(0:00) Bestie intros! (7:57) Election impact on Bitcoin, crypto, and fintech stocks (21:56) M&A and IPOs: What to expect in 2025 (39:52) Pharma advertising on cable tv: Should it be allowed? Is big pharma buying influence? (58:17) FBI raids Polymarket CEO Shayne Coplan's home (1:05:51) Trump's transition picks: Strategy, highest upside/downside, and more Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD https://www.sec.gov/newsroom/speeches-statements/gensler-remarks-pli-s-56th-annual-institute-securities-regulation-111424 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 https://www.businessinsider.com/federal-reserve-cuts-interest-rates-quarter-point-powell-inflation-election-2024-11 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/13/cpi-inflation-october-2024.html https://x.com/elerianm/status/1857297087010107728 https://x.com/chamath/status/1359248379377762310 https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/4763/text https://stockanalysis.com/ipos/statistics https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1848055198494728496 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/13/business/media/msnbc-fox-news-ratings-election.html https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1856208378541769076 https://www.americanrhetoric.com/speeches/PDFFiles/Mark-Zuckerberg-Letter-on-Govt-Censorship.pdf https://www.cjr.org/the_trump_reader/trump-threatens-new-york-times-penguin-random-house-critical-coverage.php https://nypost.com/2024/11/13/business/fbi-seizes-polymarket-ceos-phone-electronics-after-betting-platform-predicts-trump-win-source https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-13/polymarket-investigated-by-doj-for-letting-us-users-bet-on-platform https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-federal-court-upholds-ruling-letting-kalshiex-list-election-betting-contracts-2024-10-02 https://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/fbi-raids-polymarket-ceo-shayne-coplans-apartment-seizes-phone-source-rcna180180 https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856838409861386722 https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8478-22 https://x.com/shayne_coplan/status/1856808022481539192 https://fortune.com/crypto/2024/10/30/polymarket-trump-election-crypto-wash-trading-researchers https://x.com/WallStreetSilv/status/1852863585375977877 https://x.com/charliekirk11/status/1857237886736715971 https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1856725762130260383

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:55) Sacks recaps election night at Mar-a-Lago (8:28) Analyzing the results: how Trump won, why Kamala and the Democratic Party lost (25:55) The failing Democratic coalition, campaign spend disparity, Trump's advantage in earned media (37:59) What mattered most: Policy, Candidate, or Campaign? (50:44) GOP will likely win House and Senate, potential cabinet positions, avoiding neocons (1:10:42) Cabinet positions, shaking up the unelected bureaucratic branch (1:28:47) California rejects progressives (1:35:17) Abortion laws being settled around the US Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/twobitidiot/status/1854192602985255042 https://www.270towin.com/2024-election-results-live/president https://x.com/ChrisCillizza/status/1854515791690953066 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_e8-KX3XKL8 https://x.com/Jason/status/1854209590424121464 https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1854045298475110779 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854342908356297068 https://x.com/arifleischer/status/1854270972775305291 https://www.fec.gov/data/spending-bythenumbers/?office=P https://www.usnews.com/news/national-news/articles/2024-11-01/16-billion-will-be-spent-in-the-2024-election-wheres-it-all-going https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1829383729284067659 https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people https://x.com/TheRabbitHole84/status/1840977783247286429 https://www.cnn.com/election/2024 https://polymarket.com/event/house-control-after-2024-election https://x.com/MarioNawfal/status/1854536321282519396 https://www.instagram.com/p/DCFJ4mlsmEG/?hl=en https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1854202717637411199 https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-chevron-curtailing-power-of-federal-agencies https://x.com/chamath/status/1854229735477551600 https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/la-district-attorney-progressive-loses-re-election-gascon-rcna175906 https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-abortion.html

(0:00) Bestie intros! (5:40) US Real GDP growth comes in at 2.8%, but there are underlying issues (29:16) Google earnings: YouTube and Cloud post huge quarters, would they have survived outside of Google? (36:24) Sacks's idea to auction off public spectrum licenses of major broadcast networks (42:17) How the media became one of the least trusted institutions in the US (54:26) Why Joe Rogan's interview with Trump was not appearing in YouTube search results (1:08:54) Final pre-election segment: how it's tracking, election integrity, voter fraud stats Get notified for the Election Night Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4Xaqgd9-Ro Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 https://x.com/freesites_com/status/1851615700869144908 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/30/dropbox-slashes-20percent-of-global-workforce-eliminating-500-roles.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S https://www.commercebank.com/about-us/prime-rate-update https://www.fdic.gov/system/files/2024-05/unrealized-gains-losses-on-investment-securities.png https://abc.xyz/assets/71/a5/78197a7540c987f13d247728a371/2024q3-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/29/google-cfo-says-company-can-push-a-little-further-in-cost-savings.html https://variety.com/2024/digital/news/youtube-q3-2024-advertising-revenue-growth-1236193926 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1818467743479542130 https://news.gallup.com/poll/512861/media-confidence-matches-2016-record-low.aspx https://news.gallup.com/poll/508169/historically-low-faith-institutions-continues.aspx https://www.axios.com/2023/10/24/americans-trust-in-media-plummets-to-historic-low-poll https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/28/jeff-bezos-washington-post-trust https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850277560816681255 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850979360037356001/photo/1 https://x.com/davidsacks/status/1844429818554876026 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1851745648313602189

(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events (9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions (27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements (38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints (53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch (1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation? Get tickets to The All-In Holiday Spectacular: https://allin.com/events Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://allin.com/events https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/22/tudor-jones-is-long-gold-and-bitcoin-as-hedge-fund-titan-believes-all-roads-lead-to-inflation.html https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stanley-druckenmiller-says-hes-shorting-u-s-bonds-and-staying-out-of-china-1fcf751e https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/10/cpi-inflation-september-2024.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-tax-report-international/uk-budget-fears-push-owners-to-close-firms-to-avoid-tax-hikes https://www.banque-france.fr/en/statistics/compagnies/business-failures-france-2024-09 https://www.reuters.com/markets/brazil-inflation-expectations-above-target-says-cenbank-director-picchetti-2024-10-23 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/14/more-than-half-of-gen-z-want-to-be-influencers-but-its-constant.html https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/influencer-marketing-trends-report https://www.longtermtrends.net/market-cap-to-gdp-the-buffett-indicator https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/ruminating-on-asset-allocation https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-earnings-chart https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/24/polymarket-trump-french-election-bet.html https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968 https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/video/border-wall-kamala-harris-cnn-town-hall-digvid https://x.com/justintrudeau/status/1849467713711710699 https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968 https://awfulannouncing.com/barstool/dave-portnoy-turned-down-kamala-harris-interview.html https://investor.starbucks.com/news/financial-releases/news-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Preliminary-Q4-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2024-Results/default.aspx

(0:00) Bestie intros (2:01) Polls vs Prediction markets, dueling interviews, election update (16:06) Tesla's Robotaxi event and SpaceX's Starship catch (27:36) Uber reportedly looking into acquiring Expedia (45:19) Nuclear Vibe Shift? Big tech is looking toward nuclear solutions to power AI (1:11:10) Lawfare from the California Coastal Commission Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1729285428575 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1846826782797799580 https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1845472475322462468 https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1839424008900477354 https://www.ft.com/content/94a25bf7-e62b-462a-a4f0-e4feb6e244f7 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EXPE:NASDAQ https://companiesmarketcap.com/expedia/revenue https://x.com/Jason/status/1847016512583786921 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/16/amazon-goes-nuclear-investing-more-than-500-million-to-develop-small-module-reactors.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/14/google-inks-deal-with-nuclear-company-as-data-center-power-demand-surges.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/20/constellation-energy-to-restart-three-mile-island-and-sell-the-power-to-microsoft.html https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/16/california-coastal-commission-elon-musk-00184017

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:18) Besties intro JD Vance! (3:33) America's innovation problem (5:04) Thoughts on Trump (8:53) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020? (12:02) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs (19:35) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years (23:58) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem (25:55) Fixing the Southern Border (32:16) How to practically approach deportations, who's coming in through the Southern Border? (36:51) Relationship with China Follow JD Vance: https://x.com/JDVance Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:18) The science behind Hurricanes Helene and Milton (14:59) The economics of intensifying natural disasters (29:03) AlphaFold creators win Nobel Prize in Chemistry (35:17) The Jayter's Ball (38:53) Google antitrust update: DOJ is going for a breakup (53:32) VC giveback: CRV will return ~$275M of a $500M fund to LPs (1:03:44) New TikTok survey shows increased usage as a news source (1:15:26) Election update: Are polling problems causing a strategy shift for Kamala Harris? Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://allin.com/meetups https://youtube.com/@allin https://allin.com/tequila https://allin.com https://x.com/Ry_Bass/status/1844367980249178396 https://www.newsweek.com/hurricane-helene-update-economic-losses-damage-could-total-160-billion-1961240 https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/september-2024-enso-update-binge-watch https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01442-3 https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1844166857655533811 https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hrd_sub/sfury.html https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-03214-7 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-09/us-says-it-s-weighing-google-breakup-as-remedy-in-monopoly-case https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rtKjE02hAh_k/v0 https://x.com/AOC/status/1844034727935988155 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/02/technology/crv-vc-fund-returning-money.html https://www.axios.com/2023/03/03/founders-fund-slashes-vc-peter-thiel https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/09/17/more-americans-regularly-get-news-on-tiktok-especially-young-adults https://www.pewresearch.org/data-labs/2024/10/08/who-u-s-adults-follow-on-tiktok https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/russia-pays-criminals-to-sow-mayhem-in-europe-warns-u-k-spy-chief-21ab960c https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/1844418916107341948 https://x.com/2waytvapp/status/1844803367740096811 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1829383729284067659

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:24) Besties intro Elon Musk! (1:23) The Battle of Free Speech (10:24) Potential government efficiency agency (27:45) SpaceX updates, overreaching regulations (36:10) Thoughts on Boeing's culture (38:27) The 80/20 AI Future (54:03) Elon and Jason share unaired SNL skits Follow Elon: https://x.com/elonmusk Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) The Besties intro Mark Cuban: Voting record, working with Ross Perot's campaign in 1992 (5:43) The history of Cuban's love/hate relationship with Trump (19:08) Trump's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (40:46) Party nominations: Kamala vs. Trump (49:18) Biden's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (55:45) Should Kamala share blame for Biden's failures? (1:07:01) International conflict, national debt, crypto regulation (1:21:33) General sense of Kamala Harris, why she's been avoiding adversarial interviews, why Sacks supports Trump (1:31:47) Selling a majority of his Mavericks stake, changing business landscape of the NBA, what he's working on at Cost Plus Drugs (1:44:50) Thoughts on AI, what's next for him (1:51:37) Relationship with Elon, re-evaluating the Twitter deal, OpenAI's new fundraise Follow Mark: https://x.com/mcuban Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcrfpus2&f=m https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN https://www.architecturaldigest.com/story/wait-are-windowless-bedrooms-going-to-be-a-thing https://washingtonreporter.news/editorial/scoop-kamala-harris-likely-to-nominate-gary-gensler-as-treasury-secretary-if-elected-senate-sources

