Periods of extreme leverage and speculation are not new, and the outcomes have consistently been painful for unprepared investors. The late 1990s dot-com bubble serves as a prime example. Speculative bets on internet stocks drove valuations to extraordinary levels, with investors leveraging margin accounts and options to chase gains. When the bubble burst, the Nasdaq lost nearly 80% of its value, leaving leveraged traders especially vulnerable to devastating losses. Lance and Jonathan discuss these lessons from history on today's show, plus a discussion on asset diversification, and what happens when all assets become correlated, the fallacies of diversification, and overlap risk. Money mistakes made by the young; the bset stop-loss tools and strategies; the flaw in comparing portfolio performance to the S&P Index (or any index). SEG-1: Why Sentiment-driven Indexes are Up SEG-2: Lessons from History - What Excessive Leverage Teaches Us SEG-3: The Fallacies of Diversification SEG-4a: The Best Stop-loss Tool SEG-4b: Comparing Portfolios to S&P Index Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s95h3jUr3c4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Leverage And Speculation Are At Extremes" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/leverage-and-speculation-are-at-extremes/ "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Diversification Isn't What You Think" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketLeverage #SpeculationRisks #InvestmentTrends #FinancialWarnings #StockVolatility #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The S&P is back on a buy signal and is a bit overbought; about to be impacted by portfolio redistributions. Small- and Mid-caps have enjoyed a sharp rally but are now only back to where they were three years ago. (While the S&P has made 54 new highs this year, up almost 27% for the year and continuing to grow, Russell 2000 holders have gone virtually nowhere for the past three years.) Those who have been long-term holders in "allocated" portfolios would be wise to review the idea of "diversification:" Diversifying among asset managers is NOT diversification. Just holding a bucket of assets across boards doesn't necessarily lead to better outcomes. Bitcoin has been in the news of late, getting close to the $100k mark; it is currently sitting on the 20-DMA, which is highly deviated. It will come back to meet the gravity of the moving average. Gold has also been working through a consolidation process. Pay attention to support at the 100-DMA. Similarly, the Dollar has been overbought following the presidential election. It's on a sell signal, working off the overboughtedness, and will be pulling back. What happens to the Dollar will feed over into other commodities.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rmN8a-6Yr5g&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Diversification #Russell2000 #SmallCap #MidCap #BitCOin #Gold #Dollar  #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket #SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Welcome back from Thanksgiving break: Is it time to initiate Christmas Bonds to help Retailers? While markts have performed well, expect some sloppiness heading into the end of the year. We'll have Black Friday and Cyber Monday results later this week. Meanwhile, markets continue to grind higher. What will be the effects of Trump Administration picks and regulatory changes? High levels of market concentration will result in more volatility from regulatory disruptions. Market complacency in the past is a present risk; Lance looks at the impact of government spending, and a revealing chart of richest/poorest states...and the D.C. A sample of THC Pizza, the Thanksgiving Effect, and stupid housing solutions from Slate. Demographics are destiny: Is the US following Japan? Expect more market volatility in 2025; markets are a function of corporate earnings. It's okay to take speculative bets, but control risk. Commentary on MicroStrategy's strategy of using convertible debt to purchase Bitcoin: What could possibly go wrong? SEG-1: Christmas Bonds & Markets Grind Ever Higher SEG-2: Market Risks for 2025 SEG-3: THC Pizza & Stupid Housing Solutions SEG-4: Expecting Volatility in 2025 Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HIfTDuPmsQs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Extreme Speculation Has Returned" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/extreme-speculation-has-returned/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "It's a Good Time for Portfolio Clean-up" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why Credit Spreads Matter" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43V7qFIcbWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketSpeculation #MarketVolatility #HighRiskInvesting #SpeculativeTrading #FinancialTrends2025 #TrumpAdministration #RegulatoryChanges #InvestingAdvice #Money #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets are doing fine, grinding higher, back on a buy signal, and trading well above it's 50-DMA. We're expecting a pullback over the next couple of weeks as mutual fund distributions occur. The market is over-bought on a relative strength basis. The S&P Equal-weighted Index is also doing well, and has been playing catchup. It, too, is extremely over bought, and we expected to see a consolidation/pullback soon. This is a good time to clear out any laggards you may have in your portfolio, do some tax-loss harvesting before the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #PortfolioCleanUp #MarketExuberance #OverBoughtMarket SP500 #MarketPullBack #MarketConsolidation #MutualFundDistributions #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Credit spreads can greatly assist in determining the risk of a correction or bear market by reflecting the perceived risk of corporate bonds compared to government bonds. The spread between risky corporate bonds and safer Treasury bonds remains narrow when the economy performs well. This is because investors are confident in corporate profitability and are willing to accept lower yields for higher risks. Conversely, during economic uncertainty or stress, investors demand higher yields for holding corporate debt, causing spreads to widen. This widening often signals investors are growing concerned about future corporate defaults, which could indicate broader economic trouble. Lance and Jonathan explain Credit Spreads, the impact of Credit Spreads on Investments, plus Corporate Bond Yield Analysis and  Fixed Income Market Trends. Lance also updates progress on Christmas decor at La Mansion de Roberts, identifies The Most Important Indicator, and the story about Bad Stuffing. Hilarity ensues. Happy Thanksgiving, y'all! SEG-1: Post-election Optimism: Markets Touch 6,000 SEG-2a: Christina's Christmas Tree SEG-2b: Is a Crash Coming? SEG-3: The Most Important Indicator SEG-4a: Bad Stuffing SEG-4b: How to Predict Future Returns Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=43V7qFIcbWE&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Credit Spreads: The Markets Early Warning Indicators" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/credit-spreads-the-markets-early-warning-indicators/ "Market Forecasts Are Very Bullish" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Touch 6,000" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Markets Look for a Holiday Rally" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vBrh3-984LU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1184s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #CreditSpreads #MarketCrash #RiskOn #RiskOff #InvestmentStrategy #FixedIncome #BondMarket #FinancialEducation #HolidayRally #StockMarketTrends #InvestingSeason #YearEndStocks #FinancialMarkets2024 #SP6000 #10YearTreasuries #ScottBessent #TreasurySecretary #FiscalHawk #BadStuffing #MrsRobertsChristmasTree #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The S&P kissed 6,000, bounced briefly over, then fell, rose again, and finished at 5,970. L:ooks for a weak open this morning, and then another rally as markets again attempt to close above the 6k level. Big move Monday in Treasury Yields on news of Scott Bessent's nomination as Sec'y Treasury. Gold has had a great run this year but is starting to set up a pattern to drop off...corresponding with a decline in Yields and a strengthening Dollar. Markets are holding up well; mid-caps caught a huge rally Monday.  Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H6eDUHM52Uk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP6000 #10YearTreasuries #ScottBessent #TreasurySecretary #FiscalHawk #DollarStrength #BitCoin #BitCoinCorrection #DollarDebasement #RiskOn #RiskManagement #SellAssets #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

