Stock market news for long term stock market investors. There is so much daily news noise in the investment world that it can drive a normal person crazy. From today's Trump tweets, Brexit issues, government shutdowns etc. However, the forces driving the economy, business, are pretty clear and no matter what, you can know what will happen in 2050. If it doesn't, then your investments will be the last things to worry about. Enjoy the news about the economy, inflation, demographics, how to invest for the long term, how Buffett is investing and my strategy. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

Micron stock analysis in detail. Info on Micron's business, MU's fundamentals, Micron's stock price, and how to invest in Micron etc. (video correction: Samsung invested an equal amount to MU's PP&E, not market cap) 0:00 Micron stock analysis 2:06 Micron short thesis 4:20 The memory industry 5:00 Earnings prediction for MU stock 6:24 Closing short position 7:15 Book value and business value 8:00 Micron stock at fair value currently? 9:00 Competition and moat for Micron 9:50 Can Micron go bust? 11:00 Next memory industry cycle 13:30 Dividends 14:00 Moat 15:15 Investment strategy & risk and reward 20:18 Recession risk and impact on MU 22:15 conclusion Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

Amtech Stock Analysis discussed, a potential value investment with Yaokai. We discuss the fundamentals, why is the stock cheap and whether there is value for long term investors. We show what are the first steps when analyzing a stock before buying. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

Stock market crash, followed by an economic collapse or perhaps even hyperinflation, currency crisis, hopefully not war. I tell my story of how I invested there and why you should always stay positive. Value always prevails no matter what happens. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

Altria, perhaps one of the most requested stocks for me to analyze and that's logical, we have strong fundamentals, declining stock prices, high dividend yields, and a difficult industry to understand, due to lots of risks and uncertainties. Let's dig into the industry and discuss Altria, Philip Morris International, and British American Tobacco and talk about management, risks, investing strategy and potential long term expectations. 0:00 Altria stock analysis and fundamentals 3:05 Reason for stock price decline 4:17 Tobacco business overview 6:45 Discounted cash flows for MO 10:47 BTI stock – British American Tobacco 13:24 Philip Morris International 13:54 Are tobacco stocks a bargain 15:00 My opinion Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

I am not usually saying that index funds are bad but simply that the risk at current levels is too high for the returns and the lower yielding Treasury is better from a risk reward perspective than an index funds. I think Graham would agree as stocks were extremely expensive for him in 1971 where we can see above the price to earnings ratio was close to 19. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

Stock market news on how to invest in stocks but still have a balanced portfolio no matter what happens, stock market crashes or whatever. If you worry when stocks crash, it means you don't have a balanced portfolio. You can balance one like Dalio, among different asset classes or you can go Buffett style and have lots of cash when the economy is hot. Buffett will use that cash to buy stocks when the economy is in a recession. The key is to have balance, without it, you are very likely to do the wrong thing at the wrong moment like the majority of those that don't have balance withing their finances. Nobody knows what will happen, so the only thing we can do is to be prepared for anything. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

I explain my two stock market portfolios that make the base of my long term stock market investing. One is a lump sum core value investing portfolio while the other focuses more on taking advantage of opportunities and relaxes the value rules. This are my stock market plans for 2019 and beyond. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

How did Ray Dalio beat the market in 2018, practically all markets? Well, it is all about strategy and mindset as he didn't beat the market in 2017 nor 2016. Therefore, you have to decide what will your strategy be and then stick to it over the long term. It is about investing mindset, portfolio balance (all-weather portfolio) and asset class risk focus. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: https://www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

Graham’s message is simple: Take advantage of low price levels and high price levels Buy when you have money but be careful what you buy Don’t worry about market fluctuations as you can’t influence those Avoid buying when market has extremely high valuations, look for special situations then Never buy or sell something due to market moves Find good management running the business Be a business owner If you can follow the above, you have nothing to worry! Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

Stock market news today about volatility and market behavior. A bit about how people sell stocks low and buy stocks high. Also, I'll give you my 100% correct stock market prediction for 2019 and Buffett's view too. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

