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The modern real estate investor doesn’t have time to research every headline and trend. That’s why BiggerPockets' Dave Meyer and his expert panel do it for you. Learn how to invest smarter in today’s economic environment.
122: This City's Huge New Development Could Shoot Home Prices Through the Roof
One real estate market is ready to explode, haunted houses and “dark tourism” become all the rage, tiny homes are the new affordable housing, and multifamily investors find colossal cash flow with homeless housing. It’s halfway through 2023, and no real estate investing opportunity can be taken for granted. Long gone are the times of buying any house and counting on cash flow to come through every month. If you want to know the REAL ways to make money in real estate, this is the episode for you!
We’re back with the full On the Market podcast panel, as Henry, James, Jamil, and Kathy bring in news stories affecting real estate investors nationwide. First, Henry talks about a “micro-home” community of tiny houses helping home buyers lock in a mortgage for almost half the average cost. Then, James touches on California’s consistent struggle with homelessness and how multifamily investors can profit by building safe spaces for those that need a helping hand.
Kathy brings the inside scoop on a new resort development that could shoot one city’s home prices through the roof. Finally, Jamil makes us all feel slightly uncomfortable by mentioning “dark tourism” and how buying haunted houses could give you a huge ROI as tourists beg to be terrified. If you want to know about all the unconventional yet high-profit housing market opportunities, stick around!
In This Episode We Cover
The rise of haunted house investments and the surprising profits of “dark tourism”
Tiny houses, “micro-homes,” and other affordable housing options home buyers are looking for
How to get paid by providing housing to the homeless IF you own this type of rental
The new resort development that could cause home prices to explode in this ski town
Why the government WANTS investors to turn vacant land into low-income housing
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market
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Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Tiny Homes, Huge Profits: $6,000 a Month from 1 Property!
5 Tips for Owning Low-Income Rentals
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-122
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29:4614/07/2023
121: Why the Fed is Steering Us Straight Towards the Next Great Recession w/Danielle DiMartino Booth
The Federal Reserve could be steering us straight into the next great recession. After decades of monetary and fiscal debacles from quantitative easing to safeguarding big banks that hurt everyday Americans, it seems almost everyone wants the Fed to be taken apart and rebuilt or shipped away, never to have economic sway again. Grave mistakes have been made over the past two decades, many of which will have unfathomable consequences for today’s economy. So, can the Fed do ANYTHING to save us?
Enough with the speculating. We brought former Advisor to The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Danielle DiMartino Booth, to tell us what happens behind closed doors. Danielle was there at the beginning of quantitative easing, fighting back against a program she knew would lead to a weak economy. Now, as Danielle puts it, “everything has come home to roost,” as quick decisions made in the last financial crisis put us in a massive economic bind. This is NOT good news for real estate investors; those buying today could be in serious trouble in years to come.
Throughout today’s episode, Danielle gives us her take on how the Fed could fix itself, current actions Jerome Powell, Chair of the Fed, has put into place to correct the course we’re on, and whether or not a “soft landing” is possible as the American economy heads into a recession. Finally, Danielle gives her advice on what real estate investors should do and why those exiting the market might be smarter than the rest of us.
In This Episode We Cover
Massive mistakes the Fed made during the Global Financial Crisis that we’re paying for today
Quantitative easing explained and why “money printing” is so dangerous to the economy
The “dual mandate” that’s making the Fed’s job almost impossible to achieve
Recession predictions and whether we’ll face a soft landing or hard crash
Why smart real estate investors are hoarding cash and refusing to buy
False job data and why the unemployment rate is about to get even worse
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market
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Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
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Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
Book Mentioned in the Show:
Fed Up by Danielle DiMartino Booth
Connect with Danielle:
Danielle's Substack
Danielle's Twitter
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-121
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54:2910/07/2023
120: Federal Student Loan Forgiveness Update: What Happens Now? w/Sarah Ewall-Wice
We’re here with a HUGE student loan forgiveness update. Since President Biden was elected, those with student loans have been hoping and praying to have a sizable chunk of their debt wiped away. Tens of millions of borrowers would have been impacted, helping free up cash for those that need it most. But, on the other hand, taxpayers were staring at a $400B bill to forgive just a fraction of the student loan debt in America. The economic implications of student debt relief passing would have been huge, but a more significant economic impact could continue for borrowers.
We’ve brought back Sarah Ewall-Wice, Political and Economics Reporter at CBS News, to give us a full student loan forgiveness update, break down what exactly happened in the Supreme Court, and what we must prepare for now that student debt relief is off the table. But, if you were banking on your loans being forgiven, fret not; a new plan may already be underway to give those with student debt another chance at redemption.
Sarah walks through the legal battle the Biden Administration brought forth to get debt relief passed, what will happen to graduates now that the bill has come due, and whether or not defaults could increase across the board as a result. Dave and Sarah will also debate why a solution to rising college costs hasn’t been conceived and what you should do NOW if you have student loan debt.
In This Episode We Cover
A federal student loan forgiveness update and what will happen next
Why the Supreme Court decided to axe the debt relief plan (it’s not what you think)
Resuming student debt payments and what graduates need to do NOW
Whether or not defaults across credit cards and mortgage payments could increase as a result
The true cost of college and why unaffordable education MUST be tackled
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market
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Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
Hear Our Past Interview with Sarah on US Debt
Connect with Sarah:
CBS News
Sarah's Instagram
Sarah's Twitter
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-120
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25:5607/07/2023
119: Why AI Is About to Make Real Estate Investing EVEN Easier
Artificial intelligence (AI) like ChatGPT might not be great at writing podcast intros, but when it comes to building a rental property or real estate portfolio, these platforms produce far more help than harm. While most of the general public uses AI to write poems about their dog or history papers for class, real estate investors are harnessing this technological power to buy more properties, outsource simple tasks, and reach sellers faster than ever. Want to do the same? You’ll have to stick around!
For years, our panel of real estate experts have been using AI, automated apps, and software to grow their portfolios to new heights. And, even if you don’t own thousands of rentals or do hundreds of fix and flips a year (like James), you too can use this real estate tech to make your life easier, spend less time working, and focus more on what your business needs from YOU.
In this episode, Dave, James, Jamil, and Kathy will go over exactly how they’re using AI platforms such as ChatGPT, the systems and software they’ve implemented into their own businesses, whether or not more automation could threaten jobs, and how you, even as a small investor, can leverage the same tech top investors use to build wealth faster!
In This Episode We Cover
Why ChatGPT may be good at everything but writing podcast intros
Using AI platforms to create job descriptions, outreach to sellers, and take menial tasks off your plate
Whether or not AI has the potential to kill jobs in the real estate sector
The “job evolution” that is waiting for those who can embrace new technology
The EXACT software, systems, and apps we’re using to grow our real estate portfolios
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Agent
Find a Lender
BiggerPockets Forums
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Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
Basecamp
ChatGPT
Follow Up Boss
Infusionsoft (Keap)
Monday.com
Ninety.io
Salesforce
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-119
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37:5203/07/2023
118: The Next “Wave” of Foreclosures and Markets With the Deepest Discounts w/Auction.com’s Daren Blomquist
The next foreclosure wave is already brewing. Over the past few years, monetary moves and rash home buying decisions were made that could cause even more foreclosures to hit the market. The question is, which markets will face the most foreclosures, and how low will prices go? But that’s not all; foreclosure competition has started to spike as a new type of buyer enters the market for these deeply discounted properties.
And if you want to know about foreclosures, discounted properties, and data on the markets with the biggest price cuts, Daren Blomquist from Auction.com is your man. As VP of Market Economics, Daren knows where the foreclosure market is moving before the masses do. In this episode, he gives his take on the next “wave” of foreclosures that could be headed our way, when it will hit, and the investing areas already feeling the effects.
Daren also talks about the unexpected buyers entering the foreclosure market and how they could put investors at the back of the line for discounted deals. And if you’re in this specific state, prepare for your properties to be placed at open auction, as investors are forced to wait to acquire the foreclosure properties they rightfully won. Make no mistake; there are MANY deals out there for investors, but competition could start to heat up fast!
In This Episode We Cover
The “seeds of a bigger foreclosure wave” that are about to sprout
Buyers bounce back and why the housing market and home prices have been so resilient
A rise in foreclosures and what’s causing a steady uptick in homeowners forfeiting their houses
New foreclosure laws that could make it even harder for investors to buy discounted properties
Markets facing the deepest foreclosure price cuts
Recession predictions and whether or not this will force even more foreclosures
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market
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Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
The Biggest Real Estate Tax Loophole You’ve (Probably) Never Heard Of
How Much Investment Diversification Is Right for You?
Hear Our Previous Interview with Daren
Connect with Daren:
Auction.com News
Daren's LinkedIn
Daren's Twitter
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-118
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42:5630/06/2023
117: 4 Comeback Housing Markets That Could Rebound in 2023
Looking for housing markets with population growth, new jobs, rising home prices, and unlimited profit potential? If so, you’re in luck! In this episode, we’ll reveal four of our favorite “comeback” housing markets primed to explode over the next few years. Thanks to the recent housing correction pushing home prices lower, some top investing areas are sitting on suppressed prices that might not last long. So, what are our top markets?
First, we head down south to talk about an explosive city that tanked in property pricing but now looks like a strong buy. Then, we’ll head to the Silicon Slopes to break down why this new tech hub (and ski city) boasts some surprising metrics that could mean more money for rental property investors. From there, we’ll enter into the dense forest and fog of an iconic city that isn’t even close to past its prime. Finally, we’ll finish with a nugget of wisdom from Dave on why this “fast food city” might be worth more than its munchies.
So, if you’ve been preparing for your next out-of-state investment or are just looking for a market that’ll bring you long-term growth, tune in to hear where our experts are planning their property purchases!
In This Episode We Cover
The four most promising comeback housing markets of 2023
Market metrics you should look for when analyzing a real estate investing area
Tech’s potential hiring boost and why public layoffs won’t last forever
The surprisingly strong city that is seeing rock-bottom days on market and bidding wars
Following big businesses and why you should look for job growth BEFORE you invest
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Find a Lender
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BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
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Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
What An Analysis Of 295 Housing Markets Told Me About The National Market
The 8 Worst and Best Housing Markets in The US (2023 Edition)
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-117
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36:1226/06/2023
116: Asset Allocation 101 and Revealing Millionaire Investment Portfolios
Asset allocation is arguably the most crucial step in building wealth. While most people think just buying rentals is enough, having the money set aside to protect those rentals, and subsidize your business during rough markets, can make or break your real estate portfolio. In the last crash, those entirely in real estate saw their wealth dwindle to nothing while diversified investors held strong, scooping up deals at a steep discount, making millions in the coming decade.
Now, with many investors fearful that we’re on the edge of another crash, James Dainard and Kathy Fettke have stepped in to give advice only multi-decade millionaires know of. Dave, James, and Kathy will be breaking down their exact investment portfolios, walking through what they own, what they don’t, and how they structured their wealth to stay safe without stagnating.
They’ll also share their advice on what to invest in TODAY, how to diversify your portfolio so you don’t get liquidated in the next crash, what they’d buy with $100,000, and “risk-free” investments like bonds still boasting favorable returns. Whether you’re just starting to invest or are looking to optimize your passive income, this episode is for you!
