The Forgotten 493 and smaller U.S. companies have been making a comeback since the U.S. elections, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. These smaller companies derive most of their income from within the U.S. and so are considered more likely to benefit from the American-first policies expected from the incoming government. Philip says that it’s the ideal time to start broadening your exposure by looking beyond the Magnificent Seven (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Tesla, Nvidia and Meta) and considering smaller U.S. companies.

Markets have been on a wild ride since the U.S. election results, says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management. The S&P 500 reached a new high, bitcoin mania is back, and credit spreads are reaching levels not seen in over a decade. However, Ashish believes that markets are too eager to price in the benefits while ignoring the risks. He explains the differences in market conditions between the beginning of Trump’s first and second terms, and why he recommends a more cautious approach.

IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson discusses the most important things to understand to make sense of the market’s reaction to the U.S. election results. He explains how the post-election period has historically been a favourable time for the stock market, and how tax cuts, trade tariffs and futures are likely to pan out. He also provides three key take-aways around equity performance, long bond yields and U.S./Canadian dollar valuations.

The end of the year is often a time when investors think about ways to minimize next year’s tax bill, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. In this special edition of the podcast, Philip and his guest, IG’s Aurèle Courcelles, Assistant Vice-President, Tax and Estate Planning, explain how to make tax-efficient charitable donations. Aurèle discusses how to reduce your tax bill with in-kind donations, life insurance donations and charitable foundations.

Canadian consumers have been in need of some serious interest rate relief, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson, and the Bank of Canada gave them just that this week, with a half-a-percentage-point rate cut. While this came as little surprise (markets had been pricing in this rate cut for a couple of weeks) it was still very welcome. Philip explains what this will mean for mortgage holders, the loonie and the economy, and what kind of cuts we might expect going forward.

If elected, Donald Trump is promising to impose higher tariffs on imports from China and other countries, says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management. Tariffs are designed to protect domestic industries, incentivize change in foreign countries and generate revenue for the U.S. federal government. However, as Ashish explains, there are several negative side effects to tariffs that could have a significant impact on the U.S. economy in 2025.  

In the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) next meeting, a larger-than-previously-expected rate cut of 0.5 percentage points is likely, says Pierre-Benoît Gauthier, Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management. Given that inflation has been tamed (it’s now down to 2% — or 0.5% if you cut out shelter costs) and the economy has stalled in the last couple of years, it makes sense that the BoC will surprise us with a larger rate cut. Pierre-Benoît explains what this will mean for investors.

In his review of the third quarter of the year, IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson delves into the reasons behind investors’ growing enthusiasm for higher-risk investments. He also gives an overview of the quarter’s highlights, including Canadian, European and (finally) U.S. central banks cutting interest rates (having won the battle with inflation); the shift to supporting weakening labour markets; the effects of Chinese stimulus measures; and the likely impact of the upcoming American elections.

China is finally getting serious about its economy and its stock market, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. After seeing Chinese stocks lose $6 trillion in value over the last three years, the People’s Bank of China has just announced some significant policies aimed at giving its ailing stock market a huge boost. Philip discusses whether these policies will be enough to make a difference and asks, if they do succeed, what will the consequences be for other world economies?

The longest inverted yield curve in history is finally coming to an end, says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management. An inverted yield curve is when long-term bonds have lower yields than short-term bonds (an unnatural situation, given that long-term bonds are riskier and therefore typically provide a higher return). Ashish explains what the end of an inverted yield curve has historically meant for the markets and whether it could signal an upcoming recession.

The U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) needs to tread carefully with any upcoming rate cuts, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. Many financial commentators are expecting a significant cut (of 50 basis points) because of weakening economic data and a more volatile market. However, Philip asks, will a large rate cut have the right effect? He argues that it’s not the Fed’s job to soothe the markets and that we should keep rate cut expectations real.