A preview of risks on the horizon, including Trump Tariffs, interest rates, and how debt and deficits are economic drivers. What are the effects on corporate profitability?Will valuations be problematic next year? Lance revews Nvidia's stellar quarterly report and analysts' expectations for 2025. Bitcoin is tracking WITH the US Dollar, not against it as a de-dollarization asset. CNBC completely misses "first man in space" trivia question (Yuri Gagarin, not Alan Shepherd); Lance & Michael discuss Nvidia's quarterly earnings and obscene, 55% profit margin: Does the company risk losing market share to an competitor willing to work for a piece of that pie? A discussion of the anticipated Trump Tariffs, and their impact on corporate profitability; what potential offsets will exist? What choices will consumers make (potentially refusing to buy), and what is the real impact on inflation in the aggregate: The seen and unseen effects and potential retaliatory tariffs. NOTE: Hoover's tariffs are suspect in making the 1930's Depression worse. Why the US' poorest state, Mississippi, has a higher GDP than the country of France: The cost of government intervention. MicroStrategy, BitCoin, and stupid investor investments.  SEG-1: Looking at the Risk-on Horizon SEG-2: Why Nvidia is Still "Cheap" SEG-3: Will Trump Tariffs Really Be Inflationary? SEG-4: Stupid Investor Investments Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VE5okKP_9hM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Tariffs Are Inflationary Claim The Experts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/trump-tariffs-are-inflationary-claim-the-experts/ "Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/ "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Nvidia Doesn't Disappoint" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j1rOq_VH06M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Wall Street Lowers 2025 Expectations: Should You Be Concerned?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4bUAbsijBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #MicroStrategy #BitCoin #TrumpTariffs #TradeWarImpact #EconomicOutlook #InflationRisks #GlobalTradeTrends #WallStreetForecast #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingTrends #EconomicUpdates #FinancialPlanning2025 #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Nvidia absolutely slayed their quarterly earnings report, reporting an incredible 55% profit margin on their chips, with $35-billion in revenues (I know, Lance said, "Trillion;" it's Billion.) Stocks may trade down a bit this morning, but still within a very bullish trend. Palo Alto Networks also had a good report, beating estimates. Snowflake, however, barely beat estimates, and is up 21% this morning; why the difference? The markets, as of late, have been a "dash for trash." The Dollar Index continues to accelerate. But Bitcoin, the supposedly "Dollar Debasement" play, has been rallying right along with the Dollar. Bitcoin, approaching $100k, is NOT a dollar debasement asset; it is a risk-on asset. Bitcoin is essentially a dollar asset because, in order to use it, you have to convert Bitcoin back into Dollars. Be careful: Both the Dollar and Bitcoin are extremely over-bought at this point. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j1rOq_VH06M&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Nvidia #PaloAltoNetworks #Snowflake #BitCoin #DollarDebasement #RiskOn #RiskManagement #SellAssets #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's Nvidia Day--markets will respond accordingly tomorrow. Expectations are high for earnings and forward guidance. Analysts are generally looking for lowered expectations in 2025, as President Trump faces a waning economy. Meanwhile, markets have had a good test of support at the 20-DMA. Volatility anticipated in a holiday-shortened trading week next week. Lance and Danny plead for planning ahead at the end of the year, so as not to pile EOY changes on at the last minute. Corporate profitability in 2025: Case studies with WalMart vs Target and the aftertaste of wokeism. Stock picking could be more profitable than ETF investing next year. What happens to retailers who cannot sell their stuff? Lance and Danny look at factors that play into corporate profitability as the rest of the world slows down: We import deflation and export our inflation. The looming battle between the White House and the Fed: What will happen to Jerome Powell? SEG-1: The Challenge for Trump in the 2025 Economy SEG-2: Give Your Financial Advisor a Break! SEG-3: WalMart vs Target - Corporate Profitability in 2025 SEG-4: Retail Sales & The Battle Between the WH vs the Fed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=z4bUAbsijBk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/ "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will Markets End 2024 Even Higher Than Now?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ZUtOduj4Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Yardini & The Long History of Prediction Problems" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3srkduy24uM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WallStreetForecast #MarketOutlook2025 #InvestingTrends #EconomicUpdates #FinancialPlanning2025 #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #EconomicOutlook #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Good action in the markets on Tuesday after testing the 20-DMA three times: Futures are higher this morning, so a follow through is expected. There is a short-term sell signal in place, however, which will likely limit upside. Expect a little more volatility over the next few days as trading is impacted by a holiday-shortened week for Thanksgiving. Despite that, markets should end higher than where they are now. Historically, whenever there's been a 20% return year by November (which we have had), markets end that year higher, 80% of the time. Caveat: Everybody is in the boat right now; however, when we get into next year, if everybody has already bought, who's left to buy?? Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3ZUtOduj4Ks&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketVolatility #HigherEOY #InvestorEbullience #FederalReserve #DovishFed #HawkishFed #InterestrateCut #RetailSales #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketSellOff #RiskManagement #SellBonds #SellAssets #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