In This Episode We Cover
Asset allocation 101 and why it is SO crucial to building (and keeping) wealth
Revealing our multimillion-dollar investment portfolios and how we designate our dollars
Kathy’s short-term rental bet and house hacking EVEN while you’re financially free
Geographic diversification vs. asset diversification and whether the market or asset matters more
Protecting yourself during a real estate crash and what James wishes he did last time
Bonds and “risk-free” investments that could give you a stress-free return
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
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Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
James' Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
The Biggest Real Estate Tax Loophole You’ve (Probably) Never Heard Of
How Much Investment Diversification Is Right for You?
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-116
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44:4223/06/2023
115: How the Housing Market Could Correct WITHOUT Home Prices Falling w/Black Knight’s Andy Walden
Home prices could become affordable without any of us noticing. In fact, home prices don’t even have to fall for the housing market to enter into a mild correction. With affordability hitting lows that we haven’t seen since the seventies and eighties, what could save today’s home buyers from paying for one of the most expensive mortgage payments of all time? Something must be done. And thankfully, it might already be happening.
If you want to know the truth behind silent housing corrections, market-abandoning buyers, and where we could be headed, you better ask Andy Walden from Black Knight. We brought Andy on the show to talk about everything from mortgage rates to unaffordability, delinquencies, foreclosure fears, and what can be done to help our home buyers. Andy spends all day, every day, playing with some of the most vital proprietary property data sets imaginable, and he has an answer to almost every question.
In this episode, Andy speaks on the housing market correction that could happen without home prices falling, why more home buyers are leaving the market, how mortgage rates could fall without the Fed’s input, and what could cause delinquencies to finally rise.
In This Episode We Cover
The silent housing correction and what could cause affordability to rise
Mortgage rate lock activity and why we’re hitting all-time lows for home buying
Bond yields, mortgage spreads, and how rates could fall without the Fed intervening
The housing inventory crisis that’s causing home prices to stagnate
Delinquency forecasts and two big events that would put homeowners in a tight spot
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
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Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
Grab the Latest Mortgage Monitor
What Is a Housing Market Correction and How Does It Really Impact You?
Connect with Andy:
Work with Andy and His Team
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-115
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35:4219/06/2023
114: Home Price Predictions, Affordability False Flags, and 40-Year Mortgages
Housing market forecasts, affordability false flags, forty-year mortgages, and a baby boomer shopping spree. Today, we’re touching on anything and everything affecting the housing market as the full On the Market panel joins Dave Meyer to answer YOUR most-asked questions. Dave has been collecting questions from viewers to have a rapid-fire question-answering round with some of today’s top real estate investing experts. If you want to know what will happen next in the housing market, tune in!
We invited the whole crew to give their opinions on today’s investing market. We’ll talk about whether the real estate market’s “crash” is tied to stock performance, affordability and how ADUs (accessory dwelling units) may have shot home prices even higher, and the new forty-year mortgage and whether or not it’s a safe option for everyday home buyers. But, we’re also peaking into our crystal balls to give some BIG housing market predictions for the next few decades.
Kathy talks about how average home prices could hit seven figures (seriously!) within our lifetime and why buying now may be your last chance to snag an “affordable” home. Then, to wrap things up, our expert guests share which asset class they’d invest in TODAY that could lead to a HUGE payoff in just a few years. The market is changing; stick around so you’re not left behind!
In This Episode We Cover
What we’d invest in TODAY that could see HUGE profits in the next few years
Finding the housing market’s bottom and whether or not we’ve already hit it
Housing affordability and why ADUs (accessory dwelling units) may have hurt home buyers
A thirty-year real estate prediction and how high home prices could get
The new forty-year mortgage, who’s applicable to get one, and affordable loan options
Baby boomer buyers, rising birth rates, and demographic trends that could seriously affect the market
Mortgage rates explained and why lenders won’t undercut their competition
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
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Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
Hear Our Interview with Chris Martenson
Housing is Unaffordable, But Could It Actually Get Worse?
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-114
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44:1716/06/2023
113: ‘08 Crash Predictor Ivy Zelman on The Biggest Danger Facing Real Estate Today
The housing market is stuck. Stubborn homeowners with low rates refuse to move, even as demand starts to pick back up. Homebuilders are driving ahead with more new construction homes, but is it too late to deliver the supply we so desperately needed only a year or two ago? Where is the housing market moving next, and how long will we be stuck in this standoff? Ivy Zelman from Zelman & Associates successfully predicted the last housing crash, so what does she have to say about today’s market?
Ivy is a thought leader in the real estate research space. Her credibility has been showcased repeatedly as her team accurately forecasts numerous housing market moves. Constantly on the phone with institutional buyers and builders, Ivy tends to know what’s happening before even the top forecasters. In this episode, Ivy gives her opinion on today’s housing market, why buyers and sellers are “stuck,” and whether or not the “underbuilding” problem is even an issue as demographic trends start getting dangerous.
She also shares which real estate markets are in the most danger, the concerning catastrophe facing many southern states, and the markets she’s most bullish on that could withstand the test of time. But, more importantly, Ivy shares her thoughts on whether or not real estate is still worth investing in and why it may be time for landlords to diversify into other assets that don’t come with such a considerable risk.
In This Episode We Cover
The single greatest danger affecting the housing market in 2023
The new vs. existing home challenge and why homeowners are stuck in place
Affordable housing and why the “underbuilding problem” isn’t what you think it is
“Tremendous” competition for rentals and which investors should be concerned
Underrated housing markets that are seeing strong demand and demographic tailwinds
2008 vs. 2023 and whether another housing crash is even feasible in today’s market
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Hear Our Last Interview with Ivy
Connect with Ivy:
Ivy's Email
Ivy's Website
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-113
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52:5412/06/2023
112: Home Sales Forecast and Returning to a 1990s Housing Market w/Mark Fleming
Home sales have been falling fast since interest rates rose last year. After a spree of house shopping and record-low mortgage rates, homeowners sit comfortably in 2023. They’ve got affordable monthly payments, a home that is (probably) bigger or better than their last one, and expect a potential recession sometime soon. So why would today’s homeowners give up all that security to buy in a hazardous market? Mark Fleming from First American has been trying to uncover the answer.
Mark serves as Chief Economist for First American, one of the United State’s leading title companies. Mark’s job is to predict and forecast the housing market, home sales, and buyer activity. And in 2023’s topsy-turvy economy, this is becoming a little more difficult. Mark has built a model to help predict home sales, looking at key factors like household formation, affordability, current mortgage rates, demographics, and more. And he’s got some interesting findings to share.
The days of low interest rates and property upgrading may be over. Homeowners are now staying in their houses for twice as long, holding off on buying their next home until favorable conditions arise. But, this creates a “prisoner’s dilemma” for home sellers and buyers. With most of the United State’s potential property inventory sitting in the hands of those who refuse to sell, we’re answering, “What happens next?” in this episode.
In This Episode We Cover
Home sales predictions and what happens when there is NO available inventory
Loose monetary policy and how low interest rates caused an affordability spike
Two critical factors that drive the market to soar or slump
Home turnover and why today’s homeowner is “locked-in” and refusing to move
The “prisoner’s dilemma” that’s caused the housing market to stagnate
A return to the “new normal” and what future homebuying could look like
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
Inventory Shortage Could Continue As Interest Rates Rise and Homeowners Feel “Locked-In”
Connect with Mark:
First American
REconomy Podcast
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-112
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46:0909/06/2023
111: The Recession-Proof, Low-Risk Way to Invest in Real Estate
Everyone wants to know how to get rich in a recession. The problem? With many asset prices plummeting and a bipolar real estate market, parking cash in any asset could be considered a risk. But, a particular sect of real estate still makes money even if the housing market starts to crash and home prices freefall. This is one of the lowest-risk ways to start investing, especially during a recession, and it made our expert guests, James Dainard and Jamil Damji, very wealthy.
James and Jamil have been using this strategy since the early 2000s. When home prices started plummeting in 2008, buying rentals became risky, and fix and flips got decimated. Thankfully, this often misunderstood type of “investing” allowed them to capitalize on the price action, picking up deals that would make great buys and passing them along to buyers who could hold their own during the crash. This same strategy still makes them millions of dollars today, and you can start using it!
In Jamil’s newest book, How to Wholesale Real Estate, you’ll learn how to build a scalable wholesale business without much cash, experience, or contacts. This is one of the BEST ways for new investors to get started and is a phenomenal source of supplemental income for investors and flippers who have too many deals on their desks. Think it’s too late to make money in an economy like this? Think again!
In This Episode We Cover
Jamil’s newest book, How to Wholesale Real Estate, and using it to get your first deal done
Wholesaling explained and why “trading” real estate may be better than investing in it
Recession-proof real estate investing and why wholesaling is one of the lowest-risk ways to start making money in real estate
Million-dollar relationships and the people you MUST have in your circle to be successful
Finding buyers and why investors don’t disappear even when home prices start to fall
The housing markets that are on FIRE for wholesalers (and which are showing HUGE opportunity)
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Book Mentioned in the Show:
How to Wholesale Real Estate by Jamil Damji (use code “WHOLESALE110” to get 10% off)
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-111
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43:0507/06/2023
110: Bullish Homebuilders, Affordable Housing, and Why Home Prices WON'T Move w/John Burns
The housing market REFUSES to slow down. Last year, homebuilders had a bleak outlook for 2023 home buying, but now, not even halfway through the year, they’ve reversed their sentiment with high hopes that demand stays red hot. How is this even happening? With mortgage rates higher than they’ve been in years and barely any inventory on the market, wouldn’t buyers take the hint and let their foot off the gas? We brought back John Burns from John Burns Research and Consulting to give us some answers.
John’s team has some of the freshest housing market data available. With over 1,000 research contracts a year, they’re constantly talking to homebuilders, buyers, flippers, and everyone in the home-buying process. John touches on household formation and why millennials are saying “no” to roommates, even as prices rise. He’ll also talk about where Americans are moving, what’s causing construction costs to come down (but also grow?), and why the Fed is failing to kill the housing market.
Also, if you want to give a hand to the generation helping young buyers the most, it seems that baby boomers are having an unexpectedly significant role in propping up the economy. We’ll also get into new affordable housing projects that could bring more starter homes on the market. Want to know John’s thoughts on what could happen in the housing market over the coming months? Stick around!
In This Episode We Cover
Why high mortgage rates HAVEN’T killed the housing market yet
American migration and which states are starting to see stagnating populations
Multifamily rent updates and why tenants may have the upper hand
New builds, cheaper material costs, and why your next home may be a new construction
INSANE debt-to-equity stats that highlight why homeowners refuse to sell
New affordable housing projects that could give homebuyers better options
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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On the Market 31 with John
Connect with John:
John's Company LinkedIn
John's Twitter
John's Website
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-110
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36:4905/06/2023
109: “It’s Coming THIS Year” Fundrise’s Ben Miller on The 2023 Financial Crash
There have been a lot of market crash predictions over the past few years. Since the 2020 flash crash and subsequent asset price skyrocketing, investors have always had an inkling that this wouldn’t last. Once inflation hit decade-long highs, the Fed stepped in to quell constant price pumping, but that came with even higher mortgage rates. Now, commercial real estate investors and everyone else with short-term financing are stuck in a bind. Once these loans come due, they’ll either have to pay them off, refinance, or face foreclosure. So, what happens next?
While Dave Meyer and James Dainard are housing market experts, neither know macroeconomic data as well as Fundrise’s Ben Miller, whose job is to predict market patterns and make the best investing decisions. Last time we talked to Ben, he hit on the “Great Deleveraging,” which would force a massive commercial real estate crash, but today he’s talking about bank failures, a financial collapse timeline, and what he’s buying as soon as the market drops.