Berkshire Hathaway, the investment company run by Warren Buffet, recently hit the $1-trillion-value mark, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. Since 1987, Buffet’s company has returned an average of 16.7% annually, considerably more than the S&P 500’s average return of around 11% over the same period. Philip explains why the company often performs well when markets are down and why his team’s tactical tilts are mirroring those of Berkshire Hathaway; cutting stakes in equities and boosting the fixed income portion.

What drives one stock index to outperform another? This is the key question that IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson explores in considering whether recent gains on the S&P/TSX Composite are coming from the success of the companies that make up the index, or are the gains the output of something else altogether.

IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson reviews the most recent earnings season. This is when companies report their quarterly revenue (sales) and earnings (profits). Philip explains the difference between the two, how disappointing revenue can still result in increased earnings, which sectors were this season’s winners and losers, and what needs to happen for S&P 500 stocks to continue to increase in value.

It’s easy for market participants to get obsessed with tiny details, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. Right now, it’s an obsession with the U.S. Federal Reserve’s next move on cutting rates, which would require an acceptance that the economy is weakening. At the same time, however, markets expect earnings to grow by 10% over the next 12 months, suggesting a strong economy. Given this paradox, Philip says that now is the time to step back from the minute details and focus on what is currently crucial for investment portfolios.

On Monday, Japan’s Nikkei index saw its worst two-day drop ever, having reached an all-time high just three weeks ago, says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy. While several factors were in play, one in particular seemed to spark this extreme volatility: the carry trade. Ashish explains how a carry trade works, how it’s at risk from currency fluctuations and what you can do to help protect your portfolio from this kind of volatility.

The U.S. Federal Reserve has decided to stay put and follow market expectations by not cutting rates. However, by changing its statement, the Fed set expectations for a September cut, saying that job gains have moderated and that inflation was now only “somewhat elevated.” Ashish Utarid, IG Wealth Management’s Assistant Vice-President of Investment Strategy, asks, “Will the Fed’s eventual rate cut come too late?”

Having just announced a second interest rate cut that quickly followed the first, what’s next for the Bank of Canada? asks IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. The bank has clearly switched its priorities from fighting inflation (a battle it has surely won) to supporting the Canadian economy. Philip discusses the probable rate cuts ahead, the likely timing for the U.S. Federal Reserve to start following Canada’s lead, and what this will all mean to consumers and the economy.

Some commentators are worried about a market recovery where most gains are coming from a small percentage of companies, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. There is a fear that many of these large companies are very expensive, with overly high expectations. However, Philip explains that in this weird bull market — where most companies have underperformed so far — if the big companies start seeing a correction, another sector will be ready to step in to take its place.

Labour has been traded for food, shelter and clothing for thousands of years, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. It’s the currency that keeps the world spinning and plays an important role in our understanding of the economic landscape. Philip explains why the most recent labour statistics raised some eyebrows and what they mean for the economy and your investments.

The economy can be similar to those moments in-between old and new seasons, says Ashish Utarid, AVP, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management. Similar to how the transition from spring to summer can bring hot days followed by cooler periods, the economy can also show signs of this dual nature, with some sectors thriving far more than others. Ashish says that these moments can deliver hidden gems, and it’s crucial to position your portfolio to benefit from the unique opportunities available.  

Inflation increased slightly in May, to 2.9%. Not only is this disappointing, but it also suggests that it will be a long road ahead to getting inflation down to 2%, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. He explains why bonds are not the answer to counteracting the effects of inflation, and how, historically, equities have been effective in growing your money’s value when inflation is high.

While U.S. equities are flirting with all-time highs, there is some concern that they may be hitting a peak, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. Has the market gone too far, too fast? Philip outlines the telltale signs to watch out for that typically signal when a bull market is running out of steam. These include the yield curve, manufacturing activity, employment levels and stock price value. He also answers the question: is it better to sell early or late when the market is peaking?

