The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note spiked and equity indexes sagged Thursday, as St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard said the Federal Reserve still has a lot of work to do before it brings inflation under control. That follows San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly’s remark on Wednesday that a pause in rate hikes was “off the table.” Meanwhile, the United Nations has brokered a deal that will get Ukrainian grain transiting the Black Sea safely, easing pressure on global food prices, and China’s COVID policy remains as opaque as ever. Andreas Steno Larsen welcomes Tony Greer, the founder of TG Macro and the editor of the Morning Navigator newsletter, to interpret recent Fedspeak and to talk about what’s happening in commodities markets. We also hear from Juliette Declercq about how the Federal Reserve can navigate a soft landing and why she’s focused on U.S. equities. Watch the full conversation between Juliette Declercq and Raoul Pal here: https://rvtv.io/3AoHkSt. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. retail sales were up more than expected in October, posting the biggest month-over-month gain since February, but equity indexes struggled after Target posted disappointing third-quarter results and warned of a soft fourth quarter too. The yield on the 10-year Treasury yield declined, though the two-year/10-year curve inversion deepened on expectations the Federal Reserve will maintain a hawkish monetary course. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tool currently shows 4.4% fourth-quarter growth. Marc Chandler, the managing director of Bannockburn Global Forex would take issue with that forecast: “The US economy is expected to struggle under the weight of past monetary tightening,” he notes, “and what we do not appreciate is the extent of fiscal tightening.” Marc joins Maggie Lake to talk about the big picture, how it’s reflected in currency pairs and global yields, what we should expect from the Federal Reserve, and why we should be skeptical of China. We also hear from Roger Hirst about the broader implications of a dollar pull-back. Watch the full Insider Talks episode featuring Roger Hirst here: rvtv.io/3AiGXJi. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Softer-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index data for October reinforced the hope that inflationary pressures are finally beginning to ease and fired a strong open for equities Tuesday morning. “Be patient,” advises Dale Pinkert, “and wait for pullbacks.” Pinkert, the head of trader development at TradeGateHub, joins Maggie Lake to talk about whether the trend has changed for the U.S. dollar and key levels to watch for the euro, precious metals, and soft commodities. We also hear from Dave Floyd of Aspen Trading Group about the technical indicators that guide his trading day. Watch the full conversation between Dave Floyd and James Helliwell here: rvtv.io/3AiGXJi. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equity indexes drifted into mildly positive territory two hours shy of Monday’s close, continuing to digest October’s Consumer Price Index data, relatively dovish words from Federal Reserve insiders, and the still-unraveling FTX situation. With inflation seeming to ebb as a global concern, President Joe Biden is in Bali for his first face-to-face meeting with President Xi Jinping. “I continue to maintain that China is a significant risk for global investors,” notes Komal Sri-Kumar. “That goes for both investors in that country as well as for global markets in general.” The founder and president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies joins Weston Nakamura to talk about consequences of too-rapid a transition from overly accommodative to overly restrictive monetary policy and what comes next for the economy. We also hear from performance coach Denise Shull of The Rethink Group about how to manage emotion and maximize effective decision-making in high-stress situations. Watch the full conversation between Denise Shull and Maggie Lake here: https://rvtv.io/3E4p2XT. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Justin Huhn, the founder of Uranium Insider, joins Harry Melandri for a compelling conversation about the resurgence of nuclear as a baseload power option and rising demand for uranium in the latest episode of The Next Big Trade. Never miss an episode of Next Big Trade - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Anthony Scaramucci has worked in two of the most pressure-driven environments in America – investment banking at Goldman Sachs and the communications shop in the White House during the Trump administration. And he’s seen and experienced all sorts of success and failure. In this episode of My Life in Four Trades, the founder and co-managing partner of SkyBridge Capital and chairman of the SALT Conference shares with Maggie Lake how his humble upbringing shaped his career and what it taught him about the value of authenticity. **NOTE - This interview was recorded on October 10th, 2022** Never miss an episode of My Life in 4 Trades - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