(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg! (0:21) Sacks intros John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs (1:32) What is the Deep State Party, and what are their goals? (13:56) Should America leverage its power against dictators? (22:07) The China threat: avoiding the escalatory path to nuclear war (36:08) India's growing role; are China's wounds self-inflicted? (47:07) Conflict in the Middle East and the path to peace Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect

(0:00) Bestie intros: In Memoriam (6:43) OpenAI's $150B valuation: bull and bear cases (24:46) Will AI hurt or help SaaS incumbents? (40:41) Implications from OpenAI's for-profit conversion (49:57) Meta's impressive new AR glasses: is this the killer product for the age of AI? (1:09:05) Blue collar boom: trades are becoming more popular with young people as entry-level tech jobs dry up (1:20:55) Risk of nuclear war increasing Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/openais-stunning-150-billionvaluation-hinges-upending-corporate-structure-2024-09-14/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-25/openai-cto-mira-murati-says-she-will-leave-the-company https://x.com/chiefaioffice https://openai.com/our-structure https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1658664383717978112 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1839121268521492975 https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/26/zuckerberg-meta-white-house-pressure-00176399 https://appleinsider.com/articles/12/12/28/early-apple-prototypes-by-frog-designs-hartmut-esslinger-featured-in-upcoming-book https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/16/the-toolbelt-generation-why-teens-are-losing-faith-in-college.html https://www.wsj.com/tech/tech-jobs-artificial-intelligence-cce22393 https://layoffs.fyi https://educationdata.org/college-enrollment-statistics https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-20/zelenskiy-to-push-us-for-nato-invite-weapons-guarantees

(0:00) Bestie intros + All-In Summit recap (6:50) Fed cuts 50 bps: Economic tailwind, scary signal, or both? (17:35) AI is coming for call centers; how agent training works (33:41) US government wasting $50B for rural internet and EV charging stations (47:10) Reflecting on some rough years in VC: is the model broken? (1:07:18) Reacting to the first Trump/Kamala debate, what factors will make each candidate can win or lose the race Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/19/investing/stocks-fed-rate-cut/index.html https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-09-05-2024/card/say-goodbye-to-the-inverted-yield-curve--snsL80qp8JX9UvaMCvVc https://mearsheimer.ai https://seekingalpha.com/news/4144652-klarna-shuts-down-salesforce-as-service-provider-workday-to-meet-same-fate-amid-ai-initiatives https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836079197967532497 https://reason.com/2024/05/30/7-5-billion-in-government-cash-only-built-8-e-v-chargers-in-2-5-years https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/17/spacexs-starlink-has-2500-aircraft-under-contract.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/the-us-installed-more-than-1-000-ev-charging-stations-since-summer https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836435062994121053 https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1834009499931463705 https://x.com/molson_hart/status/1835650978906857948 https://x.com/danprimack/status/1824506087116058665 https://x.com/Jason/status/1768073854545449228 https://chamath.substack.com/p/2023-annual-letter https://x.com/Jason/status/1836820167449326063 https://www.axios.com/2024/04/03/us-global-venture-capital-q1 https://www.wsj.com/articles/university-endowments-mint-billions-in-golden-era-of-venture-capital-11632907802 https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/GrageDustin/status/1836178999178866766 https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1836516153893519867

(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode" (1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement (9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode" (32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode" (52:28) Tech's Section 230 protections might be in danger after new ruling (1:08:45) DOJ charges two Russians with infiltrating US media company (1:22:42) Kamala's economic pivot Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://paulgraham.com/foundermode.html https://x.com/chamath/status/1831003871344501069 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PANW:NASDAQ https://a16z.com/on-micromanagement https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0679762884 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ https://www.amazon.com/Five-Dysfunctions-Team-Leadership-Fable/dp/0787960756 https://techcrunch.com/2022/01/14/online-checkout-bolt-decacorn https://www.businessinsider.com/bolt-ceo-calls-stripe-ycombinator-mob-bosses-twitter-silicon-valley-2022-1 https://www.paymentsdive.com/news/bolt-ceo-ryan-breslow-steps-down/618058 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/10/business/bolt-start-up-ryan-breslow-investors.html https://techcrunch.com/2023/07/21/bolt-ex-ceo-ryan-breslow-subject-of-sec-probe https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/06/bolt-ceo-discusses-moving-on-after-sec-probe https://www.theinformation.com/articles/bolt-once-worth-11-billion-slashes-price-97-in-buyback?rc=pxkrxo https://www.axios.com/2024/08/22/bolt-investors-baffled https://x.com/MikeSacksEsq/status/1828795866590896599 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-11-30/is-tiktok-responsible-if-kids-diedoing-dangerous-viral-challenges https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JTcxIVlQfU https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1830440852411326782 https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/two-rt-employees-indicted-covertly-funding-and-directing-us-company-published-thousands https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1366266/dl https://www.axios.com/2024/09/05/putin-harris-trump-2024-election-russia-interference https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/30/tech/2020-election-russia-disinformation/index.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/the-rise-of-vince-lombardi-democrats

(0:00) Bestie intros: Buttons are back for fall (1:48) Reid Hoffman joins the show, reminiscing on PayPal stories with Sacks (7:52) State of AI: Nvidia, cluster buildouts, competition (19:51) OpenAI's corporate structure and thoughts on Elon's lawsuit (29:09) Inflection AI's deal structure with Microsoft, Lina Khan's impact on the tech industry (41:27) Reid's perspective on Kamala being hot swapped for Biden, funding groups that attempted to keep RFK Jr. off ballots (52:02) Reid's thoughts on growing antisemitism (55:03) Thoughts on Kamala's economic proposals: price caps, wealth tax, etc. (1:04:19) How Silicon Valley views both candidates, why Reid funded legal action against Trump (1:19:03) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. joins the show and recaps his campaign and decision to back Trump (1:31:13) Falling out with the Democratic Party (1:37:26) Potential role in the Trump Administration, Make America Healthy Again agenda (1:58:01) Sacks recaps RFK Jr's campaign, RFK Jr. on Trump's legacy Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Reid Hoffman: https://x.com/reidhoffman Follow Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2025 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gavin-baker-ai-semiconductors-and-the-robotic-frontier/id1154105909?i=1000666758592

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K (15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban (36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets (52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector (1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/nonfarm-payroll-growth-revised-down-by-818000-labor-department-says.html https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1826290040374243821 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1664788807059660800 https://www.statista.com/statistics/269959/employment-in-the-united-states https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024?tid=1724345228774 https://x.com/chamath/status/1826360792351957141 https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1826469365069271419 https://blockworks.co/news/polymarket-july-all-time-high-trading-volumes https://www.semafor.com/article/08/19/2024/harris-camp-signals-it-backs-biden-bid-to-raise-taxes-on-wealthy-corporations https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-election-2024-harris-walz/card/harris-backs-tax-increases-proposed-by-biden-pkuLeYl6f1kXrhN4kWgQ https://www.crfb.org/blogs/kamala-harris-agenda-lower-costs-american-families https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason gets a dish named after him! (5:27) DOJ considers breaking up Google after last week's antitrust ruling (28:10) Starbucks replaces CEO with Chipotle chief (45:37) Work culture, WFH's damage to informal mentorship (59:20) Election update: Harris flips the polls despite unclear policy; reports of price control focus (1:21:27) Boeing's Starliner disaster strands two astronauts in space (1:33:54) Russia/Ukraine update: Ukraine wins land in Kursk, Nordstream report Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/harry_schuh/status/1822030518038491400 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-13/doj-considers-seeking-google-goog-breakup-after-major-antitrust-win https://www.wsj.com/business/starbucks-replaces-ceo-as-activist-investors-push-for-changes-43c33bff https://s203.q4cdn.com/326826266/files/doc_financials/2024/q3/Q3-FY24-Earnings-at-a-Glance.pdf https://fortune.com/2024/08/13/starbucks-shares-jump-20-after-company-poaches-chipotle-ceo-brian-niccol-chipotle-falls-9 https://www.cafexapp.com https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CMG:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/articles/low-wage-workers-climb-the-earnings-ladder-20acd8af https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzLCpmRad5o https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nearly-half-dell-full-time-215348261.html https://x.com/Jason/status/1823826884112867609 https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1823913395986305342 https://www.npr.org/2024/08/08/nx-s1-5068668/vance-walz-stolen-valor-military-record https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/walzs-military-record-vances-accusations-stolen-valor/story?id=112618991 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/08/15/kamala-harris-economic-policy-2024 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whip_Inflation_Now https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WMT:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/kamala-harriss-economic-team-and-agenda-start-to-take-shape-7682e539 https://time.com/7009317/reintroduction-of-kamala-harris https://x.com/TIME/status/1822951410956218385 https://www.axios.com/2024/08/11/kamala-harris-trump-taxes-tips-service-workers https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2019-annual-letter https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BA:NYSE https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1413855 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/07/26/boeing-starliner-astronauts-stuck-orbit-space-station https://spacenews.com/41891nasa-selects-boeing-and-spacex-for-commercial-crew-contracts https://newatlas.com/space/first-manned-crew-dragon-flight-date https://qph.cf2.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-26d9f1dddb4d24469b593b28f40d277b-lq https://spaceflightnow.com/2016/08/02/boeing-nears-fix-for-cst-100-starliner-design-hitch https://spacenews.com/crewed-starliner-test-flight-could-slip-to-2019 https://spaceflightnow.com/2020/02/28/boeing-says-thorough-testing-would-have-caught-starliner-software-problems https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/08/19/boeings-starliner-spacecraft-returns-to-processing-facility-for-valve-work https://www.boeing.com/space/starliner/launch/archive.html https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/nord-stream-pipeline-explosion-real-story-da24839c https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/03/nord-stream-bombing-yacht-andromeda https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4O8rGRLf8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ild-PsPD_Uw

