The Exchange
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CNBC
"The Exchange" on CNBC is a one-stop shop for the day's top business stories, along with breaking news and the must-see market movers heading into the back half of the trading day. This newsroom-based program also features lots of original reporting, in-depth conversations and showcases CNBC's award-winning investigative work. "The Exchange" has all that plus "Rapid Fire," our innovative, reporter driven roundtable – which is a discussion of some of the day's most interesting, unusual and at times controversial topics. This series gives today's modern investor the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more.
The Exchange - 11/16/23
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
45:4316/11/2023
Nadella, Biden & Xi and Swagel 11/15/23
He was just on stage at Microsoft’s Ignite event, he's going to get on a plane to meet with President Xi, but first, he joins us live on this show. Microsoft's Satya Nadella on the company's big chip announcement, AI, China, and much more.And speaking of China – we're moments away from the first live pictures of President Xi and President Biden. Both countries competing for the global future, and one of our guests says if you take a clue from recent Xi speeches, a showdown of historic dimensions could be ahead.Plus – he tells Congress how much its laws will cost the country, and with two days until the government runs out of money once again, we'll speak live with CBO Director Phillip Swagel about what's at stake and what needs to change to get America's fiscal health in order.
52:5515/11/2023
Market Rallies on CPI Data, Emerging Market Opportunities, and Weight-Loss Winner 11/14/23
Did today’s CPI number cement the end of the rate hike cycle? We’ll ask our economist if it’s enough to move the Fed to the sidelines. Plus, veteran emerging-markets investor Mark Mobius joins us with what part of the world he’s most bullish on (Hint: It’s NOT China!) And weight-loss drugs have weighed on the food stocks, but one analyst sees 20% upside in a name thanks to its protein portfolio and joins us to maker her case.
43:3314/11/2023
Shutdown Countdown, Thawing Tensions, and Consumer Baggage 11/13/23
We’re days away from a government shutdown, and that could put Thanksgiving travel in jeopardy, but we’ll look at why some analysts are more positive a deal will happen now. Plus, a lot has happened since the last time Chinese President Xi was in the U.S., but the tone from China toward American companies seems to be shifting. We’ll dig into what that means for the market, and who else could benefit. And we’ve got the debut of a new real-time gauge of how the consumer is really doing.
44:3913/11/2023
San Francisco Fed Pres. Mary Daly, Holiday Spending Squeeze, and the Experience Economy 11/10/23
San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly joins us exclusively, on the heels of Fed Chair Powell saying the central bank is “not confident” it has done enough to bring inflation down. Plus, how much will macro headwinds weigh on consumer spending this holiday season? Bank of America’s retail analyst gives us her preview. And Tripadvisor’s CEO is here with his outlook on the holiday travel season, and the growth the company is seeing in the “experience economy.”
48:1410/11/2023
Catalysts & Concerns, Debut Drought, and the Electric Butterfly Effect 11/9/23
Stocks plunged on the 30-year bond auction results. We’ll digest them in real-time and look at where markets could go next. Plus, things are quiet on the IPO front during what’s historically a busy time. NYU Professor Aswath Damodaran joins us with his take on valuations and market conditions. And a surprising loser from the energy condition could be the agricultural industry. We’ll look at why and how to position.
44:5009/11/2023
Fed Fallacy?, Health of Housing, and Bellwethers on Deck 11/8/23
Should the Fed get credit for the fall in inflation? Jefferies chief market strategist David Zervos joins us with his take. Plus, two ways to play the trend of people being stuck in homes they bought with low mortgage rates. We’ll talk to two CEOs with a front-row seat to that trend. And Disney, Affirm, Instacart, and Arm are on deck with results. We’ll get the action, the story, and the trade in Earnings Exchange.
44:3008/11/2023
Credit Concerns, Concerts & Conventions, and Everything is “Paw-some” 11/7/23
The NY Fed’s newest report shows delinquencies are rising quickly in some areas, but our market guest is looking at another indicator she says suggests a rough holiday quarter ahead. We’ll look at what it is, and which market strategy to deploy into year-end. Plus, one lodging REIT just posted a solid quarter on the strength of corporate travel and conventions. The owner of the Grand Ole Opry joins us for an exclusive interview. And pet spending is still going strong. The CEO of Freshpet joins us on the heels of earnings with the stock up 20 percent in one week.
43:4607/11/2023
Yielding Problems, Buy or Beware, Private Credit Concerns
Falling yields means good news AND bad news for the Fed and markets. We’ll look at why and how to position. Plus, do lower rates mean better prospects for the housing trade? Our analyst says yes, even with recession risks growing. And despite rising concerns about defaults in the private credit space, the market keeps growing. We’ll talk to one of the big lenders in the space about rates, returns, and recession risk.