It appears that inflation finally eased last month, as the rate of underlying price increases excluding energy and food slowed from a 40-year high. And U.S. stocks are staging their biggest rally since 2020. Weston Nakamura welcomes Andreas Steno Larsen at the top of today’s Daily Briefing to break down October Consumer Price Index data and provide some context for today’s “melt-up.” Then, Weston and CrossBorder Capital CEO Michael Howell assess the broader investing climate, including the key issue driving price action: liquidity. “The next few months will be challenging,” Howell wrote in his most recent note to clients, “as recession hits earnings and central banks raise rates further.” Michael and Ash Bennington discuss “Everything You Need To Know About Liquidity” here: rvtv.io/3Eo5wah. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

“We live in a world where the price of every key asset in the world is in U.S. dollars,” notes Darius Dale at the top of a recent tweet-thread explaining specifically what’s happening with crippled crypto exchange FTX and generally what happens during liquidity crunches. Meanwhile, Chinese economic data continue to deteriorate, despite low interest rates and high savings rates. Real Vision Global Markets Editor Weston Nakamura welcomes Darius, the founder and CEO of 42 Macro, to talk about the contagion potential of the FTX debacle, China’s liquidity trap, the global macro environment, and actionable signals on today’s Daily Briefing. We also share a clip from Jim Bianco’s appearance on today’s Real Vision Crypto Daily Briefing about the still-developing FTX story, with an emphasis on trust and centralization versus decentralization. Check out today’s Crypto Daily Briefing here: https://rvtv.io/3thr8yt. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equity indexes surged early on Election Day but sagged heading into the last two hours of trading, rising perhaps in anticipation of a market-friendly divided government in Washington D.C. Gold rallied as well, a sign that investors may have some concerns about Republican promises to hold the line against future debt-ceiling increases without cuts to entitlement programs. And then there’s the fact that the second-largest crypto exchange in the world teetered on the edge of collapse before being rescued by its main competitor – is this a sign that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s aims are coming true? Andreas Steno Larsen welcomes Jared Dillian, the editor of the Daily Dirtnap, to sort out today’s price action. And Ash Bennington joins the conversation for an update on Binance’s acquisition of FTX. Be sure to watch today’s Real Vision Crypto Daily Briefing here: https://rvtv.io/ftxbinance. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. equity indexes held modest gains at midday Monday, as investors prepare for midterm elections with particularly global potential consequences. Andreas Sten Larsen goes around the world with Jacob Shapiro, the founder and chief strategist at Perch Perspectives, for briefings on the major geopolitical issues and their impact on financial markets, including Europe’s energy crisis, China’s reopening, and America’s elections. We also hear from Alexander Stahel, the founder and chief investment officer of Burggraben Holding AG, about the multiple challenges that will combine to extend Europe’s energy crisis into and beyond 2023. Watch the full conversation featuring Alexander Stahel and Andreas Steno Larsen here: https://rvtv.io/3WzREk0. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Luke Gromen, the founder and president of Forest for the Trees, is a highly respected voice in the global macroeconomic research community. Luke joins Harry Melandri to explain why he’s long energy. He also talks about major shifts in global trade and volatility in the sovereign debt market on another captivating episode of The Next Big Trade. Never miss an episode of Next Big Trade - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Chris Sullivan, a portfolio manager of Hyperion Decimus, transitioned from traditional finance to crypto – and he says it’s the best move of his career. A lot of that has to do with crypto’s freek-market system, where bailouts are not an option. Chris explains how that cutthroat culture has attracted – and continues to attract – some of the best minds in the world. Never miss an episode of Next Big Trade - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

