All-In with Chamath, Jason, Sacks & Friedberg
Technology
Business
All-In Podcast, LLC
Industry veterans, degenerate gamblers & besties Chamath Palihapitiya, Jason Calacanis, David Sacks & David Friedberg cover all things economic, tech, political, social & poker.
Total 220 episodes
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Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election!
Inflated GDP?, Google earnings, How the media lost trust, Rogan/Trump search controversy, Election!
(0:00) Bestie intros! (5:40) US Real GDP growth comes in at 2.8%, but there are underlying issues (29:16) Google earnings: YouTube and Cloud post huge quarters, would they have survived outside of Google? (36:24) Sacks's idea to auction off public spectrum licenses of major broadcast networks (42:17) How the media became one of the least trusted institutions in the US (54:26) Why Joe Rogan's interview with Trump was not appearing in YouTube search results (1:08:54) Final pre-election segment: how it's tracking, election integrity, voter fraud stats Get notified for the Election Night Livestream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D4Xaqgd9-Ro Get tickets for The All-In Holiday Spectacular!: https://allin.ticketsauce.com/e/all-in-holiday-spectacular Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 https://x.com/freesites_com/status/1851615700869144908 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/30/dropbox-slashes-20percent-of-global-workforce-eliminating-500-roles.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S https://www.commercebank.com/about-us/prime-rate-update https://www.fdic.gov/system/files/2024-05/unrealized-gains-losses-on-investment-securities.png https://abc.xyz/assets/71/a5/78197a7540c987f13d247728a371/2024q3-alphabet-earnings-release.pdf https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/29/google-cfo-says-company-can-push-a-little-further-in-cost-savings.html https://variety.com/2024/digital/news/youtube-q3-2024-advertising-revenue-growth-1236193926 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1818467743479542130 https://news.gallup.com/poll/512861/media-confidence-matches-2016-record-low.aspx https://news.gallup.com/poll/508169/historically-low-faith-institutions-continues.aspx https://www.axios.com/2023/10/24/americans-trust-in-media-plummets-to-historic-low-poll https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/28/jeff-bezos-washington-post-trust https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850277560816681255 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1850979360037356001/photo/1 https://x.com/davidsacks/status/1844429818554876026 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1851745648313602189
01:30:5201/11/2024
Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks
Markets turn Trump, Long rates spike, Election home stretch, Influencer mania, Saving Starbucks
(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:49) Announcement: Besties are hosting The All-In Holiday Spectacular in San Francisco on December 7th! Get tickets: https://allin.com/events (9:08) Macro and markets: making sense of unique asset diversions (27:23) Gen Z's economic cultural movements (38:28) Reallocating assets for a new period of constraints (53:52) Election update: Data leans Trump as we enter the home stretch (1:19:01) Is Starbucks fixable? Or has it hit market saturation? Get tickets to The All-In Holiday Spectacular: https://allin.com/events Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://allin.com/events https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/22/tudor-jones-is-long-gold-and-bitcoin-as-hedge-fund-titan-believes-all-roads-lead-to-inflation.html https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stanley-druckenmiller-says-hes-shorting-u-s-bonds-and-staying-out-of-china-1fcf751e https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/10/cpi-inflation-september-2024.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/A091RC1Q027SBEA https://news.bloomberglaw.com/daily-tax-report-international/uk-budget-fears-push-owners-to-close-firms-to-avoid-tax-hikes https://www.banque-france.fr/en/statistics/compagnies/business-failures-france-2024-09 https://www.reuters.com/markets/brazil-inflation-expectations-above-target-says-cenbank-director-picchetti-2024-10-23 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/14/more-than-half-of-gen-z-want-to-be-influencers-but-its-constant.html https://pro.morningconsult.com/analyst-reports/influencer-marketing-trends-report https://www.longtermtrends.net/market-cap-to-gdp-the-buffett-indicator https://www.oaktreecapital.com/insights/memo/ruminating-on-asset-allocation https://www.macrotrends.net/2577/sp-500-pe-ratio-price-to-earnings-chart https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opinion/election-polls-results-trump-harris.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/24/polymarket-trump-french-election-bet.html https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968 https://www.cnn.com/2024/10/23/politics/video/border-wall-kamala-harris-cnn-town-hall-digvid https://x.com/justintrudeau/status/1849467713711710699 https://x.com/scubaryan_/status/1848072120699625968 https://awfulannouncing.com/barstool/dave-portnoy-turned-down-kamala-harris-interview.html https://investor.starbucks.com/news/financial-releases/news-details/2024/Starbucks-Reports-Preliminary-Q4-and-Full-Fiscal-Year-2024-Results/default.aspx
01:36:4325/10/2024
Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY
Dueling Presidential interviews, SpaceX’s big catch, Robotaxis, Uber buying Expedia?, Nuclear NIMBY
(0:00) Bestie intros (2:01) Polls vs Prediction markets, dueling interviews, election update (16:06) Tesla's Robotaxi event and SpaceX's Starship catch (27:36) Uber reportedly looking into acquiring Expedia (45:19) Nuclear Vibe Shift? Big tech is looking toward nuclear solutions to power AI (1:11:10) Lawfare from the California Coastal Commission Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1729285428575 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1846826782797799580 https://x.com/collinrugg/status/1845472475322462468 https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1839424008900477354 https://www.ft.com/content/94a25bf7-e62b-462a-a4f0-e4feb6e244f7 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/EXPE:NASDAQ https://companiesmarketcap.com/expedia/revenue https://x.com/Jason/status/1847016512583786921 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/16/amazon-goes-nuclear-investing-more-than-500-million-to-develop-small-module-reactors.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/14/google-inks-deal-with-nuclear-company-as-data-center-power-demand-surges.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/20/constellation-energy-to-restart-three-mile-island-and-sell-the-power-to-microsoft.html https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/16/california-coastal-commission-elon-musk-00184017
01:18:4418/10/2024
JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
JD Vance | All-In Summit 2024
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:18) Besties intro JD Vance! (3:33) America's innovation problem (5:04) Thoughts on Trump (8:53) Would JD Vance have certified the election in 2020? (12:02) Increasing government efficiency, shrinking the deficit, Vance's role as VP, thoughts on EOs (19:35) Political realignment: Dick Cheney endorses Kamala Harris, winners and losers of the last 30 years (23:58) Thoughts on Lina Khan clamping down on tech M&A and her impact on the startup ecosystem (25:55) Fixing the Southern Border (32:16) How to practically approach deportations, who's coming in through the Southern Border? (36:51) Relationship with China Follow JD Vance: https://x.com/JDVance Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
46:2415/10/2024
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
Hurricane fallout, AlphaFold, Google breakup, Trump surge, VC giveback, TikTok survey
(0:00) Bestie intros! (3:18) The science behind Hurricanes Helene and Milton (14:59) The economics of intensifying natural disasters (29:03) AlphaFold creators win Nobel Prize in Chemistry (35:17) The Jayter's Ball (38:53) Google antitrust update: DOJ is going for a breakup (53:32) VC giveback: CRV will return ~$275M of a $500M fund to LPs (1:03:44) New TikTok survey shows increased usage as a news source (1:15:26) Election update: Are polling problems causing a strategy shift for Kamala Harris? Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://allin.com/meetups https://youtube.com/@allin https://allin.com/tequila https://allin.com https://x.com/Ry_Bass/status/1844367980249178396 https://www.newsweek.com/hurricane-helene-update-economic-losses-damage-could-total-160-billion-1961240 https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/september-2024-enso-update-binge-watch https://www.nature.com/articles/s43247-024-01442-3 https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1844166857655533811 https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/hrd_sub/sfury.html https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-024-03214-7 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-10-09/us-says-it-s-weighing-google-breakup-as-remedy-in-monopoly-case https://assets.bwbx.io/documents/users/iqjWHBFdfxIU/rtKjE02hAh_k/v0 https://x.com/AOC/status/1844034727935988155 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/02/technology/crv-vc-fund-returning-money.html https://www.axios.com/2023/03/03/founders-fund-slashes-vc-peter-thiel https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2024/09/17/more-americans-regularly-get-news-on-tiktok-especially-young-adults https://www.pewresearch.org/data-labs/2024/10/08/who-u-s-adults-follow-on-tiktok https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/russia-pays-criminals-to-sow-mayhem-in-europe-warns-u-k-spy-chief-21ab960c https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/1844418916107341948 https://x.com/2waytvapp/status/1844803367740096811 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1829383729284067659
01:24:1911/10/2024
Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024
Elon Musk | All-In Summit 2024
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg (0:24) Besties intro Elon Musk! (1:23) The Battle of Free Speech (10:24) Potential government efficiency agency (27:45) SpaceX updates, overreaching regulations (36:10) Thoughts on Boeing's culture (38:27) The 80/20 AI Future (54:03) Elon and Jason share unaired SNL skits Follow Elon: https://x.com/elonmusk Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
01:04:1708/10/2024
In conversation with Mark Cuban
In conversation with Mark Cuban
(0:00) The Besties intro Mark Cuban: Voting record, working with Ross Perot's campaign in 1992 (5:43) The history of Cuban's love/hate relationship with Trump (19:08) Trump's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (40:46) Party nominations: Kamala vs. Trump (49:18) Biden's performance as President: what he got right and wrong (55:45) Should Kamala share blame for Biden's failures? (1:07:01) International conflict, national debt, crypto regulation (1:21:33) General sense of Kamala Harris, why she's been avoiding adversarial interviews, why Sacks supports Trump (1:31:47) Selling a majority of his Mavericks stake, changing business landscape of the NBA, what he's working on at Cost Plus Drugs (1:44:50) Thoughts on AI, what's next for him (1:51:37) Relationship with Elon, re-evaluating the Twitter deal, OpenAI's new fundraise Follow Mark: https://x.com/mcuban Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcrfpus2&f=m https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/GFDEBTN https://www.architecturaldigest.com/story/wait-are-windowless-bedrooms-going-to-be-a-thing https://washingtonreporter.news/editorial/scoop-kamala-harris-likely-to-nominate-gary-gensler-as-treasury-secretary-if-elected-senate-sources
02:06:2803/10/2024
John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit 2024
John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs | All-In Summit 2024
(0:00) Announcement from Friedberg! (0:21) Sacks intros John Mearsheimer and Jeffrey Sachs (1:32) What is the Deep State Party, and what are their goals? (13:56) Should America leverage its power against dictators? (22:07) The China threat: avoiding the escalatory path to nuclear war (36:08) India's growing role; are China's wounds self-inflicted? (47:07) Conflict in the Middle East and the path to peace Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect
54:2701/10/2024
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war
OpenAI's $150B conversion, Meta's AR glasses, Blue-collar boom, Risk of nuclear war
(0:00) Bestie intros: In Memoriam (6:43) OpenAI's $150B valuation: bull and bear cases (24:46) Will AI hurt or help SaaS incumbents? (40:41) Implications from OpenAI's for-profit conversion (49:57) Meta's impressive new AR glasses: is this the killer product for the age of AI? (1:09:05) Blue collar boom: trades are becoming more popular with young people as entry-level tech jobs dry up (1:20:55) Risk of nuclear war increasing Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.reuters.com/technology/artificial-intelligence/openais-stunning-150-billionvaluation-hinges-upending-corporate-structure-2024-09-14/ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-25/openai-cto-mira-murati-says-she-will-leave-the-company https://x.com/chiefaioffice https://openai.com/our-structure https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1658664383717978112 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1839121268521492975 https://www.politico.com/news/2024/08/26/zuckerberg-meta-white-house-pressure-00176399 https://appleinsider.com/articles/12/12/28/early-apple-prototypes-by-frog-designs-hartmut-esslinger-featured-in-upcoming-book https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/16/the-toolbelt-generation-why-teens-are-losing-faith-in-college.html https://www.wsj.com/tech/tech-jobs-artificial-intelligence-cce22393 https://layoffs.fyi https://educationdata.org/college-enrollment-statistics https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-09-20/zelenskiy-to-push-us-for-nato-invite-weapons-guarantees
01:35:4927/09/2024
Big Fed rate cuts, AI killing call centers, $50B govt boondoggle, VC's rough years, Trump/Kamala
Big Fed rate cuts, AI killing call centers, $50B govt boondoggle, VC's rough years, Trump/Kamala
(0:00) Bestie intros + All-In Summit recap (6:50) Fed cuts 50 bps: Economic tailwind, scary signal, or both? (17:35) AI is coming for call centers; how agent training works (33:41) US government wasting $50B for rural internet and EV charging stations (47:10) Reflecting on some rough years in VC: is the model broken? (1:07:18) Reacting to the first Trump/Kamala debate, what factors will make each candidate can win or lose the race Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/19/investing/stocks-fed-rate-cut/index.html https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-09-05-2024/card/say-goodbye-to-the-inverted-yield-curve--snsL80qp8JX9UvaMCvVc https://mearsheimer.ai https://seekingalpha.com/news/4144652-klarna-shuts-down-salesforce-as-service-provider-workday-to-meet-same-fate-amid-ai-initiatives https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836079197967532497 https://reason.com/2024/05/30/7-5-billion-in-government-cash-only-built-8-e-v-chargers-in-2-5-years https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/17/spacexs-starlink-has-2500-aircraft-under-contract.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/the-us-installed-more-than-1-000-ev-charging-stations-since-summer https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1836435062994121053 https://x.com/brendancarrfcc/status/1834009499931463705 https://x.com/molson_hart/status/1835650978906857948 https://x.com/danprimack/status/1824506087116058665 https://x.com/Jason/status/1768073854545449228 https://chamath.substack.com/p/2023-annual-letter https://x.com/Jason/status/1836820167449326063 https://www.axios.com/2024/04/03/us-global-venture-capital-q1 https://www.wsj.com/articles/university-endowments-mint-billions-in-golden-era-of-venture-capital-11632907802 https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/GrageDustin/status/1836178999178866766 https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/trump-very-fine-people https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1836516153893519867
01:24:5020/09/2024
"Founder Mode," DOJ alleges Russian podcast op, Kamala flips proposals, Tech loses Section 230?
