlooked thanks to seasonality. Or… The USD cracks down on the downgrade along with bond prices. Thus sending yields up and risk down. Breadth* 189 new highs* 488 new lows (2.5x!) * 67% advancing 27% declining* 57% below 50 day ma* 67% below the 200 day maStuck outYields fought back all day while everything was rallyingStrongTech outperformanceMSFT is in Dow, nasdaq and s&p. Was up big. Atlas shruggedWeakGM and anything EV car relatedAFRMKRUSVFSCVNAWhat to watchTue CPI pre marketWed VIX expiryFri options expiryWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
19:5411/11/2023
Podcast EP 88 Go Ahead Make my Day! (Nov 9)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple Podcast | Amazon MusicFollow on Substack NotesSpecial Promotion AnnouncementIt has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,300+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayYields Yields Yields!The bond auction this afternoon was very very tepid. Low demand means lower prices to attract buyers. Lower bond prices results in higher yields. That was the sell off in the afternoon in a nutshell. 1pm circledApparently Jerome Powell had hawkish comments at the IMF panel today (which I haven’t watched). Danielle DiMartino Booth was interviewed today regards to Powell and I love how she refers to his “Dirty Harry” alter ego.So sad that the global financial markets are at the whims of one man and one organizations decisions on rates. Breadth* 122 new highs* 429 new lows* 21% advancing 74% declining* 66% below 50 day ma* 69% below the 200 day maStuck outWas flat until the afternoonTSLA and GOOG are below 50 daythe rest of Magnificent 7 are aboveTSLA is the only mag 7 under its 200 dayStrongAFRMDISVIXCOINKGCWeakAnything sensitive to higher interest rates. Which is basically everything…Here is just a sampling…What to watchWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
15:4710/11/2023
Podcast EP 87 BUELLER? (Nov 8)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple Podcast | Amazon MusicFollow on Substack NotesSpecial Promotion AnnouncementIt has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,300+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesOff topic recommendation:I finished “Blue Eye Samaurai” on Netflix yesterday and I urge you to check it out. Not safe for children as some episodes have sexual explicit content. If you love great animation, great underdog story, history buff of Edo Japan, or Samurai, run and see it.Here is a free full episode:Rated Mature. Gore and sexual situations. Summary of the day9:55am this bounce is getting very stretched. Rather than a light pullback or sideways consolidation, we risk a sharp pullback12:07pm hm rare lunchtime selloff. Usually the algos are in buy mode.2:15pm Unless Breadth picks up, I would be suspicious of any bounces.3:45pm $SPY vol is half of avg daily! 47m vs 83m. $QQQ volume is also down 30%3:55pm If yields and oil bounce hard before turkey day…just a hunchLZ from slopeofhope.comTranslation…Mega cap tech holding up the worldBreadth* 130 new highs* 278 new lows* 38% advancing 57% declining* 57% below 50 day ma* 67% below the 200 day maStuck outLow volume againYields downOil downStocks should be up a lot higherSomething tells me big sell off sooner than laterStrongBig techReal estateWeakWhat to watchJerome Powell on panel at IMF 2pm ET, ThursdayWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
06:5209/11/2023
Podcast EP 86 WeWFH (Nov 7)
Podcast Available onSpotify | Apple Podcast | Amazon MusicFollow on Substack NotesSpecial Promotion AnnouncementIt has been less than six months and I want to thank the 1,300+ Subscribers who support the Substack! Going into the holidays I wanted to put together a special promotion which will cost you nothing now, but help show support for the work I am doing.* 33% discount for Pledging to the future paywall (Annual, Monthly or Founders)* I plan to turn on premium when we surpass 3000+ total subs* Pledging requires a credit card but it is not charged until Premium goes live* What will premium include? (at minimum)* Watchlist(s) (Bullish, Bearish, Price levels, if then scenarios)* Webcasts covering charts of all above* Additional Premium only content* Timing: promotion good through Cyber Monday, November 27thI want in! How?Instructions:* Subscribe by clicking “Subscribe” or this link.* Once you are a subscriber, you should see buttons that say “Pledge your support”* Enter your information on a page that looks like belowShow NotesSummary of the dayWeWork files chap 11. Told ya!Who will bail out their lenders and landlords?Breadth* 139 new highs* 194 new lows* 42% advancing 57% declining* 57% below 50 day ma* 66.6% below the 200 day maStuck outLow volume. 25% less on SPYStrongTechsoftware $IGV Consumer CyclicalRIVN up 4% ah on earningsWeakEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateWhat to watchJerome Powell Panel at IMF ThursdayWatch mag 7 Watch yields Economic datahttps://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar Financial Freedom is not free, but the pursuit is worth the treasure. This is a public episode. If you’d like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.notyouradvisor.com/subscribe
11:4708/11/2023