U.S. stocks opened higher but drifted lower through the trading day, digesting an October nonfarm payrolls report that showed a still-strong labor market in the aftermath of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s forceful rejection of “pivot” talk earlier this week and ahead of crucial midterm elections next week. Traders are now pricing in a 5.25% peak policy rate via the June 2023 swap contract. “I don’t think this changes anything in the Fed’s calculation,” noted Peter Boockvar in response to the jobs report, “but I do believe the trend in the unemployment rate is now going higher and will be 4%-plus soon.” Boockvar, the chief investment officer of Bleakly Advisory Group, joins Andreas Steno Larsen for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about when the Fed might finally change, or at least pause, its current policy path and the implications of Tuesday’s voting in the U.S. We also hear from Alexander Stahel about why U.S. immunity to the global energy crisis is an illusion. Watch the full conversation featuring Alexander Stahel and Andreas Steno Larsen here: https://rvtv.io/3WzREk0. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve announced a fourth consecutive 75-basis-point rate hike, and Chair Jerome Powell aggressively pushed back against any thoughts of a “pivot.” Today, the Bank of England followed the Fed with its own 75-basis-point rate hike, even as it warned what would be the country’s longest recession ever has already started and will continue through 2023 and into 2024. The dollar is strengthening against the pound again, though the prospect of a “soft landing” stateside seems to be growing more and more remote. “The world is confronted with many new threats,” writes Vincent Deluard in his most recent newsletter, “and the next twelve months feel abnormally uncertain.” Deluard, the Director of Global Macro Strategy at Stone X, joins Ash Bennington for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about recent moves by central banks, his 2023 outlook, and his “Holy Trinity” picks for this market. We also hear from Andreas Steno Larsen about the natural gas supply situation in Europe this heating season and, more importantly, next winter. Watch the complete conversation between Andreas Steno Larsen and Maggie Lake here: https://rvtv.io/3DCRpvQ. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Federal Open Market Committee added a couple of interesting phrases to its policy statement announcing a fourth consecutive 75-basis-point interest-rate increase, noting that it will take into account time lags and the impact of cumulative tightening during future meetings. In his post-FOMC-meeting press conference, Fed Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the centrality of price stability to sustained economic growth, acknowledged data indicating the U.S. economy is slowing, and noted the continuing strength of a still “out-of-balance” labor market. George Goncalves, the head of U.S. macro strategy at MUFG, joins Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about whether the FOMC statement was neutral, hawkish, or dovish, overall liquidity heading into the end of the year, and why we need to keep an eye on overseas markets. We also hear from Jesse Felder, the author of The Felder Report, about why we face a period of elevated inflation and what investments will work in such an environment. Watch the full interview between Jesse Felder and Maggie Lake here: https://www.realvision.com/shows/make-or-break-inflation/videos/there-wont-be-a-crash-but-drpj?tab=details. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Chinese stocks and the yuan rallied on unconfirmed reports authorities have formed a committee to reconsider China’s “COVID zero” restrictions on economic activity. There was no follow-through in the U.S., though, as investors remain focused on Wednesday and the Federal Open Market Committee’s monetary policy decision. Tony Greer, the founder of TG Macro and the editor of the Morning Navigator, joins Andreas Steno Larsen for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about what impact a reopening of the Chinese economy China will have on global commodity markets and how to position for potential upside. We also hear from Jesse Felder, author of The Felder Report, about how changing investment patterns will impact the technology and energy sectors. Watch the full interview between Jesse Felder and Maggie Lake here: https://www.realvision.com/shows/make-or-break-inflation/videos/there-wont-be-a-crash-but-drpj?tab=details.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

“This should be fun,” tweeted Doomberg amid reports President Joe Biden will propose a “windfall tax” on profits of oil and gas producers, as political leaders continue to pose against the global energy problem. Andreas Steno Larsen welcomes the congenitally acerbic and always insightful Green Chicken for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about realistic solutions to a situation that only seems to be growing worse by the day – with inflation yet to peak and still more resource-scarcity promised by Russia’s withdrawal from the Black Sea Grain Initiative. We also hear from White Tundra Investments CEO Shubham Garg, who shares his reasoning for exponential growth in global oil demand. Watch Shubham Garg’s complete presentation here: https://www.realvision.com/shows/3-ideas/videos/where-to-pick-in-canadas-energy-patch-LwzQ?tab=details.  THIS IS THE FINAL DAY OF REAL VISION’S “CRASH CAMPAIGN” DISCOUNTS! Head over to www.realvision.com/crashpricing to subscribe. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Which economic indicator is the most reliable for confirming we’re in a crisis? According to Verdad Capital founder and portfolio manager Dan Rasmussen, it’s high-yield spreads. Identifying the key relationships across the globe isn’t hard. Formulating an approach that surfaces alpha when spreads spike is where it gets difficult. Per Rasmussen, the best way to act in such environments is through small-value equities. Rasmussen explains why it makes sense and how to time the trade in a captivating episode of The Next Big Trade. Never miss an episode of Next Big Trade - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Born into a family of cotton traders, Alexander Stahel is a natural when it comes to commodities. Alexander grew up in Switzerland before he migrated to the U.K. to begin an investment banking career. Now the chief investment officer at Burggraben Holding, the Zug, Switzerland-based firm he founded, he’s focused on finding great value in a few public and private companies. In this episode of My Life in Four Trades, Alexander explains why – just like golf – trading is not a “perfect” game. He also talks about how to avoid blind spots and shares his forecast for the energy space. Never miss an episode of My Life in 4 Trades - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Stocks surged into the weekend, with all three major U.S. equity indexes up more than 2% two hours ahead of Friday’s close. “The market isn't rallying on hopes of a pivot,” tweeted Michael Gayed. “It's rallying on bond-market stabilization.” Michael, the publisher of The Lead-Lag Report, joins Andreas Steno Larsen for today’s Daily Briefing to elaborate on his contrarian “melt-up” thesis and to talk about sentiment and other technical factors such as breadth and seasonality. “I don’t believe the end of the world is here,” Michael added. “This year, the market has conditioned people to think it will do nothing but go lower.” We also share a preview of “the most important interview in the history of Real Vision,” as Raoul Pal put it, featuring Emad Mostaque and his vision of artificial intelligence of, by, and for the people. Watch the full conversation between Emad Mostaque and Raoul Pal here: https://rvtv.io/3SGhTSU.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The European Central Bank announced a second 75-basis-point interest-rate increase in as many months on Thursday, meeting economists’ expectations with inflation riding at a record-high 9.9%. The euro weakened against the dollar, even as Treasury yields softened, as investor concern about future growth seems to be intensifying. Meanwhile, the U.S. economy expanded at an annualized pace of 2.6% during the third quarter. Global Markets Editor Weston Nakamura joins Maggie Lake live in Real Vision’s New York studio for a special edition of the Daily Briefing to talk about the new “widow-maker” trade and the dilemma central bankers face, illustrated by the Bank of Japan’s money-printing into the Ministry of Finance’s yen-buying. Weston discusses in greater depth the emerging conflicts between governments and their central banks here: https://rvtv.io/3DhzACD. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

More central banks are signaling turns away from tightening as concerns about growth have begun to overwhelm fears of inflation, with the Bank of Canada cutting its policy rate by a smaller-than-expected 50 basis points today. It’s notable that the Canadian dollar rallied against the U.S. dollar. On the fiscal front, Japan has prepared a 67.1 trillion yen stimulus package. Oh, and Google’s and Microsoft’s earnings reports are dragging the Nasdaq Composite toward a 2% loss. When he last visited the Daily Briefing, Darius Dale pointed out that there’s no recession until we see an inversion of the three-month/10-year yield curve – well, it was very small, but that did happen yesterday. So, what now? Darius, the founder and CEO of 42 Macro, joins Andreas Steno Larsen to talk about all that and more. We also hear from Lee Robinson about Jerome Powell’s sensitivity to Paul Volcker’s record on fighting inflation. Watch the full conversation featuring Lee Robinson and Nick Lawson here: https://rvtv.io/3FifJWE. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

“Markets are rallying right now based on a massive overshoot in technicals and sentiment,” explained Mark Ritchie II in a note today. “The bears overplayed their hand, and the bulls are trying to push back.” Ritchie II, a managing partner at RTM Capital, joins Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about the factors driving this equity rally, whether it’s durable, what the Federal Reserve will do from here. “The market is trying to look through to the end of the Fed tightening cycle,” Ritchie II added, “and that’s the $64 million question.” We also hear from Lee Robinson about the emergence of “so many interesting distressed ideas” amid ongoing market turmoil. Watch the full conversation featuring Lee Robinson and Nick Lawson here: https://rvtv.io/3FifJWE.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