Macroeconomic data is mixed across the board, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. Consumer spending is inconsistent, and unemployment is rising, yet company earnings are still growing. Philip discusses the kinds of companies and sectors that are likely to do well in this environment and makes suggestions for how you can help make sure your portfolio is well-positioned for what’s in store.

This week, the Bank of Canada finally announced a cut in its key interest rate (by a quarter of a percentage point) to 4.75%. IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson says that, while this is a good start, it will take more than one small rate cut to make any significant difference to the economy. He explores what still needs to be done, what we can expect in the coming months and what this will mean for the loonie.

Value strategies are key to active investment management, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. They require analyzing a company’s financial information, assessing future growth potential and coming up with a value based on its capitalization rate (its net operating income divided by its current market value). However, passive investing, in the form of ETFs, simply buys company shares based on the company’s value relative to the overall market. Philip explains how this is causing overvalued companies to become even more overvalued.

Copper has an intriguing ability to predict the economy’s health, says IG Wealth Management’s Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy. Thanks to its widespread use in many manufacturing activities, an increase in demand for copper often signals a growing economy. Conversely, a slowing economy usually leads to lower copper prices. Ashish explains the reasons behind copper’s recent 20% growth, and what that means for the economy in general.

With taxes now filed and RRSP contributions made, May is the ideal time to revisit and refresh your financial plan, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. In this special edition of the podcast, Philip and his special guest, IG’s Aurèle Courcelles, Assistant Vice-President, Tax and Estate Planning, discuss what investors should be focusing on right now. They talk about the possible implications of the recent budget’s capital gains tax, how to improve your estate planning and ways to modify your portfolio and its asset allocation, given the current market opportunities.

The markets are often affected by seasonal factors that are understandable and predictable, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. Retail activity is always strong in December, and there’s typically far more travel over the summer months. A similarly predictable but less understood market phenomenon, however, is the way that U.S. equity markets perform in the summer leading up to a U.S. presidential election. Philip explains why you might not want to sell during these months.

Both Wall Street and the White House are keen to see interest rate cuts this year, at the very least before the November election, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. Recent weak consumer spending might force the U.S. Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) hand, leading to rate cuts sooner rather than later. However, as Philip explains, while earlier rate cuts could be good news for the markets, they could bring about higher inflation. And is the Fed willing to risk that?

Contrarian indicators can often play a crucial role in forecasting market trends, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. Last year, during peak economic pessimism, markets anticipated up to six interest rate cuts for this year, and those forecasts bolstered the markets. Now that we’re in a period of greater economic optimism, will that have a negative impact on the markets?

This summer, the price of crude oil could reach its highest level in almost two years, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. While this could be good for Canadian equities (which typically benefit from rising oil prices), it could have a negative effect on the markets in general. Philip explains how expensive oil drives up inflation, which could delay central bank interest rate cuts, which in turn could cause a drop in bond and equity markets.

In the first quarter of 2024 alone, the S&P 500 Index (containing the biggest U.S. companies) had 24 all-time highs. While some economic commentators believe that this rally is due a correction, simply because of the pace of its growth, IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson says don’t believe the hype. While volatility may pop up again, history and current economic data suggest that this rally still has legs.

In the first quarter of the year the economic landscape in Canada wasn't particularly stirring, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. He says, however, that equity markets pretty much everywhere are booming. This week Philip takes a closer look and highlights market action over the past three months.

Strong language and buzzwords can have a significant impact on Wall Street, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. Just two or three impactful words per 1,000 in earnings calls can boost stock volume by almost 7%, while using more cautious language typically results in just a 2.3% uptick. However, Philip wonders, can tracking these buzzwords give us clues into future trends?

Canada faces a wall of economic disparities that have widened over time when compared to the United States, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. In 1981, per capita GDP in Canada was 91% of what it was in the U.S. Last year, it was down to 73%. Philip says one step towards bridging that gap is to lower interest rates: lower inflation has given the Bank of Canada some breathing room on the path toward those interest rate cuts.   