The wealthiest in America know that market crashes and financial collapses aren’t a time to worry; they’re a time to make millions! Ben shares the markets with the most opportunity, how to pick up properties for dimes on the dollar, and why hoarding cash during a time like this isn’t such a bad idea. So don’t fear market downturns like this; take advantage of them!
In This Episode We Cover
The “Great Deleveraging” explained and why commercial real estate prices will fall fast
Bank collapses and what happens when liquidity starts to run dry
Quantitative easing and whether the Fed will continue to inject the market with money
Assets to keep an eye on during the crash and what Ben is buying
Loans, lending, and what investors can do when banks won’t fund their deals
Market crash predictions and when Ben expects the situation to escalate
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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James' Instagram
Post-Pandemic Boom Markets to Cool Off “Sharply”
What High Mortgage Rates Did to The Housing Market
Things are getting really weird in the housing market
Deleveraging: The Dominoes are About to Fall
Commercial Real Estate Could Crash, But Are Everyday Investors Impacted?
The “Catalyst” That Could Cause The Economy to Fall
Listen to “Onward, a Fundrise Production”
Connect with Ben:
Ben’s Twitter
Ben’s LinkedIn
Ben’s Email
Ben’s BiggerPockets Profile
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-109
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46:3102/06/2023
108: How the Pandemic Polarized America’s Property Market w/Lance Lambert
The real estate market was supposed to crash, but it didn’t. Interest rates were supposed to cause a significant slowdown, but they didn’t. Hot markets were supposed to give buyers a break as activity plummeted, but...well, you get the point. The 2023 housing market could be summed up in one word: weird. With the Federal Reserve fighting against the market, sellers refusing to move, and buyers still dealing with record-low inventory, many of us question whether or not we’re stuck in a real estate-inspired groundhog day, where 2021-2022 repeats until infinity.
While this (probably) isn’t happening, the real estate market is showing signs of restarting after a mortgage-rate-caused flash correction. Lance Lambert knows about this all too well. He’s been reporting on the housing market for years and knows exactly why America’s property market has become so polarized, even with such immense downward pressure. With cities like Austin still in the slumps and markets like Miami hitting housing price peaks, where is a safe place to invest?
If you want to get a macro sense of where we are in the economy, how the housing market works, and why the Fed is having such a hard time, this is the episode for you. Lance brings us back to 2020 and explains how the pandemic fueled “gigantic” demand that was never met, why a housing crash didn’t happen, and whether or not mortgage rates could go even higher.
In This Episode We Cover
The “polarized” housing market and which areas are staying red hot while others freeze
The post-pandemic property market effects and how the housing market hurt inflation efforts from the Fed
Mortgage rate predictions and what could cause rates to rise or fall this year
East vs. West Coast and why cities like Seattle, San Francisco, and Los Angeles cooled off so quickly
Affordability updates and why builders have the upper hand on the Fed
The “Two C’s” that are controlling home prices and the housing market in 2023
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
Dave's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
Hear Our Interview with Fortune’s Lance Lambert on the “Polarized” Housing Market
The Top 10 Housing Markets Forecasted For Strong Demand This Decade
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-108
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53:1529/05/2023
107: The 2023 Market Showdown: Which Area Offers Investors the MOST Opportunity?
The US real estate market is a bit complex. In the South, homes are still quickly getting under contract as those from the North and West move to warmer climates. But demand is brewing in states that you probably haven’t even considered. Plus, a comeback no one expected could be on the horizon. In a market like 2023, anything and everything is up for grabs, and we could be back to the wild housing market we thought was left behind in 2022.
To put each area of America head-to-head, we’ve got Dave Meyer, Henry Washington, James Dainard, and Kathy Fettke, representing the Northeast, South, West Coast, and Midwest, respectively. Each of these markets has its own set of benefits, ranging from affordability to strong job growth, optimal climates, and appreciation. So which area could be the best bet for investors in 2023?
We’ll touch on the latest housing market data to see where each of these regions stand, where median home prices are heading, why often overlooked markets are finally getting the attention they deserve, and whether or not the West Coast truly is the best coast. If you want to invest but don’t know where, stick around!
In This Episode We Cover
Pitting the Northeast, South, West Coast, and Midwest markets against each other
The surprising cities that are seeing HUGE competition even during a slow housing market
Tertiary markets outside of big metros that could be solid investing areas
A West Coast comeback and why demand is increasing in traditionally high-priced cities
MASSIVE price jumps throughout the South (and the few cities where prices are falling fast)
Affordable appreciation and why markets with low-priced homes won’t stay that way for long
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Agent
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On The Market
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Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave's BiggerPockets Profile
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James' Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
Hear Our Interview with Fortune’s Lance Lambert on the “Polarized” Housing Market
The Top 10 Housing Markets Forecasted For Strong Demand This Decade
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-107
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43:2626/05/2023
106: A BIG 2023 Economic Forecast from Harvard's Jason Furman
Rising interest rates, a new recession, high unemployment, and much more economic uncertainty could be on the way. But what can you expect after such a turbulent past few years? The US took significant financial and monetary moves to prevent an economic collapse in 2020, but as a result, mistakes were made. In 2023, we’re paying for the economic “errors” of our past, and many of them haven’t even caught up to us yet.
Jason Furman, Harvard professor and former Director of the National Economic Council under President Obama, brings both optimism and realism to share. In Jason’s eyes, the “supply-based inflation” argument isn’t holding up, and something much more severe is causing prices to rise as rapidly as they are. So how do we get out of this bind? Jason shares the scenarios that would have to unfold for us not to end up in a recession or with higher interest rates, but reality foreshadows something much different.
When will we break out of this constant cycle of price hikes? What has to happen for the Fed to finally take its foot off the gas? Will today’s strong employment last, or do jobs need to be cut for the economy to recover? Stick around to hear these questions, and many more, answered by one of the world’s leading economists.
In This Episode We Cover
2023 economic forecasts from one of the world’s leading economists
The true cause of today’s rampant inflation and what could finally force it to stop
The “wage-price persistence” and why most people are wrong about price hikes
Economic “errors” of 2020 and 2021 that we’ll be paying back for years to come
Rising rates and whether or not the Fed is really done with bumping basis points
Unemployment and how long today’s strong job market will actually last
Consequences of the US defaulting on its debt and the scary-enough odds that it could happen
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
“Catastrophic” Consequences of the US Defaulting on Its Debt
The Fed Starts Playing “Mind Games” as Rates Rise, Home Prices Fall
Connect with Jason:
Jason's Twitter
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-106
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33:1622/05/2023
105: America’s Largest Wealth Transfer Has Begun, Are You Ready? w/Chris Martenson
The most significant wealth transfer in American history could be upon us. As money-printing mania continues worldwide, dollars (and most other currencies) are worth less and less, while tangible assets, like real estate, are worth more. This is bad news for the average American, with most of their wealth trapped in a bank account or stock portfolio. If the most commonly used assets, like bonds, equities, and cash, become worthless, what happens to America?
To help answer this seemingly unfathomable question is Chris Martenson, CEO of Peak Prosperity. Chris spent his early career working for some of the largest corporations in America, but after bubbles started to burst in the early 2000s, he took a look into the inner workings of the American economy. What initially started as a simple interest became an all-consuming quest to understand why political executives and massive institutions like the Federal Reserve were making irrational choices for the American people.
In today’s show, Chris uncovers the truth behind quantitative easing, money-printing, and the Fed’s consistent financial swerving. He’ll also explain why bubbles are starting to burst in today’s economy, how interest rates had a large part to play in inflation, the new reality of de-dollarization, and why we may be on the cusp of the largest wealth transfer in American history. If Chris is correct, we could enter an entirely new era of the economy, one that only a few of us will thrive in.
In This Episode We Cover
Money-printing and the true effects of the Fed’s massive quantitative easing
Asset price bubbles and which are the closest to bursting in 2023
Interest rate hikes and how they’ve contributed to hideous inflation
De-dollarization and how America’s wealth could be at risk if USD loses its global status
Defaulting on the US debt and what happens if the government can’t pay its bills
The new American wealth transfer and why only these “productive” assets will survive
The most important “capital” anyone can have if/when the economy breaks down
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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James' Instagram
Commercial Real Estate Could Crash, But Are Everyday Investors Impacted?
The BIG Economic Implications of US Bank Failures
Get Real Estate Market Insights from Cohen & Steers
Connect with Richard:
Richard's LinkedIn
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-105
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56:2519/05/2023
104: Huge Commercial Opportunities Arise as Hysteria Reaches Its Peak w/Richard Hill
Multifamily and commercial real estate has been the butt of the joke over the past year. As mortgage rates started to rise, commercial real estate investors were hit hard, as profits became pitiful and asking prices laughable. For months, the media has been predicting a commercial real estate crash, citing a wave of mortgages coming due with sellers who won’t be able to pay the high price of a refinance. And while these fundamentals aren’t wrong, a mortgage meltdown might not be a reality.
So instead of speculating, we brought on Richard Hill, Head of Real Estate Strategy & Research at Cohen & Steers, to differentiate the facts from fiction. Richard knows that loans are coming due, and buyers with low-rate adjustable mortgages may be in trouble. But that’s not the whole story, and some parts of commercial real estate could be primed for massive growth that residential investors have no clue about. The opportunities could be flowing soon for those who know where to look.
In this episode, Richard will talk about the true risk of commercial real estate mortgages, which sectors are in the most trouble, which are being blown out of proportion, and how much investors can expect prices to drop. Plus, Richard gives his take on the three best times to invest in a quickly changing market like we’re seeing today.
In This Episode We Cover
The commercial real estate “crash” and how far prices will actually fall
Commercial debt coming due and which sectors have the highest risk
Bank failures and what’s causing big banks to dump their commercial loans
The future of financing for commercial investments and whether funding will become a challenge
Mortgage exposure and why demanding LTV (loan-to-value) requirements make for better investments
The astronomical tax implications of defaulting on your mortgage (DON’T Do this)
When to buy and which industries are primed for growth in the next few years
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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James' Instagram
Commercial Real Estate Could Crash, But Are Everyday Investors Impacted?
The BIG Economic Implications of US Bank Failures
Get Real Estate Market Insights from Cohen & Steers
Links from the Show
Richard's LinkedIn
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-104
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54:0215/05/2023
103: Q2 2023 Housing Market Update: Homebuying Could Get MUCH Harder
Homebuyers are gearing up for a hot summer housing market as demand starts to surge. At the beginning of 2023, nobody thought it possible that we’d be in the position we’re in today. Days on market have shrunk in some areas as listing attendance explodes and buyers' home-owning dreams resurface. But it’s not all sunshine and rainbows in the world of real estate; something bleak is on the horizon for large-scale investors.
We’re halfway through Q2 of 2023, and the real estate market is changing fast month by month. Multifamily buyers are sitting on the sidelines, foaming at the mouth to dig in on deals that will soon be dead, but primary residence shoppers are facing another challenge. With a lack of inventory and mortgage rates on the verge of falling again, the buyers who were kicked out of the market last year are hungry to get back in the game.
Don’t know whether now is the right time to buy your next rental property? Kathy and James give up-to-date advice on what they’re pursuing in today’s market and whether or not now is the time to get aggressive. If you want to get the data these (and many other) experts use to make their investment decisions, check out Dave’s newest Q2 housing market report!
