You're about to enter the arena and join the battle to save America with your host, Sean Parnell.
Good evening, America.Welcome to Battleground Live.This is the show where we kick ass.We take names.We lock horns with the radical left.We never quit.We never surrender from sea to shining sea and everybody in between.Welcome.
patriots on this glorious, glorious Savage Wednesday.Also, you have a new nickname.Didn't you hear it?I'm sure that you did.What's up, my fellow pieces of garbage?What's up, my fellow, you floating pieces of garbage, you?
So this comes on the heels, I mean, of the left calling us Obama, calling us bitter clingers.We cling to our guns and our Bibles. Hillary Clinton calling us deplorables.
You ever notice how the left is constantly rolling back the things that they say about us when they just so happen to slip out publicly?They really mean those things.That's how they really feel about us.And now to Joe Biden, we're big
floating, floating, I guess, piles of garbage.So of course, listen, we've got Savage Rich Barris on deck.Um, he's he's on deck.So, uh, make sure you smash that like button, that little green thumb beneath the video.
Uh, don't forget about official Sean Parnell.com.Don't forget about jumping over to my locals follow subscribe there.If you can be building out some really cool stuff.I'm going to talk to you about, Oh man, folks, listen,
Biden calling half the nation garbage.Yes, of course.But also we got under a week to go in the most important election of our lifetime.And this ladies and gentlemen is the final Savage Wednesday prior to the election.Can you believe that?
The final one, it feels like we've been doing, oh my gosh, I can't believe how fast the year has gone, right?
We started doing Savage Wednesday a little under a year ago and it has fast become probably the most popular, if not one of the most popular nights of Battleground Live.It's people look forward to it.
I get text messages and I get emails and I get people in the live chat, super excited about it. but this is the last one before election day.So yeah, Biden called the nation, half the nation, garbage.
If you didn't hear it already, which I'm sure you did, listen now.
For Puerto Rico, where I'm in my home state of Delaware, they're good, decent, honorable people.The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters.His demonization of Latinaism is unconscionable and it's un-American.
So Tim Walz was asked about that comment this morning.I want to put it into a larger context of your recent comment comparing the Sunday Trump rally to a Nazi rally.
And I would also throw in there Obama's bitter clingers, guns and religion comment from a while back, the deplorable line from Hillary Clinton's campaign and the way that Democrats are seen by some voters as disrespecting them.
And I have to ask, does that undercut this closing message of unity from your campaign? No, certainly not.
And KJ, listen, I'm showing you all this, this natural progression of things because the Democrats, Biden says something batshit crazy, batshit crazy that by the way, Kamala gave her speech at the Ellipse yesterday in Washington DC, the same place that Donald Trump gave his January 6th speech.
I mean, she talked about all sorts of absurd, crazy bullshit.Um, That's not even the point.The point is the fact that Biden called half the nation garbage completely sucked all the air out of the room of Kamala Harris' speech.
Nobody's even talking about that shit today.But the media made a huge deal about an insult comedian who specializes in roasting other people, making a joke about Puerto Rico.By the way, the America First crowd didn't like the joke.
They booed the joke.So kudos to those American patriots for doing that.But I don't care.It's a joke, right?It is a joke from a comedian.The media for days, like banged that drum.
But here you have a sitting president of the United States calling half the nation garbage.Not only is it it's not only is it not crickets, right?It is.They are all in on pretending like it didn't happen.So listen to KJP.
Just address the president's comments yesterday, referring to Trump's supporter as garbage.
Couple of things.So just to clarify, he was not calling Trump supporters garbage.
The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters.
Which is why he put out, this is why he wanted to make sure that we put out a statement that clarified what he meant and what he was trying to say.
The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters.
So I just want to make that very clear for folks who are watching.And I just want to read that out to folks.
So he was regarding to the comedian, and I quote, I refer to the hateful rhetoric about Puerto Rico spewed by Trump's supporter at his Madison Square Garden rally as garbage. which is the only word I can think of to describe it.
His demonization of Latinos is unconscionable.That's all I meant to say.The comments, the comments at the rally don't reflect who we are as a nation.
And to your question, your other question that you asked, no, he does not view Trump supporters or anybody who supports Trump as garbage.That is not what he views.
The only garbage I see floating out there is his supporters.
He definitely said it in the media for the most part is giving him his flying cover for him.I am convinced this is just one more data point in my theory.It's well, it's not a theory.Biden hates Kamala.
Joe got in an altercation with Kamala and her staff in the white house.I know this is true, but I'm convinced that Joe Biden, I mean, I oscillate back and forth because I mean, the guy can't complete a sentence without pooping his pants.
So if that's the case, then is he really cognitive enough to have the cognitive capability to strategize on a level that we're talking about?I don't know. But a guy clearly doesn't want Kamala to win.
I'm completely bought in on that hook, line, and sinker.So, okay, listen, I got Savage Rich Barris in the waiting room before I get to him.Aviation or AH64, thank you for the rumble rant tip.
He says, when this show finally makes it big, like you deserve, don't forget this group of awesome people right here now.You don't ever have to worry about that with me, I promise you that.
And Buzz said, keep up the great garbage work from one proud garbage supporter. Thanks, Buzz.We love you, my friend.And thanks to all the battle crew and folks that are coming over who are Savage Rich Barris, People's Pundit fans.
Thanks to McGroin Nation.Thanks to the Wendy Bell Radio Army.OK, so we got Savage Rich Barris on deck.He is the director of Big Data Poll, and he's the host of a great show on Rumble.
And many of you all, by the way, hey, Rich, what's going on, brother?What's up, brother?How you doing?The lighting looks good.
I'm telling you, man, it's the LEDs are back.You know, they're they're they're in the right position.I'm telling you, you got to get this place organized before election night.