"Founder Mode," DOJ alleges Russian podcast op, Kamala flips proposals, Tech loses Section 230?
(0:00) Bestie intros! Jason goes "Founder Mode" (1:03) All-In Summit lineup announcement (9:01) Understanding "Founder Mode" (32:52) Bolt is back in the news as Ryan Breslow goes "Founder Mode" (52:28) Tech's Section 230 protections might be in danger after new ruling (1:08:45) DOJ charges two Russians with infiltrating US media company (1:22:42) Kamala's economic pivot Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://paulgraham.com/foundermode.html https://x.com/chamath/status/1831003871344501069 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/PANW:NASDAQ https://a16z.com/on-micromanagement https://www.amazon.com/gp/product/0679762884 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ https://www.amazon.com/Five-Dysfunctions-Team-Leadership-Fable/dp/0787960756 https://techcrunch.com/2022/01/14/online-checkout-bolt-decacorn https://www.businessinsider.com/bolt-ceo-calls-stripe-ycombinator-mob-bosses-twitter-silicon-valley-2022-1 https://www.paymentsdive.com/news/bolt-ceo-ryan-breslow-steps-down/618058 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/10/business/bolt-start-up-ryan-breslow-investors.html https://techcrunch.com/2023/07/21/bolt-ex-ceo-ryan-breslow-subject-of-sec-probe https://techcrunch.com/2023/10/06/bolt-ceo-discusses-moving-on-after-sec-probe https://www.theinformation.com/articles/bolt-once-worth-11-billion-slashes-price-97-in-buyback?rc=pxkrxo https://www.axios.com/2024/08/22/bolt-investors-baffled https://x.com/MikeSacksEsq/status/1828795866590896599 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2022-11-30/is-tiktok-responsible-if-kids-diedoing-dangerous-viral-challenges https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0JTcxIVlQfU https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1830440852411326782 https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/two-rt-employees-indicted-covertly-funding-and-directing-us-company-published-thousands https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1366266/dl https://www.axios.com/2024/09/05/putin-harris-trump-2024-election-russia-interference https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/30/tech/2020-election-russia-disinformation/index.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.liberalpatriot.com/p/the-rise-of-vince-lombardi-democrats
01:35:4906/09/2024
In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
In conversation with Reid Hoffman & Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
(0:00) Bestie intros: Buttons are back for fall (1:48) Reid Hoffman joins the show, reminiscing on PayPal stories with Sacks (7:52) State of AI: Nvidia, cluster buildouts, competition (19:51) OpenAI's corporate structure and thoughts on Elon's lawsuit (29:09) Inflection AI's deal structure with Microsoft, Lina Khan's impact on the tech industry (41:27) Reid's perspective on Kamala being hot swapped for Biden, funding groups that attempted to keep RFK Jr. off ballots (52:02) Reid's thoughts on growing antisemitism (55:03) Thoughts on Kamala's economic proposals: price caps, wealth tax, etc. (1:04:19) How Silicon Valley views both candidates, why Reid funded legal action against Trump (1:19:03) Robert F. Kennedy Jr. joins the show and recaps his campaign and decision to back Trump (1:31:13) Falling out with the Democratic Party (1:37:26) Potential role in the Trump Administration, Make America Healthy Again agenda (1:58:01) Sacks recaps RFK Jr's campaign, RFK Jr. on Trump's legacy Follow the besties: https://x.com/chamath https://x.com/Jason https://x.com/DavidSacks https://x.com/friedberg Follow Reid Hoffman: https://x.com/reidhoffman Follow Robert F. Kennedy Jr.: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr Follow on X: https://x.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://x.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://x.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-second-quarter-fiscal-2025 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gavin-baker-ai-semiconductors-and-the-robotic-frontier/id1154105909?i=1000666758592
02:11:4430/08/2024
Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions
Massive jobs revision, Kamala's wealth tax, polls vs prediction markets, end of race-based admissions
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:59) Labor department revises down nonfarm payrolls by 818K (15:02) MIT publishes data from first incoming class post race-based admissions ban (36:16) Decision 2024: State of the race, Polls vs prediction markets (52:33) Tale of two tickets: Private sector vs. Public sector (1:05:19) Kamala Harris supports Biden's tax plans, including a 25% wealth tax on those with more than $100M in assets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/21/nonfarm-payroll-growth-revised-down-by-818000-labor-department-says.html https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1826290040374243821 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1664788807059660800 https://www.statista.com/statistics/269959/employment-in-the-united-states https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://polymarket.com/event/fed-interest-rates-september-2024?tid=1724345228774 https://x.com/chamath/status/1826360792351957141 https://www.nytimes.com/2018/06/15/us/harvard-asian-enrollment-applicants.html https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/Polymarket/status/1826469365069271419 https://blockworks.co/news/polymarket-july-all-time-high-trading-volumes https://www.semafor.com/article/08/19/2024/harris-camp-signals-it-backs-biden-bid-to-raise-taxes-on-wealthy-corporations https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/dnc-election-2024-harris-walz/card/harris-backs-tax-increases-proposed-by-biden-pkuLeYl6f1kXrhN4kWgQ https://www.crfb.org/blogs/kamala-harris-agenda-lower-costs-american-families https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2024.pdf
01:31:4323/08/2024
Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive
Break up Google, Starbucks CEO out, Kamala’s price controls, Boeing disaster, Kursk offensive
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason gets a dish named after him! (5:27) DOJ considers breaking up Google after last week's antitrust ruling (28:10) Starbucks replaces CEO with Chipotle chief (45:37) Work culture, WFH's damage to informal mentorship (59:20) Election update: Harris flips the polls despite unclear policy; reports of price control focus (1:21:27) Boeing's Starliner disaster strands two astronauts in space (1:33:54) Russia/Ukraine update: Ukraine wins land in Kursk, Nordstream report Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/harry_schuh/status/1822030518038491400 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-13/doj-considers-seeking-google-goog-breakup-after-major-antitrust-win https://www.wsj.com/business/starbucks-replaces-ceo-as-activist-investors-push-for-changes-43c33bff https://s203.q4cdn.com/326826266/files/doc_financials/2024/q3/Q3-FY24-Earnings-at-a-Glance.pdf https://fortune.com/2024/08/13/starbucks-shares-jump-20-after-company-poaches-chipotle-ceo-brian-niccol-chipotle-falls-9 https://www.cafexapp.com https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CMG:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/articles/low-wage-workers-climb-the-earnings-ladder-20acd8af https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mzLCpmRad5o https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nearly-half-dell-full-time-215348261.html https://x.com/Jason/status/1823826884112867609 https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://x.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1823913395986305342 https://www.npr.org/2024/08/08/nx-s1-5068668/vance-walz-stolen-valor-military-record https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/walzs-military-record-vances-accusations-stolen-valor/story?id=112618991 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/08/15/kamala-harris-economic-policy-2024 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whip_Inflation_Now https://www.google.com/finance/quote/WMT:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/kamala-harriss-economic-team-and-agenda-start-to-take-shape-7682e539 https://time.com/7009317/reintroduction-of-kamala-harris https://x.com/TIME/status/1822951410956218385 https://www.axios.com/2024/08/11/kamala-harris-trump-taxes-tips-service-workers https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-15/harris-will-propose-price-gouging-ban-on-food-and-groceries https://www.socialcapital.com/ideas/2019-annual-letter https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BA:NYSE https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1413855 https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2024/07/26/boeing-starliner-astronauts-stuck-orbit-space-station https://spacenews.com/41891nasa-selects-boeing-and-spacex-for-commercial-crew-contracts https://newatlas.com/space/first-manned-crew-dragon-flight-date https://qph.cf2.quoracdn.net/main-qimg-26d9f1dddb4d24469b593b28f40d277b-lq https://spaceflightnow.com/2016/08/02/boeing-nears-fix-for-cst-100-starliner-design-hitch https://spacenews.com/crewed-starliner-test-flight-could-slip-to-2019 https://spaceflightnow.com/2020/02/28/boeing-says-thorough-testing-would-have-caught-starliner-software-problems https://spaceflightnow.com/2021/08/19/boeings-starliner-spacecraft-returns-to-processing-facility-for-valve-work https://www.boeing.com/space/starliner/launch/archive.html https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch https://boeing.mediaroom.com/2024-06-05-Boeing-Starliner-Spacecraft-Completes-Successful-Launch https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/09/27/nord-stream-gas-pipelines-damage-russia https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/nord-stream-pipeline-explosion-real-story-da24839c https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2023/04/03/nord-stream-bombing-yacht-andromeda https://seymourhersh.substack.com/p/how-america-took-out-the-nord-stream https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS4O8rGRLf8 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ild-PsPD_Uw
01:46:0216/08/2024
Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
Yen Carry Trade, Recession odds grow, Buffett cash pile, Google ruled monopoly, Kamala picks Walz
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason is back from COVID! (3:55) Yen carry trade unravels, Japan's unique economic issues (27:22) Recession odds growing, is the US already in a "lowkey recession"? (45:46) Why Buffett is selling Apple and massively increasing Berkshire's cash position (55:54) Major antitrust ruling against Google, predicting outcomes (1:22:41) Kamala picks Minnesota Governor Tim Walz as her running mate Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.wsj.com/health/wellness/covid-guidelines-2024-cdc-symptoms-contagious-cdefb6b8 https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/interest-rate https://pebblewriter.com/the-yen-carry-trade-explained https://www.statista.com/statistics/604424/median-age-of-the-population-in-japan https://www.reuters.com/markets/asia/japans-nov-core-consumer-inflation-hits-fresh-40-year-high-2022-12-22 https://x.com/GoldmanSachs/status/1793998451291615316 https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/boj-wont-raise-rates-when-markets-are-unstable-deputy-gov-says-6f4bf962 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html https://www.wsj.com/finance/the-u-s-government-will-soon-spend-more-on-interest-payments-than-defense-ee6fbeec https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/business/archegos-bill-hwang-guilty.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-08-08/jpmorgan-says-three-quarters-of-global-carry-trades-now-unwound https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/02/job-growth-totals-114000-in-july-much-less-than-expected-as-unemployment-rate-rises-to-4point3percent.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-fed-rate-cuts-this-year https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.DJI:INDEXDJX https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/.IXIC:INDEXNASDAQ https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-08-07-2024/card/airbnb-stock-slides-after-rental-company-warns-of-slowing-u-s-demand-inf2c6emjcl5KI7KmkfR https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ABNB:NASDAQ https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1799085407394845087 https://www.forbes.com/sites/gurufocus/2024/02/15/warren-buffett-bolsters-chevron-stake-revealing-key-q4-moves https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ https://www.ft.com/content/2aa3b542-d4e4-4afb-8d81-89bb734d7b17 https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/25032786-googleruling https://x.com/Jason/status/1820823406503157764 https://x.com/chamath/status/1817893425137508474 https://www.vox.com/2018/10/31/18039528/tech-employees-politics-liberal-employers-candidates https://www.natesilver.net/p/tim-walz-is-a-minnesota-nice-choice https://x.com/NickFondacaro/status/1820840411335737852 https://x.com/KamalaHQ/status/1820918063966962143 https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/08/06/politics/tim-walz-inside-harris-vp-pick https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/07/us/politics/vance-walz-military-record.html https://x.com/PokerGO/status/1818836856890704291
01:44:2909/08/2024
Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
Kamala surges, Trump at NABJ, recession fears, Middle East escalation, Ackman postpones IPO
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:38) Election update: Dems energize around Kamala, policy questions remain (19:33) Trump's NABJ interview: smart or risky? (33:07) Markets expect rate cut in September, but are we already in a recession? (40:58) AI buildout causing short-term volatility (45:46) Assassination of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh: are we inching closer to war in the Middle East? (1:06:17) Bill Ackman withdraws Pershing Square USA IPO Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model https://www.foxnews.com/politics/harris-boycotts-netanyahu-snubs-israeli-leaders-wartime-address-give-sorority-speech https://nypost.com/2024/07/24/us-news/media-change-tune-on-calling-kamala-harris-border-czar-despite-giving-her-the-title https://x.com/jeffstorobinsky/status/1818722254542590012 https://apnews.com/business/inflation-general-news-31d83873be23c658d66526745482d572 https://x.com/grdecter/status/1819362069797654784 https://www.wsj.com/economy/consumers/inflation-interest-rates-wealth-loans-51d4276e https://www.foxbusiness.com/economy/initial-us-employment-reports-overstated-jobs https://www.foxbusiness.com/personal-finance/q1-gdp-slows-inflation-dips https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amd-stock-jumps-after-earnings-beat-driven-by-ai-chip-sales-202456320.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/31/nvidia-stock-up-after-microsoft-amd-quell-fears-ai-buildout-too-fast.html https://www.ft.com/content/bad6ca0b-82fb-4ddb-b6b8-bd09dacd47ae https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://www.nytimes.com/2024/08/01/world/middleeast/how-hamas-leader-haniyeh-killed-iran-bomb.html https://archive.nytimes.com/www.nytimes.com/interactive/2012/06/01/world/middleeast/how-a-secret-cyberwar-program-worked.html?hp https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bill-ackman-pulls-investment-fund-ipo-after-shrinking-its-size-85ba1a17
01:19:1002/08/2024
Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
Mag 7 sell-off, Wiz rejects Google, UBI, Kamala in, China's nuclear buildout, Sacks responds to PG
(0:00) Bestie intros: Nostracanis appears! (3:50) Wiz turns down Google's $23B offer, intends to IPO (13:30) CrowdStrike's rough week (17:51) Market update: Mag 7 sell-off? (22:47) Sam Altman's UBI study was a mixed bag (42:02) Succession IRL: Rupert Murdoch's children are in a legal battle over the future of his media empire (48:35) Biden out, Kamala in: Hot swap complete, speed-run primary subverted (1:03:08) Antisemitism rising, Josh Shapiro as a VP candidate (1:08:37) Sacks responds to smear campaign (1:26:46) Science Corner: China's nuclear buildout Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@theallinpod Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/google-wiz-deal-dead.html https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com/p/clouded-judgement-71924-big-tech https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/12/snowflake-shares-slip-after-att-says-hackers-accessed-data.html https://arstechnica.com/information-technology/2024/07/crowdstrike-blames-testing-bugs-for-security-update-that-took-down-8-5m-windows-pcs https://www.crowdstrike.com/blog/falcon-update-for-windows-hosts-technical-details https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/23/business/delta-flight-cancellations/index.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/CRWD:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/23/alphabet-set-to-report-q2-earnings-results-after-the-bell.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/VIX:INDEXCBOE https://public.websites.umich.edu/~mille/ORUS_Health.pdf https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/24/business/media/rupert-murdoch-succession-fox.html https://apnews.com/article/fox-news-dominion-lawsuit-trial-trump-2020-0ac71f75acfacc52ea80b3e747fb0afe https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/07/22/us/politics/kamala-harris-democrats-endorsement-list.html https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4790684-kamala-harris-polls-donald-trump-wisconsin https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/05/us/politics/biden-interview-stephanopoulos-abc.html https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/03/biden-no-ones-pushing-me-out-00166497 https://www.axios.com/2024/07/23/inside-harris-sprint-democratic-nomination https://www.politico.com/news/2024/07/21/why-biden-dropped-out-00170106 https://apnews.com/article/biden-election-trump-democrats-329071c25dfaaae583b5f06184586267 https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1815080881981190320 https://x.com/paulg/status/1816334112086712830 https://x.com/paulg/status/1771640321446683060 https://www.sec.gov/files/litigation/admin/2017/33-10429.pdf https://x.com/mwseibel/status/1816542692727488784