WalMart reports it's close to profitability; expect some market chop this week; NVIDIA reports Wednesday evening, and markets will respond on Thursday. A look at the performance of the Top Ten Stocks: Everyone wants to be in on the US Markets. Markets on Tuesday dropped to bounce off the 20-DMA, and continue to run along the ever-rising trend line. Expect some volatility ahead of next month's Fed meeting and anticipated 25-bp rate cut. Watch out for a shift in language to a more dovish stance.  Economist Ed Yardeni believes markets' upward momentum will continue, and has revised his long-term forecast to project that the S&P 500 will reach 10,000 by 2029. Lance and Jonathan discuss these aspects, as well as markets' "animal spirits" and consumer confidence. Borrowing from the future: Markets are outpacing what the economy can produce; rising wages vs corporate profits are incongruent; the effects of decreasing government spending and tariffs;  why ebullient predictions always fail. Lance explores a new IG channel for his wife; hilarity ensues. What should you ask and expect from a financial advisor? Lance & Jon discuss the work that we do. SEG-1: Everyone Wants In the US Markets SEG-2 New Website & Yardini Rebuttal SEG-3a: Stupid Things & Watching Tyspn SEG-3b: Borrowing From the Future & Problem w Predictions SEG-4a: The Baked Baker SEG-4b: Expectations for Your Financial Advisor Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3srkduy24uM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Yardeni And The Long History Of Prediction Problems" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/yardeni-and-the-long-history-of-prediction-problems/ "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Will the Doves Return to the Fed?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZBtzLJWhGg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: ""Trump Trade" Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0CvFZe_0Yf4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2754s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #EdYardeni #MarketPredictions #InvestmentForecasts #FinancialTalks #EconomicOutlook #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets came down to touch the 20-DMA and bounced off of it; markets are trending along this upward trend range. We're about half-way through a correction, with markets having a little more work to do. Markets tend to perform better following Thanksgiving into the first two weeks of December. Expect volatility and a little chop; not much else to worry about. The Fed is expected to make a 25-bp rate cut at its meeting on December 18...unless they don't. That's the risk to reckon with. The key will be in the Fed's language, and whether it takes a dovish tone. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ZBtzLJWhGg&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #FederalReserve #DovishFed #HawkishFed #InterestrateCut #RetailSales #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketSellOff #RiskManagement #SellBonds #SellAssets #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's the last full week of trading before Thanksgiving. Expectations for US GDP growth in the new year are on the plus side of 3%, vs the EU's negative exepctations: Where do you want to put your money? First place the "Government Efficiency Department" can start is at the Department of Defense, failing its past seven audits. Risks are building in certain market areas where “Trump Trade” exuberance has likely exceeded the grasp of underlying fundamental realities. While investors were a bit skittish heading into the election, the clean Republican sweep of the Presidency, House, and Senate has sent investors scrambling to add exposure across all market assets. While the “Trump Trade” certainly has some legs, lower taxes, deregulation, and tariffs will not solve many companies’ ” sales “ problems. But that is the beauty of speculation: rising prices increase speculation, which leads to higher prices. Lance shares his weekend excurion to The Warehouse at Texas A&M; valuations as short-term tools vs long term fundamentals. Post-election optimism at an all time high; the set up for markets now is very different from 2016. Could BitCoin hit $100,000? Why we don't have it in our 60/40 portfolio: Too volatile. Understanding risk psychology; why we've got about five years remaining to make real money in the markets.  SEG-1: Great Expectations for US GDP Growth SEG-2a: An Aggie Christmas SEG-2b: Valuations & Risks in Cutting Government Spending SEG-3: Understanding Bitcoin & Risk Psychology SEG-4: Short-term vs Long-term Market Perspectives  Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Trump Trade” Sends Investors Into Overdrive" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Assets Keeping You Awake? Sell 'em!" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q86SaUTa5s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Math Behind the MACD" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqVRDTY2m5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpTrade #InvestorSentiment #MarketImpact #EconomicPolicy #StockMarketNews#StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #TexasAM #TheWarehouse #ChristmasDecorations #AggieSanta #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Friday's market sell- off was the result of a big options expiration date. The post-election rally was a vertical spike, and that markets were so stretched from the 50-DMA, a return to earth was inevitable. Markets are working off their "overboughtedness," and are close to triggering a sell signal. Markets tend to rally after Thanksgiving and into the first two weeks of December. Choppy action should be expected going into the end of the year. While the trend into January appears to be positive, be aware of the risks. With interest rates bouncing up and down over the past two weeks, Bonds were used as hedges going into the election; interest rates are overbought on multiple levels, and bond traders are extremely short. This is typically a good set up for a yield reversal. If you're long bonds and so worried that you're not sleeping at night: Sell your bonds. Sell any asset that's keeping you awake at night. In the short term, all that matters are technicals; in the long term, it's fundamentals that count. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Q86SaUTa5s&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1  ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #MarketSellOff #RiskManagement #SellBonds #SellAssets #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Just ahead of the Christmas Retail Shopping Season, credit card debt is piling up; consumers are under stress. Survey: What to do when an item is too expensive? What will be the actual effect of tariffs? What economists think vs how consumers react. Meanwhile, markets sold off Wednesday, then rallied back for a positive close: Participants are unwilling to sell, expecting markets to continue to rise; Bitcoin is melting up, Gold is getting beaten up, the Russell 2000 enjoys a post-election pop.  Lance covers YouTube Chat etiquette, and with Michael Lebowitz discusses the latest CPI print and the problem with homeowners equivalent rent as 40% of the CPI calculation. What about the PPI? The Fed's biggest task is calming the markets. Markets are only listening to what they want to hear. Lance shares his Top Five Technical Analysis Tools. When we discuss technical analysis in our articles and podcasts, we often examine the moving average convergence divergence indicator, better known as the MACD, or colloquially the Mac D. The MACD is one of our favored technical indicators to help forecast prices and manage risk. The MACD is the difference between a short moving average and a longer moving average. The MACD line tells us if there is a trend in place and whether its momentum is increasing or decreasing. Lance and Michael share how to use MACD in your trading strategy as part of your suite of  technical analysis tools.  SEG-1: Economists' Thoughts vs Consumers' Actions SEG-2: CPI & The Problem With Homeowners' Equivalent Rent SEG-3: Markets Are Only Listening to What They Want to Hear SEG-4: Technical Analysis & The Math of MACD Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zqVRDTY2m5Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The MACD: A Guide To This Powerful Momentum Gauge" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/resources/blog/the-macd-a-guide-to-this-powerful-momentum-gauge/ "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Market Participants are Unwilling to Sell" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJeDa7V9Z3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Annuities: Good, Bad, & Ugly" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6X1QEdhShs0&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2720s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingStrategy #StockMarket #InvestingTips #InvestmentAdvice #CPI #PPI #FinancialPlanning #IrrationalExuberance #MarketBubble #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets sold off and then rallied back to close in positive territory; markets are holding on at a very high level: Participants are just unwilling to sell, expecting markets to climb even higher thru year's end. Analysts are very exuberant, seeing no problem with the S&P hitting 6,200 by the end of the year. Bitcoin is the poster-child for exuberance, melting higher in the post-election, now in the $91,000 realm. This is the best, speculative investment measure of risk. Bitcoin is extremely overbought. Gold, on the other hand, has gotten hit really hard since the election, trading down another 80-basis points this morning. Gold cracked through the 20-day, the 50-day, and is threatening to break through the 100-DMA today. Gold is oversold, and we're expecting a bounce. The Russell 2000 has seen a big gain in small- and mid-cap stocks following the election. Bank lending standards have loosened up sharply since the election, too. Lowered interest rates and a business-friendly Administration are allowing banks to ease their lending restrictions for small- and mid-cap companies. The message in the markets: Risk-on! Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eJeDa7V9Z3I&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #RiskOn #NoSale #SP6200 #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #RiskManagement #2024Election #TrumpWin #PostElectionRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #Gold #BitCoin #SmallCap #MidCap #Russell2000 #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets have been on a rocket ship ride of late: Stocks are overbought, and when you have extreme deviations from the moving averages (which act like gravity to pull prices down), a pullback is to be expected. Watch for some pre-Thanksgiving volatility, a post-Thanksgiving rally, and then more volatility the first few weeks of December, followed by a Santa Claus rally. Markets will likely be higher, a thesis supported by an impromptu Twitter poll of 1,000 respondents: over 50% anticipate the S&P will reach 6,200 by year's end.    Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VuOdEkfM6UA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP6200 #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #RiskManagement #2024Election #TrumpWin #PostElectionRally #PreThanksgivingVolatility #MarketVolatility #SantaClausRally #SellSignals #MarketRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Earnings Season is winding up, and The Next Big Report to come will be from NVIDIA on 11/20. Markets are on fire for now; what will the Fed do next? We're expecting one more rate cut in December, and then a pause. This week's inflation print could be higher due to YOY comparisons. Mutual Fund Distributions are coming in December; do not be alarmed! The post-election market is on a tear: invesetors are more exuberant than ever. Everybody is betting on everything to go up. A pullback to the 20-DMA is coming, setting up the market for a rally into year end. Lance and Jonathan discuss mutual fund distributions and anticipated portfolio variations. How will markets responsd to Trump policies and government employment levels. Lance's entreprenurial son offers "boyfriends" services for Thanksgiving. Lance & Jonathan parse the pro's and con's of bond portfolios. Investors can have any of the two: Capital appreciation, safety, or liquidity. The problems with 100% bond portfolio, and the impossibility of high income with no risk. Yield is a function of risk: There is no such thing as no-risk (things companies do to stay in business). Markets' exuberance comes with a price: Policy chances will have consequences. Is the 60/40 Portfolio dead?  SEG-1: Post-election Markets are on Fire SEG-2: What Mutual Fund Distribution Time Means SEG-3a: Tommy's Rent-a-Boyfriend Enterprise SEG-3b: The Pro's & Con's of Bond Portfolios SEG-4: There's No Such Thing as No Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IZtz1S3R3WQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2635s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Everybody's Betting on Everything Going Up" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AISGEpmtMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Why COLA Doesn't Get Any Respect" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs4-vv0lKwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #IrrationalExuberance #MarketBubble #InvestorSentiment #StockMarketTrends #EconomicOutlook #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets have been ON FIRE since the election: After touching support at the 50_DMA before Election Day, markets have taken off, and we're getting pretty over-extended now. Investors are more exuberant than ever on record. There are now some of the highest call options for Kathie Woods' Ark Fund, which we haven't seen in forever because it's been such an underperformer. Everybody's betting on Everything going up. Eventually, there's going to be a pullback, maybe to the 20-DMA, 5,820 on the S&P, and that would set up markets for a rally into the end of the year. We're suggesting implementation of some risk management at this point. Don't get greedy.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2AISGEpmtMI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Exuberance – Investors Have Rarely Been So Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/exuberance-investors-have-rarely-been-so-optimistic/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketExuberance #MarketRally #MarketPullback #KathieWoods #ArkFund #RiskManagement #2024Election #TrumpWin #PostElectionRally #MarketVolatility #SellSignals #MarketRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The markets' response to the election outcome, combined with Thursday's Fed rate cut: Markets love it, but half the country (metro areas) are not happy. Avoid knee-jerk responses; next year could be very different. What to do with Bonds: Know what your goal is. Rich & Danny discuss home-bias investing vs international markets: Where're you gonna go? Expect more volatility and more disappointment. Rich explains 'Goal Scooping:' Do it now. Markets love gridlock in D.C.; market performance with blue vs red waves. A discussion of the new Roberts' home vs the set of "Lioness..." Why COLA gets no respect; the compounding effect on COLA; why policy failures are expensive; the paucity of fiscal education today. How COLA is calculated; how to fix Social Security? Eliminate wage base. (Rich's Halloween review.) The value of a financial advisor: Grill prospective advisors; maximizing tax-effective diversification. How organized sports have become a big business...and a money grab on families' budgets. SEG-1: Avoid Knee-jerk Responses to Election Results SEG-2a: Home Bias Investing vs International Markets SEG-2b: COLA & The Compounding Effect SEG-3: Why Policy Failure is Expensive SEG-4: The Value of a Financial Advisor: Diversification for Taxes Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hs4-vv0lKwQ&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Is Gold Surging?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/ "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Fed Day Arrives!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SocialSecurity #COLA #CostOfLivingAdjustment #Compounding #FiscalEducation #InternationalMarkets #GoalScooping #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #InterestRates #Halloween #Lioness #ZoeSaldana #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