(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID! (3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues (27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"? (45:46) Why Buffett is selling Apple and massively increasing Berkshire's cash position (55:54) Major antitrust ruling against Google, predicting outcomes (1:22:41) Kamala picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/health/wellness/covid-guidelines-2024-cdc-symptoms-contagious-cdefb6b8 https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate https://pebblewriter.com/the-yen-carry-trade-explained https://www.statista.com/statistics/604424/median-age-of-the-population-in-japan https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japans-nov-core-consumer-inflation-hits-fresh-40-year-high-2022-12-22 https://x.com/GoldmanSachs/status/1793998451291615316 https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/boj-wont-raise-rates-when-markets-are-unstable-deputy-gov-says-6f4bf962 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html https://www.wsj.com/finance/the-u-s-government-will-soon-spend-more-on-interest-payments-than-defense-ee6fbeec https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/business/archegos-bill-hwang-guilty.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-08/jpmorgan-says-three-quarters-of-global-carry-trades-now-unwound https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/02/job-growth-totals-114000-in-july-much-less-than-expected-as-unemployment-rate-rises-to-4point3percent.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.IXIC:INDEXNASDAQ https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-07-2024/card/airbnb-stock-slides-after-rental-company-warns-of-slowing-u-s-demand-inf2c6emjcl5KI7KmkfR https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1799085407394845087 https://www.forbes.com/sites/gurufocus/2024/02/15/warren-buffett-bolsters-chevron-stake-revealing-key-q4-moves https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ https://www.ft.com/content/2aa3b542-d4e4-4afb-8d81-89bb734d7b17 https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25032786-googleruling https://x.com/Jason/status/1820823406503157764 https://x.com/chamath/status/1817893425137508474 https://www.vox.com/2018/10/31/18039528/tech-employees-politics-liberal-employers-candidates https://www.natesilver.net/p/tim-walz-is-a-minnesota-nice-choice https://x.com/NickFondacaro/status/1820840411335737852 https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820918063966962143 https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/08/06/politics/tim-walz-inside-harris-vp-pick https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/us/politics/vance-walz-military-record.html https://x.com/PokerGO/status/1818836856890704291

(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain (19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky? (33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession? (40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility (45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East? (1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-boycotts-netanyahu-snubs-israeli-leaders-wartime-address-give-sorority-speech https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/us-news/media-change-tune-on-calling-kamala-harris-border-czar-despite-giving-her-the-title https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012 https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572 https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784 https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-jumps-after-earnings-beat-driven-by-ai-chip-sales-202456320.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/nvidia-stock-up-after-microsoft-amd-quell-fears-ai-buildout-too-fast.html https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/01/world/middleeast/how-a-secret-cyberwar-program-worked.html?hp https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bill-ackman-pulls-investment-fund-ipo-after-shrinking-its-size-85ba1a17

(0:00) Bestie intros: Nostracanis appears! (3:50) Wiz turns down Google's $23B offer, intends to IPO (13:30) CrowdStrike's rough week (17:51) Market update: Mag 7 sell-off? (22:47) Sam Altman's UBI study was a mixed bag (42:02) Succession IRL: Rupert Murdoch's children are in a legal battle over the future of his media empire (48:35) Biden out, Kamala in: Hot swap complete, speed-run primary subverted (1:03:08) Antisemitism rising, Josh Shapiro as a VP candidate (1:08:37) Sacks responds to smear campaign (1:26:46) Science Corner: China's nuclear buildout Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/google-wiz-deal-dead.html https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-71924-big-tech https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/12/snowflake-shares-slip-after-att-says-hackers-accessed-data.html https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2024/07/crowdstrike-blames-testing-bugs-for-security-update-that-took-down-8-5m-windows-pcs https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/falcon-update-for-windows-hosts-technical-details https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/23/business/delta-flight-cancellations/index.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRWD:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/alphabet-set-to-report-q2-earnings-results-after-the-bell.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE https://public.websites.umich.edu/~mille/ORUS_Health.pdf https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/business/media/rupert-murdoch-succession-fox.html https://apnews.com/article/fox-news-dominion-lawsuit-trial-trump-2020-0ac71f75acfacc52ea80b3e747fb0afe https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/07/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-democrats-endorsement-list.html https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4790684-kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-wisconsin https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/05/us/politics/biden-interview-stephanopoulos-abc.html https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/03/biden-no-ones-pushing-me-out-00166497 https://www.axios.com/2024/07/23/inside-harris-sprint-democratic-nomination https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/why-biden-dropped-out-00170106 https://apnews.com/article/biden-election-trump-democrats-329071c25dfaaae583b5f06184586267 https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1815080881981190320 https://x.com/paulg/status/1816334112086712830 https://x.com/paulg/status/1771640321446683060 https://www.sec.gov/files/litigation/admin/2017/33-10429.pdf https://x.com/mwseibel/status/1816542692727488784

(0:00) Bestie intros: Live from the RNC! (1:34) Reacting to the assassination attempt against President Trump (12:52) Impact of charged rhetoric (21:15) Secret Service's massive failure; institutional decay (37:02) Inside the RNC: Sacks breaks down his speech (41:16) Trump picks JD Vance as his running mate (58:52) All-In Summit scholarship applications are LIVE! (59:46) VC update: Exits creeping back, Sequoia's secondary offering for Stripe, Google in talks to acquire Wiz for $23B Apply for the All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Sacks RNC speech: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLArznk0Ns4 Jason's links (16:34): https://pt.icct.nl/article/donald-trump-aggressive-rhetoric-and-political-violence https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it Referenced in the show: https://www.foxnews.com/us/trumps-attempted-assassin-posted-message-before-shooting-july-13-my-premiere-watch-unfolds https://abcnews.go.com/US/trump-assassination-attempt-investigation-continues-new-details/story?id=112020474 https://x.com/TeslaVee/status/1813785645472690479 https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/08/politics/fact-check-trump-january-6/index.html https://x.com/DylanByers/status/1811855698566975936 https://x.com/newrepublic/status/1810009748697448541 https://pt.icct.nl/sites/default/files/import/pdf/nacos-et-al.pdf https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it https://apnews.com/article/trump-rubio-vance-burgum-scott-stefanik-vp-11ec39b0da11152ad110ff987d4eaeee https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pot7R0Affjs https://x.com/cb_doge/status/1813289249288134660 https://x.com/mualphaxi/status/1812579998735491327 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1813270784942494110 https://theintercept.com/2022/07/14/jan-6-texts-deleted-secret-service https://x.com/yashar/status/1813757637584134615 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/16/us/politics/trump-vance-vp-decision.html https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1812929198433964249 https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/17/peter-thiel-boosted-jd-vance-career/74397520007 https://x.com/RitaPanahi/status/1813790835332595863 https://x.com/RWTNews/status/1813779819697725669 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4FnpoNU8AI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xejs4gGUpjE https://www.axios.com/2024/07/15/sequoia-capital-stripe https://www.wsj.com/business/deals/google-near-23-billion-deal-for-cybersecurity-startup-wiz-622edf1a https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor-first-look https://www.axios.com/2024/07/18/president-biden-drop-out-election-democrats https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJP2zlH2nt8 https://www.semafor.com/article/07/17/2024/donors-cash-is-drying-up-jeffrey-katzenberg-warns-biden-in-private-meeting

(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:29) Macro picture: Soft landing secured? Rate cut on the horizon? Plus: partisan economic perception (20:48) AI sentiment turns bearish due to massive spend with little revenue (40:51) A16Z's 20K GPU cluster (46:41) Broad implications of France elections (1:06:10) Hot swap update: President Biden holds firm as backers flee, press corps chaos, speed-run primary chances Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/teddyschleifer/status/1811423421861113915 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/11/cpi-inflation-report-june-2024.html https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-071124/card/odds-of-a-september-rate-cut-jump-as-inflation-cools-Du34tNx5OPXwQpXrKTT2 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_pe_ratio https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-poll-analysis-americans-rate-economy-partisan-lens https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20240709188/heres-how-far-the-dow-has-fallen-behind-the-sp-500-so-far-in-2024 https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/ais-600b-question https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/gs-research/gen-ai-too-much-spend-too-little-benefit/report.pdf https://www.theinformation.com/articles/andreessen-horowitz-is-building-a-stash-of-more-than-20-000-gpus-to-win-ai-deals https://x.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13594307/french-election-candidates-drop-rn-le-pen-victory.html https://x.com/CilComLFC/status/1810110921383010563 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/opinion/joe-biden-democratic-nominee.html https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2024/07/11/what-obama-and-pelosi-are-doing-about-biden-00167520 https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/disastrous-biden-campaign-fundraising-takes-major-hit-rcna161214 https://x.com/greenfield64/status/1811199262350532767 https://x.com/Olivianuzzi/status/1808924240529535352 https://x.com/peterjhasson/status/1811052411584164210 https://youtu.be/kOeARghNIaY https://www.semafor.com/article/07/07/2024/blitz-primary-could-open-up-democratic-race-if-biden-drops-out

(0:00) New format: The All-In Interview! (0:59) Jonathan Haidt joins Jason and Friedberg: broader themes of his work, gamification and supercharged social media (12:39) Understanding how humans are wired from an evolutionary biology perspective (27:22) Haidt's proposals to help younger generations (33:12) Linking themes and trends in Haidt's books with recent college protests (48:17) Explaining traditional liberalism and conservatism (56:55) Lightning Round: Parenting tips, Gen Z employees Jonathan's website: https://jonathanhaidt.com Buy The Anxious Generation: https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/book Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/take-action https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1385350 https://www.azquotes.com/quote/926752 https://www.thecoddling.com/chapter-1-antifragility https://www.anxiousgeneration.com https://www.afterbabel.com https://letgrow.org

(0:00) Bestie Intros! (5:51) Democrats and their donors are falling out; President Biden to resign? Will VP Harris be the nominee? (26:22) Cognitive decline coverup, Bestie strategy for Dems (34:38) SCOTUS clarifies social media moderation (47:06) SCOTUS overturns Chevron, limiting the power of federal agencies (1:00:03) SCOTUS to hear case on restricting online porn in Texas (1:05:27) SCOTUS rules in favor of President Trump in immunity case Join/host a meetup: https://app.getriver.io/all-in Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/us/politics/biden-withdraw-election-debate.html https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1720024531014 https://www.newsweek.com/putin-houthis-cruise-missiles-russia-yemen-1919434 https://www.ft.com/content/d431b97f-7431-4066-bd80-9dab3b215fea https://www.axios.com/2024/06/30/top-aides-shielded-biden-white-house-debate https://www.foxnews.com/media/stephanopoulos-snaps-nikki-haley-saying-biden-wont-finish-term-excuse-me-how-do-you-know https://x.com/TheKevinDalton/status/1806669560852218045 https://x.com/0rf/status/1807620571934478683 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/supreme-court-social-media-laws-florida-texas https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-277_d18f.pdf https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-justice-voting-decisions-2024-rcna151268 https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-451_7m58.pdf https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-chevron-curtailing-power-of-federal-agencies https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-supreme-court-hear-challenge-texas-age-verification-online-porn-2024-07-02 https://x.com/noalpha_allbeta/status/1808265251202167183 https://x.com/ewarren/status/1808241509738631388 https://www.axios.com/2019/06/01/supreme-court-justices-ideology https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/06/02/supreme-court-justice-math-00152188 https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/23-939_e2pg.pdf https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/07/justices-rule-trump-has-some-immunity-from-prosecution https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/qanon-shaman-sentenced-3-years-role-capitol-riot-rcna5825 https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1808558981457326368