01:39:2626/07/2024
Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
Trump assassination attempt, Secret Service failure, Inside the RNC, VC liquidity problem
(0:00) Bestie intros: Live from the RNC! (1:34) Reacting to the assassination attempt against President Trump (12:52) Impact of charged rhetoric (21:15) Secret Service's massive failure; institutional decay (37:02) Inside the RNC: Sacks breaks down his speech (41:16) Trump picks JD Vance as his running mate (58:52) All-In Summit scholarship applications are LIVE! (59:46) VC update: Exits creeping back, Sequoia's secondary offering for Stripe, Google in talks to acquire Wiz for $23B Apply for the All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Sacks RNC speech: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rLArznk0Ns4 Jason's links (16:34): https://pt.icct.nl/article/donald-trump-aggressive-rhetoric-and-political-violence https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it Referenced in the show: https://www.foxnews.com/us/trumps-attempted-assassin-posted-message-before-shooting-july-13-my-premiere-watch-unfolds https://abcnews.go.com/US/trump-assassination-attempt-investigation-continues-new-details/story?id=112020474 https://x.com/TeslaVee/status/1813785645472690479 https://www.cnn.com/2024/02/08/politics/fact-check-trump-january-6/index.html https://x.com/DylanByers/status/1811855698566975936 https://x.com/newrepublic/status/1810009748697448541 https://pt.icct.nl/sites/default/files/import/pdf/nacos-et-al.pdf https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/08/11/business/media/el-paso-killer-conservative-media.html https://www.vice.com/en/article/wx83v4/even-trumps-defense-secretary-during-the-capitol-riot-blames-him-for-inciting-it https://apnews.com/article/trump-rubio-vance-burgum-scott-stefanik-vp-11ec39b0da11152ad110ff987d4eaeee https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pot7R0Affjs https://x.com/cb_doge/status/1813289249288134660 https://x.com/mualphaxi/status/1812579998735491327 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1813270784942494110 https://theintercept.com/2022/07/14/jan-6-texts-deleted-secret-service https://x.com/yashar/status/1813757637584134615 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/16/us/politics/trump-vance-vp-decision.html https://x.com/VivekGRamaswamy/status/1812929198433964249 https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/07/17/peter-thiel-boosted-jd-vance-career/74397520007 https://x.com/RitaPanahi/status/1813790835332595863 https://x.com/RWTNews/status/1813779819697725669 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h4FnpoNU8AI https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xejs4gGUpjE https://www.axios.com/2024/07/15/sequoia-capital-stripe https://www.wsj.com/business/deals/google-near-23-billion-deal-for-cybersecurity-startup-wiz-622edf1a https://pitchbook.com/news/reports/q2-2024-pitchbook-nvca-venture-monitor-first-look https://www.axios.com/2024/07/18/president-biden-drop-out-election-democrats https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XJP2zlH2nt8 https://www.semafor.com/article/07/17/2024/donors-cash-is-drying-up-jeffrey-katzenberg-warns-biden-in-private-meeting
01:15:5719/07/2024
Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections
Biden chaos, Soft landing secured? AI sentiment turns bearish, French elections
(0:00) Bestie intros! (4:29) Macro picture: Soft landing secured? Rate cut on the horizon? Plus: partisan economic perception (20:48) AI sentiment turns bearish due to massive spend with little revenue (40:51) A16Z's 20K GPU cluster (46:41) Broad implications of France elections (1:06:10) Hot swap update: President Biden holds firm as backers flee, press corps chaos, speed-run primary chances Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/teddyschleifer/status/1811423421861113915 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/07/11/cpi-inflation-report-june-2024.html https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-071124/card/odds-of-a-september-rate-cut-jump-as-inflation-cools-Du34tNx5OPXwQpXrKTT2 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UNRATE https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA https://ycharts.com/indicators/sp_500_pe_ratio https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-poll-analysis-americans-rate-economy-partisan-lens https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20240709188/heres-how-far-the-dow-has-fallen-behind-the-sp-500-so-far-in-2024 https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw https://www.sequoiacap.com/article/ais-600b-question https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/gs-research/gen-ai-too-much-spend-too-little-benefit/report.pdf https://www.theinformation.com/articles/andreessen-horowitz-is-building-a-stash-of-more-than-20-000-gpus-to-win-ai-deals https://x.com/natfriedman/status/1668650915505803266 https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-13594307/french-election-candidates-drop-rn-le-pen-victory.html https://x.com/CilComLFC/status/1810110921383010563 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/10/opinion/joe-biden-democratic-nominee.html https://www.politico.com/newsletters/playbook/2024/07/11/what-obama-and-pelosi-are-doing-about-biden-00167520 https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/disastrous-biden-campaign-fundraising-takes-major-hit-rcna161214 https://x.com/greenfield64/status/1811199262350532767 https://x.com/Olivianuzzi/status/1808924240529535352 https://x.com/peterjhasson/status/1811052411584164210 https://youtu.be/kOeARghNIaY https://www.semafor.com/article/07/07/2024/blitz-primary-could-open-up-democratic-race-if-biden-drops-out
01:25:3812/07/2024
Jonathan Haidt | The All-In Interview
Jonathan Haidt | The All-In Interview
(0:00) New format: The All-In Interview! (0:59) Jonathan Haidt joins Jason and Friedberg: broader themes of his work, gamification and supercharged social media (12:39) Understanding how humans are wired from an evolutionary biology perspective (27:22) Haidt's proposals to help younger generations (33:12) Linking themes and trends in Haidt's books with recent college protests (48:17) Explaining traditional liberalism and conservatism (56:55) Lightning Round: Parenting tips, Gen Z employees Jonathan's website: https://jonathanhaidt.com Buy The Anxious Generation: https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/book Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.anxiousgeneration.com/take-action https://www.azquotes.com/quote/1385350 https://www.azquotes.com/quote/926752 https://www.thecoddling.com/chapter-1-antifragility https://www.anxiousgeneration.com https://www.afterbabel.com https://letgrow.org
01:13:5810/07/2024
Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
Hot Swap growing, donors revolt, President Kamala? SCOTUS breakdown: Immunity, Chevron, Censorship
(0:00) Bestie Intros! (5:51) Democrats and their donors are falling out; President Biden to resign? Will VP Harris be the nominee? (26:22) Cognitive decline coverup, Bestie strategy for Dems (34:38) SCOTUS clarifies social media moderation (47:06) SCOTUS overturns Chevron, limiting the power of federal agencies (1:00:03) SCOTUS to hear case on restricting online porn in Texas (1:05:27) SCOTUS rules in favor of President Trump in immunity case Join/host a meetup: https://app.getriver.io/all-in Apply for All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/03/us/politics/biden-withdraw-election-debate.html https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1720024531014 https://www.newsweek.com/putin-houthis-cruise-missiles-russia-yemen-1919434 https://www.ft.com/content/d431b97f-7431-4066-bd80-9dab3b215fea https://www.axios.com/2024/06/30/top-aides-shielded-biden-white-house-debate https://www.foxnews.com/media/stephanopoulos-snaps-nikki-haley-saying-biden-wont-finish-term-excuse-me-how-do-you-know https://x.com/TheKevinDalton/status/1806669560852218045 https://x.com/0rf/status/1807620571934478683 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/supreme-court-social-media-laws-florida-texas https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-277_d18f.pdf https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/supreme-court/supreme-court-justice-voting-decisions-2024-rcna151268 https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-451_7m58.pdf https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-chevron-curtailing-power-of-federal-agencies https://www.reuters.com/legal/us-supreme-court-hear-challenge-texas-age-verification-online-porn-2024-07-02 https://x.com/noalpha_allbeta/status/1808265251202167183 https://x.com/ewarren/status/1808241509738631388 https://www.axios.com/2019/06/01/supreme-court-justices-ideology https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2024/06/02/supreme-court-justice-math-00152188 https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/23-939_e2pg.pdf https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/07/justices-rule-trump-has-some-immunity-from-prosecution https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/qanon-shaman-sentenced-3-years-role-capitol-riot-rcna5825 https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1808558981457326368
01:23:0604/07/2024
Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
Presidential Debate Reaction, Biden Hot Swap?, Tech unemployment, OpenAI considers for-profit & more
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:54) Debate recap and analysis: Hot swap incoming? (16:53) Subverting democracy, power grab, Democratic party shakeup (36:43) Why tech job postings are down significantly from pre-COVID levels (42:43) OpenAI considering for-profit conversion (54:11) The problem with safety-focused AI startups (1:03:20) EU charges Microsoft with antitrust violations for bundling Teams into Office Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/7057/Who-will-win-the-2024-Democratic-presidential-nomination https://polymarket.com/event/will-biden-drop-out-of-presidential-race?tid=1719589320811 https://youtu.be/R6hJh-OwoZw https://x.com/KellyO/status/1806505436457189594 https://x.com/WesternLensman/status/1806660589315658003 https://x.com/stoolpresidente/status/1806496453545586779 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IHLIDXUSTPSOFTDEVE https://www.theinformation.com/articles/openai-ceo-says-company-could-become-benefit-corporation-akin-to-rivals-anthropic-xai https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-19/openai-co-founder-plans-new-ai-focused-research-lab https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YMnkqY98Cyo https://x.com/benioff/status/1805664701298491623 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CwQMMzoeH9s https://x.com/JoeBiden/status/1806739920255320347
01:21:3629/06/2024
In conversation with President Trump
In conversation with President Trump
(0:00) Bestie intros: Big house talk! (1:37) Economy: Regulation, taxes, tariffs, taming inflation, de-dollarization (12:02) Federal debt: growth, spend control, where to cut, role of energy, nuclear (20:22) Foreign policy: Ukraine/Russia (25:05) Foreign policy: Israel/Palestine (28:13) Abortion: Stance on a national ban (31:09) Foreign policy: China (32:33) COVID: Origins, Fauci relationship, deep state, bad deals (39:39) Border: Wall, immigration, H-1Bs, recruiting global talent (46:07) JFK Files: Full release, importance of transparency (48:06) Debate prediction (50:15) Post-interview debrief Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/tyler/status/1803872859938549920 https://x.com/cameron/status/1803876953860247831 https://x.com/LHSummers/status/1802097688269181436 https://x.com/davidsacks/status/179888324567070746
01:20:3520/06/2024
Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
Elon gets paid, Apple's AI pop, OpenAI revenue rip, Macro debate & Inside Trump Fundraiser
(0:00) Bestie intros: bringing up the energy! (8:48) Trump fundraiser recap (23:16) Elon's comp package approved by shareholders (40:12) Apple announces "Apple Intelligence" and ChatGPT deal at WWDC (50:17) OpenAI reportedly hits a $3.4B revenue run rate (1:05:26) Macro debate: State of the US economy? Follow Tim Naki: https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki https://x.com/eoghan/status/1799161733766062545 https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1800979079472288145 https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1797086962626494840 https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1801084780035154058 https://x.com/jhall/status/1795794521604718814 https://fortune.com/2024/06/10/elon-musk-pay-package-tesla-lawyers-delaware-chancery-payout-stock-award-56-billion https://companiesmarketcap.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RXeOiIDNNek https://x.com/chiefaioffice/status/1801022115426009309 https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=%2Fg%2F11khcfz0y2&hl=en https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?q=%2Fg%2F11khcfz0y2&hl=en https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://www.jpmorgan.com/insights/outlook/economic-outlook/jobs-report-may-2024 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES0500000003 https://www.warren.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/2024.06.10%20Letter%20to%20Fed.%20re%20interest%20rates.pdf https://www.cnbc.com/2024/06/07/jobs-report-may-2024-us-job-gains-totaled-272000-in-may.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTSJOL https://x.com/VinnyLingham/status/1801129023168454907 https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/1aw5bbb/world_economy_on_nvidias_shoulders https://www.instagram.com/stocktradingmemes/p/C3qer-sSfb0/?img_index=1 https://x.com/jameslavish/status/1801248976911634648 https://x.com/peterfenton/status/1801300735520608529
01:24:4814/06/2024
DOJ targets Nvidia, Meme stock comeback, Trump fundraiser in SF, Apple/OpenAI, Texas stock market
DOJ targets Nvidia, Meme stock comeback, Trump fundraiser in SF, Apple/OpenAI, Texas stock market
(0:00) Besties intros! (2:10) Responding to recent media coverage (17:58) DOJ/FTC strike deal to target Nvidia, OpenAI, and Microsoft (32:40) Meme stocks are back: Keith Gill aka Roaring Kitty resurfaces, disclosing nine figure position in GameStop (58:36) Citadel and BlackRock back TXSE to take on NYSE and Nasdaq (1:02:34) Apple to announce OpenAI iPhone deal at WWDC (1:09:07) Science Corner: Alarming ocean temps continue, what to expect for hurricane season Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dQQhAg0mfF8 https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1769529054955446533 https://x.com/vkhosla/status/1796293773389127987 https://x.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1796415146077954329 https://x.com/DavidSacks/status/1798100723617698097 https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/1798779830521000426 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/06/05/technology/nvidia-microsoft-openai-antitrust-doj-ftc.html https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/ftc-opens-antitrust-probe-of-microsoft-ai-deal-29b5169a https://companiesmarketcap.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F9cO3-MLHOM https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/29/newsom-california-artifical-intelligence-regulations-00160519 https://www.reddit.com/user/DeepFuckingValue https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/e-trade-considers-kicking-meme-stock-leader-keith-gill-off-platform-f2003ec4 https://x.com/TheRoaringKitty/status/1789807772542067105 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GME:NYSE https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M-VO6dtFRes https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/keith-gills-gamestop-trades-pose-conundrum-for-market-cops-70cc5301 https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/GME/gamestop/revenue https://www.wsj.com/finance/stocks/gamestop-burned-andrew-left-in-2021-hes-betting-against-the-stock-again-4377cecb https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/18/business/melvin-capital-gamestop-short.html https://www.instagram.com/tim.naki/reels https://www.wsj.com/finance/regulation/new-texas-stock-exchange-takes-aim-at-new-yorks-dominance-e3b4d9ba https://listingcenter.nasdaq.com/assets/Board%20Diversity%20Disclosure%20Five%20Things.pdf https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-06-05/why-is-apple-aapl-teaming-up-with-openai-both-companies-need-each-other https://x.com/leonsimons8/status/1793319395080520036
01:25:2607/06/2024
Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
Trump verdict, COVID Cover-up, Crypto Corner, Salesforce drops 20%, AI correction?