In This Episode We Cover
A Q1 housing market roundup and why the market flipped even with high mortgage rates
New inflation data and why consumer prices aren’t dropping yet
Whether or not another interest rate hike could hit homebuyers this year
Housing demand and why sellers are seeing a BIG boost in buyer activity
Our Q2 housing market predictions and what to do if you’re on the fence about investing
The BEST online sources to pull housing data from, plus Dave’s newest Q2 housing market report
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Kathy's Instagram
Grab the Q2 Report
Past Episodes Mentioned in Today’s Show:
Altos Research
Rocket Mortgage
Connect with Other Investors on the “On the Market” Forums
Data Sources Mentioned:
FRED
Housing Wire
Marcus and Millichap
Redfin Data
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-103
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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53:2812/05/2023
102: The $1.5T Ticking Time Bomb and Our Return to a “Normal” Housing Market
Don’t you miss the “normal” housing market? You know, a few years back when buyers didn’t have to bludgeon other bidders just to get into a reasonably priced house? The times when the average American could afford a roof over their head, and sellers actually had a reason to put their homes on the market. Well, we may be returning to a “normal” housing market faster than you think, but a few key things will need to happen first.
We’re back on On the Market, bringing you the most up-to-date housing market headlines, separating fact from fiction, and giving you everything you need to know to make the best investment decisions. This time, we’re running through four of the top stories in our newsfeeds. First, James touches on the $1.5T ticking time bomb that commercial real estate faces and what happens if a wave of debt gets defaulted on.
Next, we’ll shift into more residential territory as Kathy dissects the “divided” housing market and updates us on how post-pandemic boomtowns are faring. Then, a return to normalcy, as Henry hits on how the 2023’s housing market correction could give homebuyers some leverage they deserve. Finally, mortgage rate updates and whether or not the spring season of homebuying will “survive” as buyers see a bump in their rates. Stick around to get all the info you need to build your real estate portfolio, so when ChatGPT takes your job, you’ll have some passive income to rely on!
In This Episode We Cover
Post-inflation car, food, and gas prices and Kathy’s $20 carton of eggs
Commercial real estate debt and what happens if owners start to default
The “divided” housing market and how cities that saw MASSIVE appreciation are faring now
The 2023 real estate correction and good news for buyers as the market starts to stabilize
Mortgage rate bumps and whether or not this will hurt the traditionally hectic spring homebuying season
Using ChatGPT to find real estate deals, write property descriptions, and get more deals done
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
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Find a Lender
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Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
Articles Mentioned in Today’s Show:
Commercial Debt
Divided Housing Market
2023 Housing Market Correction
Will Spring’s Market “Survive?
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-102
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41:4008/05/2023
101: What High Mortgage Rates Did to The Housing Market w/Rocket Mortgage President, Tim Birkmeier
High mortgage rates chewed up and spit out homebuyers, loan officers, and the mortgage industry. With a bump of a few percentage points, buyers exited the market quickly, and the number of mortgages got cut in half almost instantly. But what else can you expect from the most significant mortgage rate movement in forty years? Now, nearly a year after mortgage rates took their initial hike, there may be some hope on the horizon that we’re returning to better days for both buyers and sellers.
But who better to ask about mortgages than the President of Rocket Mortgage, Tim Birkmeier? Tim has been in the mortgage industry for over two decades, working his way up from loan officer to president, helping turn Rocket Mortgage from a regional company into America’s largest mortgage lender. He knows loans inside and out and has some predictions on how loans could change over the next few years.
Tim touches on why FHA loans are seeing a comeback (especially as their fees get cut), why HELOCs are in an equity-based revival, and how to “lock in” your mortgage rate so you don’t get stuck buying when basis points jump up. So if you’re itching to get back in the real estate game but don’t know how long high mortgage rates will last, stick around! Tim has answers only an industry-leading expert would know.
In This Episode We Cover
Mortgage rate hikes and what 6% interest rates did to the housing market
FHA’s comeback and why your mortgage insurance cost is about to go down
Upgrading vs. moving and why homeowners and taking more equity out than ever before
Rate buydowns and Rocket’s “Inflation Buster” program to keep your payment low
New digital mortgage transactions and the future of getting approved
Buyer demand and whether or not the seller stalemate will soon be over
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Agent Finder
Lender Finder
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On The Market
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Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
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2023 Mortgage Rate Outlook
Connect with Tim:
Tim's LinkedIn
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-101
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35:0305/05/2023
100: High Credit Borrowers Get Punished and New Landlord Laws Put Tenants First
Got a high credit score? Your mortgage could get more expensive. And no, this episode isn’t releasing on Opposite Day. New mortgage rules are incentivizing those with poor credit while punishing those that have built up their credit. And while this may seem like we’re venturing back to the days of subprime mortgages, there may be some real reasoning behind this newest mortgage rule change.
Welcome to the 100th episode of On the Market! It’s been a year since our first episode, and thanks to Dave, Henry, James, Jamil, and Kathy, we’ve rocked the charts with some of the most up-to-date real estate data around. This time, Dave and our panel of guests will share their favorite episodes and go over some of the latest headlines affecting the housing market.
First, we’ll touch on how mortgage rules have changed and why high credit score borrowers could be in the crosshairs for more expensive fees. Next, California targets the upper-middle-class, kind-of-wealthy, but not-so-ultra-rich residents with their newest “mansion tax,” which targets houses that aren’t exactly mansions! Finally, a fractional ownership debate and an update on the latest landlord law that could give tenants more property protections.
Thanks for joining us for 100 episodes of On the Market! And special thanks to our producer, Kailyn Bennett, for making it all happen. Here’s to 100 more episodes!
In This Episode We Cover
New mortgage updates that could hurt high credit score borrowers
California’s “mansion tax” and how it could affect far more than the “ultra-rich”
Factional real estate investing and whether owning a “share” of a rental will ever beat buying properties
Colorado’s latest landlords law proposal that could change the way you do leasing
Homeownership for all and how unaffordability is putting pressure on lawmakers
The On the Market panel’s favorite episodes of all time!
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
Lender Finder
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Homebuyers Are Getting Crushed: Are Landlords the Cause?
Why NFL Players Are Buying Real Estate During the Recession
SVB’s Risky Bailout and The Bank Run “Domino Effect”
2 Real Deals in 2023 That Could Come with Big Red Flags
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-100
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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43:0801/05/2023
99: How to Comp a House (EVEN During a Housing Correction)
Don’t know how to run comps on a house? This single skill could be costing you, or making you, hundreds of thousands on every deal you do. No matter what level of real estate investor you are—rookie, intermediate, veteran—the ability to comp correctly will put you above the rest as you walk away from deals far richer than other investors. And during a housing market correction like we’re in today, this skill isn’t just something that’ll make you more money—it’s what will stop you from going broke.
Comping, formally known as pulling comparables, is putting a potential property up against other properties in the area, finding a comparable price, and seeing how much can be made on a deal. Most real estate investors have pulled comps a few dozen times, but investors like James Dainard and Jamil Damji calculate THOUSANDS of comps monthly. They’re looking for the profitable property needle in the housing market haystack, and as two self-made multimillionaires, their experience shows that they know what they’re talking about.
In this episode, James and Jamil will show you EXACTLY how expert investors comp properties, what you need to look out for when calculating your own, and the “appraisal rules” that were taken DIRECTLY from the source on valuing properties. The tips in this episode could make you six figures more on your next deal. DON’T miss this.
In This Episode We Cover
How to determine the value of ANY property in ANY location
Comping explained and why you MUST have this skill to invest in real estate successfully
The “appraisal rules” Jamil uses to get perfect comps on any deal he does
Cities vs. suburbs and the BIG mistake investors can make when comping these two areas
Where to find property information and the ONE source you should always start with
Comping during a housing market corrections and what to do when prices start to slide
The ONE tweak James made that helped his recent house flip make $100K+ more
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James's Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Grab Jamil’s Appraisal Rules
How to Determine a Property’s Value Using Real Estate Comps
What is a “Comp?”
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-99
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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01:03:1228/04/2023
98: The Housing Market “Signals” That Predict Where We’re Headed in 2023 w/Mike Simonsen
The housing market shoots up different signals every so often. For most investors, though, these fly under the radar. But for data-driven housing market experts like Mike Simonsen, these signals are hard not to notice. If you want to know where prices will go next, when inventory could spike, and whether or not demand will start to fall (or rise), you MUST know what these signals are and how to find them. Today, we’ll let you in on the not-so-secret way to predict housing market moves so you can invest better than the rest.
Altos Research’s Mike Simonsen didn’t start as a housing market enthusiast. He was in Silicon Valley, working with data, just trying to buy his first overpriced house. But, through getting his foot in the door of real estate, he uncovered that no one had the data he needed to make better investments. So, he started Altos Research to finally give real estate investors, realtors, and everyday homebuyers the tools to make their best buying decisions.
Over the past seventeen years, Mike has been analyzing, segmenting, and qualifying housing market data for some of the most prominent investors in America. And now, he’s here today to share his time-tested secrets with you. No matter your skill level, you’ll be able to pinpoint the housing market signals Mike showcases so you uncover where the market is moving before the masses. Whether you’re an investor, homebuyer, realtor, or renter, this data will help you build wealth better than ever.
In This Episode We Cover
The housing market “signals” that can predict home prices, demand, and more
Where to find FREE housing market data that’ll help you make the BEST investment decisions
“Segmenting” your market and why you’re probably looking at homes all wrong
The biggest housing market surprise of 2023 and why the unexpected happened
What could cause homebuyer demand to DROP (and whether it’s possible this year)
Housing inventory and why SO many homebuyers are hanging on to their houses
How Mike single-handedly saved the US economy from imploding
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Unlock FREE Housing Market Data from Dave
Realtor
Redfin
Zillow
Connect with Mike:
Altos Research
Altos YouTube Channel
Mike's LinkedIn
Mike's Twitter
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-98
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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46:2124/04/2023
97: The US Dollar Isn’t Going Anywhere (Here’s Why)
The US dollar is in danger. For decades, trading in USD (US dollars) has been the standard for almost every country on the planet. Thanks to America’s consistent economy, stable government, and growing global market share, the USD has become the most sound currency on earth. But things are starting to change. USD dominance is being threatened by BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa), looking to ditch the dollar for a currency they control.
But why are most countries trading in USD? When was USD chosen to be the world’s reserve currency? And what does “reserve currency” even mean? Dave Meyer breaks it down in this episode of On the Market, as he details the history of USD dominance, the post-World War rise of a reserve currency, and why the “petrodollar” may be losing steam as other economies grow larger.
Dave will also go in-depth on the economic effects of leaving a USD standard, when the USD could be replaced, which currencies are competing, and why dollar dominance (probably) won’t be over anytime soon. American or not, decoupling from a USD standard could have huge effects on your investments, wealth, and spending power.
In This Episode We Cover
What a “reserve currency” really is and how the USD was chosen to be one
BRICS' fight for economic dominance and which currency will come out on top
How the Ukraine-Russia conflict exacerbated the need for multiple reserve currencies
Going off the gold standard and how a diluted US currency may have made things worse
The “petrodollar” and why countries like Saudi Arabia are leaving the USD behind
The often-untouched benefits of a non-USD-dominated world
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
How Does Money Work? The Complete Guide to Monetary Systems
Planet Money Episode 553: The Dollar At The Center Of The World
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-97
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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39:4221/04/2023
96: The Biggest Real Estate Tax Loophole You’ve (Probably) Never Heard Of w/Brandon Hall and Kyle Mast
What if we told you there was a real estate tax loophole that would help you write off most of your income without becoming a real estate professional or going through some precarious property scheme? If you’ve heard stories of wealthy investors making MASSIVE profits through rental properties and walking away with a near-zero tax liability, this could be the strategy that they were using. But, if you want to know what it is and how to use it to your advantage, you’ll have to tune in.