You look like you got some color for election night.This is this goes well.I told you, bro.I told you it was a trick of the camera.People have been writing me about this all week.I swear to God, people have been like, it's not the lights.
You need to get Polster Rich out of his basement.Tell him to stop crunching some numbers.
Both are really true.Both are really true.I mean, that's, I, cause I used to be a lot darker than this guys.I just been stuck in this.I've been stuck in these walls for a long time.Laura doesn't let me out.Listen, right now.Don't let her hear us.
Now, so OK, so you gotta tell me what do you think of Biden calling half the nation garbage?I said in the lead in before you got in the waiting room, I think, you know. Obama calls everyone bitter clingers.
Hillary Clinton calls everyone bad, the basket of deplorables.And now Biden calls us floating piles of garbage.This is how these communist leftists really think about us.It is though.You know that, come on, let's be honest.It's how they feel.
It's completely how they feel.
This is what happened.An old See a lot of times this happens with older statesmen.
Anyway, newt gingrich bob beckel They both got you know, newt just did it the other day bob beckel before obviously, you know, uh, he's not here anymore, but um, You know back in 2014 when he was still an election night guest on fox the resident democrat These guys get old and just start saying stuff that uh, you know, they really everyone, you know in their circles believe
and a can't lose if people vote, you know, even with the cheating people are going to try.I mean, of course, I mean, really, they just get old and start saying stuff.Biden said what all Democrats think about most of the country behind closed doors.
Don't take my word for it.You think, by the way, liberals, non-whites, you think he's just talking about white people?Go read Podesta's emails. Go read Podesta's emails that are on WikiLeaks to this day.
Why don't you type in Hispanic voters, all right?And see what they have to think about Hispanics.You're a bunch of dumb, needy people who care only about machismo.And if we don't hold your hand, you don't know where to walk or where to crawl.
It's disgusting.This is what they really do think of you.And Joe Biden is old and he's senile and he's not controllable.He has no filter and he can't control it anymore.So he just blurted it out.
Of course, for, for, you know, this woman to go to that microphone.I mean, that's another level, bro.
He said it in the middle of her closing message speech.And I'm telling you, nobody's nobody's talking about her speech.Nobody.
No.And this is what is so different.I mean, this phone does not stop.I'm going to throw it against the wall very soon.
That's how my phone has been.
It's unbelievably bad.I'm about to turn it off.It gets to the point where you can't get your work done.Everyone wants to talk to you and wants a piece of you.And it's like, that's great, but I have a job to do.
But honestly, Sean, what makes, I hate to say this, you know, one hand, it's the fourth time the guys flip flop and said that something caused this person, the election, right?
Uh, the debate cost Donald Trump, the election, then this cost Joe Biden or Harris.So Franklin's been doing this back and forth for weeks now, but he did make a good point.He made a good point.
And he said, what's so different here is this is like an off the cup joke that they made a huge deal about 72 hours.The number one story in America. Okay.
Um, and then that's just a joke from like an obscure, largely unknown comedian, which as you pointed out before, fell totally flat on the MAGA crowd.They didn't find it funny at all.Uh, probably cause it's pretty nonwhite now and people don't.
And by the way, my wife, for people who don't know, most do.She's Puerto Rican.She actually thought it was funny.Most of her family thought it was funny.There used to be Clinton supporters in her family.They're now Trump supporters.
Nobody who heard that comment is now going to vote for Harris because of that. Like, they feel it's insulting.I am smart enough to see the clip.They were all watching parts of the rally anyway.They're not dumb.
There's a big difference between that and the President of the United States, as Lon's pointed out, in his official capacity as President and the supporter of his Vice President, who is the Democratic nominee, did not misspeak.
He went out there and he called half the country garbage, floating piles of garbage, just like, let's be real.Hillary Clinton.Miss speaking.
Barack Obama wasn't misspeaking when he looked at all of you, like you're just bitter clingers to God and guns, like you're tiny, stupid people, the unwashed on uneducated masses.Like that's who he thinks you are.That's who Joe Biden thinks you are.
The only difference is I thought I was, I've been thinking about this, Sean, like Joe Biden is a political whore. but he was never what, like one of those elitist ass wipes.And I agree.I agree.What happened to him?What'd they do to him?
Like he was cool folks.I'm telling you the guy you would shoot the shit with.You would hang out with him and you would shoot the shit with him.He's a funny guy or he was the good, the Joe Biden.
Like I remember when I was like, I think my being from Delaware, generally speaking, would probably disagree with you think she thinks that Joe Biden, I mean, I mean, he fakes a good game.
I mean, I'm sure like, yeah, if you were politicking on the trail, he'd probably be pretty cool to have a beer with.But everybody in Delaware and my wife is involved, was involved in Delaware Republican politics for some time.
And she said even Democrats in that state and just absolutely reviled a guy like he's a huge douchebag.Like it's just a huge douchebag.
Yeah.I mean, I, I totally different capacity that I'm speaking, you know, from, you know, I'm a, I'm a guy and in his mind at the time, a potential voter, this was, uh, let's see, I just turned 43.I was 31 years old.You know what I mean?
Like a very, very different situation.It was cool.You know what I mean?Like he was cool to just talk to you.And he was like, not book smart, smart. but witty with like, you know, like it was a great retail.Yeah, he was cool.
You know, it was like, don't you blow this thing off, man?Let's go get pounded or something.You know, like he was cool.You know, he was.
I knew I didn't ever like his policy, but I felt like he was probably an asset for Barack Obama to have around, because if I was a Republican senator,
And I served with Biden when there was a problem on the Hill, like I would open my door for Joe Biden and be like, come in, you'll go, you know, whatever.Let's talk.Let's hatch it out and get it done.You know, whatever we got to do.
So I thought him as I thought, as you know, that he was an asset.But I don't know when they got to this guy like this again.He's always been a political whore.