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:54) Debate recap and analysis: Hot swap incoming? (16:53) Subverting democracy, power grab, Democratic party shakeup (36:43) Why tech job postings are down significantly from pre-COVID levels (42:43) OpenAI considering for-profit conversion (54:11) The problem with safety-focused AI startups (1:03:20) EU charges Microsoft with antitrust violations for bundling Teams into Office Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1719589320811 https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw https://x.com/KellyO/status/1806505436457189594 https://x.com/WesternLensman/status/1806660589315658003 https://x.com/stoolpresidente/status/1806496453545586779 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-ceo-says-company-could-become-benefit-corporation-akin-to-rivals-anthropic-xai https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-19/openai-co-founder-plans-new-ai-focused-research-lab https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YMnkqY98Cyo https://x.com/benioff/status/1805664701298491623 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwQMMzoeH9s https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1806739920255320347

(0:00) Bestie intros: Big house talk! (1:37) Economy: Regulation, taxes, tariffs, taming inflation, de-dollarization (12:02) Federal debt: growth, spend control, where to cut, role of energy, nuclear (20:22) Foreign policy: Ukraine/Russia (25:05) Foreign policy: Israel/Palestine (28:13) Abortion: Stance on a national ban (31:09) Foreign policy: China (32:33) COVID: Origins, Fauci relationship, deep state, bad deals (39:39) Border: Wall, immigration, H-1Bs, recruiting global talent (46:07) JFK Files: Full release, importance of transparency (48:06) Debate prediction (50:15) Post-interview debrief Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/tyler/status/1803872859938549920 https://x.com/cameron/status/1803876953860247831 https://x.com/LHSummers/status/1802097688269181436 https://x.com/davidsacks/status/179888324567070746

(0:00) Bestie intros: bringing up the energy! (8:48) Trump fundraiser recap (23:16) Elon's comp package approved by shareholders (40:12) Apple announces "Apple Intelligence" and ChatGPT deal at WWDC (50:17) OpenAI reportedly hits a $3.4B revenue run rate (1:05:26) Macro debate: State of the US economy? Follow Tim Naki: https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki https://x.com/eoghan/status/1799161733766062545 https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1800979079472288145 https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1797086962626494840 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1801084780035154058 https://x.com/jhall/status/1795794521604718814 https://fortune.com/2024/06/10/elon-musk-pay-package-tesla-lawyers-delaware-chancery-payout-stock-award-56-billion https://companiesmarketcap.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RXeOiIDNNek https://x.com/chiefaioffice/status/1801022115426009309 https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=%2Fg%2F11khcfz0y2&hl=en https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?q=%2Fg%2F11khcfz0y2&hl=en https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/jobs-report-may-2024 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES0500000003 https://www.warren.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/2024.06.10%20Letter%20to%20Fed.%20re%20interest%20rates.pdf https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/07/jobs-report-may-2024-us-job-gains-totaled-272000-in-may.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL https://x.com/VinnyLingham/status/1801129023168454907 https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aw5bbb/world_economy_on_nvidias_shoulders https://www.instagram.com/stocktradingmemes/p/C3qer-sSfb0/?img_index=1 https://x.com/jameslavish/status/1801248976911634648 https://x.com/peterfenton/status/1801300735520608529

(0:00) Besties intros! (2:10) Responding to recent media coverage (17:58) DOJ/FTC strike deal to target Nvidia, OpenAI, and Microsoft (32:40) Meme stocks are back: Keith Gill aka Roaring Kitty resurfaces, disclosing nine figure position in GameStop (58:36) Citadel and BlackRock back TXSE to take on NYSE and Nasdaq (1:02:34) Apple to announce OpenAI iPhone deal at WWDC (1:09:07) Science Corner: Alarming ocean temps continue, what to expect for hurricane season Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQQhAg0mfF8 https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1769529054955446533 https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1796293773389127987 https://x.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1796415146077954329 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1798100723617698097 https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1798779830521000426 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/technology/nvidia-microsoft-openai-antitrust-doj-ftc.html https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ftc-opens-antitrust-probe-of-microsoft-ai-deal-29b5169a https://companiesmarketcap.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9cO3-MLHOM https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/29/newsom-california-artifical-intelligence-regulations-00160519 https://www.reddit.com/user/DeepFuckingValue https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/e-trade-considers-kicking-meme-stock-leader-keith-gill-off-platform-f2003ec4 https://x.com/TheRoaringKitty/status/1789807772542067105 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GME:NYSE https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-VO6dtFRes https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/keith-gills-gamestop-trades-pose-conundrum-for-market-cops-70cc5301 https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/GME/gamestop/revenue https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/gamestop-burned-andrew-left-in-2021-hes-betting-against-the-stock-again-4377cecb https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/18/business/melvin-capital-gamestop-short.html https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki/reels https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/new-texas-stock-exchange-takes-aim-at-new-yorks-dominance-e3b4d9ba https://listingcenter.nasdaq.com/assets/Board%20Diversity%20Disclosure%20Five%20Things.pdf https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-05/why-is-apple-aapl-teaming-up-with-openai-both-companies-need-each-other https://x.com/leonsimons8/status/1793319395080520036

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Jason's first show for his new production company (2:15) Why Sacks and Chamath are hosting a Trump fundraiser (18:40) House COVID investigation: findings, cover-up, what's next? (41:36) The Deep State Problem: unelected bureaucrats running three letter agencies for decades (53:04) Crypto Corner with Chamath (1:04:15) State of SaaS: Salesforce drops 20%, market teetering (1:20:10) Trump verdict: guilty on 34 counts of falsifying business records (1:37:36) Are we seeing an AI correction? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://oversight.house.gov/release/new-select-subcommittee-report-recommends-ecohealth-alliance-president-debarred-and-criminally-investigated-exposes-failures-in-nih-grant-procedures https://oversight.house.gov/release/hearing-wrap-up-nih-repeatedly-refutes-ecohealth-alliance-president-dr-peter-daszaks-testimony-tabak-testimony-reveals-federal-grant-procedures-in-need-of-serious-reform https://www.axios.com/2021/07/20/fauci-rand-paul-wuhan-institute https://oversight.house.gov/release/breaking-hhs-suspends-funding-and-proposes-formal-debarment-of-ecohealth-alliance-cites-evidence-from-covid-select-report https://oversight.house.gov/release/breaking-hhs-to-debar-dr-peter-daszak-president-of-ecohealth-alliance https://x.com/emilyakopp/status/1795482121739354552 https://x.com/R_H_Ebright/status/1795454118594568312 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGxSlW0NrB4 https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/dual-use-research/feds-lift-gain-function-research-pause-offer-guidance https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-flu-virus-risk-worth-taking/2011/12/30/gIQAM9sNRP_story.html https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3484390 https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30418-9/fulltext https://oversight.house.gov/release/new-covid-select-memo-details-allegations-of-wrongdoing-and-illegal-activity-by-dr-faucis-senior-scientific-advisor https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-deficit https://x.com/KatherineEban https://x.com/emilyakopp https://www.semafor.com/article/05/28/2024/a-dying-empire-led-by-bad-people-poll-finds-young-voters-despairing-over-us-politics https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nvQTXAgtA6s https://s23.q4cdn.com/574569502/files/doc_financials/2025/q1/CRM-Q1-FY25-Earnings-Press-Release-w-financials.pdf https://www.investors.com/news/economy/federal-reserve-core-pce-inflation-gdp-q1-jobless-claims-sp-500 https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/05/30/nyregion/trump-trial-verdict https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DELL:NYSE https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-30/us-gdp-grew-at-softer-pace-as-spending-inflation-marked-down

(0:00) Bestie intros: Recapping "General AI Hospital" (2:46) Scarlett Johansson vs. OpenAI (14:37) OpenAI's novel off-boarding agreements, ex-employee equity problem, and safety team resignations (25:35) Nvidia crushes earnings again, but it faces a trillion-dollar problem (40:05) Understanding why economic sentiment is so negative among US citizens despite positive data (1:02:36) New study shows plastics in testicles Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/BobbyAllyn/status/1792679435701014908 https://x.com/sama/status/1790075827666796666 https://openai.com/index/how-the-voices-for-chatgpt-were-chosen https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/05/22/openai-scarlett-johansson-chatgpt-ai-voice https://x.com/SydSteyerhart/status/1792981291266138531 https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/351132/openai-vested-equity-nda-sam-altman-documents-employees https://x.com/sama/status/1791936857594581428 https://x.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322 https://x.com/janleike/status/1790603862132596961 https://x.com/janleike/status/1791498184671605209 https://openai.com/index/openai-announces-leadership-transition https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-first-quarter-fiscal-2025 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/INTC:NASDAQ https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/nvidia-2023-vs-cisco-1999-will-history-repeat https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/03/06/is-nvidia-doomed-to-be-the-next-cisco-what-investo https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/nvidia-and-the-cautionary-tale-of-cisco-systems.379022 https://chamath.substack.com/p/2023-annual-letter https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2024/03/23/summers-inflation-reached-18-in-2022-using-the-governments-previous-formula https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/22/poll-economy-recession-biden https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CCLACBW027SBOG https://x.com/KariLake/status/1792986501820850333 https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2024/apr/how-big-mac-index-relates-overall-consumer-inflation https://www.google.com/finance/quote/MCD:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/economy/gdp-and-the-dow-are-up-but-what-about-american-well-being-87f90e6d https://www.consumerreports.org/health/food-contaminants/the-plastic-chemicals-hiding-in-your-food-a7358224781 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2605.2007.00837.x https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12708228 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7559247 https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21524797 https://academic.oup.com/toxsci/advance-article/doi/10.1093/toxsci/kfae060/7673133 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6yuYkfNh-k https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EYQjShJxCtM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r_4jrMwvZ2A