43:5206/11/2023
From the Desk of Kelly Evans: Could corporate pensions save America? 11/6/23
Kelly explains why pensions plans could offer a creative way out of the country's long-term fiscal problems.
03:5106/11/2023
Rally, Set, Go?, Read on the Consumer and Themes & Trades 11/3/23
Did today's jobs report just cement the end of rate hikes? The market may be cheering the softer-than-expected numbers, but KPMG’s Diane Swonk says not so fast. Plus, one fast casual food stock is having a good week, but earnings were a mixed bag. The CEO joins us with what he’s seeing from the American consumer. And from China, to rates, to jobs and energy – it’s a special edition of Three Buys and a Bail. We’ll take a look at the week’s big themes, and make a trade for each.
45:3103/11/2023
The Exchange 11/2/23
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
44:5702/11/2023
CNBC Special: The Fed Decision 11/1/23
We have special coverage of the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates, live from Washington, D.C, featuring the fallout for stocks, bonds, the economy, and the consumer, as well as the view from Congress with Rep. Brad Sherman (D-CA) and Sen. John Kennedy (R-LA). Plus, we’re joined by one strategist on how to position your portfolio for any policy scenario ahead of a potential government shutdown.
46:2801/11/2023
Countdown to the Fed Decision, Rising Rate Play, and the ‘Scariest’ Bear Cases in Tech 10/31/23
Just over 24 hours until the Fed’s decision on interest rates. We look ahead to tomorrow’s meeting and the fallout for stocks and bonds. Plus, mortgage rates remain near multi-year highs, but that’s a silver lining for the nation’s largest home-loan service. The CEO will join us with his read on the health of housing. And in the spirit of Halloween, we’re looking at the scariest hypothetical bear cases in tech.
43:2831/10/2023
Slowdown Low-down, XPO’s Big Beat, Scary Consumer? 10/30/23
We have fresh signs that the economy is slowing, and hedge fund manager Kyle Bass says things are about to slow a lot more from here. He’ll join us with the biggest risks and opportunities he sees in the market right now. Plus, XPO shares are soaring on the back of earnings. The CEO is here with his read on the freight market. And the CEO of Spirit Halloween joins us ahead of the big day with his take on the consumer, commercial real estate, and the trends he’s seeing this year.
50:2130/10/2023
Data Delusion?, The View from Vanguard, and Health of Housing 10/27/23
Our panel debates the latest economic data, and whether it suggests the consumer is not as strong as investors think. Plus, a rare and exclusive interview with Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley on how he’s approaching the market, as the world’s second-largest asset manager. And how are homebuilders navigating this new high-interest-rate environment? We get the read on housing from the CEO of Tri Pointe Homes, fresh off their results.
45:1927/10/2023
The Fed’s Next Move, Buy or Beware?, and Rate Resilience 10/26/23
The latest data show the economy remains resilient – and so does the consumer. What does it all mean for the market and the Fed? We speak with one economist about her forecast. Plus, our market guest says the recent pullback in tech provides a good entry point, but there’s one way to play it. He’ll tell us how, and what else he’s buying outside of tech right now. And Empire State Realty Trust’s CEO joins us fresh off earnings with what’s driving the stock higher, and his read on the New York City commercial real estate market.
44:4326/10/2023
Can You Hear Me Now, Downturn Resiliency, and Get the Government 10/25/23
Three months after a bold call, our market guest rejoins us to take a “quarter-victory lap” and look ahead to the next opportunity. Plus, we’ll speak with the CEO of one travel company that’s benefitting from one key consumer trend that they expect to withstand an economic slowdown. And while homebuilders have been buying down mortgage rates to make homes more affordable, the calls for the government to step in are getting louder. Our strategist tells us how that approach would work and how likely it is to actually happen.
45:5125/10/2023
Hedge Hawk, 100% Wrong?, and Good Problems 10/24/23
Pershing Square’s Bill Ackman covered his bet against bonds, but our market guest is not buying into that move. Plus, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon says central banks have been “100% dead wrong” on economic forecasts and it doesn’t matter if the Fed hikes again. Is he right? We’ll ask former Fed vice chair Randy Quarles. And Microsoft, Alphabet, and Visa are on deck with results. Our trader says one of them has a lot of problems… but good ones. He’ll explain in Earnings Exchange.
45:3724/10/2023
Equity-like Returns, Fiscal Dominance, and Commercial Real Estate Pivot 10/23/23
A big drop in bond yields after the 10-year started the day back above 5%, but the recent climb led our portfolio manger to say bonds can achieve equity-like returns over the next 18 months. She’ll tell us where she’s seeing opportunities now. Plus, one economist is sounding the alarm that government spending could overwhelm the Fed’s inflation fight. And the co-CEO of Morgan Stanley’s real estate arm is here to break down her strategy in the face of higher yields – and what she’s seeing for opportunities overseas.