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Jason's first show for his new production company (2:15) Why Sacks and Chamath are hosting a Trump fundraiser (18:40) House COVID investigation: findings, cover-up, what's next? (41:36) The Deep State Problem: unelected bureaucrats running three letter agencies for decades (53:04) Crypto Corner with Chamath (1:04:15) State of SaaS: Salesforce drops 20%, market teetering (1:20:10) Trump verdict: guilty on 34 counts of falsifying business records (1:37:36) Are we seeing an AI correction? Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://oversight.house.gov/release/new-select-subcommittee-report-recommends-ecohealth-alliance-president-debarred-and-criminally-investigated-exposes-failures-in-nih-grant-procedures https://oversight.house.gov/release/hearing-wrap-up-nih-repeatedly-refutes-ecohealth-alliance-president-dr-peter-daszaks-testimony-tabak-testimony-reveals-federal-grant-procedures-in-need-of-serious-reform https://www.axios.com/2021/07/20/fauci-rand-paul-wuhan-institute https://oversight.house.gov/release/breaking-hhs-suspends-funding-and-proposes-formal-debarment-of-ecohealth-alliance-cites-evidence-from-covid-select-report https://oversight.house.gov/release/breaking-hhs-to-debar-dr-peter-daszak-president-of-ecohealth-alliance https://x.com/emilyakopp/status/1795482121739354552 https://x.com/R_H_Ebright/status/1795454118594568312 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jGxSlW0NrB4 https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/dual-use-research/feds-lift-gain-function-research-pause-offer-guidance https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/a-flu-virus-risk-worth-taking/2011/12/30/gIQAM9sNRP_story.html https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3484390 https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30418-9/fulltext https://oversight.house.gov/release/new-covid-select-memo-details-allegations-of-wrongdoing-and-illegal-activity-by-dr-faucis-senior-scientific-advisor https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-deficit https://x.com/KatherineEban https://x.com/emilyakopp https://www.semafor.com/article/05/28/2024/a-dying-empire-led-by-bad-people-poll-finds-young-voters-despairing-over-us-politics https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nvQTXAgtA6s https://s23.q4cdn.com/574569502/files/doc_financials/2025/q1/CRM-Q1-FY25-Earnings-Press-Release-w-financials.pdf https://www.investors.com/news/economy/federal-reserve-core-pce-inflation-gdp-q1-jobless-claims-sp-500 https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/05/30/nyregion/trump-trial-verdict https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DELL:NYSE https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-30/us-gdp-grew-at-softer-pace-as-spending-inflation-marked-down
01:47:4231/05/2024
Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, the "vibecession," plastic in our balls
Scarlett Johansson vs OpenAI, Nvidia's trillion-dollar problem, the "vibecession," plastic in our balls
(0:00) Bestie intros: Recapping "General AI Hospital" (2:46) Scarlett Johansson vs. OpenAI (14:37) OpenAI's novel off-boarding agreements, ex-employee equity problem, and safety team resignations (25:35) Nvidia crushes earnings again, but it faces a trillion-dollar problem (40:05) Understanding why economic sentiment is so negative among US citizens despite positive data (1:02:36) New study shows plastics in testicles Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://x.com/BobbyAllyn/status/1792679435701014908 https://x.com/sama/status/1790075827666796666 https://openai.com/index/how-the-voices-for-chatgpt-were-chosen https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/05/22/openai-scarlett-johansson-chatgpt-ai-voice https://x.com/SydSteyerhart/status/1792981291266138531 https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/351132/openai-vested-equity-nda-sam-altman-documents-employees https://x.com/sama/status/1791936857594581428 https://x.com/ilyasut/status/1790517455628198322 https://x.com/janleike/status/1790603862132596961 https://x.com/janleike/status/1791498184671605209 https://openai.com/index/openai-announces-leadership-transition https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-announces-financial-results-for-first-quarter-fiscal-2025 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/INTC:NASDAQ https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/nvidia-2023-vs-cisco-1999-will-history-repeat https://www.fool.com/investing/2024/03/06/is-nvidia-doomed-to-be-the-next-cisco-what-investo https://www.elitetrader.com/et/threads/nvidia-and-the-cautionary-tale-of-cisco-systems.379022 https://chamath.substack.com/p/2023-annual-letter https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2024/03/23/summers-inflation-reached-18-in-2022-using-the-governments-previous-formula https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/article/2024/may/22/poll-economy-recession-biden https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CCLACBW027SBOG https://x.com/KariLake/status/1792986501820850333 https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2024/apr/how-big-mac-index-relates-overall-consumer-inflation https://www.google.com/finance/quote/MCD:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/economy/gdp-and-the-dow-are-up-but-what-about-american-well-being-87f90e6d https://www.consumerreports.org/health/food-contaminants/the-plastic-chemicals-hiding-in-your-food-a7358224781 https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2605.2007.00837.x https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/12708228 https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7559247 https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/21524797 https://academic.oup.com/toxsci/advance-article/doi/10.1093/toxsci/kfae060/7673133 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=o6yuYkfNh-k https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EYQjShJxCtM https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r_4jrMwvZ2A
01:30:0624/05/2024
GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
GPT-4o launches, Glue demo, Ohalo breakthrough, Druck's Argentina bet, did Google kill Perplexity?
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Recapping Phil Hellmuth's birthday weekend (7:38) OpenAI launches GPT-4o: better, faster, cheaper (29:40) Sacks demos Glue: How AI unlocked his Slack killer (40:12) Friedberg walks through his major breakthrough at Ohalo (1:01:35) Stanley Druckenmiller bets on Argentina and Javier Milei: strategy, roadmap for the US (1:13:54) Jason's bet on Athena, how AI will change company building (1:22:21) Google launches AI summaries in search Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.pokernews.com/news/2024/05/phil-hellmuth-60th-birthday-bash-las-vegas-45984.htm https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1790130703721521305 https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1790089513387143469 https://crfm.stanford.edu/helm/mmlu/v1.3.0/# https://www.businessinsider.com/inflection-implosion-chatgpt-stall-ai-consumer-chatbot-problem-2024-3 https://www.opencompute.org https://glue.ai https://ragie.ai https://ohalo.com https://www.cnbc.com/2024/05/07/cnbc-exclusive-cnbc-transcript-billionaire-investor-stanley-druckenmiller-speaks-with-cnbcs-squawk-box-today.html https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2024/03/23/summers-inflation-reached-18-in-2022-using-the-governments-previous-formula https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1378034932006592512 https://www.athenawow.com/jcal https://calacanis.substack.com/p/startup-productivity-in-the-age-of https://blog.google/products/search/generative-ai-google-search-may-2024 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XEzRZ35urlk https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/GOOG https://startuptalky.com/apple-failed-products
01:41:1417/05/2024
In conversation with Sam Altman
In conversation with Sam Altman
(0:00) Welcoming Sam Altman to the show! (2:28) What's next for OpenAI: GPT-5, open-source, reasoning, what an AI-powered iPhone competitor could look like, and more (21:56) How advanced agents will change the way we interface with apps (33:01) Fair use, creator rights, why OpenAI has stayed away from the music industry (42:02) AI regulation, UBI in a post-AI world (52:23) Sam breaks down how he was fired and re-hired, why he has no equity, dealmaking on behalf of OpenAI, and how he organizes the company (1:05:33) Post-interview recap (1:10:38) All-In Summit announcements, college protests (1:19:06) Signs of innovation dying at Apple: iPad ad, Buffett sells 100M+ shares, what's next? (1:29:41) Google unveils AlphaFold 3.0 Follow Sam: https://twitter.com/sama Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/EconomyApp/status/1622029832099082241 https://sacra.com/c/openai https://twitter.com/tim_cook/status/1787864325258162239 https://openai.com/index/introducing-the-model-spec https://twitter.com/SabriSun_Miller/status/1788298123434938738 https://www.archives.gov/founding-docs/bill-of-rights-transcript https://twitter.com/ClayTravis/status/1788312545754825091 https://www.inc.com/bill-murphy-jr/warren-buffett-just-sold-more-than-100-million-shares-of-apple-reason-why-is-eye-opening.html https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=snbTCWL6rxo https://www.digitimes.com/news/a20240506PD216/apple-ev-startup-genai.html https://www.theonion.com/fuck-everything-were-doing-five-blades-1819584036 https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-deepmind-isomorphic-alphafold-3-ai-model
01:43:0310/05/2024
In conversation with Sheryl Sandberg, plus open-source AI gene editing explained
In conversation with Sheryl Sandberg, plus open-source AI gene editing explained
(0:00) Welcoming Sheryl Sandberg and remembering Dave Goldberg (11:10) What led Sheryl to get involved with "Screams Before Silence"; reaction to sexual violence on and after 10/7 (28:18) Paths forward, documentary decisions, involvement of women in protests (53:03) Post-interview debrief (59:45) Science Corner: Open-source AI gene editing with OpenCRISPR-1 Follow Sheryl: https://twitter.com/sherylsandberg Watch Screams Before Silence: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAr9oGSXgak&rco=1 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/fakechamath https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zAr9oGSXgak&rco=1 https://www.cnn.com/2023/11/20/opinions/sheryl-sandberg-something-we-can-all-agree-on/index.html https://news.un.org/en/story/2024/03/1147477 https://thegrayzone.com/2024/03/07/media-concocts-un-hamas-rape-report/amp/ https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/29/world/middleeast/israel-hamas-sexual-violence-un.html https://github.com/Profluent-AI/OpenCRISPR
01:15:2303/05/2024
Meta's scorched earth approach to AI, Tesla's future, TikTok bill, FTC bans noncompetes, wealth tax
Meta's scorched earth approach to AI, Tesla's future, TikTok bill, FTC bans noncompetes, wealth tax
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Reservation Tips! (5:20) Meta goes scorched earth in AI, why the stock was down despite beating on earnings (22:20) Tesla's roadmap, ranking the company's highest-upside bets outside of cars for the next 10 years (47:25) FTC bans noncompetes: impact on startups and company formation (1:00:33) Besties reminisce on their encounters with Steve Jobs (1:10:25) TikTok "divest-or-ban" bill is signed into law: Will China comply? What's it worth without the algorithm? Will a deal get done? (1:27:22) Biden's proposed capital gains hikes and a 25% wealth tax for those with $100M+ in assets Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://ai.meta.com/blog/meta-llama-3 https://huggingface.co/meta-llama/Meta-Llama-3-8B https://about.fb.com/news/2024/04/introducing-our-open-mixed-reality-ecosystem https://about.fb.com/news/2024/04/meta-ai-assistant-built-with-llama-3 https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/25/investing/meta-stock-plunges-ai-spending/index.html https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kiMTRQXBol0 https://twitter.com/AravSrinivas/status/1781099224169320500 https://wow.groq.com/12-hours-later-groq-is-running-llama-3-instruct-8-70b-by-meta-ai-on-its-lpu-inference-enginge https://twitter.com/lauramaywendel/status/1782040453266710551 https://twitter.com/naveengrao/status/1781491370114633816 https://twitter.com/winglian/status/1783456379199484367 https://www.meta.ai https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1780302197772952049 https://electrek.co/2024/03/16/tesla-full-self-driving-beta-v12-finally-rolls-out https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-cuts-price-full-self-driving-software-by-third-8000-2024-04-21 https://fortune.com/2024/04/15/elon-musk-tesla-cut-10-percent-global-workforce-14000-employees-slowing-ev-demand https://www.reuters.com/business/autos-transportation/tesla-take-shareholder-vote-shifting-incorporation-texas-musk-says-2024-02-01 https://www.ft.com/content/46aac746-4a54-437f-a0b7-9b81b154c21d https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/24/tesla-stock-up-after-elon-musk-says-new-affordable-ev-models-coming.html https://www.tesla.com/blog/master-plan-part-deux https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1776663647735218491 https://digitalassets.tesla.com/tesla-contents/image/upload/IR/TSLA-Q1-2024-Update.pdf https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/25/gdp-q1-2024-increased-at-a-1point6percent-rate.html https://palmetto.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pja_n8ThDsU https://www.fastcompany.com/90972171/cruise-suspends-driverless-vehicle-operations-in-san-francisco-after-dmv-revokes-permit https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1777496946263134414 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/03/technology/cruise-general-motors-self-driving-cars.html https://thehill.com/business/4615452-ftc-votes-to-ban-non-compete-agreements https://www.ftc.gov/news-events/news/press-releases/2024/04/ftc-announces-rule-banning-noncompetes https://www.techemails.com/p/steve-jobs-emails-adobes-ceo https://venturebeat.com/business/how-steve-jobs-felt-betrayed-by-eric-schmidt-over-googles-android https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CWOt9Cjq2mw https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/24/24139036/biden-signs-tiktok-ban-bill-divest-foreign-aid-package https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/senate-returns-95b-foreign-aid-package-ukraine-israel/story?id=109506150 https://www.cnbc.com/2023/12/06/tiktok-parent-bytedance-offers-share-buyback-at-268-billion-valuation.html https://www.theinformation.com/articles/bytedance-exploring-scenarios-for-selling-tiktok-without-algorithm?rc=pxkrxo https://www.aclu.org/press-releases/senate-reauthorizes-and-expands-section-702-surveillance https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1783220583075111401 https://www.wsj.com/tech/tiktok-ban-chinese-owners-bytedance-1a857a06 https://x.com/MsMelChen/status/1783524423963697262 https://x.com/Jason/status/1783556155924705388 https://x.com/Jason/status/1783604248569360516 https://www.atr.org/biden-calls-for-44-6-capital-gains-tax-rate-highest-capital-gains-tax-since-its-creation-in-1922 https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/General-Explanations-FY2025.pdf https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-04-24/tax-on-rich-to-save-social-security-popular-with-swing-state-voters-poll https://balajis.com/p/all-it-takes-is-all-you-got https://twitter.com/maceskridge/status/1783290784311058788