And he's a liar.He's a serial plagiarist.I don't think he's like, I mean, he's a terrible, terrible human being.I mean, like telling the lie.I wouldn't acknowledge his granddaughter.
Wouldn't acknowledge his granddaughter, but also like the man who got in an accident with his, with his wife, called him a drunk.That guy's whole, his entire life ruined his life.Like Joe Biden is a, is not a good person.
He is just, he's not a good person at all.And my theory is, is as he gets older, he has an inability to fake it.Like the veneer comes off.And now he, now what you see is just his, You know, what is an exposed blackened heart and soul?
And he's out there calling half of America garbage and completely stepping all over Kamala Harris's closing message, which by the way, wasn't strong to begin with out there calling Trump a petty dictator and everything else.
I mean, do you think, let me ask you a question, Rich, do you think that Biden saying that hurts Kamala Harris's chances on election day?
Look, there are very, very few people who are really undecided.I do think, just like you could find one person maybe who would be offended by the comments that they heard from the media, although I truly believe...
If somebody is swayable from the media about something like that, Trump really probably was not going to get their vote anyway.
But as far as who's truly, you know, persuadable, I do think it can hurt because, you know, at first I was kind of blowing it off, but I really think Frank's right here.This is different.
This is the president coming out and trying to support his vice president. as the nominee in his capacity as president and he called these people garbage.Think about this, Sean.Your wife is a moderate Democrat, right?
And she's going to vote for Harris because she feels like- to a She still doesn't really like Harris because there are plenty of them that don't.She's not sure maybe if she's even going to vote.
And she, like you, at least says that Trump did a good job as president.Like our latest retrospective approval rating has the highest it's ever been, including higher than last month when I was on your show to talk about it.
Would your wife be pissed if she heard the president call you piece of garbage, call you garbage?You know what I mean?Like, I feel like she would like, wait a minute.Not all of Trump's supporters are garbage.It's like not all of so-so.
So like, this is what that person would say.Not all of Harris's supporters are garbage and not all of Trump's supporters are garbage.And that's wrong to call it.Look, deplorables hurt Hillary Clinton. That hurt Hillary Clinton.
And we keep talking, we always hear about the Comey surprise, this, that, the other thing.Literally nobody told us it was Comey in our polling.WikiLeaks had an impact, but only because it affirmed what people thought of Hillary Clinton.
The deplorables thing pissed people off.It did.You know, like I'm not deplorable because I oppose the modern trade regime that costs my community.It's soul.
I mean, you carved out the soul of our neighborhoods and we're just supposed to sit here and take it.Why?Because I don't like illegal immigration and I don't like what you've done with trade and the WTO and NAFTA.
I'm not a bad person because of that and that hurt Hillary Clinton.It did.I think far more than any transcript of her getting a speech from Goldman Sachs, way, way worse, her saying basket of deplorables.
I mean, I think this is not if you're Kamala, this is not how you want to close out the campaign.It's just not, you know, I cannot stress that enough.She's been all over the place.Her message has been totally muddled.
Nobody knows what it is when we talk to beyond the partisans who just believe her message wholeheartedly, which is Trump is bad vote for me as bad as I am because I'm not Donald Trump.That's her message.
And there's a group of people out there who are going to buy that, but guess what?That's 45% of the vote.How are you getting the other six and doing that?It's just not how it's going to get done.
So let's, let's talk about the state of the race here for a second.And I'll give you, I am, first of all,
I was telling the audience that I have been completely immersed just underwater since Monday in Pennsylvania, dealing with the litany of issues of Democrat voter suppression and Democrat attempts to cheat.
I mean, there is absolutely no doubt in my mind.I mean, it is like what's amazing to me is the conspiracy theory that there's no evidence of voter widespread evidence of voter fraud.I mean, the evidence is everywhere.There are anomalies everywhere.
And for the first time in a long time, I feel like we're actually being proactive about it and catching them before election day.Cause if it happens after election day, you're totally, you're done.You're done.
And there already is instances of that.
There will be illegal votes that have been caught. be removed absolutely and we'll get I have I got some examples of that here in a minute but but my so we are I told you a little bit this morning like. Every data point looks good.
The polling looks good.The trends in the polling look good.Our early vote and vote by mail numbers in all the swing States look good.I realize you've got to be careful with early voting.
I get all that, but, but we are making headway and, and, and some of these early vote and back and vote, uh, vote by mail numbers that we'd never made before.And then you add to.
Kamala losing what are traditionally historic Democrat voting blocks like young black men and Latinos.What are they going to do?It looks like Trump is winning those in numbers that we haven't seen in quite some time.
Every data point looks better for Republicans than it's ever looked. but something in the back of my mind has me worried.I'm not seeing anything that is like a bright flashing red light saying like, this is very bad.
I'm not seeing anything like that yet, but something has me worried and I can't quite put my finger on it.And I was wondering if you feel the same way.
This is why I think I've been telling people, look, and you really do have to swamp it.You have to swamp it.And if you think you voted enough, you didn't vote more.Like this is the way you have to think about this now until the election is done.
And actually not even, I don't know about you, Sean, but you know, we'll be helping to cure when this is over. for people who don't know what we're talking about.In a state like Nevada, for instance, Pennsylvania is going to have the same problem.
But in Nevada, they actually got the court to say you can accept ballots that aren't postmarked by 5pm on the third day after the election.Why?Why would you do that?
There's literally no way to know whether or not that's a legitimate ballot that somehow didn't get there in time before election day, maybe got set aside, mailed a little late, and it's getting there by the deadline.
There's no way to know whether that's it or whether it's Mark Elias and his disgusting team of election thieves paying people thousands upon thousands of dollars to fill in ballots of people who did not vote for Kamala because very clearly in the trend right now, we can see she has a turnout problem.