In the aftermath of the 2024 Election, attention now turns to today's Fed announcement, with odds makers giving  96% chance of a quarter-percent rate cut. Meanwhile, markets are roiling as foreign investors try to position after the election. Managers are scrambling to re-risk in time for year-end reporting; Wednesday was a huge day for Small Caps. Lance and Michael discuss the frequency of Mexican Food, our up coming 2025 Economic Summit, and what investors should do in response to Tuesday's election. The results argue for the value in a diversified portfolio. Questions remain: Why was Gold getting crushed? What will Trump do? Will there be an economic surprise? A discussion of economic reporting, and prediction the NFIB Confidence Index will surge with the Trump win. Employment data, however, is slightly below average. Why is the Fed cutting rates? Watch for a wall of corporate debt coming due. We're in a "fine" economy; the Fed meeting may seem boring, but read between the lines. Will there be a Fed surprise? Half-percent rate cut vs NO rate cut? Watch for language changes in Fed statement. Trump Tariffs do not necessarily promote growth. Will we see '70's-style inflation? Can the Fed control the yield curve? (Operation Twist) Most of the Fed's sway is in what they say.  SEG-1: Post-election Analysis & Fed Meeting Preview SEG-2: Election Reaction: What Do We Do Next? SEG-3: Economic Reporting Preview SEG-4: Fed Control of Yield Curve; Why is Gold Surging? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO,  w Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XA3421RaEAY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Why Is Gold Surging?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/why-is-gold-surging/ "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Are Back! " is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Trump Wins!" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #GoldSurges #FedDay #FederalReserve #InterestRates #YieldCurve #OperationTwist #JeromePowell #NFIBconfidenceIndex #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #MexicanFood #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The S&P broke out to new, all-time highs following the election, and the sell signal is close to reversing. When it does (perhaps today), that will be the kick-off for the seasonally-strong period. Keep an eye on the trend line from August, about to intersect with 6,000; we're coming up on the bottom side of that, and the market will try to gravitate up to that by the end of the year. Watch for a strong open today, and bit of a sell off later in the day. Markets are back: That briefly oversold condition was completely reversed on Wednesday. We're back to over bought. Hedge fund managers are very underweight in equities heading into the end of the year; they de-risked going into the election, and they need to "re-risk" for performance goals. That, and corporate buy backs resume, adding action to the market. Small-caps finally made it back to about break even.    Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lb3hFtjlQ38&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2024Election #TrumpWin #SP6000 #Russell2000 #NFIBIndex #SmallCap #MidCap #InterestRates #DebtRefinancing  #PostElectionRally #MarketVolatility #SellSignals #MarketRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The 2024 Election outcome is sharply affecting pre-market, with Donald Trump's election sending stocks higher. The S&P trendline is aiming for the 6000 or 6100 level. The question that remains is whether markets can sustain that trend. This time is different from the previous Trump win: Interest rates are falling and tax rates are lower now; yet, there are still plenty of questions for investors: what will Trump's tax policy be? What will be the over all impact on the economy?  (The Tax Foundation predicts .8% impact to GDP.) Still to be seen in the Congress: What happens with a Republican sweep? What will the Tariff effect be? Fiscal dominance is not an issue. The Fed is likely to reverse QE to QT. What if Trump initiates a round of major infrastructure spending/investment? One thing is clear: Don't chase markets today. If you weren't already in, it will be tough do so now. What are the risks from the Fed and poor holiday retail sales? What are possible effects of a Musk-led "Government Efficiency" Dept.? Some of the things we need to fix will produce negative effect from doing so. Could reducing government trigger Recession? Avoid FOMO today; what matters will be post-inauguration. Lance and Danny discuss the importance of being able to adapt to changing policies; markets are going to do what they do. Love it or hate it, Congress is very much controlled by corporate lobbying interests. Market pullbacks will be short-lived. Buy the dips when you can. Lance explains positioning on Bonds now.  SEG-1: Trump Win to Send Stocks Higher SEG-2: The What-if's of Trumpian Policy SEG-3: Don't Chase Markets Today SEG-4: Don't Make Investing Decisions Based on Political Bias Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xY3WborUcsw&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2973s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Does Trump Win Translate into S&P 6000?" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdiZEF5mrVc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Election Day: Plan for Volatility" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYkOUuP1e_Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TrumpWins #ElectionResults2024 #MarketReaction #InvestmentStrategy #PolicyImpact#ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #Palantir #Ferrari #SuperMicro #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Donald Trump's election win is sending stocks markedly higher this morning, especially in the Dow, where stocks there are more economically sensitive. All indexes are pushing higher ahead of the opening bell; the question is whether these levels can be sustained throughout the day. If you are, unfortunately, not in the market already, it's going to be tough to do so today. Small and Mid-cap stocks in the Russell 2000 are going to see big moves today on expectations for pro-economic friendly structures. The NFIB Index is also economically sensitive and has been under a lot of pressure for the past couple of years; it could see a big surge today. The NFIB Index closely correlates with the Russell 2000. A word of caution about Small- and Mid-cap companies: Interest rates are still elevated, which weighs on debt refinancing, and many of these companies are unprofitable. NOTE: The rising trendline on the S&P now intersects with the 6,000 level, support for which comes from stock buy backs and performance chasing by portfolio managers heading into the end of the year.    Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZdiZEF5mrVc&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2024Election #TrumpWin #SP6000 #Russell2000 #NFIBIndex #SmallCap #MidCap #InterestRates #DebtRefinancing  #PostElectionRally #MarketVolatility #SellSignals #MarketRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Will the 2025 Election be The Most Important Election Ever? Yes...until 2028. Vote for the policy, not the personality: Child Care Credits case study. Markest are hangin' on ahead of the election, setting up for a post-election rally.Bond yields are the result of pre-election positioning; bond auction is next week. It's hard to buy when it's unpopular. Why are Small Caps having a hard time: They're not growing earnings. Most sensitive to difficult economy. Understand what gives stocks long term growth; will economic growth slow to "normal" next year? Don't expect 20% grwoth in 2025. Markets' historical post-election performance & government stimulus; why you have about six years remaining to make as much money as your can before the end of the current, bullish market cycle. Ignore emotion in the media. Expectations for a contested election & congressional gridlock: Lance review historical market performance from various election outcomes. For now, we're waiting on the Fed, expected to lower rates another quarter-point this week. Reviewing employment data for retailers ahead of holiday shopping season (What Mrs. Roberts wants for Christmas) Turkey down & The Hallmark channel. Stocks we wish we had bought: Palantir, up 200% this year. Earnings preview: Ferrari, SuperMicro SEG-1: Vote Policies, Not Personalities SEG-2: Don't Expect 20% Growth in 2025 SEG-3: Why You Have Six Years to Make As Much Money As You Can SEG-4: This, too, Shall Pass - Waiting on the Fed Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RYkOUuP1e_Q&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Table is Set for Post-election Rally" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=opnKzoHrODs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isHueBB3EwY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ElectionDay2024 #MarketVolatility #ElectionInvesting #PortfolioProtection #FinancialTrends #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #EmploymentDate #RetailSales #HolidayShopping #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #Palantir #Ferrari #SuperMicro #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets have been holding support at the 50-DMA level for the past several days, in a wait-and-see mode ahead of today's election. Markets are oversold on a short term basis, and still on a sell signal, which is limiting market upside. Traders have been de-risking portfolios until the outcomes are known. That sell-off has set up markets to rally post-election. Doesn't mean it's not going to get a little bumpy, though.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=opnKzoHrODs&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Election Day! Plan For Volatility" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/election-day-plan-for-volatility/ "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2024Election #PostElectionRally #MarketVolatility #SellSignals #PreElectionDeRisking #MarketRisk #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