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Recapping Phil Hellmuth's birthday weekend (7:38) OpenAI launches GPT-4o: better, faster, cheaper (29:40) Sacks demos Glue: How AI unlocked his Slack killer (40:12) Friedberg walks through his major breakthrough at Ohalo (1:01:35) Stanley Druckenmiller bets on Argentina and Javier Milei: strategy, roadmap for the US (1:13:54) Jason's bet on Athena, how AI will change company building (1:22:21) Google launches AI summaries in search Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.pokernews.com/news/2024/05/phil-hellmuth-60th-birthday-bash-las-vegas-45984.htm https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1790130703721521305 https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1790089513387143469 https://crfm.stanford.edu/helm/mmlu/v1.3.0/# https://www.businessinsider.com/inflection-implosion-chatgpt-stall-ai-consumer-chatbot-problem-2024-3 https://www.opencompute.org https://glue.ai https://ragie.ai https://ohalo.com https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/07/cnbc-exclusive-cnbc-transcript-billionaire-investor-stanley-druckenmiller-speaks-with-cnbcs-squawk-box-today.html https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2024/03/23/summers-inflation-reached-18-in-2022-using-the-governments-previous-formula https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1378034932006592512 https://www.athenawow.com/jcal https://calacanis.substack.com/p/startup-productivity-in-the-age-of https://blog.google/products/search/generative-ai-google-search-may-2024 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEzRZ35urlk https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOG https://startuptalky.com/apple-failed-products

(0:00) Welcoming Sam Altman to the show! (2:28) What's next for OpenAI: GPT-5, open-source, reasoning, what an AI-powered iPhone competitor could look like, and more (21:56) How advanced agents will change the way we interface with apps (33:01) Fair use, creator rights, why OpenAI has stayed away from the music industry (42:02) AI regulation, UBI in a post-AI world (52:23) Sam breaks down how he was fired and re-hired, why he has no equity, dealmaking on behalf of OpenAI, and how he organizes the company (1:05:33) Post-interview recap (1:10:38) All-In Summit announcements, college protests (1:19:06) Signs of innovation dying at Apple: iPad ad, Buffett sells 100M+ shares, what's next? (1:29:41) Google unveils AlphaFold 3.0 Follow Sam: https://twitter.com/sama Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/EconomyApp/status/1622029832099082241 https://sacra.com/c/openai https://twitter.com/tim_cook/status/1787864325258162239 https://openai.com/index/introducing-the-model-spec https://twitter.com/SabriSun_Miller/status/1788298123434938738 https://www.archives.gov/founding-docs/bill-of-rights-transcript https://twitter.com/ClayTravis/status/1788312545754825091 https://www.inc.com/bill-murphy-jr/warren-buffett-just-sold-more-than-100-million-shares-of-apple-reason-why-is-eye-opening.html https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=snbTCWL6rxo https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20240506PD216/apple-ev-startup-genai.html https://www.theonion.com/fuck-everything-were-doing-five-blades-1819584036 https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-deepmind-isomorphic-alphafold-3-ai-model

(0:00) Welcoming Sheryl Sandberg and remembering Dave Goldberg (11:10) What led Sheryl to get involved with "Screams Before Silence"; reaction to sexual violence on and after 10/7 (28:18) Paths forward, documentary decisions, involvement of women in protests (53:03) Post-interview debrief (59:45) Science Corner: Open-source AI gene editing with OpenCRISPR-1 Follow Sheryl: https://twitter.com/sherylsandberg Watch Screams Before Silence: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAr9oGSXgak&rco=1 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/fakechamath https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAr9oGSXgak&rco=1 https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/20/opinions/sheryl-sandberg-something-we-can-all-agree-on/index.html https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/03/1147477 https://thegrayzone.com/2024/03/07/media-concocts-un-hamas-rape-report/amp/ https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/29/world/middleeast/israel-hamas-sexual-violence-un.html https://github.com/Profluent-AI/OpenCRISPR

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Reservation Tips! (5:20) Meta goes scorched earth in AI, why the stock was down despite beating on earnings (22:20) Tesla's roadmap, ranking the company's highest-upside bets outside of cars for the next 10 years (47:25) FTC bans noncompetes: impact on startups and company formation (1:00:33) Besties reminisce on their encounters with Steve Jobs (1:10:25) TikTok "divest-or-ban" bill is signed into law: Will China comply? What's it worth without the algorithm? Will a deal get done? (1:27:22) Biden's proposed capital gains hikes and a 25% wealth tax for those with $100M+ in assets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://ai.meta.com/blog/meta-llama-3 https://huggingface.co/meta-llama/Meta-Llama-3-8B https://about.fb.com/news/2024/04/introducing-our-open-mixed-reality-ecosystem https://about.fb.com/news/2024/04/meta-ai-assistant-built-with-llama-3 https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/25/investing/meta-stock-plunges-ai-spending/index.html https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kiMTRQXBol0 https://twitter.com/AravSrinivas/status/1781099224169320500 https://wow.groq.com/12-hours-later-groq-is-running-llama-3-instruct-8-70b-by-meta-ai-on-its-lpu-inference-enginge https://twitter.com/lauramaywendel/status/1782040453266710551 https://twitter.com/naveengrao/status/1781491370114633816 https://twitter.com/winglian/status/1783456379199484367 https://www.meta.ai https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1780302197772952049 https://electrek.co/2024/03/16/tesla-full-self-driving-beta-v12-finally-rolls-out https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-cuts-price-full-self-driving-software-by-third-8000-2024-04-21 https://fortune.com/2024/04/15/elon-musk-tesla-cut-10-percent-global-workforce-14000-employees-slowing-ev-demand https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-take-shareholder-vote-shifting-incorporation-texas-musk-says-2024-02-01 https://www.ft.com/content/46aac746-4a54-437f-a0b7-9b81b154c21d https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/24/tesla-stock-up-after-elon-musk-says-new-affordable-ev-models-coming.html https://www.tesla.com/blog/master-plan-part-deux https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1776663647735218491 https://digitalassets.tesla.com/tesla-contents/image/upload/IR/TSLA-Q1-2024-Update.pdf https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/25/gdp-q1-2024-increased-at-a-1point6percent-rate.html https://palmetto.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pja_n8ThDsU https://www.fastcompany.com/90972171/cruise-suspends-driverless-vehicle-operations-in-san-francisco-after-dmv-revokes-permit https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1777496946263134414 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/03/technology/cruise-general-motors-self-driving-cars.html https://thehill.com/business/4615452-ftc-votes-to-ban-non-compete-agreements https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2024/04/ftc-announces-rule-banning-noncompetes https://www.techemails.com/p/steve-jobs-emails-adobes-ceo https://venturebeat.com/business/how-steve-jobs-felt-betrayed-by-eric-schmidt-over-googles-android https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWOt9Cjq2mw https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/24/24139036/biden-signs-tiktok-ban-bill-divest-foreign-aid-package https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/senate-returns-95b-foreign-aid-package-ukraine-israel/story?id=109506150 https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/06/tiktok-parent-bytedance-offers-share-buyback-at-268-billion-valuation.html https://www.theinformation.com/articles/bytedance-exploring-scenarios-for-selling-tiktok-without-algorithm?rc=pxkrxo https://www.aclu.org/press-releases/senate-reauthorizes-and-expands-section-702-surveillance https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1783220583075111401 https://www.wsj.com/tech/tiktok-ban-chinese-owners-bytedance-1a857a06 https://x.com/MsMelChen/status/1783524423963697262 https://x.com/Jason/status/1783556155924705388 https://x.com/Jason/status/1783604248569360516 https://www.atr.org/biden-calls-for-44-6-capital-gains-tax-rate-highest-capital-gains-tax-since-its-creation-in-1922 https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2025.pdf https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/tax-on-rich-to-save-social-security-popular-with-swing-state-voters-poll https://balajis.com/p/all-it-takes-is-all-you-got https://twitter.com/maceskridge/status/1783290784311058788

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Chamath recaps the Breakthrough Prize Ceremony, "High IQ foods" (9:49) All-In Summit update, Poker styles of Andrew Robl, Jason Koon, and Phil Hellmuth   (14:38) Google fires protestors (35:08) Chaos and culture wars at NPR (40:43) Humane's AI Pin: Marques Brownlee's review, the Ex-Apple issue, polarizing reactions (1:02:28) Startup tax crisis: How a recent provision upended R&D deductions (1:12:39) Sports betting scandal: NBA player Jontay Porter banned for life, explosion of sports betting in the US (1:23:33) How to get better at chess, childhood Bestie schemes Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/NoTechApartheid/status/1780278895058518468 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/17/google-workers-arrested-after-nine-hour-protest-in-google-cloud-ceos-office.html https://www.notechforapartheid.com https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/17/24133700/google-fires-28-employees-protest-israel-cloud-contract https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1779914595156808045 https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-04-11/ty-article-magazine/.premium/saying-what-cant-be-said-israel-has-been-defeated-a-total-defeat/0000018e-cdab-dba9-a78e-efef6ba10000 https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-wins-gaza-battles-but-risks-losing-the-war-c6a3823f https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/19/middleeast/eisenkot-netanyahu-israel-war-politics-gaza-intl/index.html https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-APSXZy9UI https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/02/world/middleeast/israel-gaza-aid-workers-killed.html https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-03-31/ty-article-magazine/.premium/israel-created-kill-zones-in-gaza-anyone-who-crosses-into-them-is-shot/0000018e-946c-d4de-afee-f46da9ee0000 https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2023-12-15/ty-article/.premium/israeli-army-says-killed-three-hostages-mistakenly-identified-as-threat-in-northern-gaza/0000018c-6edd-dbd5-a39c-ffff08470000 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/06/world/middleeast/israel-idf-soldiers-war-social-media-video.html https://twitter.com/JustStop_Oil/status/1580883249228046336 https://www.npr.org/2024/01/24/1226035539/npr-ceo-katherine-maher-wikimedia https://www.npr.org/about-npr/178659563/our-mission-and-vision https://www.thefp.com/p/npr-editor-how-npr-lost-americas-trust https://www.npr.org/sections/npr-extra/2024/04/12/1244456600/from-npr-president-and-ceo-katherine-maher-thoughts-on-our-mission-and-our-work https://twitter.com/realchrisrufo https://twitter.com/wokal_distance/status/1780695504210567335 https://www.theinformation.com/articles/has-humane-created-the-next-iphone-or-the-next-google-glass https://humane.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TitZV6k8zfA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6xWXRk3yaSw https://www.amazon.com/Anxious-Generation-Rewiring-Childhood-Epidemic/dp/0593655036 https://www.amazon.com/Nexus-Trilogy-Book-1-ebook/dp/B00TOZI7FM https://www.amazon.com/Bad-Therapy-Kids-Arent-Growing/dp/0593542924 https://www.wsj.com/sports/basketball/jontay-porter-banned-gambling-5dd9c1a8 https://nypost.com/2024/04/17/sports/how-jontay-porter-orchestrated-failed-nba-gambling-scandal https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/2024/1/31/24054415/lebron-james-joins-draftkings-football-sports https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/story/_/id/39563784/sports-betting-industry-posts-record-11b-2023-revenue https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/38386013/how-nba-new-rules-resting-stars-work https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U2huVf1l4UE