President Xi Jinping strengthened his hold on power and took definitive steps to reverse a half-century of open relations with the West at last weekend’s National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, triggering a steep sell-off of U.S.-listed Chinese stocks. The major equity indexes were all well in the green through midday – “Powder dry kind of day… yields up, VIX up, dollar steady – action sloppy,” is how Michele “Mish” Schneider, the Director of Trading Research and Education at MarketGauge.com, described it on Twitter. Maggie Lake welcomes Mish for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about what she’s looking at as earnings season kicks into high gear, inflation, commodities, and the dollar. We also hear from Victor Shih on President Xi Jinping’s motivation for closing China. Watch the complete conversation between Victor Shih and Maggie Lake here:https://rvtv.io/3gFAdOR. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In this episode of My Life in Four Trades, Jeff Dorman, a co-founder and the chief investment officer of Arca, gets personal with Maggie Lake. Jeff explains why he quit traditional finance, shares the lessons he had to learn and unlearn after years of working on Wall Street, and talks about how he’s become a calculated risk-taker. After trading at leading TradFi firms such as Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, and Citadel, Jeff moved to Los Angeles for a new blockchain-powered career and to find a work-life balance. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The market is all set for a 75-basis-point rate-hike in November, though San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly stoked an equity rally on Friday when she said the central bank should try to avoid an “unforced downturn” by over-tightening. The U.S. dollar softened against major currency pairs, including the Japanese yen in spectacular fashion, and Treasury yields also declined. Saudi Arabia and China are forging new ties over crude oil, as the geopolitical-macroeconomic landscape continues to shift. Ash Bennington welcomes Warren Pies, the founder of 3Fourteen Research, to talk about what the Fed will look at as it determines policy from here, the key factors driving inflation right now, and the state of the global energy market. We also hear from Victor Shih about China’s priorities for the next five years and its changing position in the global economy. Be sure to tune in on Monday, October 24th to watch the conversation between Victor Shih and Maggie Lake. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note surged to a fresh cycle high of 4.18% on Thursday, as stocks struggled to hold gains amid more hawkish talk from Federal Reserve officials about inflation. Across the pond, the British pound has returned to pre-mini-budget level, the gilt market has calmed, and Liz Truss has resigned as the shortest-serving Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in history. And Elon Musk might someday own Twitter, but his electric car business posted weak earnings. Tom Thornton, the founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, joins Ash Bennington for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about how he’s approaching the markets these days, the bullish pattern developing in crude oil, and Tesla’s disappointing quarter. We also hear from Christopher Dembik about the U.K.’s devolution into an emerging market. Watch Ash Bennington’s full interview with Christopher Dembik here: https://rvtv.io/3CINMEc. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The yield on the two-year U.S. Treasury note climbed to its highest level since 2007 on Wednesday, as investors priced in the probability that the Federal Reserve will maintain a hawkish policy stancy until there are meaningful signs of an easing in core inflation. The impact of higher interest rates is already being felt in key areas of the economy, such as the U.S. home mortgage market, where applications for both new purchases and refinancing have plummeted and builder sentiment has sagged to 25-year lows. Inflation in the U.K., meanwhile, reached its own 40-year peak, up 10.1% from a year ago. “King Dollar ... Reign of Terror!!” is the headline on Greg Weldon’s latest market commentary, and he has a point. Weldon, the CEO of Weldon Financial, joins Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about the effects of a strong U.S. dollar on markets. We also hear from David Rosenberg about the down-the-line impact of the Fed’s massive liquidity withdrawal and what we could be facing come 2023. Watch the full conversation between David Rosenberg and Maggie Lake here: https://www.realvision.com/shows/the-essential-conversation/videos/forewarned-is-forearmed-reflecting-on-black-monday-0aOg?tab=details. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