It's obvious and glaring to everybody.So I think it's something in the back of your mind, Sean, because you know your opponent.And in 2020, they never expected that vote to be that big.So they had to do what they did, right?
Um, and think about everything that Trump was up against and how bad the polling look, how bad the early voting trend looked, how, how bad everything looked.And yet he's still almost won despite of it.They know that.
So it's like, this is not the, these people may be tone deaf and they may be stupid when it comes to common sense, but they are not stupid when it comes to power.And they are going to be aware of that as well.
So they're going to have, believe me, tricks.So it, all I can tell you is that. The right has the numbers.Trump has the numbers.I'm not sure about some down ballot Republicans in certain areas.I think some are certainly looking better than others.
At one time may have thought to not been competitive, but they look great now and probably if Trump wins their state, they're going to win it too. You know, I mean, it really is Trump that's driving it.And we know this.
And, you know, with some of the stuff I'm working on with things you're doing, we know it's him.All right.They're not coming out.I don't mean to dog anybody or I don't need to mention anyone's name down ballot.They are not coming out for you.
They're coming out for Donald Trump.And I know they know that, but you need to make sure that they get out because look, if you do get them out, I mean, he's more than just a 55% chance to win like this.
I just am trying to be very careful and not so any kind of complacency. he's more likely to win than she is.And if you get certain groups out to vote- I think that's a fair way to say it.
I think that's a fair way to say it.
Yeah.And if you get these groups and you know the groups that I'm talking about, there are some that traditionally do wait.They are still seemingly waiting, even though the vote looks better for Republicans.However, you still need to get them out.
If that happens and they do get out, he's more than 55%. He's 80%, 85%.I mean, Sean, I just looked at an internal poll in Pennsylvania that is Trump plus four.All right, so this is an internal poll.
And I was told, because I was immediately went and spoke to others about it, trying to see on the other side, hey, do you guys see it this bullish?
And somebody told me, now for not to blow him up, I hope you don't care, but somebody told me, actually, I just saw McCormick's. And McCormick said Trump off to by basically the same margin.So they know what they're facing going in.
But again, you have to vote.I cannot stress.
I mean, the polls, the polls don't reflect people actually showing up.You have to go.So let me give you a quick update, like just a quick synopsis of what's been going on from like from an election integrity standpoint.
So in Pennsylvania, we won our case.So get this, so not just in bucks, but ballots, like mail-in ballots in Pennsylvania, they must be returned by election day at 8 p.m.So in other words, there's no curing ballot.
So if you put your, it's not about being postmarked by election day, they have to be received by 8 p.m.on election day.So if there's even a question of, if people are listening, And you're a Republican and you're listening.
If there's even a question that your mail-in ballot might arrive late and your vote might, you're thinking that it will get banked. just walk it into your polling location and hand it to somebody.That's the best way to do it now.
But that all has to happen by the end of the day, eight o'clock at night on election day.
And if you mailed it, track it, use the state's website because we've heard all sorts of bonker things.I'm not going to get into it because I am not going to sew the same crap.Like let's admit it.There is an election fraud Drift.
No, but I mean on the right, that makes it very difficult for people like us who really are looking out for legitimate concerns.And then what it also does, which is what the left really wants out of it,
is it makes the normal American think their vote doesn't count.And there's no point why they're just going to rig it.The machines are just going to steal it.That's what they want you to think.All right, because they cannot win if you vote.
It really is that simple.If you just vote,
they will lose.And they know that.So you're 100% right.There is an election fraud grift on the right.Huge.Terrible.And not only that, it makes what we're looking at, it makes people take us less seriously.Yeah, you get painted with the same brush.
Yeah, so okay, so we win our case in Bucks County.We won in court today in Bucks County after being forced to sue us.Voting lines were shut down early.My phone, and you sent me a connection of somebody there who is fantastic.
I'm glad I was able to connect with him. but like my Bucks County, they closed down the lines early, we won, they extended early voting there.
Today, the Supreme Court of the United States ruled in favor of Virginia after Kamala's DOJ attempted to reinstate self-identified non-citizens on the Virginia voting rolls.
which every Democrat in Congress votes against the SAVE Act, which prohibit illegal alien invaders from voting in our election and require them to actually show proof of citizenship.
And the reason why they voted against it, they say it's already illegal.But then the Biden DOJ and the Harris DOJ turns around and sues Virginia to stop them from eluding.
With Mark Elias, who by the way, is the dirtiest man in this business I've ever stood next to.I was forced to under court subpoena.I had to stand next to him.Number one, he stinks.He's like one of those guys who smell.
I don't know if he doesn't wear deodorant or what.He just doesn't take care of himself.His shit was all wrinkled like he was a disgrace.You know, he's like definitely that kind of guy, like, you know, whatever.
He's just one of those disgusting people, like inside and out.Like, I think his soul smells so bad that it reeks through his pores and it stinks the whole room up.You know, like, I think his soul is rotten.
And like what I said before, he's complaining about the Supreme Court decision you're talking about right now.
And I said, what the headline here is, professional election thief denounces the Supreme Court for disallowing him to give non-citizens the right to vote. Something he claimed for years he was never trying to do.He's a liar and a scumbag.He is.
He's one of those scummy people, guys, that you stand next to and you're like, I need a shower.
He is a scumbag.But did you hear about the Colorado Secretary of State, Jenna Griswold, leaked the voting system passwords online?Yeah.And then you had a Michigan attorney, DiPerno.
Yeah, he identified single voter IDs being used to cast multiple ballots.Well, I want everybody to know that Laura Trump just talked about this, but Laura Trump and the Trump campaign looked into this.It was a glitch.
Those 100 plus thousand votes aren't going to be counted.But again, you don't have glitches when you have paper ballots, but I digress.