01:41:2626/04/2024
Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal
Google fires protestors, NPR chaos, Humane's AI Pin, Startup tax crisis, sports betting scandal
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Chamath recaps the Breakthrough Prize Ceremony, "High IQ foods" (9:49) All-In Summit update, Poker styles of Andrew Robl, Jason Koon, and Phil Hellmuth   (14:38) Google fires protestors (35:08) Chaos and culture wars at NPR (40:43) Humane's AI Pin: Marques Brownlee's review, the Ex-Apple issue, polarizing reactions (1:02:28) Startup tax crisis: How a recent provision upended R&D deductions (1:12:39) Sports betting scandal: NBA player Jontay Porter banned for life, explosion of sports betting in the US (1:23:33) How to get better at chess, childhood Bestie schemes Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/NoTechApartheid/status/1780278895058518468 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/17/google-workers-arrested-after-nine-hour-protest-in-google-cloud-ceos-office.html https://www.notechforapartheid.com https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/17/24133700/google-fires-28-employees-protest-israel-cloud-contract https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1779914595156808045 https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-04-11/ty-article-magazine/.premium/saying-what-cant-be-said-israel-has-been-defeated-a-total-defeat/0000018e-cdab-dba9-a78e-efef6ba10000 https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-wins-gaza-battles-but-risks-losing-the-war-c6a3823f https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/19/middleeast/eisenkot-netanyahu-israel-war-politics-gaza-intl/index.html https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3-APSXZy9UI https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/02/world/middleeast/israel-gaza-aid-workers-killed.html https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2024-03-31/ty-article-magazine/.premium/israel-created-kill-zones-in-gaza-anyone-who-crosses-into-them-is-shot/0000018e-946c-d4de-afee-f46da9ee0000 https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/2023-12-15/ty-article/.premium/israeli-army-says-killed-three-hostages-mistakenly-identified-as-threat-in-northern-gaza/0000018c-6edd-dbd5-a39c-ffff08470000 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/06/world/middleeast/israel-idf-soldiers-war-social-media-video.html https://twitter.com/JustStop_Oil/status/1580883249228046336 https://www.npr.org/2024/01/24/1226035539/npr-ceo-katherine-maher-wikimedia https://www.npr.org/about-npr/178659563/our-mission-and-vision https://www.thefp.com/p/npr-editor-how-npr-lost-americas-trust https://www.npr.org/sections/npr-extra/2024/04/12/1244456600/from-npr-president-and-ceo-katherine-maher-thoughts-on-our-mission-and-our-work https://twitter.com/realchrisrufo https://twitter.com/wokal_distance/status/1780695504210567335 https://www.theinformation.com/articles/has-humane-created-the-next-iphone-or-the-next-google-glass https://humane.com https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TitZV6k8zfA https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6xWXRk3yaSw https://www.amazon.com/Anxious-Generation-Rewiring-Childhood-Epidemic/dp/0593655036 https://www.amazon.com/Nexus-Trilogy-Book-1-ebook/dp/B00TOZI7FM https://www.amazon.com/Bad-Therapy-Kids-Arent-Growing/dp/0593542924 https://www.wsj.com/sports/basketball/jontay-porter-banned-gambling-5dd9c1a8 https://nypost.com/2024/04/17/sports/how-jontay-porter-orchestrated-failed-nba-gambling-scandal https://dknetwork.draftkings.com/2024/1/31/24054415/lebron-james-joins-draftkings-football-sports https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/story/_/id/39563784/sports-betting-industry-posts-record-11b-2023-revenue https://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/38386013/how-nba-new-rules-resting-stars-work https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=U2huVf1l4UE
01:36:5219/04/2024
E174: Inflation stays hot, AI disclosure bill, Drone warfare, defense startups & more
E174: Inflation stays hot, AI disclosure bill, Drone warfare, defense startups & more
Register for the All-In Summit: https://summit.allinpodcast.co (0:00) Bestie Intros: J-Cal is out this week! (0:57) All-In Summit 2024 Announcement (3:10) Nvidia's market position, Collapse of Western cities, State of the cloud market (17:30) Inflation stays hotter than expected for the third straight month: chance of a HIKE instead of a cut? (45:41) AI disclosure bill: important step for creators or unnecessary? (1:06:27) Drone warfare: The future of war, Silicon Valley's defense decision Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://summit.allinpodcast.co https://youtu.be/FgUKIRnxrxw https://laist.com/news/kpcc-archive/election-2014-prop-47-reduces-drug-and-property-cr https://www.sfchronicle.com/sf/article/san-francisco-election-progressives-18699100.php https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/10/cpi-inflation-march-2024-consumer-prices-rose-3point5percent-from-a-year-ago-in-march.html https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/core-cpi-736 https://www.investing.com/economic-calendar/cpi-733 https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1778093870271664291 https://www.wsj.com/economy/inflation-march-cpi-report-interest-rate-239b7e5e https://twitter.com/LHSummers/status/1762607548828360798 https://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2024/03/23/summers-inflation-reached-18-in-2022using-the-governments-previous-formula https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1778098007625572487 https://www.city-journal.org/article/lisa-d-cooks-careless-scholarship https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/08/biden-will-announce-details-of-new-student-loan-forgiveness-plan.html https://www.livemint.com/news/world/bidens-4-5-trillion-spending-plan-faces-deficit-test-11619956141365.html https://twitter.com/unusual_whales/status/1778479545613439455 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1777017715846455470/photo/1 https://schiff.house.gov/news/press-releases/rep-schiff-introduces-groundbreaking-bill-to-create-ai-transparency-between-creators-and-companies https://schiff.house.gov/imo/media/doc/the_generative_ai_copyright_disclosure_act.pdf https://www.cnbc.com/2024/04/05/billie-eilish-nicki-minaj-200-artists-sign-letter-against-ai-music.html https://www.theverge.com/2024/4/6/24122915/openai-youtube-transcripts-gpt-4-training-data-google https://abcnews.go.com/Entertainment/jury-reaches-verdict-ed-sheeran-copyright-infringement-case/story https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xG1vOxwgqJw https://twitter.com/sambendett/status/1774074927437475862 https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraine-produce-one-million-drones-next-year-zelenskiy-says-2023-12-19 https://www.businessinsider.com/russia-has-seven-drones-every-one-ukraine-has-army-official-2023-12 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/12/world/europe/ukraine-drone-russia-jamming.html https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480 https://www.saildrone.com https://govciomedia.com/dod-seeks-to-grow-partnerships-with-silicon-valley-startups https://www.statista.com/statistics/1249871/share-of-the-global-lithium-ion-battery-manufacturing-capacity-by-country https://www.militaryaerospace.com/power/article/14072339/emp-high-power-electromagnetic-weapons-railguns-microwaves https://www.allencontrolsystems.com https://www.allencontrolsystems.com/bullfrog
01:26:5812/04/2024
E173: Google buying HubSpot? FTX depositors not made whole, AI job fears, Ukraine joining NATO
E173: Google buying HubSpot? FTX depositors not made whole, AI job fears, Ukraine joining NATO
(0:00) Meet All-In's new CEO: Jon Haile! (7:13) FTX Correction: Depositors are not getting "made whole" (19:26) Trump Media updates (27:12) Google considering bid to acquire HubSpot: Price, relevancy, feasible with regulators? Should Google investors be worried or excited? (49:20) AI job loss fears go mainstream, potential for autonomous domestic robots in next five years (1:11:17) Blinken says Ukraine will join NATO: WW3 risk, election implications Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/27/sbf-team-argues-for-5-6-year-sentence-ftx-customers-to-get-money-back.html https://www.axios.com/2024/02/06/ftx-repay-customers-creditors-investors https://www.reuters.com/technology/ftx-gets-court-approval-sell-crypto-assets-2023-09-13 https://www.reuters.com/technology/ftx-expects-us-reduce-bankruptcy-claim-3-billion-5-billion-2024-03-21 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ https://www.barrons.com/articles/djt-truth-social-trump-media-stock-price-earnings-4ad7c458 https://www.barrons.com/articles/djt-truth-social-trump-media-stock-price-today-d2249f43 https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/apr/03/trump-media-es-family-trust-2022-loans https://www.nytimes.com/2024/04/03/business/trump-media-insider-trading-guilty.html https://twitter.com/mtaibbi/status/1619029772977455105 https://nypost.com/2023/01/28/left-wing-think-tank-responsible-for-fake-russia-stories https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/google-parent-alphabet-weighs-offer-hubspot-sources-say-2024-04-04 https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/HUBS/hubspot/revenue https://www.google.com/finance/quote/HUBS:NYSE https://www.statista.com/statistics/266249/advertising-revenue-of-google https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_mergers_and_acquisitions_by_Alphabet https://ir.hubspot.com/news/hubspot-reports-q4-and-full-year-2023-results https://twitter.com/thedailyshow/status/1774995166778020059 https://www.klarna.com/international/press/klarna-ai-assistant-handles-two-thirds-of-customer-service-chats-in-its-first-month https://www.forbes.com/sites/mikepatton/2014/12/30/a-historical-look-at-the-components-of-u-s-gdp-1929-to-2011 https://timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1983/06/02/issue.html https://m.imdb.com/name/nm0001394/mediaviewer/rm2226878976 https://twitter.com/lina_colucci/status/1775668500931268665 https://twitter.com/tsarnick/status/1748923998052975099 https://twitter.com/Figure_robot/status/1767913661253984474 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1746964887949934958 https://www.geckorobotics.com/company/robots https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1775926842257813910 https://www.politico.eu/article/ukraine-great-risk-front-line-collapse-war-russia https://www.politico.eu/article/emmanuel-macron-ukraine-western-troops-remarks https://www.state.gov/secretary-antony-j-blinken-and-ukrainian-foreign-minister-dmytro-kuleba-before-their-meeting-10
01:32:5705/04/2024
E172: SBF gets 25 years, Trump's meme stock, RFK Jr picks VP, Biden's 2025 budget & more
E172: SBF gets 25 years, Trump's meme stock, RFK Jr picks VP, Biden's 2025 budget & more
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Late night poker snacks! (2:33) SBF sentenced to 25 years (16:41) Trump's meme SPAC: modern trading card, protest vote, or something else? (34:59) RFK Jr. selects Nicole Shanahan as VP (47:46) Biden's budget plan for 2025: how to confront America's existential crisis? (1:11:59) Science Corner: Why the price of cocoa has skyrocketed! (1:16:41) Movie talk and wrap! Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow on X: https://twitter.com/theallinpod Follow on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/theallinpod Follow on TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@all_in_tok Follow on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/allinpod Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.reuters.com/technology/sam-bankman-fried-be-sentenced-multi-billion-dollar-ftx-fraud-2024-03-28 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/25/ftx-estate-sells-majority-stake-in-startup-anthropic-for-884-million.html https://coingeek.com/ftx-founder-sam-bankman-fried-sentenced-to-25-years-in-prison https://www.google.com/finance/quote/DJT:NASDAQ https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1849635/000119312524036093/d408563ds4a.htm https://www.sec.gov/news/press-release/2023-121 https://apnews.com/article/trump-media-gamestop-truth-social-meme-stock-666e62b4f3f788bd6276764056bc7c0d https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/18/business/melvin-capital-gamestop-short.html https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/lau37c/we_can_stay_retarded_longer_than_you_can_stay https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/rfk-jr-to-name-nicole-shanahan-as-running-mate-for-presidential-bid-4b9a698e https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1773147897439436939 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/01/the-us-national-debt-is-rising-by-1-trillion-about-every-100-days.html https://www.reuters.com/world/us/bidens-2024-us-government-budget-is-also-campaign-pitch-2024-03-11 https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/budget_fy2025.pdf https://manhattan.institute/article/the-limits-of-taxing-the-rich https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/09_effects_income_tax_changes_economic_growth_gale_sawick.pdf https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYFRGDA188S https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYONGDA188S https://www.oecd.org/tax/revenue-statistics-united-states.pdf https://www.visualcapitalist.com/inflation-chart-tracks-price-changes-us-goods-services https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/USGOVT https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/investor-relations/larry-fink-annual-chairmans-letter https://www.kakaoplattform.ch/about-cocoa/cocoa-facts-and-figures https://www.movieposters.com/products/daliland-mpw-138836 https://twitter.com/stillgray/status/1773234188663054751 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1773240336292393144
