This week, Mike & Mark discuss the global liquidity picture and if the Fed hiking cycle is over as optimism emerges within markets. We also go on to discuss the major rally & other A.I related equities as Nvidia beat on their recent earnings release. To hear all this & more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use codePODS20 to get 20% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On The Margin, Luke Gromen Founder & President of Forest for the Trees (FFTT) joins the show for a discussion on the end game for the Fed. After highlighting many of the structural shifts underpinning the current monetary system over the past few years, Luke lays out his thesis on the intersection between peak cheap energy and the U.S dollar system. Luke goes on to walk through how the Fed will be forced to manage these dynamics with inflation above trend and record high debt to GDP levels. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Luke: https://twitter.com/LukeGromen Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Michael: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Use code PODS20 to get 20% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:15) Have We Reached Peak Cheap Energy? (07:58) Permissionless II Ad (08:46) Oil Is The Real Economic Discount Rate (13:06) Central Banks Have Stoped Buying U.S Treasurys (19:03) What's The End Game For The Fed? (27:38) Why The U.S Is Not Like Japan (32:12) Research Ad (33:02) Luke's Macro Outlook For 2023 (40:29) Approaching A "Debt Death Spiral" (42:44) Gold & Bitcoin -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mike & Mark discuss the outlook for markets at a moment of uncertainty for both bulls & bears. With the U.S debt ceiling looming, consensus still expecting a recession & the market beginning to price a pause in the Fed's tightening cycle, Mark shares his outlook throughout the rest of the year. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use codePODS20 to get 20% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On The Margin, Mike McGlone Senior Macro Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence joins the show for a discussion on the looming debt ceiling, why deflation (not inflation) is ahead and his outlook for both commodities & hard asset's, such as Gold & Bitcoin. Expecting a recession in 2023, Mike walks through the global slowdown taking place, and shares insights into how the commodity markets are signalling declining liquidity & recessionary headwinds. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/mikemcglone11 Follow Michael: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Referenced In The Show: Sohn 2023 | Kiril Sokoloff in conversation with Stanley Druckenmiller: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bMAm2S1M_IU -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Use code PODS20 to get 20% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Timestamps (00:00) Introduction (00:17) The Debt Ceiling Looms, What Next? (05:41) We Are Heading Towards Deflation (09:30) Mike's Outlook On Markets (14:28) Have Higher Interest Rates Been Felt Yet? (19:11) Research Ad (20:00) The Gold Bull Market Is Here (23:49) Is De-Dollarization Real? (30:18) Why Are Hedge Funds Record Short Treasury Bonds? (32:09) Deflation Deflation Deflation... "We're All Turning Japanese" (35:48) Permissionless II Ad (36:36) Is There A Structural Case For Inflation? (45:00) Mike's Macro Framework -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week Mike & Mark discuss wether the effect of rising interest rates have really been felt yet, this weeks CPI print and why we should prepare for deflation throughout 2023, not inflation. As inflation continues on it's downward trajectory, how will this impact the Fed's reaction function, the economy & markets? To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! __ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ __ Referenced In The Show: Sohn 2023 | Kiril Sokoloff in conversation with Stanley Druckenmiller: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bMAm2S1M_IU Where Are We In The Macro Cycle? | Bob Elliott & Cameron Dawson: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e4u5-GMkoiM&t=584s — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

SPECIAL EPISODE: This is an episode of Blockworks' new podcast called 1000x! 1000x is a crypto markets podcast hosted by professional traders Avi Felman and Jonah Van Bourg that is for traders by traders (or anyone interested in trading/markets). In this episode, Avi and Jonah discuss Bitcoin's outlook and recent meme coin mania. We start with a discussion on Bitcoin and if bank failures are priced in, what it will take for BTC to break past the 30K range and if institutions are buying. Avi and Jonah then debate if we'll ever see 2021s perfect storm again. Meme coins are pumping, blockspace demand is saturated, and market sentiment is shifting. Is this a market turning point or just a short-term phenomenon? Tune in to find out! We'll drop a new 1000x episode on Empire's RSS feed and the 1000x YouTube channel every two weeks. Hit the links below and give us a follow! - - Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:32) Are Bank Failures Priced In? (07:31) The Impact of a Potential US Default (12:51) Repeating 2021’s Perfect Storm (18:03) Meme Mania: Why You Should Pay Attention (31:30) Deflationary ETH and Blockspace Fee Generation (36:34) BTC Miner Revenue and BRC-20s - - Follow Avi: https://twitter.com/AviFelman Follow Jonah: https://twitter.com/jvb_xyz Follow 1000x: https://twitter.com/1000xPod Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3FuSarX Subscribe on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/mv4frfv7 Subscribe on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/wbaypprw Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ - - Resources: Golden Tree https://www.goldentree.com/ Cumberland https://cumberland.io/ BRC-20.io https://brc-20.io/ - - Disclaimer: Nothing said on 1000x is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Avi, Jonah and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.