How about Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson announcing a nationwide issue that cannot be fixed with Dominion This is a big deal.This is a huge deal.
This one is a huge deal.It's going to impact you too in counties that are using Dominion, especially anywhere that has party tickets.All right.What it essentially is doing, I think, I think this glitch is to protect down ballot races.
So in the event they cannot stop the top of the ticket from rolling, the way that this glitch works, Sean, they could legit not count.
So like anyone who goes in there, votes for Trump as a normie, and then maybe says, I don't really know, I guess I'll go McCormick because he's a Republican too, you know, like that could impact this.So I mean, this is such just a convenient glitch.
again, just like yesterday in both Montgomery and Bucks and multiple other places.
And Quakerstown.I mean, look, Quakerstown, PA.So you want to get a sense of what happened in Bucks?Like, watch this, Rich.Quakerstown.
I have to bring someone here about four o'clock.
So those badges that you see around their neck. Those aren't actual election officials.We talked about this.These are activist Democrats, but listen to how they talk.That's a W, look, you can see it from here.
Yeah, listen to how these activist Democrats talk to voters who are waiting in line and then there's this police officer there, watch.
I'm going to ask you to talk to this.Are they going to turn everyone down?I'm going to ask you to talk to this gentleman because the voting is closed right now.
It's closed.I just want you to talk to this gentleman.
We have the right to vote until 430.I got you.Why is it closed?
Let me explain it to you.
Okay.This process is very slow and grueling.
That doesn't matter if we're online.
It doesn't matter if we're online.By 4.30, we have the right to vote.
The reason why it had to close was because a high volume of people wanted to do this.Slow and grueling.
Well, then they have to wait until everyone's- They had to cut the line at 1.45.
They cut the line at 1.45.
You hear that, everyone?They cut the line at 1.45.Ridiculous.
What's more ridiculous is that that clown in a uniform is sitting there and passing along this bullshit.That's what's more ridiculous.
He did this as Governor Shapiro said, as long as you're in line, by five o'clock.Democrat Governor Shapiro is tweeting this stuff and this cop is saying that.Listen to how these Democrats talk to this voter who's like, I'm just trying to vote.Listen.
Yes, it is. Oh, voter protection.I heard about that on X. Yeah, there's a lot going on.Voter protection.Let's see what that's from.Contact the county commissioners to complain.Who are Democrats by the way?
… who are Democrats, by the way.That's just what you all need to understand.
Bucks too, even though there's – actually, one of them went Democratic, one of the other boards that was Republican that just went Democratic after a nasty fight, unfortunately.It was really bad.It was gross.
Uh, we shouldn't conduct ourselves like that, you know, especially over local elections But they did literally one democrat flipped out and threw a chair at one of the incumbents It was I I had pictures of it.I got video.I posted on twitter.
It was hilarious.Uh, but he won Or his wife won his wife won.He's running this year now or not their off cycle He's running this next off cycle coming up not now.Um, but yeah, I mean the problem is
Democrats in some of the reddest areas, you would be shocked at the, she's a contact the board of commissioners.You could be in an R plus 30 area folks and your board of commissioners, Democrats, they're Democrats.
Because for some reason, the right is doing a better job of it now, but in places like Pennsylvania, they're not.I mean, that's just the truth.They're a little bit better, but not what it needs to be.
In the West, we're rolling up the row offices.
We've been taking the row offices.But in your neck and my neck, that is not good enough.In the Southeast, we're in trouble.
That's what I'm saying.It's terrible.It's absolutely terrible.So even in where I vote, so she's so funny. It's basically all but one older man who I don't want to blow up anyone's name, but they're all Democrats.
And this is a Trump plus 30 something district.It's like 32 something like that.Uh, the County will be at least Trump plus 15 or more.
And, uh, you know, it's just, it's unbelievable that that's the way it is, but it is, here's the real problem with their little excuse. And the cop should be ashamed of himself.He's supposed to protect and serve and enforce the law.
And he was helping them break the law.That's what he was doing, obviously, because a judge, you know, judges, um, agreed in Bucks, which would kill me.It pisses me off multiple places.
I mean, but what pisses me off about this is we've known this shit was coming for a long time.This isn't a surprise.You have, they are purposefully understaffing these locations so they cannot process the early votes.
This is exactly what's happening.The whole, oh, this is a slow grueling process.That is not an excuse.You knew this day was coming.So what the hell's going on?And get rid of early voting.
and get rid of early voting.If you could not take on this task, then the government's not efficient enough at it.We can't just be disenfranchising people.Get rid of early voting and deal with it on election day.
But of course, you're not going to do that right now.So how dare you try to make an excuse like this?And guess what?This was widespread.Again, I'm going to repeat this again. This was not one or two locations.This was widespread.
My phone was blowing up from people in Montgomery, to Berks, to Delaware, to Bucks.This was going on in a lot of areas.
One of the reasons why Bucks got such a lot of attention is because they did it to a young man who is the son of somebody important. And they up and that's what happened.All right.
Otherwise, so he got on the phone and called a lawyer very quickly and the ball got rolling.All right.So it's there are some signs and positive signs that Republicans have in place mechanisms to catch this stuff.
Like, you know, it's not eight hours later you hear about a pipe bursting and they closed an office.So, right.They know something about that day.And now because they did this, they're going to be three extra days.
A lot of people are losing it over the year.A lot of people on the right are concerned that there are too many females in early voting and that men aren't voting at high enough rates.
I have the data right in front of me, but I mean, let me, let me take a quick break.
I want to get in.Let me just, I want to get into all of this data and all of your latest polls.Like I, I, I've got to take a break.I'm like way over time, but I'll be right back.Stay right there, man.Um, Um, okay.