Register for the All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co (0:00) Bestie Intros: J-Cal is out this week! (0:57) All-In Summit 2024 Announcement (3:10) Nvidia's market position, Collapse of Western cities, State of the cloud market (17:30) Inflation stays hotter than expected for the third straight month: chance of a HIKE instead of a cut? (45:41) AI disclosure bill: important step for creators or unnecessary? (1:06:27) Drone warfare: The future of war, Silicon Valley's defense decision Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://summit.allinpodcast.co https://youtu.be/FgUKIRnxrxw https://laist.com/news/kpcc-archive/election-2014-prop-47-reduces-drug-and-property-cr https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/san-francisco-election-progressives-18699100.php https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/10/cpi-inflation-march-2024-consumer-prices-rose-3point5percent-from-a-year-ago-in-march.html https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/core-cpi-736 https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/cpi-733 https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1778093870271664291 https://www.wsj.com/economy/inflation-march-cpi-report-interest-rate-239b7e5e https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1762607548828360798 https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2024/03/23/summers-inflation-reached-18-in-2022using-the-governments-previous-formula https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1778098007625572487 https://www.city-journal.org/article/lisa-d-cooks-careless-scholarship https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/08/biden-will-announce-details-of-new-student-loan-forgiveness-plan.html https://www.livemint.com/news/world/bidens-4-5-trillion-spending-plan-faces-deficit-test-11619956141365.html https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1778479545613439455 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1777017715846455470/photo/1 https://schiff.house.gov/news/press-releases/rep-schiff-introduces-groundbreaking-bill-to-create-ai-transparency-between-creators-and-companies https://schiff.house.gov/imo/media/doc/the_generative_ai_copyright_disclosure_act.pdf https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/05/billie-eilish-nicki-minaj-200-artists-sign-letter-against-ai-music.html https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/6/24122915/openai-youtube-transcripts-gpt-4-training-data-google https://abcnews.go.com/Entertainment/jury-reaches-verdict-ed-sheeran-copyright-infringement-case/story https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xG1vOxwgqJw https://twitter.com/sambendett/status/1774074927437475862 https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-produce-one-million-drones-next-year-zelenskiy-says-2023-12-19 https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-has-seven-drones-every-one-ukraine-has-army-official-2023-12 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/world/europe/ukraine-drone-russia-jamming.html https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480 https://www.saildrone.com https://govciomedia.com/dod-seeks-to-grow-partnerships-with-silicon-valley-startups https://www.statista.com/statistics/1249871/share-of-the-global-lithium-ion-battery-manufacturing-capacity-by-country https://www.militaryaerospace.com/power/article/14072339/emp-high-power-electromagnetic-weapons-railguns-microwaves https://www.allencontrolsystems.com https://www.allencontrolsystems.com/bullfrog

(0:00) Meet All-In's new CEO: Jon Haile! (7:13) FTX Correction: Depositors are not getting "made whole" (19:26) Trump Media updates (27:12) Google considering bid to acquire HubSpot: Price, relevancy, feasible with regulators? Should Google investors be worried or excited? (49:20) AI job loss fears go mainstream, potential for autonomous domestic robots in next five years (1:11:17) Blinken says Ukraine will join NATO: WW3 risk, election implications Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/27/sbf-team-argues-for-5-6-year-sentence-ftx-customers-to-get-money-back.html https://www.axios.com/2024/02/06/ftx-repay-customers-creditors-investors https://www.reuters.com/technology/ftx-gets-court-approval-sell-crypto-assets-2023-09-13 https://www.reuters.com/technology/ftx-expects-us-reduce-bankruptcy-claim-3-billion-5-billion-2024-03-21 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ https://www.barrons.com/articles/djt-truth-social-trump-media-stock-price-earnings-4ad7c458 https://www.barrons.com/articles/djt-truth-social-trump-media-stock-price-today-d2249f43 https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/03/trump-media-es-family-trust-2022-loans https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/03/business/trump-media-insider-trading-guilty.html https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1619029772977455105 https://nypost.com/2023/01/28/left-wing-think-tank-responsible-for-fake-russia-stories https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/google-parent-alphabet-weighs-offer-hubspot-sources-say-2024-04-04 https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/HUBS/hubspot/revenue https://www.google.com/finance/quote/HUBS:NYSE https://www.statista.com/statistics/266249/advertising-revenue-of-google https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mergers_and_acquisitions_by_Alphabet https://ir.hubspot.com/news/hubspot-reports-q4-and-full-year-2023-results https://twitter.com/thedailyshow/status/1774995166778020059 https://www.klarna.com/international/press/klarna-ai-assistant-handles-two-thirds-of-customer-service-chats-in-its-first-month https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikepatton/2014/12/30/a-historical-look-at-the-components-of-u-s-gdp-1929-to-2011 https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1983/06/02/issue.html https://m.imdb.com/name/nm0001394/mediaviewer/rm2226878976 https://twitter.com/lina_colucci/status/1775668500931268665 https://twitter.com/tsarnick/status/1748923998052975099 https://twitter.com/Figure_robot/status/1767913661253984474 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1746964887949934958 https://www.geckorobotics.com/company/robots https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1775926842257813910 https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-great-risk-front-line-collapse-war-russia https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-ukraine-western-troops-remarks https://www.state.gov/secretary-antony-j-blinken-and-ukrainian-foreign-minister-dmytro-kuleba-before-their-meeting-10

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Late night poker snacks! (2:33) SBF sentenced to 25 years (16:41) Trump's meme SPAC: modern trading card, protest vote, or something else? (34:59) RFK Jr. selects Nicole Shanahan as VP (47:46) Biden's budget plan for 2025: how to confront America's existential crisis? (1:11:59) Science Corner: Why the price of cocoa has skyrocketed! (1:16:41) Movie talk and wrap! Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.reuters.com/technology/sam-bankman-fried-be-sentenced-multi-billion-dollar-ftx-fraud-2024-03-28 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/25/ftx-estate-sells-majority-stake-in-startup-anthropic-for-884-million.html https://coingeek.com/ftx-founder-sam-bankman-fried-sentenced-to-25-years-in-prison https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1849635/000119312524036093/d408563ds4a.htm https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2023-121 https://apnews.com/article/trump-media-gamestop-truth-social-meme-stock-666e62b4f3f788bd6276764056bc7c0d https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/18/business/melvin-capital-gamestop-short.html https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/lau37c/we_can_stay_retarded_longer_than_you_can_stay https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/rfk-jr-to-name-nicole-shanahan-as-running-mate-for-presidential-bid-4b9a698e https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1773147897439436939 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html https://www.reuters.com/world/us/bidens-2024-us-government-budget-is-also-campaign-pitch-2024-03-11 https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/budget_fy2025.pdf https://manhattan.institute/article/the-limits-of-taxing-the-rich https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/09_effects_income_tax_changes_economic_growth_gale_sawick.pdf https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S https://www.oecd.org/tax/revenue-statistics-united-states.pdf https://www.visualcapitalist.com/inflation-chart-tracks-price-changes-us-goods-services https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USGOVT https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/investor-relations/larry-fink-annual-chairmans-letter https://www.kakaoplattform.ch/about-cocoa/cocoa-facts-and-figures https://www.movieposters.com/products/daliland-mpw-138836 https://twitter.com/stillgray/status/1773234188663054751 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1773240336292393144

(0:00) Bestie Intros: Don't spoil Dune 2! (0:55) DOJ drops antitrust suit on Apple (23:36) Apple reportedly in talks with Google and OpenAI to power AI features on iPhone (32:17) NAR settlement: how it impacts residential real estate going forward (44:30) Microsoft's "Shadow Acquihire" of Inflection AI (48:43) How the besties would deploy $40B in AI as a sovereign wealth fund (1:01:57) Reddit IPO: is risk-on back? (1:07:17) Science Corner(s): Universe expansion, first pig kidney transplant in human, Neuralink Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.njd.544402/gov.uscourts.njd.544402.1.0_3.pdf https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-sues-apple-monopolizing-smartphone-markets https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-18/apple-in-talks-to-license-google-gemini-for-iphone-ios-18-generative-ai-tools https://www.macrumors.com/2023/10/11/google-pays-apple-billions-default-search https://venturebeat.com/ai/apple-releases-mgie-a-revolutionary-ai-model-for-instruction-based-image-editing https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1769751534940918234 https://nypost.com/2024/02/26/business/google-to-relaunch-woke-gemini-ai-image-tool-in-few-weeks https://twitter.com/Patworx/status/1760189582870536408 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QNv9PRDIhes https://www.nbcnews.com/business/real-estate/national-association-realtors-settlement-changes-rcna143634 https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/realtors-settlement-change-buy-sell-homes-da45eb23 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-19/inflection-ai-plans-pivot-after-most-employees-go-to-microsoft https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-19/microsoft-hires-deepmind-co-founder-suleyman-to-run-consumer-ai https://inflection.ai/inflection-ai-announces-1-3-billion-of-funding https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/19/business/saudi-arabia-investment-artificial-intelligence.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/21/reddit-ipo-rddt-starts-trading-on-nyse.html https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/fed-officials-still-see-three-cuts-this-year-0b039532 https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/commercial/americas-office-fire-sale-has-barely-begun-0c8d376f https://www.foxweather.com/earth-space/nasa-webb-telescope-hubble-observations-universe-expansion-rate-question https://www.massgeneral.org/news/press-release/worlds-first-genetically-edited-pig-kidney-transplant-into-living-recipient https://twitter.com/neuralink/status/1770563939413496146

(0:00) Bestie Intros! (1:02) Friedberg's newest family members (7:13) Tech's vibe shift: More candidness, less PR-speak from top CEOs (22:47) OpenAI CTO slips up on training data: did OpenAI train Sora on YouTube videos? (28:58) Vertical AI startups flourishing: Cognition launches Devin, what will this do to startups? (40:38) TikTok debate: Is the new bill to ban or force a sale of TikTok fair or potentially overreaching due to its vagueness? (1:22:10) Florida on the verge of banning lab-grown meat Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/RachaelRad/status/1767612555063955891 https://twitter.com/iamtomnash/status/1768135725403226256 https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1752749485070156025 https://futurism.com/video-openai-cto-sora-training-data https://twitter.com/tsarnick/status/1768021821595726254 https://www.harvey.ai https://www.abridge.com https://www.taxgpt.com https://sierra.ai https://twitter.com/cognition_labs/status/1767548763134964000 https://twitter.com/heyBarsee/status/1767934812315062646 https://sourcegraph.com/cody https://techcrunch.com/2023/06/27/vertical-ai-the-next-logical-iteration-of-vertical-saas https://vator.tv/news/2018-02-05-when-paypal-was-young-the-early-years https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/03/13/tiktok-ban-passes-house-vote https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/tiktok-bill-ban-house-vote-af4d0800 https://rollcall.com/2024/03/14/schumer-signals-slower-pace-on-tiktok-measure-in-the-senate https://twitter.com/rabois/status/1768107160662421772 https://www.linkedin.com/posts/vivekgramaswamy_were-literally-addicted-to-china-they-push-activity-7060229302633521152-k0g3 https://time.com/6900348/tiktok-ban-donald-trump-congress https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-13/who-is-jeff-yass-15-billion-tiktok-fortune-at-stake-as-ban-passes-house-vote https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/7521/text https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_foreign_adversaries https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1753878721163882676 https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1985-09-04-mn-23112-story.html https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/technology/byte-dance-tik-tok-internal-investigation.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/14/tiktok-ban-china-would-block-sale-of-short-video-app.html https://www.fastcompany.com/91056837/ron-desantis-and-the-florida-legislature-turn-their-anti-woke-agenda-on-lab-grown-meat https://standingstonefarms.com/pages/microbial-rennet-what-is-it-and-how-important-is-it https://twitter.com/Teslaconomics/status/1768395010507182252 https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1768267464062943676 https://twitter.com/Andercot/status/1768328460622299424

(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:55) Elon sues OpenAI: complex structure, tax issues, damages, past comparables (37:06) OpenAI's focus on AGI, different interpretations of AGI in tech (44:46) Groq update with Sunny Madra! (49:53) Have we hit peak Apple?: Losing regulatory battles, iPhone stagnation, Buffett starts trimming (1:06:25) TikTok ban: New proposed House bill would force ByteDance to divest TikTok, or ban the app outright (1:21:08) Bitcoin hits new all-time high: impact of ETFs and an upcoming halving event (1:25:06) Science Corner: More data on the negative impacts of microplastics in the bloodstream Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.scribd.com/document/710894515/Elon-Musk-v-Samuel-Altman-et-al-via-CNBC-com https://openai.com/our-structure https://openai.com/blog/openai-elon-musk https://twitter.com/vkhosla/status/1765424996548333997 https://twitter.com/pmarca/status/1764039155154399490 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1765415187161464972 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1765387202953937224 https://companiesmarketcap.com https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2023ltr.pdf https://twitter.com/KevinAFischer/status/1764892031233765421 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/03/technology/ai-openai-musk-page-altman.html https://www.epicgames.com/site/en-US/news/apple-terminated-epic-s-developer-account https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-hit-with-over-18-bln-euro-eu-antitrust-fine-spotify-case-2024-03-04 https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html https://www.statista.com/chart/22702/andoid-ios-market-share-selected-countries https://www.reuters.com/technology/lawmakers-seek-force-bytedance-divest-tiktok-or-face-us-ban-2024-03-05 https://punchbowl.news/wp-content/uploads/Protecting-Americans-from-Foreign-Adversary-Controlled-Applications-Act.pdf https://www.reuters.com/technology/bytedance-says-china-unit-holds-local-licences-response-media-report-2021-08-16 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/17/us/politics/tik-tok-spying-justice-dept.html https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-china-bytedance-user-data-d257d98125f69ac80f983e6067a84911 https://finance.yahoo.com/video/ex-google-engineer-charged-stealing-162030265.html https://twitter.com/jawwwn_/status/1732888357980536924 https://youtu.be/kONhhKQi0pU?si=hmt0LbjgLprOHNEp https://time.com/6846934/bitcoin-all-time-high-price-holdings https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/bitcoin-etf-investing-blackrock-715f1bd9 https://www.coinbase.com/learn/crypto-basics/what-is-a-bitcoin-halving https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2309822 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016041202200099X

(0:00) Bestie intros! Jato Caelin (1:36) Groq update!: The key metric developer platforms should care about (5:55) Google's make or break moment: Should Sundar be fired, AI safety team's power, RIF potential, stock pressure, and more (29:17) How bloated HR departments slow down companies (40:15) Google's licensing deals: Is this TAC 2.0? How can Reddit capitalize on its data? (53:50) Klarna's huge AI innovation: AI disruption, open-source benefits, a new class of billion-dollar startups (1:13:06) Reddit S-1 breakdown (1:22:52) The Apple Car is dead: Apple cancels Project Titan Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/PirateWires/status/1762842476744708171 https://twitter.com/lulumeservey/status/1762864255437516932 https://x.com/pmarca/status/1762532979317043515 https://twitter.com/shellenberger/status/1762900581134557636 https://twitter.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1760885099984261564 https://www.reuters.com/technology/reddit-ai-content-licensing-deal-with-google-sources-say-2024-02-22 https://techcrunch.com/2024/02/29/google-brings-stack-overflows-knowledge-base-to-gemini https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1713445/000162828024006294/reddits-1q423.htm https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/82a013b9ba852548/9d4b1790-full.pdf https://www.klarna.com/international/press/klarna-ai-assistant-handles-two-thirds-of-customer-service-chats-in-its-first-month https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TLPFY:OTCMKTS https://tech.facebook.com/artificial-intelligence/2022/10/ai-translation-unwritten-language https://www.engadget.com/metas-new-multimodal-translator-uses-a-single-model-to-speak-100-languages-133040214.html https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1763067849218850939 https://old.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/3cs78i/whats_the_best_long_con_you_ever_pulled/cszjqg2 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-27/apple-cancels-work-on-electric-car-shifts-team-to-generative-ai

(0:00) Bestie intros: Banana boat! (2:34) Nvidia smashes expectations again: understanding its terminal value and bull/bear cases in the context of the history of the internet (27:26) Groq's big week, training vs. inference, LPUs vs. GPUs, how to succeed in deep tech (49:37) Google's AI disaster: Is Google too woke to function as search gets disrupted by AI? (1:17:17) War Corner with Sacks Follow the besties:  https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1760680756689748478 https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2024/NVIDIA-Announces-Financial-Results-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-2024 https://www.statista.com/statistics/1120484/nvidia-quarterly-revenue-by-specialized-market https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA?comparison=NASDAQ%3AQQQ&window=5D https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-street-keeps-likening-nvidia-to-dot-com-era-cisco-is-the-comparison-justified-eed307c1 https://twitter.com/JayScambler/status/1759372542530261154 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1760343973632291212 https://x.ai https://twitter.com/TheTranscript_/status/1760436281438314545 https://artificialanalysis.ai https://www.contraline.com/product https://www.cafexapp.com/commercial https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-ai https://blog.google/products/gemini/bard-gemini-advanced-app https://workspace.google.com/blog/product-announcements/gemini-for-google-workspace https://twitter.com/benthompson/status/1760452419627233610 https://twitter.com/Patworx/status/1760189582870536408 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1760163801893339565 https://ai.google/responsibility/principles https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reinforcement_learning_from_human_feedback https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1760780139476992062 https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1760416051181793361 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1760729719094563019 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1760780139476992062

(0:00) Sacks Tequila Tasting! (1:19) Nvidia's market cap surpasses Google, ARM's stock rips, Masa's big comeback (15:36) Mind-blowing Sora demos: breaking down OpenAI's new text-to-video model (51:24) The risks of companies issuing stock option loans (1:04:57) Biden's cognitive decline, should the Democrats find a replacement? Plus, third party viability (1:31:46) Takeaways from Tucker's Putin interview Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://companiesmarketcap.com/page/1 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://www.reuters.com/technology/nvidia-chases-30-billion-custom-chip-market-with-new-unit-sources-2024-02-09 https://www.ft.com/content/81ac0e78-5b9b-43c2-b135-d11c47480119 https://blog.google/products/gemini/bard-gemini-advanced-app https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/sam-altman-seeks-trillions-of-dollars-to-reshape-business-of-chips-and-ai-89ab3db0 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ARM:NASDAQ https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/softbank-buys-vision-funds-stake-arm-valuation-64-bln-sources-2023-08-18 https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/arms-weirdly-high-valuation-has-legs-2024-02-13 https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/1758192957386342435 https://twitter.com/CultureCrave/status/1758212761748980089 https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-next-generation-model-february-2024 https://twitter.com/nathanbenaich/status/1758036247115608317 https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1758143612561568047 https://twitter.com/OfficialLoganK/status/1758198997590618550 https://huggingface.co/spaces/tsujuifu/ml-mgie https://huggingface.co/stablediffusionapi/juggernaut-xl https://twitter.com/jrichlive/status/1757258553688256895 https://twitter.com/jrichlive/status/1493392725814566914 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1757537426019598418 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1757537968083075137 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/majority-americans-think-both-biden-and-trump-are-too-old-serve-second-terms https://thehill.com/homenews/media/4446630-biden-wont-sit-for-interview-with-cbs-before-super-bowl https://www.foxnews.com/politics/special-counsel-hur-testify-publicly-damning-report-revealed-bidens-memory-age-issues-report https://babylonbee.com/news/man-ruled-too-senile-to-stand-trial-still-fine-to-run-country https://fortune.com/2024/02/09/joe-biden-memory-confuses-egypt-mexico-press-conference https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/24414255-report-from-special-counsel-robert-k-hur-february-2024 https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/02/13/kamala-harris-says-shes-ready-to-serve-as-president/72581992007 https://www.nytimes.com/1997/02/05/opinion/a-fateful-error.html https://twitter.com/wikileaks/status/1497207251785818114 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/09/us/politics/biden-putin-tucker-carlson-peace.html

(0:00) Bestie intros! (2:08) Apple Vision Pro breakdown (20:46) Meta vs Snap: god-king CEO, dependent on ad revenue, drastically different performance (32:53) Positive signals indicating a big SaaS bounceback (41:06) VCs are split into three camps on how to approach AI investing (1:12:16) Rolling real estate crisis continues Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1755273518416302522 https://www.macrumors.com/2024/01/29/apple-vision-pro-headset-sales https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1755386651080106166 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://investor.fb.com/investor-news/press-release-details/2024/Meta-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2023-Results-Initiates-Quarterly-Dividend/default.aspx https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/META/meta-platforms/net-income https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2017/05/26/snap-and-the-rise-of-no-vote-common-shares https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/07/disney-q1-earnings-nelson-peltz-isnt-abandoning-proxy-fight.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/05/snap-to-lay-off-10percent-of-global-workforce-around-500-employees.html https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001326801/c7318154-f6ae-4866-89fa-f0c589f2ee3d.pdf https://s25.q4cdn.com/442043304/files/doc_financials/2023/q4/SNAP-2023-Annual-Report.pdf https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1754641005851328553 https://help.openai.com/en/articles/8554397-creating-a-gpt https://twitter.com/ArtificialAnlys/status/1747264832439734353 https://blog.research.google/2009/06/speed-matters.html https://techcrunch.com/2010/05/18/facebook-launches-0-facebook-com-a-mobile-site-that-incurs-zero-data-fees https://artificialanalysis.ai https://chamath.substack.com/p/deep-dive-artificial-intelligence https://twitter.com/danshipper/status/1751005727215301053 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7waMPlHugYI https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/new-york-community-bancorp-slumps-on-surprise-loss-dividend-cut https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Datawatch/Housing-glut-leaves-China-with-excess-homes-for-150m-people