We’ve brought on not one but two financial powerhouses to explain the ins and outs of this rental property tax loophole. Brandon Hall, CPA, and Kyle Mast, CFP, have used this exact loophole to shave their tax liabilities down dramatically. The requirements to take advantage aren’t complicated, but you must be a rental property investor of a specific type of property. And not all CPAs will know how to do this, which is why you must find the right one BEFORE you file!
In this episode, Brandon and Kyle will talk about how to unlock this tax loophole, the requirements you’ll need to hit, the logistics of using it, and the red flags you’ll need to keep an eye out for when giving it a go. In a few simple steps, you could eliminate your income taxes in a completely legal way, BUT you’ll want to make sure you follow Brandon and Kyle’s suggestions to a tee.
In This Episode We Cover
The real estate tax “loophole” that allows you to write off a SIGNIFICANT portion of your income
Real estate professional status and how those that don’t make the cut can still write off BIG deductions
The requirements you’ll have to hit to realize this real estate tax deduction
Bonus depreciation, cost segregation, and why NOW is the time to take advantage
Depreciation recapture and what to do to avoid paying taxes in the future
Red flags to watch out for when trying this strategy and whose advice you can actually trust
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Kyle's Twitter
Kyle's Website
BiggerPockets Money Podcast 200: A Personal Finance Masterclass with Kyle Mast
Connect with Brandon:
Brandon's BiggerPockets Profile
Brandon's Facebook Group
Brandon's Podcast
Brandon's Website
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-96
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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53:2117/04/2023
95: Dealing Dirt: Is Raw Land the Most Underrated Asset of 2023? w/Daniel Apke
Land investing may be the newest way to make cash flow in today’s increasingly difficult housing market. With more and more investors fighting over real estate deals that break even at best, land investors are sitting pretty, with an almost unlimited supply of new investments and an even more robust pipeline of potential buyers. And while land investing may not have the passive income potential of a rental property, there are still numerous ways to take home some serious cash flow by dealing dirt.
Daniel Apke fell in love with land investing after a long history as a serial side hustler. He tried everything from ghostwriting romance novels to setting up stores online, but nothing gave him the financial freedom that land investing did. Then, thanks to a helpful tip from a mentor, Daniel was able to start buying land at SIGNIFICANT discounts. He would then flip this land on or off-market to anyone willing to buy, allowing him to walk away with a handsome payday WITHOUT dealing with tenants, toilets, or trash.
Now, Daniel has built an entire business out of flipping raw land, and the perks of a property-less lot may pique your interest. Whether it’s low competition, no permitting hassles, or the ability to exit multiple ways, land investing could be an attractive alternative to rental property investing as competition gets tough. If you think there isn’t much under the surface of these dirt deals, you’d be wise to stick around!
In This Episode We Cover
Finding financial freedom through land investing and how you can repeat Daniel’s system
Land flipping explained and where to find the most profitable lots of raw land
The BIG bottlenecks you’ll face when selling land and how to get past them with creative financing
The land-buying business model and how to buy, analyze, and sell dirt
Off-market land and the best method to find undervalued lots with low competition
Subdividing and lot splitting to make the most out of a large plot of land
Land demand and whether or not this type of activity will last for years to come
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
The Risks and Rewards of Investing in Raw Land
Connect with Daniel:
David's BiggerPockets Profile
David's Instagram
David's Website
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-95
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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41:2914/04/2023
94: Commercial Sellers Get DESPERATE As Big Deals Die Off
Commercial real estate has seen a severe drop in demand. From office buildings to multifamily and more, rising mortgage rates and unwavering cap rates are making commercial real estate a gamble more than a grounded investment. But, when buyers start exiting the market, sellers get desperate, and this chain reaction allows committed commercial real estate investors to scoop up deals worth millions more just a few years back. We have a couple of those deals coming up on this episode!
We’re back with another audience deal show. This time, we’re walking through two commercial real estate deals with serious potential, but their prices don’t match reality. First, we talk to Ben Mashat, who recently went full-time into real estate investing after scaling a successful wholesaling operation. He’s got a MASSIVE deal opportunity—a five-story office building with seven-figure potential profits. The problem? A price tag that doesn’t match today’s commercial property market.
Next, we hear from Heidi De La Torre, who’s looking at a multi-unit beachside property with impressive price comps nearby. But, with zoning issues and a seller that can’t make up their mind, Heidi is struggling with which move to make as she debates taking on a project with this many pitfalls. As always, our panel of expert investors will give their suggestions on what our guests should do next and whether these deals are even worth chasing!
In This Episode We Cover
The state of commercial real estate and why sellers are getting desperate as the buyer pool dries up
NOI (net operating income) explained and ENSURING yours is accurate before you get a deal under contract
The downside of office investing and why so many buyers are straying away from this property type
The cap rate debate and whether or not this metric is the most important factor when deciding on a deal
Property zoning, code violations, and how unpermitted builds could COST you
Wholesaling large deals and details you’ll NEED to find qualified buyers
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Listen to Our Residential Audience Deal Review Show
Commercial Real Estate Could Crash, But Are Everyday Investors Impacted?
Cap Rate: What Is It and How to Calculate It
Books Mentioned in the Show
Real Estate by the Numbers by Dave Meyer
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-94
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
51:3710/04/2023
93: Ponzi Schemes, Property Fraud, and How to NOT Fall for a Real Estate Scam
Real estate scams and Ponzi schemes have been around for centuries, but with the advent of the internet, social media, and digital banking, more and more scams and schemes have been popping up. You might think that only the uneducated or ill-informed fall prey to these monetary predators, but you’d be wrong. Just recently, two of our expert guests, James Dainard and Jamil Damji, were ripped off in Ponzi schemes that the federal government intervened in. Thankfully, James pulled out his principal earlier on, realizing what was happening. But Jamil was blindsided, leaving him with a seven-figure loss.
Both James and Jamil were brave enough to share their stories, and more importantly, the entire On the Market panel have come together to break down how NOT to get scammed on your next investment. Kathy Fettke, a syndicator herself, describes EXACTLY what to look for when passively investing in a deal and why inexperienced operators have become the norm in 2023. Next, Henry Washington shares what you MUST do to ensure a contractor doesn’t run off with your money and how to pace a project, so you aren’t left with an empty bank account and half-done home renovation.
Then, we’ll switch gears as Jamil gives actionable steps to ensure your wholesaler brings you a real deal. Finally, James highlights which lenders you should or shouldn’t use and how inexperienced investors are getting strapped with loans that could liquefy their deals all at once. To finish the episode, James and Jamil give the nitty-gritty details of the Ponzi schemes they fell victim to and how even experienced investors can be taken advantage of.
In This Episode We Cover
Losing a million dollars on one investment and the telltale signs of a Ponzi scheme
How to vet your syndicator/operator and why track record means EVERYTHING
Paying your contractor in stages and the reason Henry will NEVER pay for a project all at once
The documents you NEED to confirm when buying a deal from a real estate wholesaler
“Backyard lenders” and why flippers/BRRRRers should consider taking loans that are close to home
The “affinity fraud” Ponzi scheme and why you should NEVER invest based on faith
A $650M movie rights scam and how James noticed the red flags before any other investor did
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
10 Glaring Red Flags That Indicate Your “Great Deal” May Be a Costly Scam
Watch the “American Greed” Episode on The Movie Rights Scheme
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-93
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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01:05:0107/04/2023
92: 2 Real Deals in 2023 That Could Come with Big Red Flags
Don’t think you can find cash flow in a high-priced market like Florida? What about doing a fix and flip with today’s rising rates and high-priced renovations? Don’t know if your rental’s zoning could sprout numerous red flags on a sale? We’ve brought some On the Market listeners in live to go over the deals they’re doing in 2023, which concerns they’re coming up with, and how they’re building wealth while battling against the economic tidal wave hitting the housing market.
Michael Yi and Matt McMains, two of Henry Washington’s mentees, have been trying to hit home run deals in Florida. Michael was able to lock down an underpriced rental property that has almost unbelievable cash flow but with some zoning red flags that could catch him off guard in a sale. On the Panhandle, Matt is weeks away from closing on an out-of-state flip, but with rates jumping up and property holding time getting pricey, expert flipper James Dainard advises caution when getting into a deal like this.
One thing is for sure; there are still plenty of ways to profit with investment properties, EVEN in today’s wild housing market! So stick around, and hear exactly how you should be doing your deals as 2023 unfolds.
Want to talk about your real estate deal on the show? Email [email protected] with all the nitty gritty details!
In This Episode We Cover
The overlooked Florida city that has BIG cash flow potential in 2023
Rental property zoning and how to ensure your designation WON’T ruin a future sale
Rental renovation tips and which materials to use for which type of renter
Hard money loans and how rising interest rates are making holding costs sky-high
When to negotiate your deal (EVEN if your due diligence period is up!)
Flipping vs. renting vs. wholesaling, and when to walk away from a deal
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Try RentRedi on Your Next Rental Property
Connect with Michael & Matt:
Michael's BiggerPockets Profile
Matt's BiggerPockets Profile
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-92
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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50:2603/04/2023
91: The Fed Starts Playing “Mind Games” as Rates Rise, Home Prices Fall
Last week, the Federal Reserve both surprisingly and unsurprisingly raised rates. For weeks leading up to this meeting, investors had a glimmer of hope that the historical rate hikes would end and that we could finally look forward to a time of reasonable mortgage rates and sustainable home prices. But, even with high rates, the housing market has taken some surprisingly strong wins. We’ll get into today’s top real estate-related stories in this episode!
Welcome back to another correspondents show where our “housing market data without the hysteria” expert guests bring in some of the most hard-hitting headlines that could affect real estate investors. Dave starts by professing his deep respect for Jerome Powell’s decision to hike rates even higher and goes into why the Fed could be playing “mind games” with the American people. Next, Henry hits on how home price drops just hit a new threshold not seen in over a decade!
Back on the residential side, James breaks down the good news for February home sales, but soon after, Jamil and Kathy touch on commercial real estate stats that have banks, lenders, and investors starting to sweat. But, what could be bad news for some is great news for others, and if you’ve been looking to pick up steals and deals during a time when competition is low, now may be the PERFECT time to get in the market!
In This Episode We Cover
Interest rates rise again as the Fed plays “mind games” with the American public
Home price updates and why the housing market just crossed into 2012 territory
Housing market momentum and why homebuyers have gotten back into the game
The commercial real estate crash and why CRAZY deals could be around the corner
Liquidity tightening and why raising capital and getting mortgages could become a lot harder
The HUGE opportunity to invest in a certain asset class that could make a big comeback
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Watch Our Interview with Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, On the Recent Bank Failures
Stories from Today’s Show:
Home Prices Drop
February Home Sales
Commercial Real Estate Prices Slide
Liquidity and Commercial Real Estate
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-91
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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49:2331/03/2023
90: Scapegoat or Savior: Did Wall Street HELP the Housing Market? w/Ermengarde Jabir and Thomas LaSalvia
Back in 2008, the housing market was in freefall. With foreclosures at record highs, homeowners nationwide had to return their residences to the banks. The problem? Banks didn’t want them. Big banks never wanted to be conglomerate landlords. So, who did they pass the homes off to? Institutional investors, REITs, and iBuyers that many real estate investors fear and also blame for today’s real estate problems. But is today’s affordability crisis really Wall Street’s fault, or is there someone else to blame?