Don't forget to smash that like button, a little green thumb beneath the video.Um, also got flags from aunt Cindy, Boston guy.So Boston is concerned with Savage Rich's wellbeing.He says, save rich from Laura.Ha ha ha kidding.
Uh, and I can see rich laughing in the waiting room and Dory. Um, Dory said I thought the RNC hired thousands to be at voting locations, where are they Dory we're watching.
I mean, especially in swing states, we are watching like a hawk and trying to do everything we can to catch things ahead of time. Yeah, that's a good concern.But thank you, Dory, and thank you, Boston, for the Rumble Rants tips.
I want to bring Savage Rich Barris back, the director of Big Data Poll and host of Inside the Numbers.So, Rich, a couple things.You got some polling back. Give us, just take us, jump into that data any way that you want.What does it say?
What's the state of the race as it stands right now, under a week to go?
Yeah, so I've long been a skeptic of a Republican winning the popular vote because Republicans simply cannot do that if they don't do better with non-whites.There's only so much blood you can squeeze from the white vote stone, and it's not enough.
Every year, the share of the white vote shrinks as a percentage of the electorate.
Which means you would have to continuously win more and more of it, and you cannot do that as it got more educated, and really, whatever you want to call it, credentialed, indoctrinated, whatever you want to call it.So, the reason,
this has been a big deal and I've been on your show month after month after month talking about Trump's share of the non-white vote is because if you're going to see these national polls, Trump plus this, her plus that, it's bunk.
If he cannot win a certain X number of black votes, X number of Hispanic votes, then that white vote share in the poll is not going to hold up.I'm telling you it's not.
And he may even be understated a little bit, but it's not going to be enough to get him to a popular vote win. And typically that evaporates by the time we get closer to election day over the summer if there's, we call it flirting, right?
We've seen where there's been a flirt with a Republican candidate.Maybe they'll do better with nonwhite votes and then it vanishes.It evaporates over the summer and definitely on or around, if not shortly after Labor Day.
This is, and here, I mean, I could put it up, I got it on the thing, if you want me to show it, I will.There you go.
Yeah, I'm going to zoom in on it, I'm going to go table by table here, but Trump is, I know why you're seeing all these national polls that are like, you know, tied.That's the easy way out. Okay.I mean, that's really all there is to it.
It's the easy way out to say that the race is tied the way that the raw data is coming back and with simple weights and you're not going to apply voter screens.Number one, if you're a liberal pollster and you want to help Kamala a little bit,
So you don't, you leave it and then you can hedge your bets, right?Or you can do your damn job and try to project who's going to vote.Because that is the biggest part in my mind, since I'm definitely a Gallup school pollster, right?
After Labor Day, it is time to decide who is going to come out and vote.That's what made Gallup so good after all these years.And a lot of pollsters aren't trying to do that.Or worse, they're using likely voter models that just don't make any sense.
What I found to be really interesting with this is that our early vote actually does reflect what, you know, the early vote as we know it is today.And a lot of these polls that you're seeing do not.Right.
This is the round of Marist polls in the Sunbelt.They had Harris up X here with the early vote X there.We know that's not true.Sean, we know it's not true.So it's like we know that they modeled it too liberal.
It's a lot to get into, but if you just go for, you know, by race, I can just tell you Trump's black vote chair has held, uh, if we do the five way generic, I mean, five way, uh, ballot with the, with the generic someone else.
Cause in various States, there can be other candidates.Trump's share of the vote by race and white voters is Trump plus 13.That's about what he won them by in 2020. So he hasn't lost any.
And the interesting thing is, is that Trump is typically underrepresented with white voters.He'll do better with white voters than he polls.Why?Because it's easier to get white educated voters on the phone.It's very simple.
I'm just trying to speak in layman's here than it is to get people who live out in Western Pennsylvania and are like a steel workers union outside of Pittsburgh and don't want to talk to you when they get off of work every day. All right.
Um, but here it is.And he's got that 13%, which is what he would need.That's his, like, you know, that's his mark.He needs that.And then you can see with Hispanics here, obviously he's increased his support among Hispanics quite a bit.
If you do the head to head, he's in the forties.Oh, wow.I was going to say, what's the number?What are the numbers? The number on the expanded is 39.4.
And the reason why you can pretty comfortably say that that's not going to be a miss on the low end is because if you look at the standard ballot, he actually gets in the low forties to 43% when there's no one else to choose from.
She can only get to 57.That is a major red flag for a Democrat.Um, same thing with black voters.I think he'll get a little, he'll get a little less than this, but this is exactly what's on what?
let without another choice against Kamala Harris, he's getting 23.1% of black voters, which is driven by two things.It is men, but it is also women, men, obviously more.
He's getting about 30% of the black male vote, which is insane, but it is happening.And then with black women, he's getting low to mid teens, which does
What do you make of ABC's Ipsos poll, I think it was, coming out on Sunday saying that Kamala is getting more support from black
men than Joe Biden did.That's bullshit.I don't even know what to say.
First of all, Ipsos is one of the worst.Ipsos is one of the worst.Well said, well articulated.But it's bullshit. I mean, there's a few reasons why.
First and foremost, Ipsos is one of the worst panels out there.Everybody knows it.They're only using the Ipsos panel because Gary Langer and his traditional methodology, which produced the Biden plus 17 in Wisconsin back in 2020.
He didn't get fired for that, but oh no, having two strong results for Donald Trump at ABC News at the behest of George Stephanopoulos will get you fired. Now they didn't want to fire him because they didn't want it to look so bad.
I got the whole story.So they just sidelined him.He started using the Ipsos panel and said, we're going to say that you're overseeing field work.It is not how Gary Langer has conducted polls.Langer Research has never pulled like this.
They did this intentionally and they went and not only sought out another alternative, they sought out one of the worst track records with a democratic bias. uh, that you could possibly find in this industry.And that is the truth.