On today's episode of On The Margin, Bob Elliott Co-Founder & CIO at Unlimited Funds & Cameron Dawson CIO at NewEdge Wealth join the show for a discussion on where are we in the current macro cycle. On the back of a better than expected earnings week, continued banking turmoil and a perceived hawkish FOMC meeting, Bob and Cameron share their thoughts on the path ahead for 2023 as the tightening cycle has yet to fully ripple through the economy and markets. Expecting "more pain to come", Bob and Cameron see the market correction and recession concerns to be immaterial... so far. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Bob: https://twitter.com/BobEUnlimited Follow Cameron: https://twitter.com/CameronDawson Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 __ Referenced In The Show: https://twitter.com/LizYoungStrat/status/1654509470720950273 — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:42) The Bond Market Is The Smart Money, Or Is It? (05:06) The Have Your Cake & Eat It Too Trade... Tech (10:51) Research Ad (11:04) Inflation Is A New Dynamic For Markets (14:01) Can The Fed Continue Raising Rates Amidst Banking Turmoil? (17:40) There Won't Be A Pivot Without Some Pain (27:44) Permissionless (28:28) Breaking Down Recent Earnings (35:33) The A.I Earnings Theme (44:22) What To Expect Throughout 2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week Mike & Mark discuss the collapse of First Republic Bank and the subsequent acquisition by JP Morgan. Even with an FOMC meeting where the Fed raised an expected 25bp, regional bank headwinds remained the focus as certain bank equities fell sharply and First Republic Bank was acquired in a very favourable deal between the FDIC & JP Morgan. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Lightspeed Podcast Opportunity Click here to learn more about Blockworks' upcoming Lightspeed podcast and submit an application to be one of our hosts! http://bit.ly/40J0jCx — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On The Margin, Jan Van Eck CEO of VanEck joins the show for a discussion on the "new paradigm" markets find themselves in and how this could be a catalyst for a bull market in hard assets. As investors tackle inflation, rising rates and structural demographic shifts in 2023, Jan explores how investors can approach diversifying their portfolios. With Bitcoin rallying 70%+ and Gold boasting a 13%+ return year to date, are we in a new bull market for safe haven hard assets? To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Jan: https://twitter.com/JanvanEck3 Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Lightspeed Podcast Opportunity Click here to learn more about Blockworks' upcoming Lightspeed podcast and submit an application to be one of our hosts! http://bit.ly/40J0jCx — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:14) The Origins of Van Eck (05:21) Re-thinking The Banking System (12:47) Blockworks Research (13:36) A New Paradigm For Markets (20:48) Now Is The Time To Own Gold & Bitcoin (23:39) Is De-dollarization Real (29:27) Permissionless (30:10) Entering A Hard Asset Bull Market (36:32) Key Themes For The Decade Ahead — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mike & Mark discuss the continued banking panic after First Republic Bank lost around $100 Billion in deposits & saw its stock plunge over 95%. We then discuss the recent price action in the crypto market with Bitcoin hovering around $30,000 as some OG crypto whales begin moving coins in addresses that haven't seen activity in years. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On The Margin, David Rosenberg Founder and President of Rosenberg Research & Associates joins the show for a discussion on the mounting recessionary headwinds that signal towards a recession in the second half of 2023. Arguing that "a recession is a 2023 story", David walks through the leading indicators that suggest a slowdown could be on the very near horizon. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow David: https://twitter.com/EconguyRosie Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Lightspeed Podcast Opportunity Click here to learn more about Blockworks' upcoming Lightspeed podcast and submit an application to be one of our hosts! http://bit.ly/40J0jCx — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Jack Farley host of the Forward Guidance podcast joins the show to discuss bank earnings a month on from the "March banking panic". We also discuss the Fed's weekly H.4.1 report which saw a slight uptick in the BTFP usage, and a slight reduction in the discount window borrowing. We then tie how all these factors will effect the economy and markets, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Jack: https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Lightspeed Podcast Opportunity Click here to learn more about Blockworks' upcoming Lightspeed podcast and submit an application to be one of our hosts! http://bit.ly/40J0jCx Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On The Margin, Julian Brigden Co-founder of Macro Intelligence 2 Partners joins the show to discuss the process of tightening credit in the banking system and what it will mean for the economy and markets. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Julian: https://twitter.com/JulianMI2 Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Lightspeed Podcast Opportunity Click here to learn more about Blockworks' upcoming Lightspeed podcast and submit an application to be one of our hosts! http://bit.ly/40J0jCx -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mike & Mark discuss the "global wave of liquidity" that has hit markets in recent months. Mark states that China, Japan & the U.S have all contributed to the positive liquidity backdrop which has seen stocks and crypto aggressively rally. We also discuss the recent U.S inflation numbers, what this means for markets & the economy in the coming months. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On The Margin Jim Bianco of Bianco Research joins the show to discuss the fallout of SVB's collapse, and the turmoil that ensued in the banking system. Arguing that rates are currently too high for banks, how will the Fed be forced to react whilst managing both financial stability and inflation. To find out, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Jim: https://twitter.com/biancoresearch Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Lightspeed Podcast Opportunity Click here to learn more about Blockworks' upcoming Lightspeed podcast and submit an application to be one of our hosts! http://bit.ly/40J0jCx -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