01:27:4629/03/2024
E171: DOJ sues Apple, AI arms race, Reddit IPO, Realtor settlement & more
E171: DOJ sues Apple, AI arms race, Reddit IPO, Realtor settlement & more
(0:00) Bestie Intros: Don't spoil Dune 2! (0:55) DOJ drops antitrust suit on Apple (23:36) Apple reportedly in talks with Google and OpenAI to power AI features on iPhone (32:17) NAR settlement: how it impacts residential real estate going forward (44:30) Microsoft's "Shadow Acquihire" of Inflection AI (48:43) How the besties would deploy $40B in AI as a sovereign wealth fund (1:01:57) Reddit IPO: is risk-on back? (1:07:17) Science Corner(s): Universe expansion, first pig kidney transplant in human, Neuralink Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.njd.544402/gov.uscourts.njd.544402.1.0_3.pdf https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/justice-department-sues-apple-monopolizing-smartphone-markets https://www.google.com/finance/quote/AAPL:NASDAQ https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-18/apple-in-talks-to-license-google-gemini-for-iphone-ios-18-generative-ai-tools https://www.macrumors.com/2023/10/11/google-pays-apple-billions-default-search https://venturebeat.com/ai/apple-releases-mgie-a-revolutionary-ai-model-for-instruction-based-image-editing https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1769751534940918234 https://nypost.com/2024/02/26/business/google-to-relaunch-woke-gemini-ai-image-tool-in-few-weeks https://twitter.com/Patworx/status/1760189582870536408 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QNv9PRDIhes https://www.nbcnews.com/business/real-estate/national-association-realtors-settlement-changes-rcna143634 https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/realtors-settlement-change-buy-sell-homes-da45eb23 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-19/inflection-ai-plans-pivot-after-most-employees-go-to-microsoft https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-19/microsoft-hires-deepmind-co-founder-suleyman-to-run-consumer-ai https://inflection.ai/inflection-ai-announces-1-3-billion-of-funding https://www.nytimes.com/2024/03/19/business/saudi-arabia-investment-artificial-intelligence.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/21/reddit-ipo-rddt-starts-trading-on-nyse.html https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/fed-officials-still-see-three-cuts-this-year-0b039532 https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/commercial/americas-office-fire-sale-has-barely-begun-0c8d376f https://www.foxweather.com/earth-space/nasa-webb-telescope-hubble-observations-universe-expansion-rate-question https://www.massgeneral.org/news/press-release/worlds-first-genetically-edited-pig-kidney-transplant-into-living-recipient https://twitter.com/neuralink/status/1770563939413496146
01:19:2022/03/2024
E170: Tech's Vibe Shift, TikTok ban debate, Vertical AI boom, Florida bans lab-grown meat & more
E170: Tech's Vibe Shift, TikTok ban debate, Vertical AI boom, Florida bans lab-grown meat & more
(0:00) Bestie Intros! (1:02) Friedberg's newest family members (7:13) Tech's vibe shift: More candidness, less PR-speak from top CEOs (22:47) OpenAI CTO slips up on training data: did OpenAI train Sora on YouTube videos? (28:58) Vertical AI startups flourishing: Cognition launches Devin, what will this do to startups? (40:38) TikTok debate: Is the new bill to ban or force a sale of TikTok fair or potentially overreaching due to its vagueness? (1:22:10) Florida on the verge of banning lab-grown meat Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/RachaelRad/status/1767612555063955891 https://twitter.com/iamtomnash/status/1768135725403226256 https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1752749485070156025 https://futurism.com/video-openai-cto-sora-training-data https://twitter.com/tsarnick/status/1768021821595726254 https://www.harvey.ai https://www.abridge.com https://www.taxgpt.com https://sierra.ai https://twitter.com/cognition_labs/status/1767548763134964000 https://twitter.com/heyBarsee/status/1767934812315062646 https://sourcegraph.com/cody https://techcrunch.com/2023/06/27/vertical-ai-the-next-logical-iteration-of-vertical-saas https://vator.tv/news/2018-02-05-when-paypal-was-young-the-early-years https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2024/03/13/tiktok-ban-passes-house-vote https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/tiktok-bill-ban-house-vote-af4d0800 https://rollcall.com/2024/03/14/schumer-signals-slower-pace-on-tiktok-measure-in-the-senate https://twitter.com/rabois/status/1768107160662421772 https://www.linkedin.com/posts/vivekgramaswamy_were-literally-addicted-to-china-they-push-activity-7060229302633521152-k0g3 https://time.com/6900348/tiktok-ban-donald-trump-congress https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-13/who-is-jeff-yass-15-billion-tiktok-fortune-at-stake-as-ban-passes-house-vote https://www.congress.gov/bill/118th-congress/house-bill/7521/text https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_foreign_adversaries https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/1753878721163882676 https://www.latimes.com/archives/la-xpm-1985-09-04-mn-23112-story.html https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/22/technology/byte-dance-tik-tok-internal-investigation.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/14/tiktok-ban-china-would-block-sale-of-short-video-app.html https://www.fastcompany.com/91056837/ron-desantis-and-the-florida-legislature-turn-their-anti-woke-agenda-on-lab-grown-meat https://standingstonefarms.com/pages/microbial-rennet-what-is-it-and-how-important-is-it https://twitter.com/Teslaconomics/status/1768395010507182252 https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/1768267464062943676 https://twitter.com/Andercot/status/1768328460622299424
01:38:1215/03/2024
E169: Elon sues OpenAI, Apple's decline, TikTok ban, Bitcoin $100K?, Science corner: Microplastics
E169: Elon sues OpenAI, Apple's decline, TikTok ban, Bitcoin $100K?, Science corner: Microplastics
(0:00) Bestie intros! (0:55) Elon sues OpenAI: complex structure, tax issues, damages, past comparables (37:06) OpenAI's focus on AGI, different interpretations of AGI in tech (44:46) Groq update with Sunny Madra! (49:53) Have we hit peak Apple?: Losing regulatory battles, iPhone stagnation, Buffett starts trimming (1:06:25) TikTok ban: New proposed House bill would force ByteDance to divest TikTok, or ban the app outright (1:21:08) Bitcoin hits new all-time high: impact of ETFs and an upcoming halving event (1:25:06) Science Corner: More data on the negative impacts of microplastics in the bloodstream Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.scribd.com/document/710894515/Elon-Musk-v-Samuel-Altman-et-al-via-CNBC-com https://openai.com/our-structure https://openai.com/blog/openai-elon-musk https://twitter.com/vkhosla/status/1765424996548333997 https://twitter.com/pmarca/status/1764039155154399490 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1765415187161464972 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1765387202953937224 https://companiesmarketcap.com https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/2023ltr.pdf https://twitter.com/KevinAFischer/status/1764892031233765421 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/03/technology/ai-openai-musk-page-altman.html https://www.epicgames.com/site/en-US/news/apple-terminated-epic-s-developer-account https://www.reuters.com/technology/apple-hit-with-over-18-bln-euro-eu-antitrust-fine-spotify-case-2024-03-04 https://www.berkshirehathaway.com/letters/letters.html https://www.statista.com/chart/22702/andoid-ios-market-share-selected-countries https://www.reuters.com/technology/lawmakers-seek-force-bytedance-divest-tiktok-or-face-us-ban-2024-03-05 https://punchbowl.news/wp-content/uploads/Protecting-Americans-from-Foreign-Adversary-Controlled-Applications-Act.pdf https://www.reuters.com/technology/bytedance-says-china-unit-holds-local-licences-response-media-report-2021-08-16 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/17/us/politics/tik-tok-spying-justice-dept.html https://apnews.com/article/tiktok-china-bytedance-user-data-d257d98125f69ac80f983e6067a84911 https://finance.yahoo.com/video/ex-google-engineer-charged-stealing-162030265.html https://twitter.com/jawwwn_/status/1732888357980536924 https://youtu.be/kONhhKQi0pU?si=hmt0LbjgLprOHNEp https://time.com/6846934/bitcoin-all-time-high-price-holdings https://www.google.com/finance/quote/BTC-USD https://www.wsj.com/finance/currencies/bitcoin-etf-investing-blackrock-715f1bd9 https://www.coinbase.com/learn/crypto-basics/what-is-a-bitcoin-halving https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2309822 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S016041202200099X
01:34:0008/03/2024
E168: Can Google save itself? AI takes over Customer Support, Reddit IPO teardown
E168: Can Google save itself? AI takes over Customer Support, Reddit IPO teardown
(0:00) Bestie intros! Jato Caelin (1:36) Groq update!: The key metric developer platforms should care about (5:55) Google's make or break moment: Should Sundar be fired, AI safety team's power, RIF potential, stock pressure, and more (29:17) How bloated HR departments slow down companies (40:15) Google's licensing deals: Is this TAC 2.0? How can Reddit capitalize on its data? (53:50) Klarna's huge AI innovation: AI disruption, open-source benefits, a new class of billion-dollar startups (1:13:06) Reddit S-1 breakdown (1:22:52) The Apple Car is dead: Apple cancels Project Titan Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GOOG:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/PirateWires/status/1762842476744708171 https://twitter.com/lulumeservey/status/1762864255437516932 https://x.com/pmarca/status/1762532979317043515 https://twitter.com/shellenberger/status/1762900581134557636 https://twitter.com/shaunmmaguire/status/1760885099984261564 https://www.reuters.com/technology/reddit-ai-content-licensing-deal-with-google-sources-say-2024-02-22 https://techcrunch.com/2024/02/29/google-brings-stack-overflows-knowledge-base-to-gemini https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1713445/000162828024006294/reddits-1q423.htm https://static01.nyt.com/newsgraphics/documenttools/82a013b9ba852548/9d4b1790-full.pdf https://www.klarna.com/international/press/klarna-ai-assistant-handles-two-thirds-of-customer-service-chats-in-its-first-month https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TLPFY:OTCMKTS https://tech.facebook.com/artificial-intelligence/2022/10/ai-translation-unwritten-language https://www.engadget.com/metas-new-multimodal-translator-uses-a-single-model-to-speak-100-languages-133040214.html https://twitter.com/balajis/status/1763067849218850939 https://old.reddit.com/r/AskReddit/comments/3cs78i/whats_the_best_long_con_you_ever_pulled/cszjqg2 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-02-27/apple-cancels-work-on-electric-car-shifts-team-to-generative-ai
01:26:5201/03/2024
E167: Nvidia smashes earnings (again), Google's Woke AI disaster, Groq's LPU breakthrough & more
E167: Nvidia smashes earnings (again), Google's Woke AI disaster, Groq's LPU breakthrough & more
(0:00) Bestie intros: Banana boat! (2:34) Nvidia smashes expectations again: understanding its terminal value and bull/bear cases in the context of the history of the internet (27:26) Groq's big week, training vs. inference, LPUs vs. GPUs, how to succeed in deep tech (49:37) Google's AI disaster: Is Google too woke to function as search gets disrupted by AI? (1:17:17) War Corner with Sacks Follow the besties:  https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1760680756689748478 https://investor.nvidia.com/news/press-release-details/2024/NVIDIA-Announces-Financial-Results-for-Fourth-Quarter-and-Fiscal-2024 https://www.statista.com/statistics/1120484/nvidia-quarterly-revenue-by-specialized-market https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SPY:NYSEARCA?comparison=NASDAQ%3AQQQ&window=5D https://www.marketwatch.com/story/wall-street-keeps-likening-nvidia-to-dot-com-era-cisco-is-the-comparison-justified-eed307c1 https://twitter.com/JayScambler/status/1759372542530261154 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1760343973632291212 https://x.ai https://twitter.com/TheTranscript_/status/1760436281438314545 https://artificialanalysis.ai https://www.contraline.com/product https://www.cafexapp.com/commercial https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-ai https://blog.google/products/gemini/bard-gemini-advanced-app https://workspace.google.com/blog/product-announcements/gemini-for-google-workspace https://twitter.com/benthompson/status/1760452419627233610 https://twitter.com/Patworx/status/1760189582870536408 https://twitter.com/micsolana/status/1760163801893339565 https://ai.google/responsibility/principles https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Reinforcement_learning_from_human_feedback https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1760780139476992062 https://twitter.com/paulg/status/1760416051181793361 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1760729719094563019 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1760780139476992062
01:20:2723/02/2024
E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more
E166: Mind-blowing AI Video: OpenAI launches Sora + Is Biden too old? Tucker/Putin interview & more
(0:00) Sacks Tequila Tasting! (1:19) Nvidia's market cap surpasses Google, ARM's stock rips, Masa's big comeback (15:36) Mind-blowing Sora demos: breaking down OpenAI's new text-to-video model (51:24) The risks of companies issuing stock option loans (1:04:57) Biden's cognitive decline, should the Democrats find a replacement? Plus, third party viability (1:31:46) Takeaways from Tucker's Putin interview Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://companiesmarketcap.com/page/1 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://www.reuters.com/technology/nvidia-chases-30-billion-custom-chip-market-with-new-unit-sources-2024-02-09 https://www.ft.com/content/81ac0e78-5b9b-43c2-b135-d11c47480119 https://blog.google/products/gemini/bard-gemini-advanced-app https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/sam-altman-seeks-trillions-of-dollars-to-reshape-business-of-chips-and-ai-89ab3db0 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ARM:NASDAQ https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/softbank-buys-vision-funds-stake-arm-valuation-64-bln-sources-2023-08-18 https://www.reuters.com/breakingviews/arms-weirdly-high-valuation-has-legs-2024-02-13 https://twitter.com/OpenAI/status/1758192957386342435 https://twitter.com/CultureCrave/status/1758212761748980089 https://blog.google/technology/ai/google-gemini-next-generation-model-february-2024 https://twitter.com/nathanbenaich/status/1758036247115608317 https://twitter.com/natfriedman/status/1758143612561568047 https://twitter.com/OfficialLoganK/status/1758198997590618550 https://huggingface.co/spaces/tsujuifu/ml-mgie https://huggingface.co/stablediffusionapi/juggernaut-xl https://twitter.com/jrichlive/status/1757258553688256895 https://twitter.com/jrichlive/status/1493392725814566914 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1757537426019598418 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1757537968083075137 https://www.ipsos.com/en-us/majority-americans-think-both-biden-and-trump-are-too-old-serve-second-terms https://thehill.com/homenews/media/4446630-biden-wont-sit-for-interview-with-cbs-before-super-bowl https://www.foxnews.com/politics/special-counsel-hur-testify-publicly-damning-report-revealed-bidens-memory-age-issues-report https://babylonbee.com/news/man-ruled-too-senile-to-stand-trial-still-fine-to-run-country https://fortune.com/2024/02/09/joe-biden-memory-confuses-egypt-mexico-press-conference https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/24414255-report-from-special-counsel-robert-k-hur-february-2024 https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/02/13/kamala-harris-says-shes-ready-to-serve-as-president/72581992007 https://www.nytimes.com/1997/02/05/opinion/a-fateful-error.html https://twitter.com/wikileaks/status/1497207251785818114 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/09/us/politics/biden-putin-tucker-carlson-peace.html
01:43:4216/02/2024
E165: Vision Pro: use or lose? Meta vs Snap, SaaS recovery, AI investing, rolling real estate crisis
E165: Vision Pro: use or lose? Meta vs Snap, SaaS recovery, AI investing, rolling real estate crisis
(0:00) Bestie intros! (2:08) Apple Vision Pro breakdown (20:46) Meta vs Snap: god-king CEO, dependent on ad revenue, drastically different performance (32:53) Positive signals indicating a big SaaS bounceback (41:06) VCs are split into three camps on how to approach AI investing (1:12:16) Rolling real estate crisis continues Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1755273518416302522 https://www.macrumors.com/2024/01/29/apple-vision-pro-headset-sales https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1755386651080106166 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://investor.fb.com/investor-news/press-release-details/2024/Meta-Reports-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-2023-Results-Initiates-Quarterly-Dividend/default.aspx https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/META/meta-platforms/net-income https://www.google.com/finance/quote/SNAP:NYSE https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2017/05/26/snap-and-the-rise-of-no-vote-common-shares https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/07/disney-q1-earnings-nelson-peltz-isnt-abandoning-proxy-fight.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/02/05/snap-to-lay-off-10percent-of-global-workforce-around-500-employees.html https://d18rn0p25nwr6d.cloudfront.net/CIK-0001326801/c7318154-f6ae-4866-89fa-f0c589f2ee3d.pdf https://s25.q4cdn.com/442043304/files/doc_financials/2023/q4/SNAP-2023-Annual-Report.pdf https://cloudedjudgement.substack.com https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1754641005851328553 https://help.openai.com/en/articles/8554397-creating-a-gpt https://twitter.com/ArtificialAnlys/status/1747264832439734353 https://blog.research.google/2009/06/speed-matters.html https://techcrunch.com/2010/05/18/facebook-launches-0-facebook-com-a-mobile-site-that-incurs-zero-data-fees https://artificialanalysis.ai https://chamath.substack.com/p/deep-dive-artificial-intelligence https://twitter.com/danshipper/status/1751005727215301053 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7waMPlHugYI https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-31/new-york-community-bancorp-slumps-on-surprise-loss-dividend-cut https://asia.nikkei.com/Spotlight/Datawatch/Housing-glut-leaves-China-with-excess-homes-for-150m-people
01:28:2109/02/2024
E164: Zuck’s Senate apology, Elon's comp package voided, crony capitalism, Reddit IPO, drone attack
E164: Zuck’s Senate apology, Elon's comp package voided, crony capitalism, Reddit IPO, drone attack
(0:00) Bestie intros! The guys try the Apple Vision Pro (8:24) Zuckerberg apologizes to parents in hearing, Section 230 under fire from child safety reforms (36:19) Delaware judge voids Elon's comp package, understanding Fortune 500 country club compensation (1:08:26) Reddit reportedly targeting $5B valuation in potential March IPO (1:16:17) Drone attack, risks of greater Middle East conflict, failures of the military industrial complex Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.vanityfair.com/news/tim-cook-apple-vision-pro https://twitter.com/MKBHD/status/1752706894874202256 https://twitter.com/Box/status/1753085804115861766 https://twitter.com/briantong/status/1752645464204493147 https://www.meta.com/smart-glasses/shop-all https://www.instagram.com/p/C0w4Agjvq5_/?img_index=1 https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1752749485070156025 https://www.nbcnews.com/video/zuckerberg-apologizes-to-parents-at-senate-child-safety-hearing-203338309674 https://ultimateclassicrock.com/judas-priest-suicide https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN1GX0C0 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TSLA:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/30/tesla-shares-slide-after-judge-voids-elon-musks-56-billion-compensation.html https://courts.delaware.gov/Opinions/Download.aspx?id=359340 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GM:NYSE https://www.wsj.com/business/autos/mary-barra-spent-a-decade-transforming-gm-it-hasnt-been-enough-d82f4c5a https://www.ineteconomics.org/perspectives/blog/what-the-uaw-and-everyone-else-needs-to-know-about-ceo-pay https://buffett.cnbc.com/video/2004/05/01/munger-i-would-rather-throw-a-viper-down-my-shirtfront-than-hire-a-compensation-consultant.html https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-28/reddit-advised-to-target-at-least-5-billion-valuation-in-ipo https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1639459879546150913 https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iraq-seeks-quick-exit-us-forces-no-deadline-set-pm-says-2024-01-10 https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480 https://weapons.substack.com/p/biden-dod-and-the-army-are-not-protecting https://twitter.com/Global_Mil_Info/status/1752786864900108547 https://inside.com/vc/posts/u-s-vc-funding-for-defense-tech-startups-continues-upward-trajectory-in-q1-2023-376404 https://www.forbes.com/sites/sarahemerson/2024/01/23/eric-schmidts-secret-white-stork-project-aims-to-build-ai-combat-drones https://www.saildrone.com
01:33:5002/02/2024
E163: Market rips, Media RIFs, Texas defies Biden, Fintech reckoning, ARkStorm 2.0 & more
E163: Market rips, Media RIFs, Texas defies Biden, Fintech reckoning, ARkStorm 2.0 & more
(0:00) Bestie intros! (1:37) Markets rip on strong economic data (17:05) Media's broken business model, death spiral (35:47) Texas defies the Biden Admin on the Southern Border after SCOTUS votes in favor of the federal government (1:04:18) Ethics of publishing non-public financial data (1:13:07) Fintech's reckoning (1:26:27) ARkStorm 2.0 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/25/gdp-q4-2023-the-us-economy-grew-at-a-3point3percent-pace-in-the-fourth-quarter.html https://www.barrons.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-012524 https://abcnews.go.com/Business/dow-closes-above-38000-record-high/story?id=106576234 https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/11/cpi-inflation-report-december-2023-consumer-prices-rose-0point3percent-in-december-higher-than-expected-pushing-the-annual-rate-to-3point4percent.html https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/05/business/economy/jobs-report-december-2023.html https://finance.yahoo.com/news/gas-prices-national-average-hit-by-mid-winter-blahs-on-way-to-3gallon-165833984.html https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/24/tesla-tsla-earnings-q4-2023.html https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20240124a.htm https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-23/china-mulls-stock-market-rescue-package-backed-by-278-billion https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/1750529905627128154 https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/americas-finance-guide/national-debt https://twitter.com/RealEJAntoni/status/1750537238578930101 https://news.gallup.com/poll/266807/percentage-americans-owns-stock.aspx https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FEDFUNDS https://www.forbes.com/sites/bradadgate/2023/12/19/media-companies-have-slashed-over-20000-jobs-in-2023 https://twitter.com/maxwelltani/status/1750507633247678531 https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/23/business/media/los-angeles-times-layoffs-newsroom.html https://www.nytimes.com/2023/11/01/business/media/conde-nast-business.html https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/23/business/conde-nast-staffers-walkout-layoffs/index.html https://www.latimes.com/entertainment-arts/business/story/2024-01-18/la-times-guild-calls-for-one-day-walkout-to-protest-looming-staff-cuts https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/19/business/media/sports-illustrated-mass-layoffs.html https://www.npr.org/2024/01/18/1225446347/pitchfork-faces-layoffs-and-restructuring-under-conde-nast https://fortune.com/2023/11/30/yet-another-media-company-is-laying-off-workers-as-the-industrys-retrenchment-hits-vox-media-for-the-second-time-this-year https://variety.com/2023/digital/news/jezebel-shutting-down-go-media-layoffs-1235785877 https://www.npr.org/2023/05/15/1173260377/vice-media-bankruptcy https://twitter.com/BillAckman/status/1750537848447533207 https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=wsj.com,Businessinsider.com,twitter.com,nyt.com&hl=en https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2021-08-20/recall-candidate-larry-elder-is-a-threat-to-black-californians https://www.cbp.gov/newsroom/stats/nationwide-encounters https://www.wsj.com/us-news/illegal-immigration-record-border-6db29cad https://www.cbsnews.com/news/migrant-crossings-u-s-southern-border-record-monthly-high-december https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/01/court-allows-border-patrol-to-cut-texas-razor-wire-along-rio-grande https://www.texastribune.org/2024/01/22/texas-border-supreme-court-immigration https://gov.texas.gov/uploads/files/press/Border_Statement_1.24.2024.pdf https://nypost.com/2023/08/19/biden-sells-border-wall-parts-to-thwart-gop-push-to-use-them https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/07/nyregion/adams-migrants-destroy-nyc.html https://www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-news-opinion-poll-americans-border-crisis https://www.foxbusiness.com/politics/california-offer-illegal-immigrants-free-healthcare-deficit-soars-population-shrinks https://einvestingforbeginners.com/average-gross-profit-margin-by-industry https://twitter.com/TexasLindsay_/status/1750427983448256552 https://twitter.com/WhidbeyWXGuy/status/1750006365790282175 https://twitter.com/US_Stormwatch/status/1749669643634233384 https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/1750619800840110131
01:33:4826/01/2024
E162: Live from Davos! Milei goes viral, Adam Neumann's headwinds, streaming's broken model, microplastics & more
E162: Live from Davos! Milei goes viral, Adam Neumann's headwinds, streaming's broken model, microplastics & more
(0:00) Live from the WEF: "Oh Davos, Kumbaya" (4:25) Why Davos lost its luster, plus major moments: Milei's speech, Jamie Dimon on Trump (21:53) Boeing's regulatory capture leading to negative impact on consumer safety (35:16) Adam Neumann facing familiar challenges at his new startup, Flow (50:24) Evaluating "tech-enabled businesses" vs. traditional businesses that are utilizing technology (1:00:47) Streaming at a crossroads: is the business model broken? (1:20:51) Science Corner: New study on microplastics in water bottles (1:32:42) All-In Poker Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/dschlopesisback/status/1747025441825640681 https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1747724966941139276 https://twitter.com/andrewrsorkin/status/1746723727574794537 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1746951952578298264 https://twitter.com/aphysicist/status/1747868626948907325 https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2024/01/special-address-by-javier-milei-president-of-argentina https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lobbying/clients/summary?id=D000000100 https://www.opensecrets.org/federal-lobbying/top-spenders https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wXMO0bhPhCw https://www.dodig.mil/reports.html/article/2871623/audit-of-the-business-model-for-transdigm-group-inc-and-its-impact-on-departmen https://www.google.com/finance/quote/TDG:NYSE https://stacksonmain.com/gallery https://www.societylasolas.com/photogallery https://therealdeal.com/national/nashville/2024/01/12/adam-neumann-faces-shortfalls-on-flow-property-in-nashville https://nypost.com/2024/01/11/sports/inside-nbcs-100-million-peacock-nfl-playoff-game-gamble https://www.sportsvideo.org/2024/01/16/peacocks-nfl-playoff-exclusive-sets-live-streaming-records https://www.businessofapps.com/data/disney-plus-statistics https://www.businessofapps.com/data/netflix-statistics https://finance.yahoo.com/news/americans-are-canceling-more-streaming-plans-as-prices-balloon-153035743.html https://www.manscaped.com/products/crop-preserver-manscaping https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2300582121 https://www.xometry.com/resources/materials/polyethylene https://www.bpf.co.uk/plastipedia/how-is-plastic-made.aspx https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/france-bans-plastic-packaging-fruit-vegetables-2021-10-11 https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/frontline/documentary/plastic-wars
01:38:2919/01/2024
E161: US strikes Houthis, market instability, Q1 rate cuts in doubt, Carta's major mishap, DEI
E161: US strikes Houthis, market instability, Q1 rate cuts in doubt, Carta's major mishap, DEI