And then secondly, I oversampled black and Hispanic folks a lot.All right.We overall Hispanics and black voters were about 20% of a, of this sample, uh, when they should only be about, you know, 10 to 12, 13, whatever it is on a given,
We did that on purpose.So right now it says 200 and 2,992.It's actually more than that because we oversampled them, weighted them down and make sure that they were representative of the base sample.Okay.
And I know I'm getting a little, a bunch of a jargon, but they didn't do that. Another poll for Politico, however, did, and they're in line with what we found.
So, like, we're not just talking about metro non-whites that they want to speak to that are easier to get.You know, we're talking about a very diverse group.And I'm just, I mean, just, I'm very confident in it.I really am, Sean.
What do you think?I know I'm kind of throwing pepper in you with questions.What do you think about Christians? Do you think Christians are turning out?
Christians always turn out at higher rates than others.Here is religion detail.Let's look at it by the likelihood to vote overall.Protestants, certain to vote 86.7%.Catholics, 80.1%.
Christian, which are Baptist, Lutheran, Episcopalian, Methodist, and Adventist are lower, and so are Orthodox. Jews are much higher.Mormons are much higher.Even hell, I mean, Muslims are higher than those other secondary religions.
But as of right now, the lion's share, which is mainline and evangelical Protestant plus Catholic, are in fact, at this point, are turning out. Protestants are up there with Jewish voters and not as quite as high as Mormons.
Mormons have a huge certainty to vote number every year.It always happens.So there's nothing, I'm not that, and by the way, evangelicals are more likely to vote than mainline Protestant.So I wouldn't be too concerned about that.
I've heard this concern before.I think what we need to do is discuss, and this is something that's going to have to be a conversation for the future, but there's been a lot of progress getting Republican constituencies to vote early.
However, there was a lot we, and you know this, but we have, we did a lot of research on why Republicans don't vote early, how you could get them to vote early.We've been doing this behind the scenes for a long time.
And there have been groups that have displayed more challenges.Okay.When getting them to vote early, they are more skeptical of early voting.And that would be women.Some eat a lots, not some, but a good chunk of evangelicals.
They don't like, and they don't trust some of those systems.For instance, folks, if you use the term Dropbox. to a male Republican, you are extremely likely to scare the shit out of him, and he will not drop that ballot in that box.
If you say a secure location, you drop off your ballot at one of these secure locations, I had a pamphlet here, but you know, here, scan it on your phone, find your secure location, they will be much more likely to do it.
You use the media's words, their buzzwords, and you know what?Sadly, we were just talking about this, They're also the same buzzwords as that like election fraud grift class that the right is going on.You use that and you will turn them off.
All right.So there's a couple of groups that are problematic.And in the future, Republicans are going to have to do better and totally change their language in order to get them on board the way they have with so many other groups.
But a big part of the reason, and we can see it clear in our data here, Sean, the big one of the big parts.
or the big reasons that this electorate so far appears to be more female than it has been in the past, and it is, is simply because Republicans are doing a better job getting their people to vote, but their people who are willing to participate and vote early for the first time are also more female.
So that is making it look Like, it's an extremely, you know, female electorate.And oh, by the way, that must mean abortion really is this big driving issue.
Yeah, Rich, talk about the early voted woman advantage for Dems.Talk about that.
Right.So actually, the truth is, the Democrat advantage is extremely narrow in overall. early, not even in overall early voting, in certain forms of early voting, regardless of the fact that it's extremely female.We see it too.All right.
Men are telling us they're going to vote more as it gets closer to the election in person.And then we're already seeing some of that in like Michigan, for instance, where it just opened up on Saturday.
Um, and then they still, many of them still do want to vote in person on election day.So if you go to, where is it?Vote method detail, which has a lot more detail on it.
Like this is the largest, you know, typically pollsters will just say, do you plan to vote early or do you plan to vote on election day?Yeah, we weren't doing that. because there are so many different tranches of ballots that come in.
We always prefer the expanded version of this question, but we expanded it even more this year because of course there are more, there's more options, right?So we have already voted in person early, already voted via absentee ballot.
And by the way, you can always tell some people are full of shit because of these numbers.
already voted via early ballot by mail, plan to vote in person but early, plan to vote early through absentee ballot and drop-off location, plan to vote early through just absentee ballot by mail, plan to vote in person on election day, and plan to vote on election day via absentee ballot and drop-off.
You could do the 50-50, which is a cool exercise, just like the two party shares, but this is the entire ballot, including third parties. already voted early in person, actually Trump leads.All right.What's your percentage?50.2 to 45.2.
But if you're looking at those who voted early at an absentee drop-off location, Harris leads.It's just much more narrow than it was in 2020, even though, again, it is more female.48.4 to 41.2. already voted early via absentee ballot by mail.
Also, Harris, 54.5 to 41.8.These sounds like they're big margins for Harris.They're not.And by the way, in some of these tranches, Biden was winning by 35, 40, 45 points in the polling trying to measure early voting and how it was breaking down.
While Trump would lead, by the way, around 60-40 election day or 65-35 in a good margin for him in a certain poll, right?
And skipping to that actually real quick, plan to vote in person on election day and plan to vote on election day through absentee ballot, dropping it off at a location is really the same margin.
and it's trump plus 14 55 to 41 right so what i want to how i want to put this is like this you're baking the same cake that you baked in 2016 you're just and you're using the same ingredients you're just putting the ingredients in in a different order okay like that's how i want to try to explain this but ultimately the recipe is the same and you're still baking a cake now
If you're going to win, the cake tastes good.If you're going to lose, like in 2020, it doesn't taste good, but you're still ultimately baking the same cake.You're just getting there a little bit differently this time.
That being said, though, the early vote does tell us, I think, more about Democratic enthusiasm than Republican enthusiasm because, and the reason I say this is because the research is really clear, guys.