To view the charts discussed in today's episode, head over to our YouTube here: https://youtu.be/d04D0_WjqEg -- On today's episode of On The Margin, Jurrien Timmer Director of Global Macro at Fidelity joins the show for a discussion on the current "liquidity limbo" markets find themselves in. Bulls expect recessionary pressures to abide, rate hikes to turn into cuts and financial conditions to loosen whilst the bears foresee an earnings decline, more Fed tightening and a continued tightening of financial conditions. Jurrien walks through both the bull and bear case for markets, drawing on his recent research and enlightening chart deck which help provide visual aid to both sides of the argument. Who will be proven right in 2023: the bulls or the bears? To find out, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Jurrien: https://twitter.com/TimmerFidelity Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Today's show is sponsored by Public.com: Get a 4.8% yield when you open a government-backed Treasury Account.* That's a higher yield than a high-yield savings account.** Go to https://Public.com/onthemargin *26-week T-bill rate (as of 5/4/23) when held to maturity. Rate shown is gross of fees. **As compared to the national high-yield savings average of 3.43% (Source: Time.com/NextAdvisor as of 12/30/22). -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On The Margin, we welcome Darius Dale Founder & CEO of 42 Macro back to the show to discuss the recent liquidity measures in response to the banking turmoil over the past few weeks. With Markets rallying and investors piling back into the best performing asset's of the past two years, Darius urges caution. While the banking scare of recent weeks doesn't resemble 2008, "don't be a hero". Darius walks through the current liquidity cycle and describes how that could quickly lead to a shift in the credit cycle. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Darius: https://twitter.com/42Macro Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On The Margin, we sit down with James Davolos Portfolio manager at Horizon Kinetics and Sholom Jacobs CEO and founder of Jacobs Real Estate Advisors for a discussion on commercial real estate and it's impact on the continued turmoil in the banking sector. With 70% of commercial real estate loans being supplied by small sized regional banks, how will low occupancy levels, higher interest rates and deposit flight to global systemically important banks (G-SIBs) impact the almost $20 trillion commercial real estate market? Is the collapse of SVB enough to cause a cascading "crisis of confidence" across the sector? To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Horizon Kinetics: https://twitter.com/HorizonKinetics Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

After another week of continued turmoil across the banking sector, Mike and Mark discuss the "crisis of confidence" that is spreading across the banking system. With Deutsche Bank coming into the spotlight towards the end of the week, are the headlines overblown, or could further issues lie ahead for European banks? To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On The Margin, we sit down with Michael Howell Managing Director at Cross Border Capita to discuss the most recent FOMC meeting. With a backdrop of banking turmoil, historic bond market volatility and above target inflation, how will Powell react to the recent market action? To find out, you'll have to tune in! — Follow Michael: https://twitter.com/crossbordercap Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Jack: https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

After another week of continued turmoil across the banking sector, Mike and Mark discuss the developing fallout since Silicon Valley Bank's collapse. This week, Credit Suisse faced record outflows, resulting in a $54 Billion loan from the Swiss National Bank as the bank faces a "crisis of confidence". To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ — Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ — Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 — Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, Caitlin Long Founder & CEO at Custodia Bank & Nic Carter Founding Partner at Castle Island Ventures join the show to discuss the recent banking turmoil with the collapse of Silvergate and Silicon Valley Bank which led to the closure of Signature Bank over the weekend. Interest rate risk in HTM portfolios was the key driver of the recent bank runs we have seen, but how have they reverberated all around the world? We then discuss the political backlash crypto banks have received as a consequence of the bank crisis and whether this could be an operation chokepoint 2.0 scenario, something Nic has been writing about for many months. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Caitlin: https://twitter.com/CaitlinLong_ Follow Nic: https://twitter.com/nic__carter Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Follow Market Depth On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3mVTs9U Follow Market Depth On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/40dA2vm Follow Market Depth On YouTube: http://bit.ly/3JKhw8I -- On today's episode of On the Margin, Weston Nakamura, the latest addition to the Blockworks team joins the show to discuss his brand new podcast Market Depth! You can follow the links above to listen to the first episode of Market Depth. Following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, Mike and Weston discuss the market reaction and subsequent historic moves in the bond market, which saw the largest decline in the 2Y treasury yield since 1982. We also discuss broader implications on global markets, the BoJ's passing of the guard as Kuroda leaves office and how markets have seemingly shrugged off the SVB collapse. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Weston: https://twitter.com/acrossthespread Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This debut episode is from our brand new podcast Market Depth hosted by Weston Nakamura. Follow Market Depth using the links below to stay up to date with the latest episodes! Follow Market Depth On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3mVTs9U Follow Market Depth On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/40dA2vm Follow Market Depth On YouTube: http://bit.ly/3JKhw8I -- Follow Weston: https://twitter.com/acrossthespread Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_  Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Market Depth or On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, after a week of turmoil across the banking industry, Mike & Mark discuss the collapse of Silvergate and Silicon Valley Bank. With fears mounting over the mark to market value of bank's asset's, we walk through the dynamics which led to depositors running for the exit doors in typical bank run style fashion. What lies ahead for the banking industry from here? Will contagion spread like in 2008, or are banks much better capitalised to weather the storm in 2023? To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! Filmed Friday 10th March hours before the closing of Silicon Valley Bank. -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, Shehzad Qazi Managing Director at China Beige Book joins the show for a discussion on the cyclical and secular outlook for the Chinese economy. As China has announced their full reopening, Shehzad is able to walk through the data China beige Book has been able to collect throughout January and February. Expecting a positive year for China, Shehzad walks through both the cyclical and more structural slower growth environment China will experience over the coming decade due to Xi Jinping's new focus on "common prosperity", as appose to growth at all costs. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Shehzad: https://twitter.com/shehzadhqazi Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Today's show is sponsored by Public.com: Get a 5.1% yield when you open a government-backed Treasury Account.* That's a higher yield than a high-yield savings account.** Go to https://Public.com/onthemargin *26-week T-bill rate (as of 3/8/23) when held to maturity. Rate shown is gross of fees. **As compared to the national high-yield savings average of 3.43% (Source: Time.com/NextAdvisor as of 12/30/22). -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:27) The Chinese Lockdown of 2022 (02:17) China In 2023: A Tale of Two Stories (07:30) The Chinese Credit Impulse (10:03) Public Ad (11:26) The Chinese Banking System (16:13) The Reopening's Impact On Commodities (19:25) Will The Reopening In China Spur Inflation? (24:57) U.S & China In The Great Power Competition (36:08) China's Demographic Decline (40:20) A New Paradigm Over The Next Decade -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, as Mark takes some well deserved time off, we combine forces with Jack Farley, host of the Forward Guidance podcast for a special edition of Forward Marginal Guidance. As Berkshire Hathaway released their 2023 shareholder letter, we invited Buffett expert Yun Li to the show to share her top takeaways from this years annual letter. We then take a deep dive into inflation, yields and the how the Fed may be forced to act as signs of inflation resurging rear their head. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Follow Yun: https://twitter.com/YunLi626 Follow Jack: https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Referenced In The Show: To the Shareholders of Berkshire Hathaway: https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2022ltr.pdf -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, Cameron Dawson CIO at NewEdge Wealth joins the show for a discussion on the path ahead for the Fed, the outlook for earnings and a potential new regime for markets as certain inflation data begins reaccelerating. We also take a look at some of America's great recessions and discuss wether or not they provide good comparisons to 2023. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Cameron: https://twitter.com/CameronDawson Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Referenced In The Show: Disequilibrium How America's Great Inflation Led to the Great Recession: https://books.apple.com/us/book/disequilibrium/id1183616897  Running Up That Hill: Confronting Earnings Hills: https://www.newedgewealth.com/running-up-that-hill/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:43) Hard Landing, Soft Landing Or No Landing? (02:57) The Fed's Job Isn't Over Yet (11:13) The Bond Market Scores A D- (13:36) Blockworks Research (14:26) Looking Back At America's Great Recessions (28:27) How The QE Era Differs From QT Now (32:06) The Median Voter Theorem (36:25) Permissionless 2023 (37:10) Running Up That Hill: Confronting Earnings Hills (44:52) The Bull, Bear & Neutral Case For Earnings (52:46) A New Regime For Markets? -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mike & Mark begin by discussing the Coinbase Q4 earnings which saw an additional $30 million in revenue than analysts had expected. We break down the balance sheet and compare Coinbase's revenue when operating in bull & bear markets. We then move on to Coinbase's layer-2 announcement, Base. Could this signal a turning point amid crypto winter and how will this impact the crypto developer ecosystem. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, Vincent Deluard Director of Global Macro at StoneX joins the show for a discussion on the rise of secular inflation. Being early to the inflation call, Vincent walks through the dynamics that allowed him to spot the rise of inflation, and how it will impact the next decade and beyond. We then dive into the role of inflation during a fourth turning and how this could shift the balance back to labor, contrary to the rise of capital during "the great disinflation. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Vincent: https://twitter.com/VincentDeluard Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Referenced In The Show: Clip: Sir James Goldsmith Presciently Explaining Globalization in 1994: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKe38mVpHgk -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:55) Why Is 2023 Data So Strong? (05:28) Turns Out... Europe Didn't Freeze (10:19) Liquidity vs The Economy (13:00) Blockworks Research (14:33) Becoming An Early Inflationista (21:47) Inflation Is The Solution (30:46) The End of Secular Disinflation (35:33) Permissionless 2023 (36:17) The Fourth Turning (40:53) The Key To Inflation Is Trust (44:19) Preparing For The Coming Decade Amid Secular Inflation -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mike & Mark discuss the outlook for inflation in 2023. On the back of a 6.4% YoY CPI, could inflation remain sticky, or will the year ahead be met with a sharp decline in inflation? As "animal spirits" persist in markets, despite the yield curve repricing higher, and the terminal rate along with it, why are markets so intent on fighting the Fed? To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_on_... , you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, Warren Pies Founder of 3Fourteen Research joins the show to discuss wether the Fed will be able to achieve their soft landing. Focusing on the housing market, Warren describes how this is the key signal to watch for a hard vs soft landing in the U.S economy. Warren then walks through the Fed's quantitative tightening program and how this could effect markets in 2023. As short term bullish technicals emerge, how should investors position if the long term fundamentals are bearish? Finally, with an expertise in energy markets, Warren walks through "the energy trade" of the 2022, and how it could perform into 2023. As many headwinds remain for energy supply, what implications will China's economy reopening have for the global energy market? To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Warren: https://twitter.com/WarrenPies Follow 3Fourteen Research: https://twitter.com/3F_Research Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:49) How Likely Is A Soft Landing? (08:28) Quantitative Tightening (16:34) Preparing For A Fed Pause/Pivot (20:00) Blockworks Research (20:49) Bullish Technicals vs Bearish Fundamentals (27:32) The Path Ahead For Inflation In 2023 (31:09) Animal Spirits Are Back For Markets (34:18) Warren's Earnings Forecast (38:29) Permissionless 2023 (39:13) The Effect Of China Reopening (44:50) How Energy Drove Inflation (48:50) Cycles Take Time To Play Out -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mike & Mark discuss the SEC crackdown on crypto as Kraken settles for a $30 million fine and agrees to stop it's staking operation. Mark states "first they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win". As the pressure ramps up on U.S crypto companies, what will this mean for the future of the industry? -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_on_... , you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, Peter Boockvar Chief Investment Officer of Bleakley Financial Group and Editor of The Boock Report joins the show for a discussion on the path ahead for the U.S economy. As markets have rallied to start the year, Peter walks through the state of the U.S economy. With inflation having seemingly peaked, Powell seems confident that disinflation will be the path ahead for 2023. Peter breaks down Powell's recent comments at the press conference last week before discussing how interest rates being "higher for longer" will effect corporate & household balance sheets and wether the Fed will get their soft landing. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Peter: https://twitter.com/pboockvar Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Today's show is sponsored by Public.com: Get a 4.9% yield when you open a government-backed Treasury Account.* That's a higher yield than a high-yield savings account.** Go to https://Public.com/onthemargin *26-week T-bill rate (as of 2/6/23) when held to maturity. Rate shown is gross of fees. **As compared to the national high-yield savings average of 3.43% (Source: Time.com/NextAdvisor as of 12/30/22). -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Referenced In The Show: All Eyes On Inflation: "A Pause Is Not A Pivot" | Weekly Round Up: https://open.spotify.com/episode/50ABz990nXRh2NEXU6aVRd?si=3b9a53f609314f94 The Boock Report: https://boockreport.com/ -- Timestamps:  (00:00) Introduction (00:35) A Breakdown of The U.S Economy  (02:40) Why Animal Spirits Are Back For Markets  (08:45) Will Powell Get His Soft Landing?  (14:12) Public Ad (15:59) Rates Will Remain Higher For Longer (22:46) The Chinese Reopening  (27:00) The Path Ahead For Inflation  (30:40) Permissionless Announcement  (31:24) Preparing For A Recession  (38:50) Breaking Down Earnings  (46:16) "The Market Is Partying Like It's 2021" -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mike & Mark discuss the week of central bank rate hikes and press conferences. With the Fed, BoE & ECB continuing to raise interest rates, markets attempted to price in an eventual pause in rate hikes. With the S&P 500 up roughly 7% through January 2023, and the most speculative of names rallying the most, reminiscent of 2021, we walk through the liquidity cycle up trend and how the loosening of financial conditions has eased downward pressure on the market to start off the new year. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_on_... , you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, Jim Bianco Founder of Bianco Research LLC joins the show alongside Jack Farley Host of Forward Guidance for a discussion on Powell's press conference on Wednesday 1st February. Markets started the new year with a strong rally seeing gains of around 7% in the S&P 500. Many anticipated a hawkish press conference from Jerome Powell in a bid to tighten financial conditions and try ease some of the "animal spirits" that we saw throughout 2021. Jim makes just that comparison. "This market is showing signs of 2021" with the most speculative and highest beta names rallying the most. We walk through Powell's comments in the press conference after raising rates 25 basis points and what the path ahead will mean for markets, the economy and most importantly inflation. -- Follow Jim: https://twitter.com/biancoresearch Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Jack: https://twitter.com/JackFarley96 Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code MARGIN10 for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mark and Mike discuss all things macro as they break down GDP and earning expectations. US GDP just came in above expectations at 2.9%. Is a soft landing possible, or is the economy holding on by a thread? Mark gives his convincing arguments for the latter. We also take a deep dive into the housing market, corporate earnings, overvalued tech stocks and why all eyes are on Japan. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_on_... , you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, Charles Edwards Founder of Capriole Investments joins the show to discuss Bitcoin's place in the current macro cycle. We start with the state of macro and then dive into what inflation, interest rates and the Fed's actions mean for Bitcoin. We hit on frameworks for valuing BTC, Bitcoin's monetary policy and what metrics investors should be watching. Finally, we close with a conversation on Bitcoin's role as an inflation hedge and long-term outlook! -- Follow Charles: https://twitter.com/caprioleio Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research https://www.blockworksresearch.com/ -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Referenced In The Show: Capriole's website https://capriole.com/ Capriole's newsletter https://capriole.com/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:54) The Current Macro Environment (06:41) Crypto’s Changing Sentiment (11:16) Frameworks for Valuing BTC (14:41) Miner Capitulation (22:44) Permissionless Ad (23:29) Bitcoin vs Ethereum (33:34) A Fed Pivot? (41:10) 2023 Outlook (43:51) Bitcoin as an Inflation Hedge (47:34) Bitcoin’s NASDAQ Correlation -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mike & Mark are joined by James Davolos Portfolio manager at Horizon Kinetics for a debate on all things inflation. At the end of the day, will team transitory will be proven right into 2023? After hearing last weeks episode, James reached out to engage in a friendly debate with Mark as he has a slightly different view on the inflation dynamics into 2023. We then move on to the mounting pressures in housing as KKR, Blackstone & Starwood limit withdrawals to their REIT products. Mark reflects on the 2007/08 period and what similarities, if any, we can make today in 2023. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Horizon Kinetics: https://twitter.com/HorizonKinetics Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_on_... , you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, Michel Kao joins the show for a discussion on the U.S Dollar and its role in the great power competition. Michael outlines his thesis for an upcoming paper on the U.S Dollar looking at the geopolitical significance of the Dollar and the four key economic pillars of which is stands upon. As many have called for the demise of the U.S Dollar, Michael sees the current rules based order continuing, despite the less favourable policies the U.S has enacted. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Michael Kao: https://twitter.com/UrbanKaoboy Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Referenced In The Show: Inflation/USD Wrecking Ball-Who's Gonna Out-Hawk the Fed?: https://twitter.com/UrbanKaoboy/status/1613279643754463232  Money and Empire: Charles P. Kindleberger and the Dollar System: https://www.cambridge.org/core/books/abs/money-and-empire/money-and-empire/E9C856CAE32893E703C9BF474511A046  Sanctions book – Backfire: Agathe Demarais: https://agathedemarais.com/sanctions-book-backfire/  Chip War: The Fight for the World's Most Critical Technology: https://www.christophermiller.net/semiconductors-1  Acquired: TSMC: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/tsmc/id1050462261?i=1000534514877  The Geopolitical Mosh Pit: https://twitter.com/UrbanKaoboy/status/1589253118268944386  Sir James Goldsmith Presciently Explaining Globalization in 1994: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKe38mVpHgk  Rubicon: The Last Years of the Roman Republic: https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/91017.Rubicon -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:17) The Primacy of the US Dollar And Its Role In the Great Power Competition (04:04) Economic Pillars of National Power: Geography, Natural Resources & Industrial Capacity (16:56) The Aftermath of Bretton Woods (32:38) The Geopolitics of U.S Dollar Sanctions, Semiconductors & Energy Policy (47:38) Energy Independence, The Dollar Wrecking Ball & Inflation (59:35) Permissionless Ad (1:00:20) The U.S Dollar Dutch Disease (1:15:34) The Great Power Competition & Rules Based Order (1:23:33) A Summary of The Great Power Competition Between The U.S & China -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mark and Mike discuss all things macro as they break down this weeks CPI release. Taking a deep dive into all the elements of the CPI bucket, Mark expects inflation to continue falling throughout 2023. Will team transitory ultimately be proven right? To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_on_... , you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, Will Clemente and Dylan LeClair join Mike to discuss Bitcoin's 2023 outlook. Bitcoin is a liquidity gauge, and the markets are drying up. We explore what we expect from macro, how the Fed will respond and what this means for crypto, bonds and currency markets. Will and Dylan then explain Bitcoin's correlation to macro, why Bitcoin has "failed" to be an inflation hedge and their (bullish) investment thesis. Finally, we close with a conversation on Bitcoin miners, Silvergate/Genesis and projections for crypto in 2023! -- Follow Will: https://twitter.com/WClementeIII Follow: Dylan https://twitter.com/DylanLeClair_ Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Use code MARGIN10 to get 10% off Permissionless 2023 in Austin: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Referenced In The Show: Reflexivity Research's 2022/2023 Report https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ET__oUi5LeoKBxX2pBZu0FL9AaQ9B56R/view Reflexivity Research https://www.reflexivityresearch.com/ Bitcoin Magazine https://bitcoinmagazine.com/ Felix on Forward Guidance https://bit.ly/3Zx0CAj -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:51) The 2022 Leverage Unwind (05:06) Tailwinds or Headwinds on the Horizon? (12:09) How Japan Could Trigger a Black Swan Event (14:31) Currency Markets vs Bond Markets (17:47) It’s All a Liquidity Game (22:59) The Macro and Crypto Correlation (32:44) Permissionless Ad (33:28) Bitcoin’s Inflation Hedge Narrative (41:40) Bitcoin Miner Dynamics (52:38) Silvergate and Genesis (1:00:57) Crypto’s 2023 Outlook -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

This week, Mark is back for the first On The Margin weekly roundup of 2023! What better way to kick off the new year than with an outlook for the year ahead in markets. As 2022 was dominated by central banks tightening in an attempt to tame inflation, how will these dynamics play out in 2023, and how will they impact asset prices from stocks, bonds, commodities and crypto. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_on_... , you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- Permissionless is the brainchild of Blockworks and Bankless. Over 5,500 people attended the inaugural event in 2022, making Permissionless the world’s largest DeFi conference. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when purchasing tickets using this link: https://blockworks.co/event/permissionless-2023 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, we are joined by one of Blockworks' very own research analysts Matt Fiebach for a deep dive on their most recent report "2022 Year End Review: Network Coverage, Layer 1s & 2s". Matt walks us through the top stories of the year from the Ethereum merge, to the Layer 1 wars, and the various narratives the year saw in crypto markets. We then deep dive into the contagion crypto experienced with 3AC, FTX and other CeFi lenders throughout 2022. Finally, Matt looks ahead to 2023, sharing with us his big calls for what lies ahead for crypto markets in the year to come, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Matt: https://twitter.com/MattFiebach Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Research, news, data, governance and models – now, all in one place. As a listener of On The Margin, you can use code "MARGIN10" for a 10% discount when signing up to Blockworks Research using this link: https://blockworks.co/get-research/ -- Referenced In The Show: 2022 Year End Review: Network Coverage, Layer 1s & 2s: https://www.blockworksresearch.com/research/2022-in-review-network-coverage-layer-1s-and-2s -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (00:55) The Ethereum Merge (06:05) Narratives In Crypto (08:21) Layer 1s & 2s In 2022 (12:35) The Investment Case For Layer 2s (19:01) The Cosmos Ecosystem (27:43) Alternative L1s: Solana, Avalanche & Aptos (42:35) Network Infrastructure: Oracles & Bridges (46:28) Matt's 2023 Outlook For Crypto -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