The Intelligent Investor – where to find opportunities I continue with my contemporary summary of Benjamin Graham’s book The Intelligent Investor as I believe that the combination of the everlasting wisdom in the book and a modern approach is all what an investor needs to reach great returns, the best financial education at this point in time. Today’s discussion is about Chapter 7 – Portfolio Policy for the Enterprising Investor: The Positive Side. Today we turn from discussing how a defensive investor should invest to discussing how an enterprising investor should invest, one that devotes a fair amount of time in order to beat the market. There are 4 things an enterprising investor has to focus on: - Buying low and selling high - Growth stocks - Bargains - Special situations We will discuss the buying low and selling high strategy when summarizing the next chapter, chapter 8 that is alongside chapter 20 what every investor should read according to Buffet. Let’s see what Graham has to say about growth stocks. Growth stocks A growth stock is defined as one that has grown better than the average and will continue to do so. We would all like to have invested in Netflix a few years ago or to find the next Netflix to invest in. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

Gazprom Stock Analysis! 0:24 Gazprom’s value 3:25 Management is great 7:39 Investing strategy Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

Chapter 6 of The Intelligent Investor discusses: Junk bonds Foreign bonds New stock issues - IPOs Second grade bonds – Junk bonds This is not really a contemporary subject but one to keep in mind for when bond opportunities arise. Graham discusses how sometimes second grade bonds, or what we would now call high yield or junk bonds trade at extreme discounts to their maturity value due to changes in interest rates and due to the change in the perception of risk. The junk bond yield has significantly increased over the past few months but is still far from opportunity territory as it was the case in 2016, 2011 and especially 2009. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

How to invest, where to invest, when to invest and with whom to invest are important questions to answer. I sit down with dr. Per Jenster and we discuss the financial education one should have and where to get it. 0:37 Be careful with banks 1:40 Retail investor education 2:30 High risk investing schemes 3:40 Investing education 4:10 Hidden bank fees 5:21 How to protect yourself 6:00 Education 8:21 Key questions to ask 9:50 Where to find education 11:44 Investing and taxes Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

The Intelligent Investor – Chapter 5 – The defensive investor and common stocks. We all like common stocks but in this part of the economic cycle we should also be defensive and therefore it is a perfect time to discuss Chapter 5 of Benjamin Graham’s book The Intelligent Investor – The defensive investor and common stocks. The topics discussed are: - Four rules to follow when buying stocks - Growth stocks - Dollar cost averaging - Investor’s personal situation The defensive investor and common stocks: Graham discusses how in 1949 stocks were considered highly speculative but how towards the end of the 1960s, stocks were considered a must have. The situation isn’t much different now, stocks are considered the best investment out there while in 1982 stocks were considered risky, highly speculative and not something to own. This is typical for how humans go about stocks, don’t forget that in your life there will be at least two such market cycles. The main point is that stocks are sometimes extremely cheap and sometimes extremely expensive and the key is to properly allocate your portfolio funds in relation to the risk and reward. So, yes, stocks have and will probably deliver inflation protection and higher returns over the long term but these benefits, to quote Graham: “could be lost by the stock buyer if he pays too high a price for his shares”. This was the case from 1929 when it took 25 years for stocks to regain lost territory and let’s hope it will not be another historical case from 2018 even if valuations and debt looks similar. Of course, reinvesting dividend changes things but now there isn’t much to reinvest. Graham had no enthusiasm for common stocks in late 1971 due to the high valuations. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

Russian stocks have high yields and low PE ratios. Here is an introduction to my stock market research process. I discuss 15 Russian stocks and the Russia ETF (ERUS). Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