Back from Moody’s Analytics, we’ve got Thomas LaSalvia and Ermengarde Jabir on the show to explain the situation. Over the past few years, there has been quite a lot of bad blood between single-family rental investors and institutional investors on Wall Street. For small, mom-and-pop investors, these large landlord conglomerates seem to be stealing homes, making it harder for new investors to get into the housing market and even more challenging for first-time homebuyers to get a primary residence. But, the data points to something different.
Ermengarde and Thomas explain exactly what institutional investors have been doing as of late, how they may have saved the housing market during the last crash, whether or not they’re still buying in today’s market, and how they’re affecting everyday homebuyers. We’ll also touch on pricing, affordability, and why new construction is kicking starter homes off the to-build list.
In This Episode We Cover
What led to the 2008 housing crash and how Wall Street stepped in to stabilize prices
How institutional investors have been growing over the past decade and their plan for the future
Single-family home construction and why first-time homebuyers AREN’T the target market
Homeownership, America’s “renter nation,” and whether or not Wall Street is stealing homes from buyers
Why institutional investors ONLY buy in specific real estate markets (and where they’re buying now)
Who owns the most single-family rental properties across the country
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
SVB’s Risky Bailout and The Bank Run “Domino Effect”
How Did A $200B+ Bank Collapse In 48 Hours?
On the Market 81 with Thomas
Is Wall Street Ruining the Housing Market?
Get the Latest Real Estate Insights from Moody’s Analytics
Connect with Ermengarde & Thomas:
Ermengarde's Email
Thomas' Email
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-90
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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47:5627/03/2023
89: The BIG Economic Implications of US Bank Failures w/Mark Zandi
Bank failures were a thing of the past—until a couple of weeks ago. After Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) fall from grace and numerous other regional and small-time banks going under, Americans are holding their cash with an iron grip, not knowing whether or not a recession or soft landing could be on the horizon. And with more economic instability comes more fear, panic, and doubt from the general public. Thankfully, we’ve got Mark Zandi, Chief Economist at Moody’s Analytics, to share some economic truths (instead of crash-fueled terror).
Mark knows the economy inside and out and understands the true impact behind these bank crashes. He gives his opinions on whether or not this series of bank crashes could lead to an even greater recession, why the government was forced to build a bailout, and how real estate and the economy will be affected as we try to rebuild from this fragile system collapsing. And, if you’re worried that the big banks could start to crumble under their own weight, Mark has some information that’ll quell your fears.
But we’re not just hitting on bank news. Mark shares how a “slowcession” could occur throughout the US, leading to a lackluster economy as unemployment grows and GDP growth slows. He also gives mortgage rate predictions and discusses the one real estate type that could be in BIG trouble over the next few years.
In This Episode We Cover
Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) collapse explained and why big banks aren’t worried
The social-medial-fueled panic and fear cycle that is hurting the economy
The bright side of a bank bailout and how to avoid a systematic collapse
Recessions vs. “slowcessions” and why the latter WON’T be a soft landing
Real estate prices and which property type could go BUST over the next few years
Mortgage rate predictions and why we wouldn’t hold our breath on three-percent rates
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
SVB’s Risky Bailout and The Bank Run “Domino Effect”
How Did A $200B+ Bank Collapse In 48 Hours?
Connect with Mark:
Mark's Website
Mark's Podcast
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-89
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Email [email protected].
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51:5524/03/2023
88: Entering a "New Era" of Higher Prices, Interest Rates, and Employment w/Joe Brusuelas
Unemployment was supposed to be much higher by now. With the Federal Reserve increasing its rate hikes over 2022 and into 2023, the labor market should have cracked already. But it hasn’t, and many mainstream investors have struggled to determine why. With a higher cost of capital, businesses should be more selective with who they’re hiring and keeping, but instead, we’re seeing the labor market have much more power than they’ve had in the past. So, did we successfully dodge an employment crisis, or is a rude awakening coming our way?
Joe Brusuelas, principal and chief economist for RSM US LLP, knows that we’re thinking about unemployment all wrong. As a leading economist with over twenty years of experience, Joe has seen multiple recessions, crashes, and unemployment crises. He knows exactly what it would take to make the labor market snap and push the country into a recession. Joe breaks down precisely what the Federal Reserve has been planning, when its interest rate hikes will finally take effect, and what the future of the labor market looks like.
He also touches on how we may be entering an entirely different era of the economy, one with tight employment, higher interest rates, and higher inflation than we’ve been used to. This directly affects almost every consumer in America, and investors can get ahead of the economy by knowing when this unemployment scale will finally balance. So don’t sit on the sidelines and be surprised when these economic forces take shape. Tune in!
In This Episode We Cover
Why unemployment has been so low and when the Fed’s interest rate hikes will kick in
How employment is calculated and why qualified workers are so hard to find
“Labor hoarding” and the real reason big tech is so easily laying off workers
Unemployment rate predictions and whether it’ll be like the last recession
Entering a new era of the economy and why higher inflation, interest rates, and employment could be in our future
US immigration and how restricting foreign worker flow has caused a “tight” labor market
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
How the Unemployment Rate Affects Us All (Yes, Even the Employed)
Connect with Joe:
Joe's Articles
Joe's Email
Joe's Twitter
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-88
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30:2520/03/2023
87: SVB's Risky Bailout and The Bank Run “Domino Effect”
Both SVB (Silicon Valley Bank) and Signature Bank have crashed and burned dramatically over the past week. What once was a few large customers making withdrawals quickly turned into a bank run of epic proportions. Within just a few days, SVB went from one of the largest banks in the United States to one of the biggest bank failures in the nation’s history. But what led to such a fast-paced collapse, and are more banks on the chopping block?
You don’t need to be an expert economist to understand what happened at SVB and Signature Bank this week. But you will want to hear Dave Meyer’s take on what could come next. With bailouts back on the table, many Americans fear we’re on the edge of a total financial collapse, mirroring what unfolded in 2008. With more and more Americans going on cash grabs, trying to keep their wealth safe from the “domino effect” of bank failures, what should everyday investors prepare for?
More specifically, for our beloved real estate investors, how could SVB’s failure affect the housing market? Will the Federal Reserve finally be forced to end its aggressive rate hikes? Could money flood into real estate as hard assets become more attractive? Stick around as Dave explains this week’s wild events and what it could mean for the future of the US economy.
In This Episode We Cover
SVB’s (Silicon Valley Bank) collapse explained and why it failed so fast
The bank run “domino effect” that could put other intuitions at risk
Why a “bailout” happened so quickly, and whether customer funds were secured
Bond yields and why making long-term investments was a risky bet for SVB
The future of mortgage rates and how SVB’s failure could lead to fewer rate hikes
The psychology behind a bank failure and how it affects the entire economy
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
How Did A $200B+ Bank Collapse In 48 Hours? Is Real Estate Going To Be Impacted?
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-87
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41:5517/03/2023
86: Here’s What Will Cause Mortgage Rates to Finally Fall w/Logan Mohtashami
The housing market is stuck in a standoff. On one side, you have buyers, repeatedly beaten with high home prices, higher mortgage rates, and almost non-existent affordability. On the other, you have the sellers, who are sitting on low-interest-rate mortgages, unwilling to take a price lower than they want, waiting for rates to come back down, so the bidding wars begin all over again. This standoff has caused the housing market to come to a halt, with inventory at unbelievably low levels and no one willing to buy or sell.
But weren’t we supposed to be past this? When rates dropped earlier this year, the housing market looked like it was on a fast track to a real estate revival. But now, homebuyers, sellers, and investors don’t know where to turn. And that’s precisely why we brought on HousingWire Lead Analyst Logan Mohtashami, the one person who knows the real estate market better than the rest. Last time we had Logan on, he debunked the claim of a 2008-style housing crash repeat, and now, he’s on to forecast when the housing market could finally reach a healthy point again.
Logan knows why homeowners aren’t selling, why buyers aren’t bidding, and when mortgage rates will come back down. With some simple stats and data, Logan lays out almost exactly what would have to happen for us to enter a normal housing market and gives a rough timeline of when we can expect these changes to take place. And if you’re still on the “it’s gonna crash!” bandwagon, we’d suggest sticking around for Logan’s full explanation, as it may completely reverse what you thought was conceivable.
In This Episode We Cover
Mortgage rate forecasts and what has to “break” for rates to come back down
Foreclosures, distressed sellers, and why there isn’t more inventory on the market
Homebuyers vs. sellers and why neither of these two will make moves until the other does
2008 vs. 2023 and why a Great Recession repeat is a lot less likely than you think
What could cause affordability to rise and help homebuyers get into properties
Rent growth declines and why rents are starting to stall even as homebuying becomes challenging
The commercial real estate “crash” and which sector is most primed for price cuts
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
On the Market 14 with Logan
Connect with Logan:
Logan Website
Housing Market Tracker
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-86
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01:01:5813/03/2023
85: New Builds, Knowing Your Niche, and the 2023 Housing Boom!?
This housing market is a tough nut to crack. One week, rates are coming back down, buyers are gearing up to re-enter the real estate market, and investors are feeling optimistic. Then, the following week, inflation spikes, mortgage rates jump, and affordability plummets back down to a depressing level. Because of this topsy-turvy economy we find ourselves in, we get a slew of questions on almost every episode asking us to predict what will happen next. And today, the entire On the Market panel has flown out to Denver to get this live debate going.
That’s right. Dave Meyer is joined by Henry Washington, James Dainard, Jamil Damji, and Kathy Fettke to pop some bottles, rock some chains (thank you, James), and give you up-to-date info on the housing market. We’ve taken a few of our favorite questions from the comment section and got the panel’s opinions on some of today’s most pressing topics. First, we’ll talk about why new homes are cheaper than existing homes in many markets and whether or not this is a red flag for the housing market.
Then, we enter lender territory and discuss which markets are seeing new down payment requirements and which allow you to still score deals at ten to fifteen percent down. We’ll also revisit the commercial real estate crash and what could happen once these massive balloon payments come due. But don’t worry, there’s still some optimism afoot, as a couple of our expert guests predict a housing market boom could be coming in only a matter of months. So, don’t get caught in the rocky waves of this real estate market; tune in to get the scoop on everything happening on the market.
In This Episode We Cover
The incoming housing market “boom” that could start another buying frenzy
New construction vs. existing homes and which is a safer bet as a new investor
Down payment requirements and why so many lenders are asking for more
The commercial real estate crash and how it could create insane deals for investors with cash on hand
The state of the economy and why there’s so much contradictory data pointing in different directions
Why you should always buy two plane tickets when planning your next trip
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Attend a BiggerPockets Meetup
Grab Dave’s “2023 State of Real Estate Investing Report”
On the Market Podcast 65 with Ben Miller (Deleveraging)
On the Market Podcast 71 with Brian Burke (Multifamily BOMB)
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-85
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44:2410/03/2023
84: The 2023 Recession Countdown: Is Now the BEST Time to Invest?
The 2023 recession is off to a strange start. Homebuyer activity has rallied, consumer spending is up, and unemployment is low. Is a recession really on the way, and if so, has anyone told the Fed what's happening in today’s economy? With a good chunk of economists still betting on a recession in 2023, who’s right and who’s wrong? And if there isn’t a recession incoming, can real estate investors take advantage of this artificial instability to get even better deals done?
We’re back with our panel of experts, Henry Washington, Jamil Damji, and Kathy Fettke, to get their take on whether or not this period of economic uncertainty is over. Back in 2022, with mortgage rates picking up, inflation hitting decade-long highs, and the housing market starting to stutter, most Americans were right to believe that we were on the cusp of a recession. And real estate investors were doing deals left and right, trying to get as many homes under contract for the lowest price.