(0:00) Bestie intros! The guys try the Apple Vision Pro (8:24) Zuckerberg apologizes to parents in hearing, Section 230 under fire from child safety reforms (36:19) Delaware judge voids Elon's comp package, understanding Fortune 500 country club compensation (1:08:26) Reddit reportedly targeting $5B valuation in potential March IPO (1:16:17) Drone attack, risks of greater Middle East conflict, failures of the military industrial complex Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/tim-cook-apple-vision-pro https://twitter.com/MKBHD/status/1752706894874202256 https://twitter.com/Box/status/1753085804115861766 https://twitter.com/briantong/status/1752645464204493147 https://www.meta.com/smart-glasses/shop-all https://www.instagram.com/p/C0w4Agjvq5_/?img_index=1 https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1752749485070156025 https://www.nbcnews.com/video/zuckerberg-apologizes-to-parents-at-senate-child-safety-hearing-203338309674 https://ultimateclassicrock.com/judas-priest-suicide https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN1GX0C0 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/30/tesla-shares-slide-after-judge-voids-elon-musks-56-billion-compensation.html https://courts.delaware.gov/Opinions/Download.aspx?id=359340 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GM:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/business/autos/mary-barra-spent-a-decade-transforming-gm-it-hasnt-been-enough-d82f4c5a https://www.ineteconomics.org/perspectives/blog/what-the-uaw-and-everyone-else-needs-to-know-about-ceo-pay https://buffett.cnbc.com/video/2004/05/01/munger-i-would-rather-throw-a-viper-down-my-shirtfront-than-hire-a-compensation-consultant.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-28/reddit-advised-to-target-at-least-5-billion-valuation-in-ipo https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1639459879546150913 https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iraq-seeks-quick-exit-us-forces-no-deadline-set-pm-says-2024-01-10 https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480 https://weapons.substack.com/p/biden-dod-and-the-army-are-not-protecting https://twitter.com/Global_Mil_Info/status/1752786864900108547 https://inside.com/vc/posts/u-s-vc-funding-for-defense-tech-startups-continues-upward-trajectory-in-q1-2023-376404 https://www.forbes.com/sites/sarahemerson/2024/01/23/eric-schmidts-secret-white-stork-project-aims-to-build-ai-combat-drones https://www.saildrone.com

(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:37) Markets rip on strong economic data (17:05) Media's broken business model, death spiral (35:47) Texas defies the Biden Admin on the Southern Border after SCOTUS votes in favor of the federal government (1:04:18) Ethics of publishing non-public financial data (1:13:07) Fintech's reckoning (1:26:27) ARkStorm 2.0 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/25/gdp-q4-2023-the-us-economy-grew-at-a-3point3percent-pace-in-the-fourth-quarter.html https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-012524 https://abcnews.go.com/Business/dow-closes-above-38000-record-high/story?id=106576234 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/11/cpi-inflation-report-december-2023-consumer-prices-rose-0point3percent-in-december-higher-than-expected-pushing-the-annual-rate-to-3point4percent.html https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/05/business/economy/jobs-report-december-2023.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gas-prices-national-average-hit-by-mid-winter-blahs-on-way-to-3gallon-165833984.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/24/tesla-tsla-earnings-q4-2023.html https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20240124a.htm https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-23/china-mulls-stock-market-rescue-package-backed-by-278-billion https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1750529905627128154 https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-debt https://twitter.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1750537238578930101 https://news.gallup.com/poll/266807/percentage-americans-owns-stock.aspx https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://www.forbes.com/sites/bradadgate/2023/12/19/media-companies-have-slashed-over-20000-jobs-in-2023 https://twitter.com/maxwelltani/status/1750507633247678531 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/23/business/media/los-angeles-times-layoffs-newsroom.html https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/01/business/media/conde-nast-business.html https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/23/business/conde-nast-staffers-walkout-layoffs/index.html https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2024-01-18/la-times-guild-calls-for-one-day-walkout-to-protest-looming-staff-cuts https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/19/business/media/sports-illustrated-mass-layoffs.html https://www.npr.org/2024/01/18/1225446347/pitchfork-faces-layoffs-and-restructuring-under-conde-nast https://fortune.com/2023/11/30/yet-another-media-company-is-laying-off-workers-as-the-industrys-retrenchment-hits-vox-media-for-the-second-time-this-year https://variety.com/2023/digital/news/jezebel-shutting-down-go-media-layoffs-1235785877 https://www.npr.org/2023/05/15/1173260377/vice-media-bankruptcy https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1750537848447533207 https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=wsj.com,Businessinsider.com,twitter.com,nyt.com&hl=en https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2021-08-20/recall-candidate-larry-elder-is-a-threat-to-black-californians https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters https://www.wsj.com/us-news/illegal-immigration-record-border-6db29cad https://www.cbsnews.com/news/migrant-crossings-u-s-southern-border-record-monthly-high-december https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/01/court-allows-border-patrol-to-cut-texas-razor-wire-along-rio-grande https://www.texastribune.org/2024/01/22/texas-border-supreme-court-immigration https://gov.texas.gov/uploads/files/press/Border_Statement_1.24.2024.pdf https://nypost.com/2023/08/19/biden-sells-border-wall-parts-to-thwart-gop-push-to-use-them https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/07/nyregion/adams-migrants-destroy-nyc.html https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-opinion-poll-americans-border-crisis https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/california-offer-illegal-immigrants-free-healthcare-deficit-soars-population-shrinks https://einvestingforbeginners.com/average-gross-profit-margin-by-industry https://twitter.com/TexasLindsay_/status/1750427983448256552 https://twitter.com/WhidbeyWXGuy/status/1750006365790282175 https://twitter.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1749669643634233384 https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/1750619800840110131

(0:00) Live from the WEF: "Oh Davos, Kumbaya" (4:25) Why Davos lost its luster, plus major moments: Milei's speech, Jamie Dimon on Trump (21:53) Boeing's regulatory capture leading to negative impact on consumer safety (35:16) Adam Neumann facing familiar challenges at his new startup, Flow (50:24) Evaluating "tech-enabled businesses" vs. traditional businesses that are utilizing technology (1:00:47) Streaming at a crossroads: is the business model broken? (1:20:51) Science Corner: New study on microplastics in water bottles (1:32:42) All-In Poker Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/dschlopesisback/status/1747025441825640681 https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1747724966941139276 https://twitter.com/andrewrsorkin/status/1746723727574794537 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1746951952578298264 https://twitter.com/aphysicist/status/1747868626948907325 https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2024/01/special-address-by-javier-milei-president-of-argentina https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lobbying/clients/summary?id=D000000100 https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lobbying/top-spenders https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXMO0bhPhCw https://www.dodig.mil/reports.html/article/2871623/audit-of-the-business-model-for-transdigm-group-inc-and-its-impact-on-departmen https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TDG:NYSE https://stacksonmain.com/gallery https://www.societylasolas.com/photogallery https://therealdeal.com/national/nashville/2024/01/12/adam-neumann-faces-shortfalls-on-flow-property-in-nashville https://nypost.com/2024/01/11/sports/inside-nbcs-100-million-peacock-nfl-playoff-game-gamble https://www.sportsvideo.org/2024/01/16/peacocks-nfl-playoff-exclusive-sets-live-streaming-records https://www.businessofapps.com/data/disney-plus-statistics https://www.businessofapps.com/data/netflix-statistics https://finance.yahoo.com/news/americans-are-canceling-more-streaming-plans-as-prices-balloon-153035743.html https://www.manscaped.com/products/crop-preserver-manscaping https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2300582121 https://www.xometry.com/resources/materials/polyethylene https://www.bpf.co.uk/plastipedia/how-is-plastic-made.aspx https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/france-bans-plastic-packaging-fruit-vegetables-2021-10-11 https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/documentary/plastic-wars

(0:00) Bestie intros! Friedberg's jumper (1:21) US and its allies strike Houthi targets in Yemen (16:24) Markets: Q1 rate cut looks unlikely, December CPI print slightly hot, soft landing in jeopardy? (29:46) Carta's mistake, why verticalized SaaS tools could be in trouble, Chamath's 8090 incubator (51:02) Why and how Sacks is taking on Slack, where Carta went wrong with founders (1:05:17) DEI debate: cultural significance, real solutions, Motte-and-bailey   Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg   Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast   Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg   Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect   Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/SpeakerJohnson/status/1745642200866738254 https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-arabia-calls-restraint-after-air-strikes-yemen-2024-01-12 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1745723423396118593 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1745604701654298826 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0120885 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1745514413782917262 https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/12/politics/joe-biden-lloyd-austin-yemen-houthis/index.html https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/why-the-white-house-didnt-know-about-defense-secretary-austins-hospitalization https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-11/fed-s-mester-says-march-is-probably-too-early-for-a-rate-cut https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/citi-swings-18-billion-loss-slew-charges-2024-01-12 https://layoffs.fyi https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcsstus1&f=m https://twitter.com/karrisaarinen/status/1743398553500971331 https://henrysward.medium.com/how-we-handle-captable-information-c98d85d79277 https://henrysward.medium.com/should-carta-facilitate-secondary-trading-c319e0c9f080 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1744414462986375440 https://twitter.com/coffeewithone/status/1744488896766042277 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1745542094696145103 https://once.com https://twitter.com/jasonlk/status/1745552662572208473 https://twitter.com/MattWalshBlog/status/1742583950944432607 https://www.oscars.org/awards/representation-and-inclusion-standards https://wdwnt.com/2023/04/disney-ceo-bob-iger-doubles-down-on-inclusivity-and-diversity-during-shareholders-meeting https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/30/disney-ceo-bob-iger-says-movies-have-been-too-focused-on-messaging.html https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4722408/Brian-Truitt-ridiculed-Dunkirk-diversity-review.html https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/23/business/pilots-diversity.html https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1735164131806986441 https://www.thecollegefix.com/umich-now-has-more-than-500-jobs-dedicated-to-dei-payroll-costs-exceed-30-million https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motte-and-bailey_fallacy