Maintaining the right balance in an investment portfolio is very much like adding the right ingredients to a batch of cookies, says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management. It’s essential to maintain the right allocations, and too much of a good thing can spoil the whole batch. Ashish provides an update on where the opportunities lie in U.S., Canadian, international and emerging market equities, and why it’s essential to avoid the temptation to go all-in on the current big hitters.

Gold reached an all-time high this week, making it more valuable than ever says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy. This week he asks if that makes gold a good investment choice. He dives into what makes it so valuable and considers the future for this treasured metal.

lG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson reviews Canada’s fourth quarter economic growth and says it’s a modest surprise to the upside. He looks at the flat domestic GDP growth and says the economy has stalled out, and questions when the Bank of Canada might react and start cutting its overnight interest rates.

Are we witnessing a new tech bubble, asks IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. Stock prices for the Magnificent Seven (Amazon, Google, Apple, Meta, Tesla, Microsoft and Nvidia) are already up by 10% for the year. However, unlike the tech bubble of the 2000s, when stock prices soared on hopes and dreams, this time it’s rooted in substantial profits. Philip explains why you should beware of being caught up in the euphoria and instead be cautious about going all-in on tech stocks

Milestones are important symbols of progress and achievement, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. With the S&P 500 recently having broken through the 5,000 mark, Philip takes us through the S&P 500’s other notable landmarks since it broke 1,000 points in 1998, describing the index as being like a champion marathon runner who stops for coffee breaks every few miles, just to mess with us. 

This Sunday marks the pinnacle of the NFL season as the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers face each other in the Super Bowl, says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management. He says, as both football teams get ready to go head-to-head, his team was curious about the numbers surrounding the Super Bowl and so decided to break down the surprising stats on jersey superstitions, ad spends and betting trends, and answer the question: is there a stock market ripple effect?

The Bank of Canada’s (BoC) recent decision to hold its overnight interest rate firm came as no surprise, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. However, given that rate hikes have succeeded in lowering inflation, and that increased mortgage costs are now causing inflation to be higher, the time has come to start lowering interest rates. Philip reveals how he anticipates inflation to trend over the next six months and when he expects the BoC to start lowering interest rates.

The oil market is a microcosm of the global economy. It's not just a commodity; it's a barometer for economic health, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. He says by understanding oil, we gain a window into the economic forces shaping our world – including future inflation trends, global demand and geopolitical risks.

The Red Sea is a crucial artery for around 15% of global maritime trade, says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management. He says the attacks by the Houthi movement on commercial and navigational ships has already detoured 2,000 vessels and led to significant shipping delays. He examines whether this is a bump in the road or if it could have a lasting impact on the markets.

December’s big increase in U.S. jobs initially brought about a negative reaction from the markets, says IG Wealth Management’s Chief Investment Strategist, Philip Petursson. After all, a hot jobs report means a strong economy and therefore less pressure on the U.S. Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. However, once details emerged beyond the headline numbers (meaning weaker data than initially thought), the markets responded positively. Philip explains that, when it comes to jobs data and the markets, the devil is in the details.

We ended 2023 with plenty to encourage investors, says Ashish Utarid, Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy at IG Wealth Management: a robust U.S. consumer, inflation under control and a pause in interest rate hikes (with expectations for rate cuts in the new year). This optimism brought about strong gains for equities and bonds at the end of last year. However, Ashish warns, we may see some volatility in early 2024, given that much of those price increases were due to what was expected to happen in the new year, rather than what had already happened.

Despite some skeptics still predicting a recession in the U.S., IG Wealth Management’s Assistant Vice-President, Investment Strategy, Ashish Utarid believes that we’re in for a soft landing. He outlines the reasons why he’s confident that the new year will bring rewards for investors, including key economic indicators, such as manufacturing, exports, housing and earnings all heading in the right direction, and recent central bank statements pointing towards interest rate cuts in 2024.