The Intelligent Investor – Chapter 4 – General Portfolio Policy: The Defensive Investor As crazy as it sounds, one should not have everything in stocks. Perhaps the best counter option are short-term bonds now. We discuss Graham’s take and apply a contemporary perspective on it. Graham clearly differentiates between aggressive and defensive investors where an aggressive investor spends a lot of time on research while a defensive one enjoys life. No matter where you are aggressive or defensive this chapter is crucial for this environment as being defensive might be the most aggressive thing one can do. Let’s see what Graham had to say about the stock and bond allocation and whether it still applies to this environment. Opposite view on risk: The common view on risk is that low risk equals low returns but Graham, like me, sees things from a different perspective. For him a well-researched bargain is much less risky than a bond because bonds lose a lot if interest rates increase and if there is inflation, thus those are also risky. The basic problem of bond stock allocation: Graham’s view for the defensive investor is to have an allocation between bonds and stocks between 25% and 75%. When stocks are cheap one should have 75% in stocks and vice versa. This is against human nature and we have seen that in 2017, after an 8-year bull market, stock market inflows were the highest. However, this human trait of buying high is exactly the reason why one should do the opposite and buy low when others are selling low. Another problem is that the stock-bond allocation is personal and here is where the problems start. If you would have been just 25% in stocks for the past 3 years you would have missed out on the 25% run the S&P 500 has had since while your returns would be around zero given the returns on bonds and their recent decline. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven Connect with me on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/svencarlin/

A month or something ago I was contacted by an investor that just set up a stock market and fixed income portfolio with an investment bank. He told them that his risk tolerance is minimal and that he would like some capital appreciation in the long term. He asked me to review the portfolio and investment strategy. 0:00 Intro 1:35 Portfolio structure 2:30 US equity 5:18 Diversification issue 7:40 Fund behavior 10:49 International stocks 12:50 Fixed income 14:45 Investment strategy Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com/ Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven

We continue with our discussion on the Intelligent Investor to apply the everlasting knowledge to the current market in order to avoid doing stupid things and take advantage of others’ stupid actions. Graham’s data go up to 1971 but so we will first look at his and later discuss the insight on the current situation. The main points Graham emphasizes where we can learn much from history are: the VARYING relationship between stock prices and their earnings and dividends It is important to understand the manner in which stocks have made their underlying advance through the MANY cycles of the past century Look at successive TEN-year averages of earnings, dividends and stock prices Graham’s take From 1871 to 1971 there have been 19 bear markets where stocks fell from 15% to 86% from top to bottom. Yes, 86% is the correct number and it was even 89% of the S&P 500 in the 1929-1932 period. Many forget that the 1920s were one of the best periods in history based on consumerism etc. Rings a bell? However, that is a story for another day. Let’s look at how Graham describes what had been going on. Want to know more about what I do? https://goo.gl/MQG2k5 Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: svencarlin.com Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven

So many of you focus on the wrong thing when investing in general, but especially in real estate. I share the key secret few follow when investing in real estate. 0:59 Secret to ‘investing’ in real estate 5:00 Should you buy now or wait? 6:00 Rent or buy? Want to know more about what I do? https://sven-carlin-research-platform... Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher! STOCK MARKET RESEARCH PLATFORM (analysis, stocks to buy, model portfolio) I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com Check out Modern Value Investing YouTube: www.youtube.com/c/InvestwithSvenCarlinPhD Like Modern Value Investing Facebook page: www.facebook.com/CarlinSven

The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham is probably the best book out there for long term value investors. However, the last issue is from the 1970s so I will go through the book in a series of podcasts in order to extract what is still relevant. Believe me there is plenty of it relevant, especially in this stock market. This will allow us to compare the current market with essential value investing wisdom and perhaps improve our risk reward perspective on things. Let’s start with chapter 1; Investment versus speculation: Results to be expected by the Intelligent Investor. This chapter discusses the appropriate portfolio policy for the individual investor, an everlasting topic. Chapter 1 – distinction between investor and speculator “An investment operation is one in which, upon thorough analysis promises safety of principal and an adequate return. Operations not meeting these requirements are speculative.” The key to Graham, as later with Buffett and Klarman is safety of principal which is the leading rule with value investors, never lose money. As now, so in the 1970 the was a big misunderstanding of who is an investor and who a speculator. Graham wouldn’t be happy when he would hear the notion of “investing in cryptocurrencies”. Therefor, if you are an investor you invest in the business and take little risk, everything else is speculations. In this market, it means that 98% of all assets are speculations. After the next crash, the stock market will again be called a casino and all things related as speculations, even if now everything seems an investment. As long as it goes up, it is. Same things were going on towards the end of the 1940s when stocks were considered a gamble, thus cheap and in the 1960s when the entire stock buying public called themselves investors.