And only a few months later, things have started to change, but investors are still getting incredible deals done, and if you tune into this episode, you can too! We talk about how this “white-collar recession” is causing more profit than panic for investors and why many Americans don’t “feel” we’re in an economic downturn. Our expert guests even give their best predictions on what could happen this year and into the next. So if you want to take home some SERIOUS profits like our guests did in the last crash, listen up!
In This Episode We Cover
A 2022 economic recap and why Americans didn’t react as they did during the last recession
Testing today’s recession sentiment using the “underwear” theory
Whether or not we’re in a recession and why real estate is always “first in, first out”
The 2023 economy, housing market predictions, and why recession indicators don’t always work
How to invest in 2023 and what our expert guests are doing to build wealth while markets are down
Passive investing and why Dave’s private money lending bet could pay off as mortgage rates rise
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
Attend a BiggerPockets Meetup
Why This Recession is a HUGE Opportunity for Investors
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-84
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56:0206/03/2023
83: The “Catalyst” That Could Cause The Economy to Fall w/Ben Miller
The 2023 economy doesn’t fit what the forecasters were predicting. Inflation was up, but now it’s coming back down, interest rates keep rising, but homebuyer demand is coming back? As if there wasn’t enough contradictory data, employment is holding steady while we should be in a recession. What’s really happening behind the scenes, and how can you use economic headwinds to build wealth faster while everyone else braces for an impact that may never come?
We’re back with Fundrise CEO Ben Miller to discuss the three economic scenarios EVERY investor should plan for in 2023. Ben has learned something new about the economy (and himself) during every past crash. In the 90s, when real estate took a hit, young Ben was too carefree to be concerned. Then, when 2008 came around, Ben was left with scars from the market crash carnage. Now, after the 2020 flash crash and into a potential 2023 market crash, Ben knows better and is making bets that’ll make him, his company, and his investors very wealthy.
Ben thinks it’s a mistake that most investors simply put one scenario forward when investing. He tells tales of some of the greatest investors using basic scenario planning to make a killing during any economy. In this episode, he’ll run through exactly how you can do this and why thinking in bets may be one of the best moves you can ever make. So, even if a housing market crash does come, you’ll be prepared not just to survive but thrive.
In This Episode We Cover
Why we aren’t in a recession yet and the contradictory crash indicators
Scenario planning 101 and the three types of outcomes EVERY investor should plan for
Thinking in bets and why a “black swan event” is much closer than most people think
What could lead to an economic recession and why it’s getting impossible to predict one
The best asset classes to invest in during 2023 and why institutional investors are taking big bets on debt
Why base hit real estate deals will make you rich, but home run potential should always be taken advantage of
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Attend a BiggerPockets Meetup
On the Market 33 with Ben on Build-to-Rent
On the Market 65 with Ben on Deleveraging
On the Market 76 with NFL Panel
Books Mentioned in the Show
The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel
The Art of the Long View by Peter Schwartz
Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Nicholas Taleb
Connect with Ben:
Ben’s Twitter
Ben’s LinkedIn
Ben’s Email
Ben’s BiggerPockets Profile
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-83
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01:09:2803/03/2023
82: The Crash That Didn’t Come: Has the Housing Market Already Bottomed?
The housing market crash may be over already. With mortgage rates steadily dropping, buyer demand picking up, and competition creeping back in, this housing correction could have been one of the fastest and least severe downturns we’ve ever witnessed. Top forecasters have hinted at the housing market bottoming out, with some claiming that the “thawing” has already begun—but the data may point to something different. While there are signs of improvement compared to where we stood just a few months ago, some glaringly obvious data points could make this a much closer call than mainstream forecasters think.
Dave Meyer, your sandwich-eating, data-delving host, wanted to know precisely what would cause the housing market to hit its floor. He looks at both the demand and supply side of the housing market, touching on the variables that genuinely make a difference. We’re talking about mortgage rates, housing affordability, loan applications, housing supply, active listings, and more. But you don’t need a degree in Data Science to understand what’s happening behind the scenes.
Dave will explain exactly what is (and isn’t) impacting the housing market, what changes led to the state we’re in, and four scenarios that could play out in 2023 that might put a nail in this theory’s coffin. Betting on the housing market bottoming out? We’d suggest hearing the full story before you make your next investment.
In This Episode We Cover
Why top housing market forecasters believe that the housing market has found its bottom
Mortgage rate updates and why interest rates are falling while the Fed introduces more rate hikes
Housing affordability and why we may be moving away from the record-breaking unaffordability of late 2022
Mortgage applications and why homebuyers have decided to come back in 2023
Housing inventory and why more listings and longer days on market could suggest we aren’t through a correction just yet
The four scenarios that could play out in 2023 (and which is the MOST likely)
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Altos Research
Goldman Sachs
Mortgage Bankers Association
WSJ
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-82
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30:1127/02/2023
81: America is Screaming for Affordable Housing, But No One Wants to Build w/Lu Chen and Thomas LaSalvia
The housing market has entered into a new era never measured before. As of a recent update from Moody’s Analytics, the rent-to-income ratio across the US has reached an average of 30%. And while this may not seem like a big deal to casual investors, it has wide-reaching implications that could cause the housing market to move in different directions. This is the first time a rent-to-income ratio has hit this high percentage point, which could spell bad news for landlords.
Lu Chen and Thomas LaSalvia from Moody’s Commercial Real Estate division are joining us to explain the entire story behind the data. They have been closely monitoring the steadily rising rent prices for decades. With pandemic-fueled migration, Lu and Thomas both believe that we’re living in one of the most troubling times for renters. But how did this come to be? With massive housing development across the nation, what’s causing rents to remain so high? The answer isn’t what you might expect.
Lu and Thomas have seen developers shift focus to certain housing types, leaving much of the middle class in a rent squeeze. This “missing middle” could explain why so many families are paying a solid portion of their income to rent every month. But with reasonably priced rentals becoming a hot commodity, what can landlords do to ease the burden and open up more housing for those who need it most? And where will rent head next after it’s broken through this previously unshatterable ceiling? Tune in and find out!
In This Episode We Cover
Housing affordability and why America just crossed into “rent-burdened” territory
The “ecosystem effect” and how pricier developments hurt the middle class
Housing demand and why work-from-home hotspots put strain on the system
Housing markets where rent is declining and the rent-to-income ratio is weakening
Where Americans are moving to and why some millennials are staying away from the suburbs
Real estate development and which housing types are getting built
Comparing today’s rent crisis to 2008 and why a housing correction doesn’t always equal a rent crash
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Moody's CRE Website
Key Takeaways from 4th Quarter
Connect with Lu and Thomas:
Lu's Email
Thomas' Email
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-81
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53:5724/02/2023
80: How to Make More Cash Flow Charging Cheaper Rent with Coliving w/Jay Chang
Coliving has often been thought of as solely student housing. When you mention this strategy to investors, they think of house parties, dirty dishes, constant complaints, and a whole lot of maintenance. But ask Jay Chang from Tripalink, and he’s got a different story to tell. Jay works to develop the best coliving communities in the United States, securing a lower-rent option for his tenants and a high cash flow investment for his investors. He’s seen how coliving projects are built, managed, and maintained, and he may completely change your mind on this concept.
For expensive areas like Los Angeles, New York, and Seattle, finding an affordable place to live as a student or entry-level worker is near impossible. Your options? Spend the majority of your salary on a studio apartment, live with your friends who haven’t vacuumed in three years, or move into a coliving apartment. The latter offers upscale amenities, daily or weekly cleaning, private rooms, and a high cash flow solution for landlords in pricey markets.
Still have your doubts? Jay touches on the untrue myths associated with coliving, why vacancy is near-zero, property management and maintenance, and why this investing niche could be close to exploding as the economy takes a tumble. This strategy could take your real estate portfolio to the next level if you’re in an expensive market, college town, or densely-populated area.
In This Episode We Cover
A quick housing market update and why buyers are jumping back in
Coliving explained and why young professionals and students need a new option for housing
The stigmas associated with coliving and why almost all of them are untrue
The luxury amenities that coliving offers and how it keeps vacancy at rock-bottom rates
Property management when coliving and how to deal with tenant issues
Converting your single-family home into coliving and the cost you can expect
House hacking and how to start coliving on a smaller scale
Where to invest in coliving and how to get in before this industry takes off
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Co-Living Could Become The Future Of Real Estate
Double Your Rental Income with Co-Living Cash Flow
Build a Six-Figure Student Housing Portfolio in Just Eight Steps
Read Jay’s Articles on BiggerPockets
Connect with Jay:
Jay's BiggerPockets Profile
Jay's LinkedIn
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-80
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42:5420/02/2023
79: The Hidden Housing Costs Almost Every New Investor Overlooks
Your real estate investment’s returns could be ruined by a few hidden costs that you don’t know about. For the rookie real estate investor, it seems like every investment has the same type of expenses; mortgage, taxes, insurance, repairs, and property management. And while these surface-level expenses are almost always present in a real estate deal, NUMEROUS extra expenses could sink your ship if you don’t include them in your deal analysis. So, stick around, or you might get burnt on your next real estate deal!
To walk us through the different types of deals and the expenses that come with them, we’ve got Henry Washington, James Dainard, and Kathy Fettke on the show. Henry, a buy and hold investor, knows that the “cash flow” new investors are calculating is far from reality. He highlights the exact expenses it takes to run a rental property portfolio and why those counting on self-management could be making a MASSIVE mistake. Next, James talks about the often over-glamorized world of flipping houses and the massive haircut investors take when they don’t account for closing, construction, and tricky lending fees.
Finally, for our passive investor, Kathy goes into the world of real estate syndications, defining the numerous fees many “mailbox money” investors overlook. In fact, investors in these passive deals often don’t know when (or how) they’re getting paid. You DO NOT want to make this mistake! Stick around to hear it all, so you don’t make these beginner blunders next time you get a deal done!
In This Episode We Cover
The “hidden” fix and flip, buy and hold, and real estate syndication costs
Lending fees, penalties, and the BIG cost of borrowing money
Seller concessions and what to expect in a buyer's market like 2023
Raising rent and why not doing so could be a huge mistake when building a portfolio
Self-management vs. third-party property management and why you ALWAYS need to factor in a fee
Real estate syndication payments explained and why so many investors get it wrong
The “4-4-4” housing market prediction and whether it could really come true
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
James's BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profle
Kathy's Insatgram
Books Mentioned in the Show
The Book on Estimating Rehab Costs by J Scott
The Book on Managing Rental Properties by Brandon and Heather Turner
The Hands-Off Investor by Brian Burke
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-79
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45:5017/02/2023
78: 3 Ways to Buy in 2023 and Making the Most of a Multifamily Crash
The multifamily crash is well underway! But is now the time to buy? If only you could see where top investors are parking their cash during this wild house market. Well, today, you can! We’re back with another Deal Breakdown, where Henry Washington, James Dainard, and Kathy Fettke break down the deals they’re doing in February of 2023. And while the news may be highlighting a “doom and gloom” type of real estate market, we know from first-hand experience that there is still money to be made in today’s housing market!
Kathy is back in her love-hate relationship with new builds as she makes a SERIOUS investment in the beautiful ski town of Park City, Utah. The view alone at this property was enough to sell her on the high price. Next, Henry shares his “base hit” off-market real estate deal with a slew of exit strategies that’ll make him money, no matter what. Lastly, James is going hard on the multifamily housing crash, tackling a multi-million dollar deal that could have an eight-figure sales price once he’s done with it! Want to hear how these top investors are finding, funding, and profiting from their real estate deals in 2023? Stick around!