All three major U.S. equity indexes were up more than 1% through midday Tuesday, as energy stocks hit a 52-week high relative to crude oil futures. That’s a data point Maggie Lake is sure to raise with Tony Greer, the founder of TG Macro, during today’s Daily Briefing, with reports that President Joe Biden is considering further sales from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to offset critical supply shortages. Meanwhile, the Bank of England denied a Financial Times report that the central bank would delay its program of gilt sales, as fragmentation of monetary policy in response to economic pressures continues to roil bond and forex markets. Maggie and Tony will also talk about commodities, positioning, and the broader market trend. We also hear from Raoul Pal and Julian Brigden on the state of the real estate market. Pro Macro subscribers can watch the complete Insider Talks featuring Raoul and Julian here: https://www.realvision.com/shows/insider-talks/videos/macro-pro-insider-talks-october-2022-live-mXN3?tab=details. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

“The U.S. Dollar Index is on the verge of actually looking weaker,” noted Dave Floyd around midday today. “Key levels are 112.50 and 112.21. A close below here and we’re looking at 109.64.” Is the prospect of a softer dollar sufficient to explain a near-4% rally for the Nasdaq Composite, a 3% gain for the S&P 500, and a 2% rally for the Dow Jones Industrial Average? Dave, the founder of Aspen Trading, joins Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about today’s rally and what’s driving it, how he traded it, and using tools such as position-sizing to manage risk in a volatile market. We also hear from Brent Johnson about his “dollar milkshake” theory. Watch the full conversation featuring Brent Johnson and Ash Bennington here: https://rvtv.io/3gfDdkq. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Warren Mosler, an American economist and entrepreneur, is perhaps the leading proponent of Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). But what is MMT? And how can it help us understand what’s happening at a macro level right now? Mosler explains it all to Harry Melandri on another riveting episode of The Next Big Trade. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

There’s nothing ordinary about Bill Browder’s life. After earning an MBA from the Stanford Graduate School of Business in 1989, he moved to Russia with the intention of becoming the “biggest capitalist in Eastern Europe.” Bill’s dream manifested with the opening of the Hermitage Fund, which became the best-performing hedge fund in the world. In this captivating episode of My Life in Four Trades, the venture capitalist turned political activist joins Maggie Lake to share the distinct highlights and harrowing downsides to his success: taking on and taking down business oligarchs of the old Soviet republics, the tragic death of his lawyer Sergei Magnitsky, and his emergence as Vladimir Putin’s No. 1 enemy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The situation in the U.K. is going from bad to worse, with Prime Minister Liz Truss now in danger of losing her own job after firing her finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng and short-circuiting her own economic package mere weeks into her tenure. U.S. equities drifted lower Friday in the aftermath of Thursday’s historic reversal, as retail sales for September stagnated due to the effects of inflation. But the issue is the U.K. What the heck is going on? And is it merely the first sign of a major global economic crisis? Jim Bianco, the founder and president of Bianco Research, joins Ash Bennington to talk about the wild price action in U.S. equities, the sacking of the Chancellor of the Exchequer, and, as we head into the weekend, what to expect from traditional markets on Monday. And be sure to check out Real Vision’s newest series, The Collectors where we’ll emphasize the fun and the adventure of deploying your hard-earned money! You can watch the first episode here: https://rvtv.io/3ToL7Gu. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Real Vision Co-Founder & CEO, Raoul Pal, answers the internets questions and covers everything from macro & crypto to wine, scuba diving, food and art! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Within three hours today, S&P 500 futures swung from a 3.9% decline to a 3.9% rally. “It's pretty incredible,” tweeted Jared Dillian shortly after noon, “to watch people get fooled by the market over and over again. It's not hard – when there's no one left to sell, they cover.” Weston Nakamura has a more global perspective on the reversal, noting that the U.K. and the pound as well as Japan and the yen still linger as potential crisis points. Jared raised an interesting point in today’s edition of The Daily Dirtnap: that we’re in “a bubble of bearish sentiment.” Weston and Jared join Maggie Lake to talk about the significance of today’s price action. The violent reversal was surely concerning, hardly the sign of a healthy market. Jared, Weston, and Maggie unpack the reaction to the most recent U.S. inflation data and what it means for central bankers and global financial markets. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Producer Price Index for September came in hotter than expected, as investors brace for the Thursday morning release of Consumer Price Index data. Minutes to the most recent meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee reveal a central bank as determined as ever to “stay the course” toward “restrictive rates in the near term.” With cracks in the global financial system getting bigger by the day, Maggie Lake welcomes Cem Karsan, the founder of Aegea Capital Management, to talk about the significance of the monetary regime change and to answer one simple question: How do we play this volatility? We also hear from ZipRecruiter.com Chief Economist Julia Pollak about the enduring strength of the U.S. labor market. Watch the full conversion between Julia Pollak and Maggie Lake here: https://rvtv.io/3MoBEwJ. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Bank of England intervened in the U.K gilt market for the second time in two days Tuesday, with the following warning: "Dysfunction in this market, and the prospect of self-reinforcing 'fire sale' dynamics pose a material risk to UK financial stability." Real Vision Macro Analyst James Helliwell joins Maggie Lake at the top of today’s Daily Briefing to talk about the BofE’s latest move and what kind of signal it is for a global financial system where conditions are already tight and tense. Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund cut its global economic growth forecast on inflation’s negative effects, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and China’s broad-based slowdown. Maggie welcomes Komal Sri-Kumar, the president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, for a discussion of central bank policy and where there may be opportunities for investors who aren’t distracted by a hawkish Federal Reserve. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Stocks opened to the downside but trended higher throughout the day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average peaking into positive territory in the early afternoon, as investors prepare for Thursday morning’s release of Consumer Price Index data for September. The up-and-down action surely reflects confusion: Market internals and sentiment data are actually bullish, but policymakers are raising the degree of difficulty. “In normal times,” writes Geo Chen in his most recent Substack post, “trading global macro is like playing 5-dimensional chess, which is hard enough. Today, with the added variables of geopolitics and central bankers on a mission, we are playing 10-dimensional chess.” Geo, the editor of Fidenza Macro, joins Maggie Lake to talk about what markets are telling us. We also hear from George Whitehead about what might make the Federal Reserve lift its foot from the monetary tightening brake. Watch the full conversation featuring George Whitehead and Larry McDonald here: https://www.realvision.com/shows/make-or-break-geopolitics/videos/london-calling-what-will-break-next-vxN2?tab=details. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

In Jeff Booth’s eyes, money is just information, and we desire the feeling we get when we have more of it. It’s also why, according to Booth, that money is being manipulated by central banks at an unprecedented rate to avoid a collapse in the credit system. So, how do we make things better? There is no perfect solution. But Booth sees a clear favorite, capable of delivering inordinate societal value. The popular author and serial entrepreneur joins Harry Melandri to talk about Bitcoin’s potential – noting that network effects are only making the world’s No. 1 cryptocurrency stronger over time. Never miss an episode of Next Big Trade - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

KPTL Arbitrage Management is one of the few crypto hedge funds that managed to profit from Terra’s crash. Its founding partner, Jay Janer, sheds insights on his journey from TradFi trading desks at Lehman Brothers and Morgan Stanley. He shares his approach to navigating the world of digital assets and explains why agility is a key characteristic of successful traders, regardless of asset class. Never miss an episode of My Life in 4 Trades - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Nonfarm payroll growth slowed to 263,000 in September, in line with expectations, even as the U.S. unemployment rate ticked down to 3.5% from 3.7%. Combined with the relatively slow pace of firings, the Federal Reserve has all the data it needs to proceed with another 75-basis-point rate hike in November. But, as Peter Boockvar notes, the unemployment rate and initial jobless claims are lagging indicators. “My issue with the Fed,” notes Boockvar, “remains that after over-medicating us over the past few years that now shock therapy is overkill.” Boockvar joins Maggie Lake for today’s Daily Briefing to talk about how far the Fed will go to get what it wants. We also share a sneak preview of a conversation between Julia Pollak, the chief economist at ZipRecruiter, and