It's 2024 Election-eve: Hedge funds are long on a presumed outcome; watch for a pick up in volatility. The Fed meets on the day after the election; there are still about 100 S&P Companies left to report. Reference Lance's weekend article on buy backs, Wolf in Sheep's Clothing: Apple spent $100-B on stock buy backs, when they could have purchased Intel for $99-B and produced their own chips. But, no. investors should do nothing on this day before the election; any move you make could be wrong. RIP Quincy Jones & Peanuts the Squirrel; Earnings Season Beat Rates are still elevated 80% (w charts). Roughly 10% of earnings are manufactured, and these are boosted by buy backs. Jerome Powell commentary this week will depend upon election outcome; he doesn't know yet. Lance' discussion on interest rates and debt overhang: Remember the Fed's job is to protect the banks. Lending money into existence is how economy works. Interest Rates are like a virus. Expectations are for a .25-bp rate cut. The IRS is raising the 401k max contribution ceiling by $500 to $23,500 for 2025. How "later" shows up tomorrow. Saving is a discipline. SEG-1: Markets on Standstill SEG-2: Earnings Season Beat Rates Still Elevated SEG-3: Interest Rates Are Like a Virus SEG-4: 401k Ceilings & the Discipline of Saving Money Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=isHueBB3EwY&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "10 Smart Money Moves to Make Right Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-smart-money-moves-to-make-right-now/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Don't Do Anything Today" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ureIqdQOgyo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Ten Money Smart Things To Do Before Year's End" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-GA2ZIzl8ws&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1900s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Election2024 #MarketVolatility #InvestmentStrategy #ElectionImpact #PortfolioPreparation #FederalReserve #JeromePowell #InterestRates #EarningsSeason #EarningsBeatRate #401kCeiling #SavingsDiscipline #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Don't do anything today: Virtually anything you do today, ahead of the elections, could be wrong. There was a considerable amount of pre-election de-risking last week.  Managers were saying, "I've had a good run, I'm taking money off the table," because no one knows the outcome of the election. On Thursday we saw a sell off, hit the 50-DMA, and that support held on Friday. No one wants to be exceptionally long at this point. We anticipate markets will be essentially flat by the end of the day. Markets are oversold on a short-term basis, and with Thursday's de-risking, markets are in a good position for a post-election rally. Still, on a sell signal, upside will be limited. Remain calm until the election is past.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ureIqdQOgyo&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The Presidential Election Cometh" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "Corporate Buybacks: A Wolf In Sheep’s Clothing" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/corporate-buybacks-a-wolf-in-sheeps-clothing/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/

2024 isn’t over yet. So here are 10 smart money moves to make right now. Saving money should be a year-round endeavor, but life gets in the way just like anything else. So with 2024 coming to a swift, thankful end, take advantage of the fourth quarter to accelerate your financial acumen, bolster your balance sheet and successfully springboard into the new year. Danny and Matt share year-end financial planning tips , smart money moves, and tax-saving strategies for the end of the year; plus investment adjustments for year-end, and a personal finance checklist for 2024. SEG-1: Investors Are Too Focused on Near-Term SEG-2: When Will Valuations Matter Again? SEG-3: Open Enrollment Strategies SEG-4: Year End To-do's Hosted by RIA Advisors Senior Financial Advisor Danny Ratliff, CFP, w Senior Relationship Manager, Matt Doyle, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-GA2ZIzl8ws&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1900s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "10 Smart Money Moves to Make Right Now" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/10-smart-money-moves-to-make-right-now/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets' Best Since 2018" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVTVr2sHG74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Our previous show is here: "Fact-checking Paul Tudor Jones & Stanley Druckenmiller" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=esqhIBreVZ8&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #YearEndPlanning #SmartMoneyMoves #TaxSavings #FinancialChecklist #PersonalFinanceTips #EarningsSeason #LoweredExpectations #PaulTudorJones #StanleyDruckenmiller #MarketOutlook #InvestmentPredictions #HedgeFundInsights #MarketsHedging #FundOutperformance  #BondRatings #LehmanBrothers #GovernmentSpending #SpendingCuts #FederalBudget #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024  #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets have now had the best 12-months risk-adjusted returns since 2018. Sadly, that is unsustainable. The S&P is not doing much, with very narrow price compression, and markets are quietly de-risking behind the scenes as the election draws near. Markets are holding support at the 20-DMA, but that could get taken out today. All of the algorithms are watching the 20-DMA.  Upside in the markets is being limited by a sell-signal. (Just because there's a sell signal doesn't mean the markets are going to sell off; you're probably just not going to go up in price, because if you did, you wouldn't have a sell signal.) Many investors are holding off doing anything until after the election. The problem with that is going to be playing catch up, regardless of which way the market reacts to the election results.     Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DVTVr2sHG74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1&t=1s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SP500 #RiskAdjustedReturns #BestYear #2024Election #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #2024Election #MarketRisk #Winners #Tariffs #MarketPullBack #RisingWedgePattern #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing

Halloween preview & earnings parade; pre-election bond market auction action. Markets are hedging a bit ahead of elections. The latest JOLTS report was weaker than expected - more evidence of a slowing economy? Meanwhile, consumer confidence continues to confound, bouncing up in the latest Conference Board Confidence Index reading, especially for forward expectations for stock prices into 2025. Lance reviews International, Emerging Markets, and Dollar performance. Markets "are not doing nothin'" until after the election. Lance & Danny discuss what happens after that. Political posturing is a problem: Data vs Opinion. Why markets love gridlock, but appear to be positioning for a Trump win. How many Funds outperform the S&P (chart); this data does not show who the managers were! "I want a one-star Fund on its way to five-stars." A comment on why intrinsic value doesn't matter; bond ratings & pay-for-play. The problem with ratings systems: No real-time monitoring/reporting. What we didn't know: The Lehman story. "High Yield" is a proxy for junk. Why ETF's underperform their indexes. Why don't we sing pumpkin carols? Could raging bull John Paulson be the next Treasury Sec'y.? How thoughtful would slashing government spending be? A final tease for more complete discussion on "intrinsic value." SEG-1: Markets Are Hedging Ahead of Elections SEG-2a: What Happens After the Election? SEG-2b: How Many Funds Outperform the S&P? SEG-3: Bond Ratings Happen in the Rear View Mirror SEG-4: The Challenge of Cutting Government Spending Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SSkBraqrjmU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2989s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Key Market Indicators for November 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/key-market-indicators-for-november-2024/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, " Why No One is Willing to Buy or Sell" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sh_WPCQ11qk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Key Market Indicators for November 2024" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAyGMHtuS0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketsHedging #FundOutperformance #BondRatings #LehmanBrothers #GovernmentSpending #SpendingCuts #FederalBudget #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024  #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Conference Board's latest Consumer Confidence Survey shows an increase in consumer confidence, a nice bounce from the recent downtrend; both present and future expectation metrics increased. The overall survey remains low, but surprisingly, consumer confidence in stock prices over the next year is at an all-time high. Accordingly, markets continue to hold on around the 20-DMA. No one is really willing to buy or sell right now. In International Markets, not a lot going on, either. Emerging markets have been selling off after a nice rally. These have been a drag on diversified portfolios. The Dollar continues to strengthen; the US is now roughly 63% of Global Market Cap. Relative to the rest of the world, the US Economy is still growing. Investors seem to be in a wait-and-see mode until after next week's elections.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sh_WPCQ11qk&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #ConferenceBoard #ConsumerConfidenceSurvey #FutureExpectations #StockPriceExpectations #2024Election #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #2024Election #MarketRisk #Winners #Tariffs #MarketPullBack #RisingWedgePattern #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing

A barrage of earnings reports this week reveals companies are beating lowered expectations, and revenue is down. McDonald's foot traffic is off (and interesting economic barometer); the story is surely unfolding of an economy that is slowing down. What do markets sell signals tell us? There are two ways for markets to correct: Consolidation, or pull back in prices. Lance rants on the realities of stock buy backs, and a sidebar from Jonathan on coffee habits; How will markets behave if the election is contested? Markets are very long on risk assets ahead of election; paralysis by analysis: Does not have to be "all-or-none." A look at the performance of our "all-weather" portfolio, and our bond strategies moving forward. A discussion on Gold, Gold Miners, and other commodities: Very economically sensitive and volatile. What if the economy collapses and we don't go back on Gold standard? It's all about balance (Remember the Hunt Brothers' silver fiasco). What to do about solicitation to "lock-in higher yields" in Bond accounts: Understanding high yield = junk bonds, generally NOT investment-grade. SEG-1: Earnings Are Beating Lowered Expectations (yay) SEG-2: The Ugly Reality of Stock Buy Backs SEG-3: The All-Weather Portfolio & Bond Strategy Moving Forward SEG-4: Commodities' Economic Sensitivity & Volatility Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAyGMHtuS0Y&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=7s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Key Market Indicators for November 2024" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/key-market-indicators-for-november-2024/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Sell Signals Don't Mean Correction" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjPmDHAR4Nw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Streaks Of Bullish Wins Are Not Sustainable" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0tzSR8uqpU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #MarketIndicators #EconomicOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #FinancialTrends #FedPolicyUpdate #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024  #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets continue to do their thing, still sitting on a sell signal, which is limiting upside. How can markets move up while under a sell signal? Sell signals don't necessarily mean markets correct, it just means markets don't go anywhere. Sell signals simply suggest there are more buyers than sellers, and things are beginning to slow down. Markets can correct in two ways: Either in consolidation or in a pullback in pricing. The 20-DMA continues to acts as very good support; this consolidation is working to eliminate equity risk heading into the election.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjPmDHAR4Nw&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #SellSignals #MarketCorrection #MarketConsolidation #2024Election #MarketRisk #Winners #Tariffs #MarketPullBack #RisingWedgePattern #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing

Wrapping up the Month of October and beginning the strongest period for markets, November - April; what could throw a wrench into the works? (How about an election upset?) Markets are positioning for a specific, anticipated outcome. Life with the Roberts': Child #4 accepted at Baylor! The Halloween dress-rehearsal. Markets' positioning for election outcome: What if...? Market risks to election outcome. Treasury Bonds are the best set up for election upset; there are decent opportunities to go "long" on energy stocks. Economic data released this week: The Chicago Fed Manufacturing Index is an important indicator; what is it telling us? View that performance of the Mag-7 might reverse next year are not reasonable. Google(s) and Crocks report this week, and most of the Top 10 will have reported by week's end. Lance relates his conversation with his dog and managing risk. Article preview on Paul Tudor Jones' opinion on owning Treasury Bonds. Debts and Deficits will not lead to higher rates: The country will NOT go bankrupt: Economic growth, Wage growth, inflation growth: The terminal rate is likely around 2.5%. The thing about bonds: It's pretty much math. SEG-1: What Could Throw a Wrench into markets? SEG-2a: Life w The Roberts & Baylor U. SEG-2b: Markets Position for Election Outcome SEG-3: Earnings Reports & Managing Risk SEG-4: Debts & Deficits will NOT Lead to Higher Rates Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0tzSR8uqpU&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/ "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Position for Election Winner" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5Wz_MZaSmQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Can You Really Afford to Own a Home?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbPQLkasFFk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BullishRally #MarketCorrection #InvestorCaution #StockMarketTrends #MarketSustainability #2024Election #DonaldTrump #KamalaHarris #TreasuryBonds #MagSeven #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024  #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Markets have begun positioning for the winner of the 2024 Election. What we don't know for certain is who that winner will be...but trading actions we can see are clearly pointing to a win by a particular candidate by their positioning in certain groups of companies that would benefit from policies the winner might implement. Meanwhile, the S&P continues to grind its way higher, on a nice, upward trajectory ever since September. The 20-DMA is acting as a good trendline indicator for the markets. We are, however, on a sell signal, which is limiting advances somewhat. Markets appear to be holding their breath ahead of the election. Markets appear to be betting on a Trump victory for a couple of reasons: Strong inflows into the US Dollar ahead of imposition of tariffs President Trump has said he would place. We're also seeing inflows into financials and technologies, which did well during a Trump presidency. However, the risk to all of this would be a Harris win.   Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x5Wz_MZaSmQ&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #2024Election #MarketRisk #Winners #Tariffs #MarketPullBack #RisingWedgePattern #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketCorrection #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing

Gold Fish are changing their name to Chilean Sea Bass, and Spam will henceforth be known as Filet Mignon; the world has gone awry, and Richard & Jonathan discuss the surprise results from Tesla, Polymarket odds for the 2024 Election, and goal scooping and setting expectations for 2025. Richard compares the Saudi's newest, biggest building in the world to the Tiny Homes trend, and Gen-Z's housing preferences (No car, no garage = no problem!) The Atlanta Fed's Home Ownership Affordability Monitor is a good gauge; the death of Elizabeth Warren's 50-30-20 Rule of Thumb. You can find affordable housing if you look, but you might not like where it is. Housing will eventually become more affordable. Comparisons of Sears' Craftsman Homes to Tiny Home enclaves (as in Independence, Texas); Michelle Bowers' "The Old House Life." Social Security's COLA for 2025 will be up 2.5%, but probably absorbed by increases in prescription drug coverage premium (funny how inflation has tapered just in time for COLA calculations!) SEG-1: Goal Scooping & Setting Expectations for 2025 SEG-2: Home Ownership Affordability & Tiny Homes SEG-3: Finding Affordable Homes SEG-4: More Tiny Homes Talk & SS COLA Changes Coming Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan McCarty, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jbPQLkasFFk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/ "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the Rising Wedge Pattern May Mean " is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7uHTtKv5KI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3xSgmwD84s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2104s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #HomeAffordability #SocialSecurity #COLA #IRS #2025TaxRates #Boomers #Millennials #FixedIncomeStrategy #InflationImpact #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingRulesOfThumb #MACD #$SPX #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024  #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

The Conference Board's Economic Surprise Index gauges exactly that: How surprised economists are when things don't pan out as they expected. Like the economy doing better than they think it ought, under the current conditions. Economists are setting themselves up for disappointment; more Americans are living paycheck-to-paycheck. Lance and Michael discuss market psychology and a subset of PTSD known as memory inflation: Things were better (or worse) than they actually were, which is affecting the Bond market, and the realities of inflation vs wages. Addressing chat window commentary: Headlines vs Data: Who should you believe? What we're doing with bonds; looking for a technical bounce. Look for a revision to estimates. SEG-1: Dealing with Economic Surprise SEG-2: Market PTSD & Memory Inflation SEG-3: Headlines vs Data: Who Do You Believe? SEG-4: What We're doing w Bonds Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, ww Portfolio Manager Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S3xSgmwD84s&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=2104s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Memory Inflation Warps Bond Yields" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/memory-inflation-warps-bond-yields/ "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "What the Rising Wedge Pattern May Mean " is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7uHTtKv5KI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Technical Analysis Techniques"" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PPqRWYTO3Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=2&t=2488s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MemoryInflation #BondYields #FixedIncomeStrategy #InflationImpact #MarketVolatility #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingRulesOfThumb #MACD #$SPX #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024  #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