And, if you haven’t been to the grocery store, gas pump, or lumber yard in a while, we play a post-inflation pricing game to see how high-priced everyday commodities have gotten. We won’t give away the answers, but we can definitely say that omitting omelets from your diet could save you some serious cash!
In This Episode We Cover
Inflation’s effect on everyday commodities and how high prices have gotten
Investing in new construction and the massive financial upside to buying the right property
Why you should search for “base hit” deals that give you MULTIPLE options to exit profitably
Wholetailing vs. wholesaling and when to use each of these off-market strategies
Price over profit and why buying a great deal should be your top concern when investing
Capitalizing on the multifamily crash and how cap rates are helping buyers scoop up apartments at a steep discount
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
James's BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profle
Kathy's Insatgram
The Multifamily “Bomb” is About to Blow, Here’s What You Need to Know
Learn More About Inflation with Trading Economics
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-78
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56:1313/02/2023
77: The Self-Fulfilling Crash Prophecy and Why Homebuyers Are Coming Back
Mortgage rates were about the only thing stopping the almost unbelievable home price run-up of 2020 through 2022. With higher mortgage rates, homebuyers were forced to bid on smaller houses or stick to renting while waiting for the good old days of 3% rates to return. But it doesn’t look like we’ll be heading back to sub-4% rates anytime soon, and homebuyers are starting to take the hint. So as mortgage demand begins to rebound, could we be closing in on another boom in the housing market?
We’re back with another correspondents show as we touch on the latest housing market news from around the nation. First, we talk about how tech markets and unaffordable housing have taken a tumble while affordable markets kept afloat even during steep price drops. Next, we challenge a 2008-like crash prediction and explain why institutional investors are suddenly sending in rock-bottom bids in growing housing markets. Then, we hit on the revival of homebuyers, as mortgage applications shoot up and how we could dodge a recession with our slowing but growing economic climate.
We’ll also play a game of “Hot or Not,” where we touch on which real estate investing strategies are worth trying in 2023. From buy and hold real estate to risky flipping, the fall of short-term rentals, and more, our expert guests will tell you EXACTLY which tactics they’re using in 2023 and which ones to avoid at all costs! So stick around for the housing market news you NEED to hear to build wealth in 2023!
In This Episode We Cover
The best (and most risky) real estate investing strategies of 2023
Why “affordable” markets are staying rock-solid even during the housing correction
The new housing market crash prediction and which big cities could get hit the hardest
A boost in homebuyer demand and why the mortgage rate “sticker shock” has finally worn off
The 2023 recession and whether or not it's even possible as the US economy still sees solid growth
Institutional investors are why they’re coming back with lowball offers in growing cities
How deflated prices could lead to “equity pops” for savvy investors willing to invest in struggling markets
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
James's BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profle
Kathy's Insatgram
The Bifurcated Housing Market Correction
Goldman Sachs 2008 Crash Prediction
Households Priced Out
JP Morgan 2023 Market Outlook
Mortgage Demand Soars 28%
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-77
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48:3410/02/2023
76: Why NFL Players Are Buying Real Estate During the Recession w/Cliff Avril and Devon Kennard
Who’s buying real estate? Maybe you are, maybe your friend is, but what about NFL players? Most casual fans would assume that getting paid millions of dollars a year would ensure a long-lasting retirement, but this isn’t always true. For many professional athletes, you’re constantly living one injury away from having no income. If, like many newly-signed pros, you splurge your first few years of checks, you could enter into retirement flat broke without any of the millions you earned.
This is the exact opposite of what Cliff Avril and Devon Kennard did. They knew that their career earnings started ticking away the second they stepped onto the field, so they made moves to protect their wealth in other ways. Although numerous financial advisors told them to play it safe with index funds, REITs (real estate investment trusts), or other more “passive” investments, they decided to multiply their active income by investing heavily in real estate.
And, even during an economic downturn, these two financial powerhouses are still investing, trying to maximize their dollar as much as possible. In this episode, we chat with Cliff and Devon about syndications they’ve invested in, how they’re staying up-to-date in today’s wild housing market, where they’re investing, and why they picked real estate over all the other assets. You don’t need to be a pro football player to take these lessons to heart, so stick around because this episode is bound to make you wealthier!
In This Episode We Cover
Why so many professional sports players choose real estate as their chosen investment
Real estate vs. stocks, index funds, REITs, and other more “passive” investments
Real estate syndications and how to vet the operator who’s running the deal
Investing during a recession and how Cliff and Devon are reacting to this changing market
The “core four” every real estate investor needs in a property market
Normalizing the investment conversation and making sure your circle is building wealth together
The similarities between running a play and buying a rental property
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
James' BiggerPockets Profile
James' Instagram
Connect with Devon & Cliff:
Cliff's TikTok
Cliff's Instagram
Devon's BiggerPockets Profile
Devon’s Book
Devon's Instagram
Devon's Website
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-76
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01:01:4406/02/2023
75: “Catastrophic” Consequences of the US Defaulting on Its Debt w/Sarah Ewall-Wice
The US debt ceiling has been hit; what happens next could send ripples through the economy. But is now the time to panic? Or is there still time to solve this situation? With the US economy relying so heavily on borrowing, the prospect of being unable to pay back its debts could come with a series of “catastrophic” consequences. Higher mortgage rates, a market crash, and an even harsher recession could be on the horizon. But what’s the likelihood of this happening? And are we really on the cusp of a debt debacle?
We brought on Sarah Ewall-Wice, Washington D.C.-based reporter, to help explain what is happening with the US debt limit. Sarah knows that many Americans are used to these types of debt ceiling congressional debates, but most people don’t know the impact these could have on their wealth, investments, and society as a whole. With COVID spending forcing the government to pay for even more, the debt ceiling has reached an almost unimaginable $31 trillion.
Sarah describes what would happen if the US defaulted on its debt, the programs that would be impacted the most, what republicans and democrats both want in their upcoming debates, and what everyday Americans can expect to happen over the coming months. Dave and Sarah also discuss the “trillion dollar coin” method, which could end the US’s debt quite quickly, while simultaneously acting as the most comical government bailout plan to date!
In This Episode We Cover
The US debt ceiling explained and why the government could raise the limit yet again
COVID’s effect on government debt and how spending was ramped up during 2020
The “extraordinary measures” that the treasury is putting in place to keep the government afloat
What happens if the US defaults on its debt and the severe consequences for investors
Which social programs will be hit the hardest if a default happens
Market crashes, mortgage rate increases, and other effects we could be in for
The “trillion dollar coin” method and whether money-printing is the answer
What republicans and democrats really want and why they’re fighting for it
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
The 2023 State of Real Estate Investing Report
Connect with Sarah:
Sarah's Twitter
Sarah's Instagram
CBS News
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-75
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Check out our sponsor page!
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
33:1803/02/2023
74: Assumable Loans: How to Time Travel Back to 3% Rates on Your Next Buy w/Craig O'Boyle
With assumable mortgages, you can snag a three percent interest rate even in 2023’s high-interest environment. These loans exist everywhere around you—you could be sitting on an assumable loan without even knowing it! So, if there’s a way to pick up properties at all-time low-interest rates, why isn’t everyone taking advantage of assumable mortgages? We brought Craig O’Boyle from Assumption Solutions on to the show to explain.
Assumable mortgages aren’t new, but most real estate agents, loan brokers, and homebuyers have no idea what they are. In practice, an assumable mortgage allows a homebuyer to “assume” a seller’s loan with the same interest rate, contingencies, and principal paydown as the seller. This means you can walk into a home with significant equity, a low-interest rate, and the same fix-rated loan you’d be picking up from a bank. But, if you want an assumable mortgage, you’ll need to know where to find one.
Craig walks us through the ins and outs of assumable mortgages, where investors can find one, why most mortgage lenders and brokers don’t know about them, and one BIG caveat you’ll need to hear before you chase down this better financing. Want a lower rate and monthly payment with higher cash flow? Stick around; we’ll give you everything you need to know to find a low-interest assumable loan in your area!
In This Episode We Cover
Assumable mortgages explained and why a bank would allow a buyer to assume a loan
Assumable loans vs. subject to and how one strategy is far riskier than the other
Fees you can expect to pay when purchasing a property with an assumable mortgage
House hacking and using assumable loans to profit off your primary residence
The three types of loans that can be assumable (and others that WON’T work)
The “assumption gap” and money you’ll need at closing to get the deal done
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Jamil's YouTube
Subject To Real Estate Explained
Connect with Craig:
Craig's Website
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-74
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Check out our sponsor page!
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
44:3930/01/2023
73: A New Housing Market is Forming: How to Take Advantage in 2023
The new housing market is here, and with it comes a whole new set of real estate investing rules. Now, appreciation isn’t a given, flipping can flop, and good multifamily deals are one in a dozen instead of one in a million. This type of market can be dangerous for new real estate investors, but it can also be a massive opportunity for those who want to play the game the right way. So, please don’t ask the newly-rich gurus what their advice would be; turn to the decade-long players who have survived crashes, come back stronger, and know which deals are worth getting done.
In this episode, we’ll go through the “2023 State of Real Estate Investing Report,” written by your data and sandwich savant, Dave Meyer. This report presents a window into what could happen in 2023, where the housing market stands now, and how investors can react to build real estate riches. Henry Washington, Jamil Damji, and Kathy Fettke give their own housing market predictions for the next year and prove cash is king, why on-market deals are the way to go, and how investing in “hybrid cities” can make you both equity and cash flow rich.
The On the Market team will also give their thoughts on the potential commercial real estate crash that could happen in 2023. This type of movement in real estate affects all investors. Knowing about it beforehand can help you not only make money on killer deals but also help you avoid buying a property that may nosedive in value after buyers exit the market. So if you want the best data on real estate investing for 2023, this is the place to be!
In This Episode We Cover
The “new housing market” that’s forming and how investors can take advantage
Why cash is king and how low competition and high rates can help you buy rental property steals
Why “buying deep” combined with seller financing can make you a killing in 2023
Whether house flips will flop in 2023 and how inexperienced investors could get burnt
The “hybrid cities” that offer investors cash flow AND appreciation in one place
Commercial real estate and the multifamily price crash that could be on the table in 2023
And So Much More!
Links from the Show
Find an Investor-Friendly Real Estate Agent
BiggerPockets Forums
BiggerPockets Agent
BiggerPockets Bootcamps
Join BiggerPockets for FREE
On The Market
Join the Future of Real Estate Investing with Fundrise
Connect with Other Investors in the “On The Market” Forums
Subscribe to The “On The Market” YouTube Channel
Dave’s BiggerPockets Profile
Dave’s Instagram
Henry's BiggerPockets Profile
Henry's Instagram
Jamil's BiggerPockets Profile
Jamil's Instagram
Kathy's BiggerPockets Profile
Kathy's Instagram
The 2023 State of Real Estate Investing Report
On The Market Podcast 65 with Ben Miller (Liquidity)
On The Market Podcast 71 with Brian Burke (Multifamily Crash)
BiggerPockets Real Estate Podcast 721 with Scott Trench (BiggerPockets CEO)
Check the full show notes here: https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/on-the-market-73
Interested in learning more about today’s sponsors or becoming a BiggerPockets partner yourself? Check out our sponsor page!
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
51:2327/01/2023