Born to Poll (with J. Ann Selzer)
On this week’s episode of Stay Tuned, "Born to Poll," host Preet Bharara answers your questions about:
-- Former Trump National Security Advisor Michael Flynn's move to withdraw his guilty plea
-- House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's announcement naming the House Impeachment Managers
-- The documents provided to the House Intelligence Committee by Rudy Giuliani's associate, Lev Parnas
The guest is J. Ann Selzer, the president and founder of polling firm Selzer & Company. She is one of the country's most widely-respected pollsters and has been overseeing the Des Moines Register Iowa poll almost every year since the 1980s.
REFERENCES & SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIALS
THE Q&A
MICHAEL FLYNN
Mr. Flynn’s Motion to Withdraw Plea of Guilty And Unopposed Motion for Continuance, 1/14/20
“Allocution,” Legal Information Institute
Federal Rules of Criminal Procedure, Rule 11. Pleas, Legal Information Institute
“Michael Flynn moves to withdraw guilty plea, claiming government ‘vindictiveness,’” Washington Post, 1/14/20
IMPEACHMENT
Pelosi Names Impeachment Managers, Speaker of the House, 1/15/20
“Who are the impeachment managers prosecuting the case against Trump in the Senate trial?” Washington Post, 1/15/20
Documents provided by Lev Parnas to House investigators
“Ukraine prosecutor offered information related to Biden in exchange for ambassador’s ouster, newly released materials show,” Washington Post, 1/14/20
“Meet the Trump Donor Who Allegedly Stalked America’s Ambassador in Ukraine,” Daily Beast, 1/14/20
THE INTERVIEW
Elizabeth Winkler, “The Pollster Who Figured Out Iowa’s Quirky Caucuses,” Wall Street Journal, 1/3/2020
Brianne Pfannenstiel, “Bernie Sanders Leads the Iowa Poll for the First Time, Weeks Before the Iowa Caucuses,” Des Moines Register, 1/10/2020
Iowa Poll Methodology, Selzer & Company,1/10/2020
Brianne Pfannenstiel, “Iowa Poll: Pete Buttigieg Rockets to the Top of the 2020 Field as a Clear Front-Runner,” Des Moines Register, 11/16/2019
Iowa Poll Methodology, Selzer & Company, 11/16/2019
Geoffrey Skelley and Nathaniel Rakich, “What the Heck is Going on With Tom Steyer’s Poll Numbers?” FiveThirtyEight, 1/13/2020
Clare Malone, “Ann Selzer is the Best Pollster in Politics,” FiveThirtyEight, 1/27/2016
Nate Silver, “Ann Selzer on Youth & Minority Turnout,” FiveThirtyEight, 9/26/2008
Steven Shepard, “Ann Selzer’s Secret Sauce,” POLITICO, 12/12/2015
Jonathan Allen and Amie Parmes, Shattered: Inside Hillary Clinton’s Doomed Campaign, Penguin Random House, 2017
J. Ann Selzer, Tweet about Iowa Poll Timing, Twitter, 1/2/2020
J. Ann Selzer, “How Cruz and Sanders Defied the Iowa Polls, Including Our Own,” Bloomberg, 2/2/2016
“Kerry Comes Back to Win Dramatic Caucuses,” CNN, 1/20/2004
Jeff Zeleny and Jim Rutenberg, “Last-Minute Scramble as Caucus Night Nears,” New York Times, 12/31/2011
Liz Halloran, “Is Huntsman Wrong to Skip Iowa?” NPR, 6/21/2011
“For Gauging Goofiness, Majority Back Iowa Poll,” New York Times, 1/29/1990
THE BUTTON
Clip of Doug Collins on Fox, 1/8/20
“Preet Bharara to Georgia congressman: You've hit a shocking new low,” CNN, 1/09/20
Preet’s first, second, and third tweet about Rep. Doug Collins, 1/8/20
Doug Collins’ twitter apology, 1/10/20
As always, tweet your questions to @PreetBharara with hashtag #askpreet, email us at [email protected], or call 669-247-7338 to leave a voicemail. Sign up to receive the CAFE Brief, a weekly newsletter featuring analysis of politically charged legal news, and updates from Preet.
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