Maggie Lake about how the U.S. labor market has changed in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Stocks drifted mostly lower Thursday, as investors look to Friday’s nonfarm payroll data for signs the U.S. labor market is finally beginning to break. New applications for unemployment benefits did tick up to 219,000 from a revised 190,000 the prior week. That’s not going to move a Federal Reserve that only gets more hawkish with each stock-market rally – and that seems hell-bent on driving up unemployment as a means of bringing down inflation. “We believe central banks have finally realized that negative nominal yields have been a very big mistake,” notes Diego Parilla. Parrilla, portfolio manager at Quadriga Asset Managers and the author of "The Anti-Bubbles,” joins Maggie Lake to talk about central banks and the policy divergences among them that could make for historic volatility. We also hear from James Davolos about how to pick stocks in a new, higher-for-longer inflationary regime. Watch the full interview featuring James Davolos and Samuel Burke here: https://rvtv.io/3CAD97E.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The U.S. dollar bounced back on Wednesday, its showing of strength once again a bane to equity markets, as interest rates also ticked higher for the first time in a few days. OPEC+’s decision to cut daily production by 2 million barrels is today’s main story, driving up crude oil prices by more than 1% and making energy the only sector moving higher in the S&P 500 today. Riding an impressive trading streak, Thomas Thornton, the founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, joins Maggie Lake to talk about markets from a tactical perspective. We also hear from Michael Nicoletos about his sense that something is going to break and where it’s likely to happen. Watch the full interview featuring Michael Kao and Michael Nicoletos here: https://rvtv.io/3SIfzvA.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Stocks surged for a second straight day, with all three major U.S. equity indexes rising more than 2% on what seems to be rising hope the Federal Reserve will indeed pivot from its aggressively hawkish inflation-fighting stance. Meanwhile, OPEC+ is considering an output cut of more than a million barrels per day, a historic move that could push crude oil back toward the $100-per-barrel mark. With the world’s most important cartel meeting in Vienna on Wednesday to decide the next phase of production policy, Maggie Lake welcomes Tony Greer of TG Macro to talk about what’s happening with energy and the broader commodities space and what it means for markets and the global economy. We also hear from George Magnus about the impact of “zero Covid” on China’s economy. Watch the full interview featuring George Magnus and Maggie Lake here: https://rvtv.io/3yeafro.  Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

The Dow Jones Industrial Average led the three major U.S. equity indexes higher on the first Monday of October, rising more than 700 points and 2.5% by midday. That’s despite the fact the Institute of Supply Management’s gauge of factory activity slipped to 50.9 in September, its lowest print since May 2020. The U.S. housing market is also slowing rapidly, with median home prices now falling as fast as they did in January 2009. Meanwhile, Credit Suisse is evoking Lehman Brothers, and U.K. Prime Minister Liz Truss has abandoned her new government’s tax-cut plan. Maggie Lake welcomes Darius Dale, the founder of 42 Macro, to talk about the significance of today’s price action, and Weston Nakamura joins the conversation to discuss the ongoing policy confusion among global fiscal and monetary authorities. We want to hear from you too – please share your questions in the comments! Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Raoul Pal recently participated in a Portal Asset Management webinar to talk about the current macro environment, growing global recession fears, developments in the crypto market, and much more. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Cheap valuations, realistic catalysts for earnings growth, and a relatively young, educated population have Maciej Wojtal feeling very bullish on Iran and its economy. Wojtal, the founder and chief investment officer of Amtelon Capital, joins Harry Melandri to explain his optimism about a nuclear deal and to make the investment case for Iranian stocks and the Iranian rial. Never miss an episode of Next Big Trade - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Brent Donnelly has spent most of his life in markets. He got into forex while working for top-tier banks in the U.S. He traded the dot-com bubble with his own money. And he was at Lehman Brothers when it collapsed. In this special episode of My Life in 4 Trades, Brent shares with guest host Andreas Steno Larsen his perspective on trading, including the big regrets that became some of his best lessons. Never miss an episode of My Life in 4 Trades - subscribe here. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices