Bill Phillips, rightly or wrongly, has a lot to answer for, because his work is drawn on by central banks when trying to determine the likely rate of inflation. But are they misinterpreting his theories? This week Steve Keen explains why there’s more to the Phillips curve than most people understand. There’s also a lot behind the man, from life on a farm in New Zealand, to engineering a radio in secret in a Japanese Prisoner of War camp. Listen in to hear the story of the man behind the infamous Phillips curve. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We continue our series looking at economists who influenced Steve Keens thinking. This week it’s American economists Richard Goodwin, who Steve says is the chief proponent of non-linear thinking in economics. He wrote Theories of Surplus Value, which was about business cycles happening without any exogenous shocks, from overaccumulation and overproduction His biggest weakness was that he didn’t accept the role of banks in money creation, as he highlighted in a letter to Steve in the 1990s. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Irving Fisher was an American economist whose book The Purchasing Power of Money looked at the relationship between money supply and price levels. In fact, to many he is seen as the father of monetarism, but on this week’s podcast Steve Keen explains how Fisher’s struggles with debt led him to develop his thinking on debt deflation as the cause of major economic downturns. He’s the first of a series of economists who have influenced Steve’s thinking, that we’ll be looking at over the next five weeks or so. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

How widespread is the idea that one person's debt is another person's credit and therefore has no impact on the economy. What are the implications of this thinking and what changes when the realisation that the banking sector is also involved and so is is the relative velocity of money in different hands. If we accepted that debt and credit don't always can cancel each other out how would that change the approach of governments and the monetary policy of Central Banks?  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

His answer to Great depression was that we should spend our way out. But now we have rampant inflation because people are spending too much. What would Keynes do now if he was presented with the challenge of trying to prevent the world from going into a global recession whilst also getting inflation under control? Steve and Phil look at the ideas of Keynes and ask would any of them help us in the situation we now find ourselves in. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

During the last big financial crisis there was a lot of talk about the work of Hyman Minsky. Even Janet Yellen, at the time the chair of the San Francisco Fed, said there were a lot of lessons in his work for central bankers. What did she mean? Or, as Steve Keen asks, has she actually read any of his work? This week Phil asks Steve what was the thinking behind Minsky’s Financial Instability Hypothesis. And what was a Minsky moment, and why are we so far from one right now? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In a recent podcast Steve Keen claimed that the law of thermodynamics dictates that we can no longer extend economic growth whilst looking for efficiencies in our use of energy. This week Phil questions Steve more on this. After all, so much of the growth we have seen over the last 100 years has come from the way we harness energy and use it to better effect. Can’t we just keep doing that? And could we use economics to fix the problems it has created, by more accurtaelyt pricing the real cost of energy and pollution? Even if we could – and Steve says we are already consuming too much of the earth’s resources - the International Energy Agency reckons if we are to reach net zero by 2050, then energy efficiency needs to improve by 4% per year. We’re a long way from achieving that, so is it time for a reality check? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Last week on the Debunking Economics podcast Phil and Steve talked about the likely imposition of Austerity 2.0 around the world, in particular in the UK. Steve said there’s really no need for it. This week he explains more about how cuts in the government deficit starves the private sector of cash, which will guarantee a recession, or worse. Listen in for an easy-to-follow explanation of how a government deficit increases money in circulation and how reducing that deficit shrinks the money supply. They talk about Wynne Godley’s explanation of sectoral balances, and how the interplay between government spending and private sector money is how the economy works now. The complicating factor, is foreign spending. What happens when government money finds itself overseas? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

With big-spending Boris gone, Britain’s new Prime Minister will almost certainly promote austerity 2.0, under the guise of fiscal conservatism. He won’t be alone in that, with governments the world over trying to reduce the deficit they incurred during the pandemic. But is austerity the way to help the economy back onto its feet? And do governments need to balance their books?In August the UK government spent £10 billion than its income. Listen in to find out why you should be thinking of that as new money added to the UK’s £2.2 trillion economy, rather than an expense that has to be repaid. Slower spending by governments and fiscal tightening by central banks will shrink the money supply at a time when people are already struggling through lower real wages, higher inflation and cuts to public services. Are governments ready to hasten the downward spiral? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Before her plans were ripped up, the UK’s newest Prime Minister was promising growth, growth, growth in an economy that has avoided it for a long time. And she was going to do it through that tried and tested method of trickle-down economics! Cut taxes for the rich and watch the economy grow. Sadly, we’ll never know whether it worked or not because the plans have been ditched and its back to higher taxes and less government spending. More austerity and low growth. But, Phil asks Steve, isn’t low growth what we need? If we want to save the planet surely we have to abandon the idea that each year we consume that little bit more? But how do you do that when entrepreneurs need the growth imperative to come up with those innovative ideas that improve our lives. Without the incentive for companies to grow wouldn’t we end up with a Soviet-style centrally planned economy, producing lots of stuff that nobody wants. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

We all know money has a value, but if you are borrowing it, it also has a cost. But aside from buying houses and a few other big items, we generally are more concerned with the value of the money we earn rather than the cost of the money we borrow. Today we look at the relationship between the cost and value of money, and ask whether the instability in interest rates is hindering our ability to plan for our future. What would happen if interest rates were fixed? And what about the rising cost of money, when governments need to spend more money to support us when times are tough – like now, for example? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The world is living in fear of rising inflation. Central banks are trying to combat it by pushing up interest rates, which means people also now fear how much their mortgage is going to cost. So, are they making matters better or just adding to the problem? This week Phil Dobbie asks Steve Keen if inflation is as big a problem as central banks make out, and whether hiking interest rates will fix the problem this time round. And why a 2% inflation target. It’s the aim of most central banks to get inflation down to that level, but it sounds like it had a rather haphazard, unscientific origin. If they changed the target to, say, 4 percent, what would happen? More to the point, what would happen if these banks did nothing at all? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Last week Kwasi Kwarteng, the new UK Chancellor, announced a cut in taxes at the same time that the government was stepping in to subsidise rising energy costs for homes and businesses. The cost of all this dwarfs the money spent on the furlough scheme. That means there’s a heap of government money being pushed into the public sector. Conventional economists, of the Friedman mould, would argue that we’re already seeing inflation driven by too much money, so what abut this next blast of government spending? Could it make inflation worse? And what about the repercussions on income disparity – from the budget and its unforeseen consequences. Hopefully someone in the Treasury is listening. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Shadow Banks can take the blame for the 2007-8 financial crisis, packaging up mortgages and selling them as securities to investors. It seems like there’s no lack of imagination when it comes to how these companies find new ways of making money. This week Phil asks Steve if shadow banks are all bad, or is there some good? Do they, for example, create competition for established banks? Or are they simply a mechanism for operators to work outside banking regulations. Is there a need for more regulation of the shadow banking sector? And what is a shadow bank anyway? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It’s clear, when energy becomes short in supply, free market forces can’t look after all of society. Just the wealthy. That’s why governments are having to step in, propping up an industry that is raking in massive profits. But could free market forces drive a more efficient delivery of energy, by making lower cost renewable energy able to compete on a more level playing field. Whilst there’s no doubt pricing is distorted in favour of fossil fuel provides, Steve tells Phil there’s still no option but to nationalise the provision of energy, something we know will never happen. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Liz Truss, the UK’s latest Prime Minister, has vowed to review the mandate of the Bank of England (BoE). It’s unclear what outcome she wants, although Kwasi Kwarteng, who is likely to be the new Chancellor of the Exchequer, has suggested the BoE didn’t move fast enough to lift interest rates. Does that mean she wants more influence over the bank’s decision making? On this week’s podcast Phil Dobbie and Prof Steve Keen look at the approach taken by central banks this time round to reduce inflation and Phil asks Steve, if you were to change the function of central banks, what would you do? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Whilst the US might be struggling a bit with inflation, its nothing compared to what’s likely to happen in Europe. This week Russia shuts down its gas pipeline to Europe, supposedly for repairs, but there’s no guarantee it will open again. Even if it does, supplies are a fraction of what they were and Europe wants to stop its reliance on Russia anyway – pushing prices sky high, with rationing the only likely solution. Meanwhile, the Euro is weakening as the dollar goes from strength to strength, and that’s adding to Europe’s inflation pressures. And throw a drought on to of all of that, adding to the energy and supply problems. Plus a growing wealth divide. Is there any good news for Europe? Steve Keen reckons the only answer, sadly, is for Europe to give-in to Putin and make swathes of Ukraine the sacrificial lamb as the only way to avoid economic collapse. Even then, Europe has a number of inherent problems to overcome. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It seems the whole approach to global trade is being redrawn. Donald Trump wanted to do less trade with China before the pandemic, and now with the Ukraine invasion the west wants to do less – preferably nothing - with Russia. Hardly surprising then that the BRICs nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) are developing their own ecosystem that could see them trade less with the west, including developing their own trading currency to remove the reliance on the US dollar. Phil Dobbie talks to Steve Keen about the impact this would have on the West. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It’s a question being asked more and more. How many of the things that we privatised should be brought back under state control, as energy companies record massive profits, yet those on low incomes are struggling to heat their homes? In the UK privatisation was rampant in the eighties, but were mistakes made? Steve Keen has a simple test as to whether some things are best managed by the public sector or the private sector? But what about public-private partnerships? Are they potentially the worst outcome of all? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

On the Why Curve podcast last week, Phil (and Roger Hearing) spoke to Daniel Gros, Director of the Centre for European Policy Studies, who argued that the gas crisis in Europe will be largely resolved by the pricing mechanism. High gas prices from Russia are making LNG imports feasible, because Europe will pay more than Asia for supplies. It won’t completely bridge the shortfall, he says, but if Europeans make a 15 percent cut in usage, then there will be no need to negotiate with Putin. This week on the Debunking Economics podcast Steve Keen argues that the pricing mechanism ignores the needs of the poor and has, for decades, favoured the rich. The fact that governments need to subsidise low-income households against rising fuel prices, whilst energy companies report record profits, demonstrates just how broken the pricing mechanism is. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Central banks are pushing up interest rates to slow down the rate of inflation. The principle is simple. Supplies are constrained and demand is high, so we’re being charged more for practically everything. If we can slow demand then the demand-supply divide will narrow. But can you do that without throwing the world into a recession in the process? The US Federal Reserve seems to think so. They put out a paper last week, by Chris Waller and Andrew Figura, called ‘What does the Beveridge curve tell us about the likelihood of a soft landing?’ Today Phil Dobbie talks to Steve Keen about the argument that a soft-landing can be secured if there are fewer jobs being offered, not a reduction in the number of people employed. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

In the UK petrol cars emit 128g of CO2 per kilometre. In the US they drive bigger cars, for longer, so the carbon impact is that much greater. But cars, buses and motorcycles account for less than 10 percent of greenhouse gas emissions. Switching to electric could make a difference (unless of course the electricity is coal powered) but will it make a big enough difference, and are the objectives for Net Zero by 2050 really achievable? Phil Dobbie talks to Prof Steve Keen, and asks, are we lulling ourselves into a false sense of security when we think electric cars are a big part of the answer to climate change? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

As inflation grows around the world the US dollar enjoying multi-decade highs. To an extent, that’s helping mitigate the impact of inflation in the US by dampening the rising cost of imports. Most other places, though, are seeing the opposite happen. The rising dollar devalues local currencies making imports, including energy, more expensive, adding to inflation. This week Phil Dobbie talks to Prof Steve Keen about the impacts of exchange rates on international trade and how nations could be starting to challenge the US dominance in currency markets. As Pola, a Debunking Economics Podcast listener asks, what happens as BRICs nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China) move to payments in their own currencies instead of using the US dollar? Beyond that, what if they develop their own trading currency, similar to the Bancor proposed by Keynes back in the 1940s. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

When British Prime Minister Theresa May said there was no magic money tree she was wrong. There is, but you still have to look after it. What happens if you take the money off the tree too quickly, and give it to the wrong people? Is that what’s happened over the last two years? This week Phil Dobbie asks Steve Keen if there’s an optimum level of expansion to the money supply (through government spending) and how do we claw back from it if we have overspent? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Inflation is rising everywhere as supply chains hit prices in the shops and at the fuel bowsers. Central banks are responding to this the only way they know how – by pushing up interest rates. Phil Dobbie asks Steve Keen what’s their rationale, when higher interest rates won’t fix the supply issues? Steve suggests there will be a rapid reversal in policy when the central banks realise the real damage they are doing to the economy. ‘There will be no soft landing’, he says. ‘There never is’. But what about taxation, asks Phil. Could demand be softened by taxing the high earners? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

When COVID has gone and the war is over, will we return to the patterns of international trade we were enjoying just a few years ago? Steve Keen says not, which puts him in the camp of anti-globalists that FT columnist Martin Wolf wrote about recently, in an article ‘The big mistakes of the anti-globalisers’. This week Phil puts some of Martin’s arguments to Steve, including the evidence that international trade has significantly boosted GDP globally and helped reduce extreme poverty. Won’t a more self-sufficient approach turn back the clock on both those achievements. Listen in for why Steve thinks times have changed for good, as we focus on sustainability over efficiency. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Conspiracy theorists are out there claiming that unelected representatives are holding power, using technology to control our behaviour. China has tried a bit of this social engineering, but there are those who believe its far broader than that. They also reckon the drive for us to not use cash is part of the agenda, so ‘they’ can track our behaviour. That’s why central banks (who are unelected representatives who control our behaviour) want to move to a digital currency and are against cryptocurrencies that they can’t control. This week Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen if there is any potential for truth behind this fearmongering. Maybe we could all do with a bit of control! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Central banks the world over are busy lifting interest rates and, at the same time, engaging in quantitative tightening. In other words, all those bonds they bought up, will progressively be sold back to the commercial banks they were bought from. As those central bank balance sheets start to fall, what impact does it have on the economy? Does it mean we’ll see a shrinking of the money supply. That’s the commonly held belief, but, in reality the shift will have little impact, except for making banks slightly better off. The bigger concern is when they sell off corporate bonds, as Prof Steve keen explains to Phil Dobbie in this week’s podcast. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The Tragedy of the Commons is a concept developed by William Forster Lloyd one hundred and fifty years ago. The argument is that if you allowed everybody to graze their cattle on common ground, with nobody in charge, the land would be overgrazed and the individual pursuits of many will result in destruction for all. So, do you put someone in charge, who imposes regulations on everyone. Or do you go the way of the free marketeers, who would argue that someone owns the land and rent sit out, with a vested interest in maintaining the long-term viability. Is there a definitive answer and how can we apply the Tragedy of the Commons to capitalism today? Phil Dobbie talks to Prof Steve Keen. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Central bankers and economists have often used the Phillips curve to determine the path of inflation. The problem is, they often get it wrong. No wonder then, that they question its validity when it doesn’t work the way it should. Call it operator error. On today’s podcast with Phil Dobbie, Steve Keen explains how most miss the dynamic aspects of Phillips’ observations – it’s the speed of change that counts, not a snapshot of employment levels at any particular time. Her also considered the changes in the price of inputs. On that basis, with unemployment rapidly falling and the price of imports rapidly rising, the Phillip’s curve has never been more relevant. So, does it tell us what happens next? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Stagflation is that worrying combination of rises prices in a stagnant economy. Central banks believe the answer is to push up interest rates, to magically reduce inflation and miraculously demand returns to normal. There’s a debate as to whether that can be done without kickstarting a recession. Some argue that might be the poison pill we have to take – pointing to when Paul Volcker at the US Federal Reserve pushed interest rates as high as 21.5% , leading to recession, but ultimately seeing economic growth return. Steve Keen says this time, it’s different. And we can’t assume the inflation cycle is as transient as many politicians, economists and central bankers believe. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