(0:00) Bestie intros! Friedberg's jumper (1:21) US and its allies strike Houthi targets in Yemen (16:24) Markets: Q1 rate cut looks unlikely, December CPI print slightly hot, soft landing in jeopardy? (29:46) Carta's mistake, why verticalized SaaS tools could be in trouble, Chamath's 8090 incubator (51:02) Why and how Sacks is taking on Slack, where Carta went wrong with founders (1:05:17) DEI debate: cultural significance, real solutions, Motte-and-bailey   Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg   Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast   Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg   Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect   Referenced in the show: https://twitter.com/SpeakerJohnson/status/1745642200866738254 https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/saudi-arabia-calls-restraint-after-air-strikes-yemen-2024-01-12 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1745723423396118593 https://twitter.com/DavidSacks/status/1745604701654298826 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt0120885 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1745514413782917262 https://www.cnn.com/2024/01/12/politics/joe-biden-lloyd-austin-yemen-houthis/index.html https://www.pbs.org/newshour/show/why-the-white-house-didnt-know-about-defense-secretary-austins-hospitalization https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-11/fed-s-mester-says-march-is-probably-too-early-for-a-rate-cut https://www.reuters.com/business/finance/citi-swings-18-billion-loss-slew-charges-2024-01-12 https://layoffs.fyi https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=pet&s=mcsstus1&f=m https://twitter.com/karrisaarinen/status/1743398553500971331 https://henrysward.medium.com/how-we-handle-captable-information-c98d85d79277 https://henrysward.medium.com/should-carta-facilitate-secondary-trading-c319e0c9f080 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1744414462986375440 https://twitter.com/coffeewithone/status/1744488896766042277 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1745542094696145103 https://once.com https://twitter.com/jasonlk/status/1745552662572208473 https://twitter.com/MattWalshBlog/status/1742583950944432607 https://www.oscars.org/awards/representation-and-inclusion-standards https://wdwnt.com/2023/04/disney-ceo-bob-iger-doubles-down-on-inclusivity-and-diversity-during-shareholders-meeting https://www.cnbc.com/2023/11/30/disney-ceo-bob-iger-says-movies-have-been-too-focused-on-messaging.html https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4722408/Brian-Truitt-ridiculed-Dunkirk-diversity-review.html https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/23/business/pilots-diversity.html https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1735164131806986441 https://www.thecollegefix.com/umich-now-has-more-than-500-jobs-dedicated-to-dei-payroll-costs-exceed-30-million https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motte-and-bailey_fallacy
01:38:3913/01/2024
E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more
E160: 2024 Predictions! Markets, tech, politics, and more
(0:00) Bestie intros! Pasty Preppers (4:17) 2024's Biggest Political Winner (13:37) 2024's Biggest Political Loser (19:41) 2024's Biggest Business Winner (32:08) 2024's Biggest Business Loser (37:31) 2024's Biggest Business Deal (41:15) 2024's Most Contrarian Belief (51:18) 2024's Best-Performing Asset (56:46) 2024's Worst-Performing Asset (1:06:14) 2024's Most Anticipated Trend (1:12:28) 2024's Most Anticipated Media (1:22:28) Emotional condition heading into 2024 Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://lmc.icds.ee/lennart-meri-lecture-by-fiona-hill https://news.gallup.com/poll/512135/support-third-political-party.aspx https://apnews.com/article/robert-kennedy-president-election-utah-ballot-863513ec2bf75d1efc9b202cb8ddcc4a https://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-considers-accepting-yuan-instead-of-dollars-for-chinese-oil-sales-11647351541 https://geopoliticaleconomy.com/2023/08/10/us-saudi-arabia-sell-oil-dollars-chinese-yuan https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/putin-talk-oil-uae-saudi-meet-crown-prince-mohammed-bin-salman-2023-12-06 https://www.facebook.com/watch/?v=853724306532726 https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/07/californias-budget-deficit-balloons-to-68b-00130624 https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/10/28/in-grips-of-war-ukraine-faces-gloomy-demographic-future https://razumkov.org.ua/en/articles/pension-system-can-ukrainian-pensions-be-saved https://www.jordannews.jo/Section-20/Middle-East/Israel-won-t-be-able-to-eliminate-Hamas-US-spokesperson-33415 https://www.forbes.com/sites/rrapier/2023/08/30/us-natural-gas-production-sets-new-record-high https://www.anduril.com/roadrunner https://www.politico.com/news/2023/12/19/missile-drone-pentagon-houthi-attacks-iran-00132480 https://twitter.com/CeciliaZin/status/1740109465918328844 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/06/business/china-car-exports.html https://img.caixin.com//2023-04-14/168147450347265.jpg https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/21/china/china-russia-relations-record-trade-intl-hnk/index.html https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category-line-chart.htm https://thehill.com/opinion/4383282-turkey-is-a-us-ally-but-should-not-be-a-trusted-one https://foreignpolicy.com/2023/12/06/turkey-nato-membership-alliance-russia-erdogan-sweden-syria https://apnews.com/article/nato-sweden-turkey-erdogan-stoltenberg-639d70add38ec481253729b0e451f4ea https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/12/27/biden-endgame-ukraine-00133211 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/URA:NYSEARCA https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2023/12/28/the-west-may-now-have-no-option-but-to-attack-iran https://www.imdb.com/title/tt9218128 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt13016388 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt11198330 https://www.amazon.com/Founders-Paypal-Entrepreneurs-Shaped-Silicon/dp/1501197266
01:27:5806/01/2024
E159: The Bestie Awards! Recapping the best and worst of 2023
E159: The Bestie Awards! Recapping the best and worst of 2023
(0:00) Welcome to the fourth annual Bestie Awards! (4:14) Biggest Political Winner (10:26) Biggest Political Loser (15:14) Biggest Political Surprise (23:02) Biggest Business Winner (26:50) Biggest Business Loser (30:32) Biggest Business Surprise (35:57) Best Science Breakthrough (40:30) Biggest Flash in the Pan (42:34) Best CEO (44:53) Best Investor (47:07) Best Turnaround (50:04) Worst Company (54:21) Best Meme (56:53) Best New Tech (59:57) Best Trend (1:02:12) Worst Trend (1:07:42) Favorite Media (1:12:40) The Rudy Giuliani Award for Self-Immolation (1:17:02) Final Thoughts Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://time.com/person-of-the-year-2022-volodymyr-zelensky https://time.com/6329188/ukraine-volodymyr-zelensky-interview https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-29/global-esg-market-shrinks-after-sizable-drop-in-us https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4319127-rfk-jr-leads-2024-candidates-in-favorability-poll https://news.gallup.com/poll/512135/support-third-political-party.aspx https://twitter.com/joosteninvestor/status/1737207130111819896 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/MSFT:NASDAQ https://www.google.com/finance/quote/UBER:NYSE https://www.statista.com/statistics/277501/venture-capital-amount-invested-in-the-united-states-since-1995 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/META:NASDAQ https://www.cnn.com/economy/live-news/federal-reserve-meeting-121323/index.html https://www.ft.com/content/59fff67e-b136-4435-89e1-2400b90f4b83 https://twitter.com/NASA/status/173682682876386142 https://www.wsj.com/tech/biotech/fda-approves-worlds-first-crispr-gene-editing-drug-for-sickle-cell-disease-8c65fbb3 https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2023/5/4/23708162/neurotechnology-mind-reading-brain-neuralink-brain-computer-interface https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/george-santos-campaign-funds-how-spent-what-to-know-rcna125531 https://www.rollingstone.com/music/music-news/taylor-swift-eras-tour-highest-grossing-all-time-1-billion-1234921647 https://www.tmz.com/2023/10/13/taylor-swift-eras-tour-money-4-billion-profit https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVDA:NASDAQ https://www.cnbc.com/2023/10/23/bill-ackman-covers-bet-against-treasurys-says-too-much-risk-in-the-world-to-bet-against-bonds.html https://www.google.com/finance/quote/NVO:NYSE https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/solana https://www.wsj.com/health/pharma/pfizer-drug-company-cost-cutting-2da7524d https://twitter.com/RebelNewsOnline/status/1615770518606561282 https://www.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN28H0C7 https://www.courthousenews.com/fox-news-signals-its-unlikely-to-settle-smartmatics-2-7-billion-suit https://twitter.com/thedailyfriday_/status/1686406249317830656 https://twitter.com/WatcherGuru/status/1730250975578038522/video/1 https://twitter.com/huavancuong1507/status/1737474510868058489 https://www.scotusblog.com/2023/06/supreme-court-strikes-down-affirmative-action-programs-in-college-admissions https://twitter.com/exjon/status/1348090383079641091 https://twitter.com/benswann_/status/1737547395766858206 https://twitter.com/chamath/status/1737238320235831546 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt21152040 https://www.imdb.com/title/tt26230388 https://www.youtube.com/@TheDuran https://www.youtube.com/@judgingfreedom https://www.youtube.com/@DanielDavisDeepDive https://www.amazon.com/Idea-Factory-Great-American-Innovation/dp/0143122797 https://www.youtube.com/@Thebobbialthoff https://www.youtube.com/@ziwe https://goop.com/the-goop-podcast https://www.patreon.com/RedScare https://cafe.com/cafe-insider-feed https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/09/us/university-of-pennsylvania-president-resigns.html https://twitter.com/MailOnline/status/1732791280839610390 https://www.npr.org/2023/12/21/1220557358/rudy-giuliani-election-workers-lawsuit
01:22:5029/12/2023
E158: Global trade disrupted, Adobe/Figma canceled, realtors sued, Trump blocked
E158: Global trade disrupted, Adobe/Figma canceled, realtors sued, Trump blocked
(0:00) Bestie intros: Jason comes in hot, All-In's new Chairman Dictator, Holiday party recap, and more (7:54) Understanding the trade disruption in the Red Sea: Houthis, global impact on trade, the dicey geopolitical situation, and how this compares to COVID freight prices with Flexport's Ryan Petersen (35:55) Major M&A deals called off, downstream impacts of a hawkish regulatory environment (54:15) The new era of startup building: less capital raised, less overhead costs, more profitable, smaller exits with higher founder/employee ownership percentages (1:17:01) Bombshell class action lawsuits against the NAR and other real estate brokerages, how this could change residential real estate in the US (1:31:58) Colorado bans Trump from primary ballots Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow Ryan: https://twitter.com/typesfast Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.flexport.com https://www.wionews.com/world/wont-stop-fighting-netanyahu-rules-out-ceasefire-until-hamas-elimination-671867 https://www.figma.com/blog/figma-adobe-abandon-proposed-merger https://www.reuters.com/markets/deals/illumina-divest-cancer-test-maker-grail-2023-12-17 https://www.google.com/finance/quote/ADBE:NASDAQ https://www.saasgrid.com https://www.housingwire.com/articles/missouri-jury-finds-nar-brokerages-guilty-of-conspiring-to-inflate-commissions https://www.wsj.com/personal-finance/real-estate-buying-home-charts-6dc40caa https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/real-estate-commissions-could-be-the-next-fee-on-the-chopping-block/ar-AA1irqIV https://www.redfin.com/guides/how-to-sell-your-home-without-an-agent-fsbo https://apnews.com/article/trump-insurrection-14th-amendment-2024-colorado-d16dd8f354eeaf450558378c65fd79a2 https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/02/us/politics/merrick-garland-biden-trump.html https://cafe.com/cafe-insider-feed https://www.lawfaremedia.org/podcasts-multimedia/podcast/the-lawfare-podcast
01:47:2123/12/2023
E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI licensing deals, FCC targets Elon, Alex Jones reinstated & more
E157: Epic legal win, OpenAI licensing deals, FCC targets Elon, Alex Jones reinstated & more
(0:00) Bestie intros: Mullets! (2:56) Recapping Friedberg's holiday party (9:29) Jury rules in favor of Epic Games over Google: How to handle the app store duopoly? (23:21) OpenAI inks deal with Axel Springer (35:02) FCC cancels Starlink subsidy, dissenting FCC Commissioner says federal agencies are targeting Elon Musk on Biden's orders (58:25) Alex Jones reinstated on X (1:22:59) Sacks receives an unlikely apology (1:27:32) Besties take two questions from the audience Follow the besties: https://twitter.com/chamath https://twitter.com/Jason https://twitter.com/DavidSacks https://twitter.com/friedberg Follow the pod: https://twitter.com/theallinpod https://linktr.ee/allinpodcast Intro Music Credit: https://rb.gy/tppkzl https://twitter.com/yung_spielburg Intro Video Credit: https://twitter.com/TheZachEffect Referenced in the show: https://www.theverge.com/23994174/epic-google-trial-jury-verdict-monopoly-google-play https://www.theverge.com/23959932/epic-v-google-trial-antitrust-play-store-fortnite-recap https://www.wsj.com/tech/google-loses-antitrust-case-brought-by-epic-games-651f5987 https://support.google.com/googleplay/android-developer/answer/112622 https://twitter.com/openai/status/1734940445824937993 https://www.ap.org/ap-in-the-news/2023/chatgpt-maker-openai-signs-deal-with-ap-to-license-news-stories https://www.axios.com/2023/12/13/openai-chatgpt-axel-springer-news-deal https://fairuse.stanford.edu/overview/fair-use/four-factors https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1730035957850833023 https://www.theverge.com/2023/12/12/23999070/spacex-starlink-fcc-rural-digital-opportunity-fund-fcc-rejected https://docs.fcc.gov/public/attachments/DOC-399068A1.pdf https://twitter.com/HansMahncke/status/1735003655697244308 https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/13/us/politics/hunter-biden-impeachment-testimony.html https://twitter.com/BrendanCarrFCC/status/1734780816599703983 https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1733529033575465381 https://twitter.com/DrJBhattacharya/status/1602052936921939968 https://medium.com/craft-ventures/section-230-mend-it-dont-end-it-e33799a43a5f https://twitter.com/TheChiefNerd/status/1733496554701365582 https://twitter.com/Mark60480727/status/1735335623207038994 https://twitter.com/Jason/status/1735164131806986441 https://twitter.com/MomCooksFS/status/1735341157800915278
01:39:2616/12/2023