43:4823/10/2023
From the Desk of Kelly Evans: Who's the PIIG now? 10/23/23
Kelly discusses trouble brewing in the banking system.
04:4123/10/2023
Yields Hit 5%, Now What? The Data the Fed Should be Using, and Harker’s Case Against Rate Hikes 10/20/23
The yield on the 10-year note hit 5% for the first time in 16 years, a five-star fund manager gives us his duration timeline. Why consumer is even stronger than you may think, and the hidden tax break for homeowners. Plus, Philly Fed President Patrick Harker has a very specific reason for keeping rates where they are.
43:1720/10/2023
From the Desk of Kelly Evans: The Fed has THREE mandates 10/20/23
Kelly explains why the Fed has obligations beyond its "dual mandate.”
04:0920/10/2023
The Exchange 10/19/23
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
49:4719/10/2023
The House Divided, Biden’s Israel Visit, and Regionals & Rates 10/18/23
The House divided. Jim Jordan comes up short in his second vote to secure the Speaker gavel. A top Republican strategist tells us how this should really be resolved. Plus, President Biden visits Israel. He’s pledging an "unprecedented" support package for the country...even as Congress remains leaderless. And have you seen what's happening with bond yields? It's a major headache for banks – and the CEO of Hancock Whitney says that the historic move in yields is pressuring both consumer and commercial loan demand. He joins us to discuss.
47:1518/10/2023
What’s Next for Yields, Sentiment Slump, Salaries Surge 10/17/23
Better than expected economic data is pushing yields back toward their recent highs. We’ll ask our strategist how he’s adjusting his portfolio. Plus, homebuilder sentiment sliding to 10-month lows, but our analyst is staying positive ahead of next week’s earnings and tells us why. And salaries could be higher for longer – keeping the Fed in that mode as well.
47:5617/10/2023
The $630B Question, The Bitcoin Binary, and Earnings Exchange 10/16/23
Is inflation blinding investors to a potential fiscal crisis? We have two heavyweights on the controversial topic. Plus, bitcoin crossing above $30,000 for the first time in months. We’ll ask former CFTC Chairman Tim Massan about the path forward for regulation. And the second half of big bank earnings are on deck tomorrow. We have the action the story and the trade on two big names, plus Johnson & Johnson and Lockheed Martin.
44:2116/10/2023
Seeking Safety, Crude’s Climb, Curbing the Run in Rates 10/13/23
Stocks are struggling, and gold is rallying as investors seek safety. Plus, oil climbing as the U.S. tightens sanctions against Russia. And mortgage rates are near 23-year highs, leading one former Obama official to suggest the government step in and curb the run in rates.
45:5213/10/2023
The Exchange 10/12/23
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
44:5812/10/2023
The Exchange 10/11/23
52:3011/10/2023
Israel-Hamas War, The Hunt for Yield, and Leaderless House 10/10/23
We’re breaking down the geopolitical fallout from the Israel-Hamas war ahead of President Biden’s speech. Plus, could the 10-year yield be headed to 4% as the “earnings recession” is about to end? We’ll debate. And what are the consequences of a House of Representatives with no Speaker? AEI’s James Pethokoukis joins us to dig into that.
45:0110/10/2023
Geopolitical Turmoil, Peltz vs. Disney, and Utilities Opportunities 10/9/23
Stocks stage a reversal this hour as Israel’s conflict with Hamas enters its third day. We’ll look at what the unrest means for the region and for energy prices. Plus, activist investor Nelson Peltz is reigniting his proxy fight with Disney. And one analyst says investors should “close their eyes and buy” some utility stocks. She’ll join us with her top picks.
45:1109/10/2023
Reversing Course, Mortgage Mania, and Airlines Grounded 10/6/23
Stocks are staging a big reversal since this morning’s jobs report. We’ll look at the implication for yields and your money. Plus, mortgage rates are shooting higher, nearing 8 percent. And with earnings season around the corner, one analyst is slashing his estimates and price targets on a number of headwinds. He’ll join us to make his case.
41:2606/10/2023
The Exchange 10/5/23
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
43:2305/10/2023
Fed Fallacy?, Rising Rates Bail, and Two Cents on the Dollar 10/4/23
The one weapon the Fed has to pull off a soft landing could be backfiring. Companies with a ton of debt could be dead on arrival in this new high-interest-rate environment. And Chartmaster Carter Worth joins us to chime in on the Dollar as it hits an 11-month high.
45:5504/10/2023
Crypto & Consumers, $9B AI Tool, Weighing the Trades 10/3/23
Two big legal cases concerning the fate of FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried and the CFPB. We’ve got the latest developments on each. Plus, is Microsoft’s new $9B AI tool worth the hype? And the weight-loss drug boom is having major ripple effects on stocks. We’ll look at one buy and one bail as a result of the craze.