Jack Farley, host of Forward Guidance, welcomes George Goncalves and Joseph Wang to share their 2023 outlook on the Federal Reserve and inflation. Goncalves, Head of U.S. Macro Strategy at MUFG Securities, argues that inflation is slowing rapidly and the Federal Reserve is nearly done with raising interest rates. Joseph Wang, former senior trader for the New York Fed, contends that 2023 will be the year that “transitory will die” and that the Federal Reserve will tighten as far as it can as inflation stays high. Wang and Goncalves also discuss the housing market, quantitative tightening, yield curve inversions, and their outlook on risk assets. -- Follow George Goncalves on Twitter: https://twitter.com/bondstrategist Follow Joseph Wang on Twitter: https://twitter.com/FedGuy12 Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://rb.gy/uesguv Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Forward Guidance On Spotify: https://spoti.fi/3WDa6b5 Follow Forward Guidance On Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/3hXQu2F Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Forward Guidance on Twitter https://rb.gy/cy0dki Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ -- This episode is sponsored by Curve. Curve is unlike any other credit card. It gives you the power to connect multiple credit and debit cards into one, convert your cashback into crypto rewards, Go Back in Time ®, create Smart Rules, and more. Apply now through https://link.curve.com/blockworks_on_... , you’ll earn $20 in Curve Cash after your first transaction. So sign up today! Terms and conditions apply. -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, we are joined by Brent Johnson CEO of Santiago Capital for a discussion on the macro forces that drove markets in 2022 and what to expect heading into 2023. The story of 2022 was the U.S Dollar says Brent, long known for his "Dollar milkshake theory". With the Dollar surging all throughout 2022, Brent walks through the effect it had on other markets from bonds, equities and Gold. Warning of the bear market rallies of 2022, Brent remains cautious on risk assets heading into 2023 as the Fed continues tightening financial conditions. Finally, Brent shares his outlook for 2023 where he expects more volatility, uncertainty and geopolitical risk. Sharing his view through the lens of The Fourth Turning, Brent highlights the most important factors to pay attention to in 2023 and beyond, but to hear that, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Brent: https://twitter.com/SantiagoAuFund Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:16) The Macro Story of 2022 (03:55) The Fed Will Continue Raising Rates Into 2023 (06:33) Did The Fed Loose Credibility In 2022? (11:08) Everybody's Looking At The Fed, What About Other Central Banks? (16:01) What Is Happening With The BoJ? (26:15) We Are In The Heart of Triffin's Dilemma (32:29) The Fourth Turning (40:50) Brent's Big Calls For 2023 -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

In today’s episode of On The Margin, we bring on Jason and Santi from Empire to discuss our 2023 crypto thesis. We debate predictions on the Wallet Wars, ETH vs Bitcoin, the rise of insurance, app-specific vertical integration, the adoption of CBDCs, Coinbase vs DEXs, MEV as a business model and more! - - Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (02:30) Crypto’s 2022 Wrapped (12:18) The Bottom is in for Crypto, not for Equities (19:46) Kings of Spot & NFT Trading Will Lose Market Share (22:50) Stablecoins, DeFi’s Resurgence and Permissioned Protocols (28:10) Regulators are Coming, and the CBDC debate (33:31) MEV will be the Business Model for DeFi & Exchanges (42:13) No Industry Takes Off Without Insurance (48:57) A Market Bottom & the Value of Memes (52:44) Curve ad (54:00) ETH vs Bitcoin (spicy) (1:05:13) Miner Capitulation, Wallet Wars & Gaming (1:12:54) Vertical Integration, Privacy and Payments (1:19:13) The Rise of Professional Guilds - - Follow Mark: https://twitter.com/MarkYusko Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow Santi: https://twitter.com/santiagoroel Follow Jason: https://twitter.com/JasonYanowitz Empire links: Subscribe on YouTube: https://tinyurl.com/4fdhhb2j Subscribe on Apple: https://tinyurl.com/mv4frfv7 Subscribe on Spotify: https://tinyurl.com/wbaypprw Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod On The Margin links: Subscribe on YouTube: https://bit.ly/3YGtdml Subscribe on Apple: https://bit.ly/3BUZXhK Subscribe on Spotify: https://bit.ly/3hHY1m4 Follow OTM: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ - - Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.

On today's episode of On the Margin, we are joined by Byron Gilliam, Blockworks' very own Newsletter writer for a discussion on top market events in 2022, and what to expect going into 2023. We begin by discussing the current bear market in equities and bonds where Byron highlights "this bear market is not that bad" compared to previous bear markets. With his experience as an equites trader, Byron shares his thoughts on the typical 60/40, what equities look reasonably priced after the corrections seen in 2022 and how inflation influenced the investing environment over the year. We then reflect on the crypto markets in 2022 and some of the CeFi deleveraging. Is this positive long term for the space, or could this hinder investor interest in the industry. To hear all this and more, you'll have to tune in! -- Follow Byron: https://twitter.com/bgilliam1982 Follow Mike: https://twitter.com/MikeIppolito_ Follow On The Margin: https://twitter.com/OnTheMarginPod Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/blockworks_ Get top market insights and the latest in crypto news. Subscribe to Blockworks Daily Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Referenced In The Show: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/ -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:06) This Bear Market Is Not That Bad (03:07) Is 60/40 Dead? (04:56) Is Inflation Secular, Or Will Transitory Be Proven Right? (07:37) Are Earnings The Next Shoe To Drop? (09:55) The Importance of Liquidity In 2022 (12:24) In Defense of Arthur Burns (21:29) Could Market's Be Flat For A Decade? (26:32) Reflecting On Crypto In 2022 (29:12) Crypto Will Be Great For Users, But Not For Investors (35:38) Does Crypto Really Need A New Bull Market? (38:04) Will CeFi Contagion Help Spur DeFi Growth? (43:38) Has Elon Musk Bitten of More Than He Can Chew With Twitter? -- Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on On The Margin should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.