BP made $12.8 billion profit last year, $4.1 billion on that in the fourth quarter. In the first three months of this year Shell’s profits reached $9.1 billion. Meanwhile pensioners and low-income families are struggling to keep their houses warm, as high energy prices add to the inflation squeeze being felt with food and other household essentials. Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen whether this all points to the need for a windfall tax on energy companies who are enjoying massive profits through no-action on their part. And should it be a one-off initiative, or is this time to rethink how we tax these companies in a way that will engender investment in renewables? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The supply chain disruption from COVID, and the imperialist ambitions of Vladimir Putin have demonstrated, more than ever, the need for nations – or at least neighbouring groups of friendly nations – to be self sufficient in food and energy. Will we find the world returning to a spit between the West, autocracies and developing nations? Can each group survive without the others? Prof Steve Keen tells Phil Dobbie that we will still be reliant on autocratic regimes for mineral resources, and the world really needs to come together to tackle climate change. Even if that’s a pipedream we at last need a plan for how we manage the world’s resources and ensure we have a reliable source of food and energy, without kowtowing to despotic regimes. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Property expert Russell Quirk maintains that housing will always be a good investment and prices will, in the long run, always go up. Perhaps this year inflation will rise faster, so in real terms prices may dip, but in the long run, he reckons, the direction will always be north. Prof Steve Keen on the other hand, maintains that, at some point, things will rapidly head south. Why? Because banks are offering loans through the creation of new money, which makes it easier for them to meet consumer demand, irrespective of how realistic house prices are. And they get locked into a feedback loop, where valuations are based on previous valuations. Your house is worth more because all the other houses around you are worth more. This, recons Steve, will come unstuck, possibly in a big way. He says we don’t accept it because it’s not happened in recent history. Just as we didn’t expect a pandemic because we hadn’t seen one like it for 100 years. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The UK the Chancellor’s wife Akshata Murty was in the news a couple of weeks ago when it was revealed that she was claiming non-domicile status in the UK, so most of her income from her shareholding in dad’s company in India could be taxed over there at a much lower rate. The issue for many was that she wasn’t paying her fair share of tax. But does her wealth present a bigger problem. This week Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen whether Akshata Murty is an example of the rentier class, who make money from having money. And does that necessarily mean the money is used less well than if it was in the hands of good old-fashioned capitalists? Or is it all just a bit of jealousy, because we don’t have wealthy parents? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Economists like to think that there’s an equilibrium that the economy is either briefly moving away from or heading back to, and it’s all explained in those simple models we did at school. Those were mostly microeconomic models, of course, that are somehow magically interpreted at the mac level. Or there are more complex mathematical models that reflect only a tiny slice of the bigger picture. But didn’t Sonnenschein–Mantel–Debreu theorem debunk that? This week Prof Steve Keen tells Phil Dobbie that even their work ignored a fundamental feedback loop which clearly demonstrates that equilibrium is fantasy land.  Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The inflation genie is out of the bottle. Can we get it back in there before it does too much damage? Central banks are trying to tackle it by racing each other to put up interest rates, possibly to levels we haven’t seen in years, despite the fact we’re all leveraged to the hilt with our mortgages. Can that be done without causing a recession? More to the point, does monetary policy actually do what central bankers think it will? On this week’s Debunking Economics podcast Steve Keen tells Phil Dobbie that its up to governments, not banks, to bring inflation down. Instead, it seems, everyone is doing exactly the wrong thing! Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Energy prices are going through the roof. They were before Ukraine erupted, but with Russia the world’s second biggest producer of natural gas, and Iran in third place, it seems we are destined to get our gas from trouble spots, and pay for the price for it. But Steve Keen says we have to get used to the idea that resources are no longer plentiful and rising prices from scarcity are becoming a fact of life. Phil Dobbie asks if there is anything that can be done to prevent an energy crisis akin to what we experienced in the seventies. The difference then, of course, that the issue was relatively short term. Now, its part of a major transition, escalated by COVID and geopolitics. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The EU has talked about issuing new bonds to protect its eastern borders against Russia and to prepare Europe for a future without reliance on Russian oil and gas. Normally bonds are issued by individual countries. If the ECB felt the need to intervene it would buy up those bonds, normally proportional to the size of the member countries. Even during the pandemic, their pandemic emergency purchase program saw them buying up sovereign bonds from member countries. Could this time be different?Is there a Europe wide need that could see the EU operating a centralised budget to, for example, fund a European army? Well, they have already started down that track with the issuance of green bonds this year. How does it work? How does it create a budget through debt issuance, and see that money move to suppliers in individual European nations? The answer is, its complicated but not insurmountable. The question is, is a centralised EU budget, supplementing each countries own budgets, a good thing or a bad thing?Phil Dobbie talks to Prof Steve Keen about what could be a new direction for the EU, where it wields money for pan-European spending projects. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

The war in Ukraine looks set to continue for a long time. A 90 minute high-level meeting between the two parties, mediated in Turkey, got nowhere today.  Meanwhile, the west is imposing more and more sanctions on Russia. Putin spoke calmy at a press conference today about how they will manage these increasing constraints on trade and finance, making out it wasn’t really a big deal. So will they make their way through it, or will these sanctions be the nail in the coffin for Putin’s plan? Or will they just make him more resolute? Will he start to attract the support from his people that Hitler gathered between the two world wars? Phil Dobbie talks to Prof Steve Keen, asking whether we are taking the right approach on this. Whatever the outcome, Steve reckons we should prepare for more unrest in the future, as demand for minerals heightens and the world is split between those with them, and those without them. Could this resource split and an increasing sense of protectionism become a deadly combination? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Most people agree that Rishi Sunak is crazy to introduce new taxes on the British public when inflation is compromising living standards and the Bank of England is lifting rates and pushing up the cost of mortgages. Now a war in Europe is pushing the cost of fuel ever higher. But the Chancellors argument is that the government has to pay back the money it borrowed during the pandemic. If it did, it would take decades. But, as Steve Keen explains in this week’s podcast, Modern Monetary Theory suggests the money doesn’t need to be paid back, and tax is really on a mechanism for controlling the money supply. Phil Dobbie looks at some of the crazy taxes that have been introduced, many to do with changing behaviour or distributing wealth. Both noble aims, but the execution might have left something to be desired. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

It seems Putin will not be satisfied until he has a puppet leader installed in Ukraine to replace what he’s called their Nazi leader – he’s Jewish by the way. This week Phil Dobbie talks to Steve Keen about Russia’s motivations for the invasion. None of them justify the action, but a bit of history helps explain the animosity between the east and the west. Meanwhile, the approach of sanctions will hurt countries depend on Russian resources, and will they have any impact on the crazed Russian leader? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

A society riddled with debt is a society that is reluctant or unable to spend. A lot of that debt has now found its way into housing, with mortgages higher than ever. That’s money we’re using to pay off our home loan that we could be spending keeping the economy moving. In short, its slowing the speed at which money circulates. So, how do we fix it? The answer is get rid of the debt. And Steve Keen has a cunning plan. A monetary reset. How would it work? Phil Dobbie explores the idea in detail with Steve on today’s Debunking Economics podcast. Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Last year Andrew Bailey, the Bank of England Governor, spoke optimistically about how the UK economy would bounce back because so many people had stashed away money in their savings accounts. But, at the same time, we also saw rising levels of debt. This week, Phil Dobbie asks Steve Keen how you can have rising savings and debt at the same time. If you have spare cash sitting in your bank account, wouldn’t you use it to pay off your debts. The fact that people are not doing that tells us something about the state of the economy. And where did all these extra savings come from anyway? And why did they never materialise into a massive spending splurge like the Governor had predicted? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

House prices in Australia continue to rise. According to Domain’s House Price Index, prices in Sydney have risen by a third in the last year, to a median value of $1.6 million. Housing affordability has never been a bigger issue, but how do you bring prices down when two thirds of the population are owner occupiers. That’s a question Phil Dobbie puts to Steve Keen, as he explains his two-pronged approach to containing house prices – first, limiting the value of loans to a multiple of the rental value of a property and, secondly, a big reset, which sees debt repaid and bonds issued to those who don’t currently own a property. Would it work, and could it be explained in a way that the voting population will understand? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Central banks control the interest rate through the decisions of their various monetary committees. Almost all of them are set to raise rates multiple times this year. But what do they basis this decision on? These days it is related to the rate of inflation, but to what extent is that driven by the amount of money in circulation. Can the central bank control both? And what about the velocity of money? All questions Phil Dobbie puts to Steve Keen in this week’s Debunking Economics podcast, along with the question, what if we didn’t change interest rates at all? Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

One of the surprises as we emerge from the worst of COVID (hopefully) is what’s being called the Great Resignation. Even though employment levels in most countries remain below pre-pandemic levels, that’s not stopping those who hung onto their jobs through the crisis from leaving in their droves. So, what’s driving this trend. Prof Steve Keen suggests it’s a “kick in the balls to the gig economy”. But what happens next? Already central banks are lifting interest rates, fearful of rising wages pushing inflation higher. How is that going to work out. Tune in to this free half-hour podcast as Phil Dobbie talks to Steve about what’s driving this dramatic shift in the labour market.   Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

Even the most ardent supporters of small government will agree there are times when governments need to offer subsidies to companies and industries. Paying for the furloughing of workers during the pandemic was one unavoidable example. But are their times when subsidies can distort the economy in unforeseen ways. The support for the food industry that promotes livestock over plant-based diets is a prime example. This week Phil Dobbie asks Prof Steve Keen whether there a better way of supporting industries without complex subsidies?   Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.