45:0303/10/2023
Bond Voyage, Trash Talk, Take Shelter 10/2/23
The 10-year yield is hitting its highest level since 2007, and our market guest still sees opportunities in bonds ahead of a recession. Plus, Birkenstock is preparing for its IPO. VC Sam Lessin joins us with what the IPO market means for Silicon Valley and beyond. And a bullish call on a housing name one analyst says is well positioned for a slowdown.
44:3002/10/2023
It Might Just Be the Everything Shutdown 9/29/23
With the government just two days away from a shutdown, we look at how it could impact everything from economic data to the IPO market. EV manufacturing one of the issues driving the UAW strike, and it could have big implications not just on the big three, but Tesla too, according to Barclays. Plus, a key childcare pandemic subsidy also expiring this weekend, which could have a big impact not just on daycare centers, but the US economy.
43:3429/09/2023
Charting Returns, Strikes & Stocks, and Demand Destruction 9-28-23
The biggest returns against a backdrop of soaring yields and oil prices, according to one 5-star fund manager. Plus, another strike looms over the economy – this time in the health care space. We’ll speak with the union rep about the negotiations and look at the stocks that could be at risk. And on private lender sees “demand destruction” the current environment. He’ll join us from CNBC’s “Delivering Alpha” to explain.
44:4128/09/2023
The Value Names to Buy Now, Cannabis and Capital, and the Everything Shutdown 9/27/23
Value has taken a back seat to growth for the past 15 years, but the tide may be turning—we get the names to buy and hold onto for the long-term. The Senate Banking Committee passes a key piece of legislation for the cannabis industry. Plus…is the government shutdown about spending? Border security? The war in Ukraine? Why one policy analyst calls this the “Seinfeld shutdown.”
43:3027/09/2023
Economic Pressure Points, Real Estate Magnate Don Peebles, and Consumer Credit Risk 9/26/23
Between rising rates, the UAW strike, and a potential government shutdown, we’ve got every economic pressure point covered for investors. Plus, real estate magnate Don Peebles joins us to weigh in on the health of the housing market and commercial real estate, including the one city where he’s waiting to see a wave of defaults before buying up properties. And Bank of America is slashing their estimates on a pair of department stores on rising consumer risks. You won’t believe the shocking numbers behind these retailers’ revenues.
50:0526/09/2023
From the Desk of Kelly Evans: The $2 trillion deficit: how did we get here? 9/25/23
Kelly opines on the soaring national debt.
03:3925/09/2023
From the Desk of Kelly Evans: Who is really raising rates in Washington? 9/25/23
Kelly explains why the Fed isn’t to blame for interest rates rising here.
04:0725/09/2023
Shutdown Showdown, Hospitality Headaches and Jeff Currie’s Exit Interview 9/25/23
With just days until a government shutdown, Raymond James’ Ed Mills takes a look at the potential impact on both stocks and bonds. Nevermind the office space, here’s the hospitality industry. Why hotels could be the next commercial real estate headache. Plus, Goldman’s Jeff Currie makes the bullish case for copper and oil in his last on-air interview while at the firm.
44:4525/09/2023
Perfect Storm for Private Equity, UAW Expands its Strike, and In Da Club-onomics 9/22/23
There’s a perfect storm brewing for private equity as rates continue to rise, according to Dan Rasmussen. The UAW expands its strikes at GM and Stellantis facilities, the impact that could have on both production and share prices. Plus, if you’ve got a spare $200k, NYC has a club for that. We go inside the rapid rise of high society’s private clubs.
47:5922/09/2023
From the Desk of Kelly Evans: The Less United Nations 9/22/23
Kelly explains why the U.N. General Assembly meeting might be losing its political luster.
04:4722/09/2023
Wrong Answer, Stocks Stalling, DTC Divergence - 9/21/23
Legendary economist John Taylor joins the show to weigh in on how the Federal Reserve should grapple with the glut of government debt that seems to be pushing yields higher. Plus, with stocks stalling and yields at multi-year highs, is the bond market the place to be buying right now? We’ll debate. And Klaviyo’s debut could be an opportunity to invest in the DTC space… one analyst joins us to make his case.
47:1621/09/2023
The Fed Decision: Live from Washington, D.C. 9/20/23
We’re live in Washington, D.C. ahead of the Federal Reserve decision on interest rates. And while the Fed is expected to pause, there is plenty of uncertainty around labor strikes, rising energy prices, and a looming government shutdown. We’ll look at what it all means for investors and consumers as rising rates take a bite out of their buying power.
47:2820/09/2023
From the Desk of Kelly Evans: Is Trouble Brewing for Private Equity? 9/20/23
Kelly explains why private equity could find itself becoming a casualty of the Fed’s rate hikes.
04:2920/09/2023
The Exchange 9/19/23
Listen to the day's top stories, the must reads & a whole lot more for today's modern investor.
45:2319/09/2023