We've been noting a rising wedge pattern in the markets, and on Wednesday markets broke out of that to the downside. The good news is that markets came down to the 20-DMA, tested, and held. So the first level of support is holding; the next level will be at around 5,650, which is the 50-DMA, so risk of additional correction remains as we head into the election. This should not be surprising: While there have been a lot of investors piling into markets in anticipation of a Trump win, there are not guarantees of that outcome, and in response, some are taking a few chips back off the table, "just in case." So we may seem some rotation out of those areas in response. Post-election activities will include resumption of buy backs and a bit of clarity on policy positions going forward, depending upon the election outcome. Also, fund managers are really behind the curve this year, so post-election action will include moves to enhance positions going into the end of the year. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7uHTtKv5KI&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Donald Trump Or Fundamentals? Whats Irking The Bond Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/donald-trump-or-fundamentals-whats-irking-the-bond-market/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketPullBack #RisingWedgePattern #2024Election #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketCorrection #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing

Markets sold off on Tuesday to break even. following six straight weeks of gains; still, markets have no fear of recession. Lance shares his personal strategy for Bonds (using his own money, not clients') When everyone is hating on Bonds is the time to buy. After the Election, the focus will return to Yields and Interest Rates. Lance next provides a primer on the Technical Analysis tools he uses at RIA Advisors: Why we use it; keeping it simple. the $SPX & Moving Averages; Rules of Thumb: When markets break, that's an alert to pay attention to; are markets breaking, or is it a dip? Is the break confirmed? Give it time. The Realtive Strength Indicator and MACD tools: Converging or diverging?  SEG-1: Markets Have No Fear of Recession SEG-2: Why & How We Use Technical Analysis (KISS) SEG-3: Rules of Thumb SEG-4: The MACD & Other Tools for Mitigating Risk Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PPqRWYTO3Gk&list=PLVT8LcWPeAuhi47sn298HrsWYwmg8MV7d&index=2&t=5s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Donald Trump Or Fundamentals? What's Irking The Bond Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/donald-trump-or-fundamentals-whats-irking-the-bond-market/ "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Everybody is Back to Hating Bonds Again" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-G4I_NnvR74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Is the Stock Market Party Over?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsLwZJT9srg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #TechnicalAnalysis #InvestingRulesOfThumb #MACD RelativeStrengthIndicator #$SPX #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #Recession #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024  #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Lance explains why he took a long position in TLT, and bought call options on TLT for December in his personal account; not in clients' accounts...yet. That's because there is an extreme level of pessimism about Bonds: The options skew on bonds is as negative as it has been going back to Bonds' rally last November. Everybody is back to hating Bonds again, which is great for Bonds. There has been a big retracement in yields; they're very over bought currently, very stretched and deviated from long term moving averages. Today is the 20-yr bond auction, with dealers driving up yields and driving down prices; we'll see where things end up after the dust settles. Post-election will likely see lower yields with attention focused back no the Fed and lower rates. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-G4I_NnvR74&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Donald Trump Or Fundamentals? Whats Irking The Bond Market" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/donald-trump-or-fundamentals-whats-irking-the-bond-market/ ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #BondPessimism #BondHaters #TLT #20YearBondAuction #BondYields #BondPrices #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketCorrection #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing

What does it mean when the Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators (a predictor of the next six months' economic activity) post's a negative .5 reading...while markets seem to be able to find no ceiling? Who's right? Markets continue to be "just fine," although a potential for pullback by the end of October or beginning of November is anticipated to provide a better entry point for portfolio exposure. Lance and Jonathan answer emails, like "Is the market party over?" The biggest factor will be the shift in liquidity; that money has to go somewhere. Which is better: 9% annual return or an average of 9% over ten years; math explained. The comparison of time horizons vs actual life expectancy: No one is going to live for 124-years. Why it's not the end of the world as we know it (thank you, R.E.M.); forward returns & Valuations. The problem of earnings growth concentration among only 10-stocks; why not to hide only in cash. A financial Plan should be flexible, but it's only as good as the data. What about the Dollar? How it's backed and why it's the preferred currency of trade. Everyone is in the Prediction business; how we deal with risk. SEG-1: Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators -.5? SEG-2: Email Answers: Is the Stock Market Party Over? SEG-3: Why It's Not the End of the World as We Know It SEG-4: What About the Dollar? Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fsLwZJT9srg&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=3s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "The Market Is Doing Just Fine" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1B3kHCoNLkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Q3-Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNplygIR9HA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2475s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketOutlook #MarketCorrection #InvestorSentiment #VolatilityWatch #MarketRallyEnd #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024  #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

 Markets have now gone 6 weeks with gains without some kind of pullback or a negative week. Pay attention: The market is continuing in a rising-wedge pattern, and prices are becoming more compressed. Given that markets are over-bought on several levels, and volume in this rally is beginning to pullback, and the MACD indicator is slowing and starting to roll over, will likely break out to the downside. This will give us a bit of a correction by the end of the month, or early November, perhaps after the election. As mentioned yesterday, that would provide investors with a better entry point to add exposure to the market. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1B3kHCoNLkA&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketCorrection #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing

Earnings estimates remain exceptionally optimistic, raising the question of whether consumer spending can sustain present levels (the source of earnings!) Investors should be careful averages, and remember that records are recrods for a reason. Why we're still expecting acorrection; we've had six strong weeks in a row, and a seventh is not out of the question this week. Lance looks at where earnings are really occurring (in the Mag-7 companies); what happens if those top 10% companies cease growing? Earnings expectations are what move market prices; why Wall St. is the "sell" side, and investors are on the "buy" side. Gold is very over-bought; deviated nearly five-times above moving averages. There's nothing "wrong" with markets now; the challenge for investors is buying stocks that may be "out of favor" currently. lamnce reviews JP Morgan report on the odds of the presidential election outcomes, and what happens if the odds shift? There is a distinct risk of a pre-election sell-off. What if there is a contested election? The market is a "hive" of intelligence, and knows more than you do. A brief review of our Technical Analysis techniques. SEG-1: Why We're Still Expecting a Correction SEG-2: Where Earnings Growth is Really Happening (and what happens if it stops) SEG-3: Earnings Expectations Are What Move Markets SEG-4: The Challenge of Buying What's Not In Favor Now Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist Lance Roberts, CIO Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KNplygIR9HA&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2475s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Q3 Earnings Estimates Remain Optimistic" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Hitting Brand New Records This Year" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvjBMe7VWaU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "COLA Boost & Medicare Shifts: What You Must Know for 2025" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBwvNBeq0Bs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #Q3Earnings #MarketOutlook2024 #StockMarketForecast #CorporateEarnings #AllTimeHighs #Gold #ConsumerSpending #MagnificentSeven #InvestmentStrategy #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

 Markets are hitting brand new records this year because they hitting levels which previously marked the peak of the market. Records are records for a reason. The seasonal buy signal was triggered last week, which typically suggests that markets will be high over the next six months, which is the seasonally-strong period of the year. That does not, however, mean that there cannot be a correction along the way. In fact, it should be expected: Markets are now up six-weeks in a row; a seventh consecutive week (this week) would make for a very long stretch. (We've done seven-weeks and eight-weeks before.) But eventually, a correction is going to occur, sometimes more deeply than others. Also, we're on a seasonal buy signal, but markets are already over bought on multiple levels. Markets can have a correction between now and the end of the year that will give you a better entry point. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvjBMe7VWaU&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketRecords #AllTimeHighs #MarketCorrection #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing

Richard & Jonathan recap their recent recruiting visit on the campus of Texas A&M University: There is hope for the next generation. Earnings season continues, discussion of Netflix and Lance's coffee rants. Anti-globalization & the China effect; the fallacy of International buys; "I love Lucy" & Vitametavegamin. Why fasting should be called slowing; Medicare Open Enrollment and changes in many plans: What happens when Medicare advantage plans go away; many supplemental benefits go un-used. Changes in Medicare prescription drug formularies. What happens if you don't make a choice ; the importance of healthcare literacy; health is connected to wealth. SEG-1: A&M & The Next Generation SEG-2: Coffee Tawk & The Fall of Globalization SEG-3: Medicare Open Enrollment changes for 2025 SEG-4: Healthcare Literacy & Connection to Wealth Hosted by RIA Advisors Director of Financial Planning, Richard Rosso, CFP, w Senior Financial Advisor, Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JBwvNBeq0Bs&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=4s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The VIX And Market Climb: Should We Care?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-vix-and-market-climb-should-we-care/ "Cava: A Hot Trend Comes At A Dear Cost To Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cava-a-hot-trend-comes-at-a-dear-cost-to-investors/ "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/ "GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/ "NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Will Trend Higher...Until they Don't" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUMtRETZHK4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Volatility & The Market Climb: Should We Care?" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ajA-yTT_NM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=485s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #COLA2025 #Medicare2025 #RetirementPlanning #SocialSecurityUpdate #FinancialAdvice #FinancialRisk #AvoidInvestmentLoss #MoneyManagement #RecessionReady #PortfolioStrategy #InvestmentProtection #DiversifyNow #MarketPositioning #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Retail Sales numbers today, and earnings recaps (so far) and previews; looking for an outsized seasonal adjustment to Retail Sales due to calendar anomalies; there's nothing overly concerning to markets. The big focus will be the election and it's outcome and control of House & Senate: The market hates uncertainty, and loves gridlock. Lance refutes rash of negative videos: Markets see nothing of concern. Market Bears are on parade, what does the rise in Volatility mean? The VIX is implied volatility: Will market move a lot or a little, but not in which direction. It is indicative of markets' expectations for activity. Understanding Implied Volatility: Put-call ratios vs Skew Ratios; what is this tool for? Lance eschews wife's suggestion of tea instead of coffee; Retail Sales preview & potential Fed response; The economy is strong, but weakening, from a very high level. The Fed is trying to normalize interest rates, which are still too high and a threat to "Goldilocks Economy."  SEG-1: What Really Matters to Markets in 2024 Election SEG-2: What Does the Rise in Market Volatility Mean? SEG-3: Understanding Implied Volatility SEG-4: Coffee vs Tea, Retail Sales Preview & Potential Fed Response Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Portfolio Manager, Michael Lebowitz, CFA Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1ajA-yTT_NM&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=485s ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "The VIX And Market Climb: Should We Care?" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/the-vix-and-market-climb-should-we-care/ "Cava: A Hot Trend Comes At A Dear Cost To Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cava-a-hot-trend-comes-at-a-dear-cost-to-investors/ "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/ "GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/ "NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Markets Will Trend Higher...Until they Don't" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUMtRETZHK4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "You Ain't Rich" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnNxECRmvus&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #StockMarketTrends #VIXIndex #RiskManagement #InvestorMindset #MarketVolatility #VIX  #IsraelIranWar #CrudeOil #InvestmentMistakes #GreedAndLoss #FinancialRisk #AvoidInvestmentLoss #MoneyManagement #RecessionReady #PortfolioStrategy #InvestmentProtection #DiversifyNow #MarketPositioning #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing

Despite a plethora of negative videos proclaiming the imminence of market crashes, this market looks like 2007, and the end of the world is upon us (and there were plenty of headlines about a "soft landing" and a Goldilocks economy back then, too), markets currently are not suggesting any of that.: Markets have continued to make new highs, grinding along an upward trendline. Where does this leave us? We always caution against investing with reckless abandon, but there's also no reason to be overly bearish at this time. The trick to managing money is understanding that markets will trend higher until they don't. There is plenty of liquidity coming into the markets; global liquidity on a relative basis is at some of the highest levels we've seen since the financial crisis because there's no where else for the money to go. Hosted by RIA Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO  Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch the video version of this podcast: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PUMtRETZHK4&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Cava: A Hot Trend Comes At A Dear Cost To Investors" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/cava-a-hot-trend-comes-at-a-dear-cost-to-investors/ ------- G et more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/insights/real-investment-daily/ ------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #MarketBullishness #Negativity #HigherHighs #UpwardTrendline #InterestRates #IsraelIranWar #BullMarketRisk #SeasonalBuySignal #CPI #CPITrigger #Inflation #MACD #MarketRally #MarketBounce #MarketRisk #Overbought #MarketBullishness #MarketVolatility #20DMA #50DMA #100DMA #InvestingAdvice #InvestingThesis #Money #Investing

Will the strength (or weakness) of the consumer be revealed in this week's Retail Sales report? Liquidity is continuing to flow into markets; if things are so good, why all the liquidity flows? Stock buy backs resume in 10-days, adding $6-B/day of more liquidity (which is NOT a return of capital to investors.) Energy stock exposure exoansion: As interest rates rise, so have oil prices. MACD Sell signal has been triggered, and we anticipate falling oil prices through the end of the year. Lance shares another Life w the Roberts' anecdote about son, Tommy; What does it take to be rich? Dealing with the lifestyle creep, and why many families are still one paycheck away from financial disaster. Raising the Roberts' kids in reality: What was your first car? How to really count wealth: perceptions vs reality. 7 things to disucss when planning for wealth; how will you spend your time in retirement? The things clients say advisors fail to mention; the Roberts' budget and Christina & Michelle's Christmas presents. SEG-1: Why All the Liquidity (if things are so great)? SEG-2a: Life w The Roberts' - Tommy's Test Taking SEG-2b: What Does it Take to Be Rich? SEG-3a: Lance & Danny's First Cars SEG-3b: Wealth: Perception vs Reality SEG-4: Things Clients Say Advisors Never Mention Hosted by RIA Advisors Chief Investment Strategist, Lance Roberts, CIO, w Senior Financial Advisor Jonathan Penn, CFP Produced by Brent Clanton, Executive Producer ------- Watch today's show video here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XnNxECRmvus&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1 ------- Articles mentioned in this report: "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/greed-and-how-to-lose-100-of-your-money/ "GDP Report Continues To Defy Recession Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/gdp-report-continues-to-defy-recession-forecasts/ "NFIB Survey Poses Risk To Bullish Forecasts" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ "How Howard Marks Thinks About Risk…And You Should Too" https://realinvestmentadvice.com/how-howard-marks-thinks-about-risk-and-you-should-too/ ------- The latest installment of our new feature, Before the Bell, "Why Oil Prices May Continue to Decline" is here:  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x-MtU1GsZy8&list=PLwNgo56zE4RAbkqxgdj-8GOvjZTp9_Zlz&index=1 ------- Our previous show is here: "Greed And How To Lose 100% Of Your Money" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=acqg2G62gh4&list=PLVT8LcWPeAugpcGzM8hHyEP11lE87RYPe&index=1&t=2441s ------- Get more info & commentary:  https://realinvestmentadvice.com/newsletter/ -------- SUBSCRIBE to The Real Investment Show here: http://www.youtube.com/c/TheRealInvestmentShow -------- Visit our Site: https://www.realinvestmentadvice.com Contact Us: 1-855-RIA-PLAN -------- Subscribe to SimpleVisor: https://www.simplevisor.com/register-new -------- Connect with us on social: https://twitter.com/RealInvAdvice https://twitter.com/LanceRoberts https://www.facebook.com/RealInvestmentAdvice/ https://www.linkedin.com/in/realinvestmentadvice/ #WealthInequality #MiddleClassWealth #EconomicTrends #MoneyMindset #FinancialSecurity #UpperClass #MiddleClass #BeingRich #InvestmentMistakes #GreedAndLoss #FinancialRisk #AvoidInvestmentLoss #MoneyManagement #RecessionReady #PortfolioStrategy #InvestmentProtection #DiversifyNow #MarketPositioning #EarningsSeason #MarketSeasonality #AllTimeHighs #CPIReport #GDPReport #NFIBConfidenceIndex #Employment #MarketVolatility #MovingAverages #BuySignal #EarningsSeason #EarningsOutlooks #MoneyFlow #MarketBullishness #TechnicalAnalysis #FederalReserve #EconomicData #Recession #PortfolioRisk #MarketRally #MarketBreakout #MarketBullishness #MarketRisk #ManagingRisk #MoneyFlows #InterestRates #FedRateCut #BondYields #AssetSelection #ETF #MarketRally #MarketBounce #Overbought #MarketBullishness #InvestingAdvice #Money #Investing