Voters listen to their party leaders and strategists when it comes to how you vote, your preferred vote methods.If the party and the party's leaders say vote early, the party's voters vote early.
If they say vote on election day, they vote on election day, right?We can clearly, there's actually research for this, but you could look back just yourself, guys, and perceive this in 2020 and perceive it in 22, right?
You can see it with your own eyes.Now, this year, what did Trump say?Vote early, vote, Too big to rig and vote early vote and vote early bring friends.They're listening.They are absolutely It's so imperative that Trump did that and Don jr.
Did it because I know he's been doing a lot, too This is who these people look up to they will listen to them because they trust them and they will do what they tell them to do now Mitch McConnell said vote early they'd say up yours and they're gonna do what they want to do.
But this is where they're at There's a lot of question about why Democrats are doing so poorly in this early vote.Here's what's the most concerning thing for them.
And why this is why they're going to, you know, do what they do or try anyway, because they're not going to suddenly turn into election day voters.
There are some areas where they still have an election day apparatus, but you cannot change human behavior with a tweet.All right.Like not overnight.Hey guys, we're down because you didn't vote for three weeks for four weeks.
We're going to need you to get out there today.All right.That's not.
It's hard.Yeah.I, Rich, I, I agree.It's not a major problem.I'm not, I'm not counting them out because they have unlimited money and they have the volunteers and maybe, you know, they can do it.
They also have something else.
Then let me ask you a question.I think I have like, I've got like what I think is keeping me up at night and okay.So what are the chances? that these polls today are overstating Trump's support and understating Democrats.
And let me explain to you my reasoning, and this is what I'm afraid of.In 16 and in 20, obviously the polls understated President Trump's support significantly, right? But in 2022, many pollsters understated Democrat support, right?
And my fear is that did these pollsters try to accommodate for Trump's underperformance by swinging the pendulum too far in the other direction?And that's why you have all these Trump favorable polls.And are they understating the Democrats?
That's a big fear of mine.Yeah. And is this all a false sense of optimism?
Are we just- It's a valid, it's a, look, it's a valid fear.I can't use one.You can't just outright dismiss, but I can tell you this.
One is there are reasons that the polls overstated Trump in 16 and 20 and understated Republican or understated Democrats in 22.The reason is actually the same. They basically are having a difficult time.
We all are having a difficult time reaching certain groups of voters.For instance, in 22, not white working class.Republicans did great with them.Their margin was basically what everyone expected that margin to be.
Posters just expected there to be more of them. and there aren't in midterms anymore.If once upon a time used to be different, that would hurt Democrats.
And that's why midterms and likely voter models used to help Republicans and typically Republicans would outperform polls in midterms because their likely voter model wasn't strict enough.
And there weren't those voters, low propensity people who came out.They don't. And without Trump on the, like in 18 in some areas, Sean, they did come out because Trump was president and he was running all over the country asking them.
And many of them did for him, for him.They did it for him, but he wasn't there in 22.And I can't tell you how many private conversations I had with. some of his people and saying like, listen, I don't know where your confidence is coming from.
If he doesn't get out and do what he did in 18, these voters are not going to show up for us.And like, you could see Oz's win was baked in, like that cake was there that we were talking about before.
Unfortunately for Oz, he did not get his voters out. and he got creamed in the early vote and on election day, he got a typical midterm turnout and it was nowhere near enough and he lost.And that's what happened.Jim Lee, it's Esquihada, myself.
We expected more of those lower propensity voters to vote in 22, but because of Trump's picked candidates and some of them were telling us they were going to, but they didn't.Here, it was a gamble until a few weeks ago. Why?
Because a few weeks ago we started to get early vote data and now it's very consistent.Republicans are outpacing Democrats with low propensity voters.
It is very much in line when we ask people their vote history, the spreads that we're seeing between people who didn't vote in 2020 or only voted in two or one out of four of the last four elections.
It's very much in line with what we're seeing with the AP's data and they track among the states that have early vote data.So it is possible.It's always possible that the polls could understate the Democrat this time.
But the reasons for these misses do not suggest that will happen.The reasons for the misses actually suggest that the polls are being too, they could be too conservative.And I'm not trying to do this to pump anybody up.
I'm telling you, if past is prologue, and if the early vote data holds, I mean, the general pattern of what we're seeing holds, then we're going to, we're going to understate this guy. We're going to do it again.
So I just question is, will it be coattails for Republicans, too, because we have them running?
Well, what do you think of all these Democrats out there saying, oh, my God, but look at Nebraska, Montana, South Carolina, Missouri, Alaska, Kamala's at 40 percent there.And Trump won those states by huge numbers.This is a warning sign for Trump.
What do you say to those people?
Blow me.I mean, It's just not gonna happen.I've been around too long to take this shit seriously, okay?I remember these stupid quacks throwing like Biden or Trump plus fours from Missouri in my lap.
I remember being sent emails in 2016 like, you're a joke.Your polls are gonna be wrong.Look, Trump's only up a few points in Utah.I remember this shit.I've been through this too many times.By the way, they had that talking point. for Kansas, right?
They had that talking point for all of 24 hours before a more credible poll came out that showed Trump up 20 points.It's a freaking joke.I've just been here before, brother.I mean, I've seen it all.I've heard it all.It's the same tired shit.
So yeah, my answer to them is blow me, all right?That's it. I'm sorry, man.What's wrong with you?I'm getting old.
You are half part.Half parts pollster and a half part professional curmudgeon and you're only 43.Awesome.
He's a mean one.Stop acting like a floating pile of garbage, Rich. I'm telling you, man.Well, Biden's got my number, brother.
What can I say?I just I'm over it.I'm getting too old to care anymore.You know, like, I really have always been that way.Just totally at this point.It's just like,
you know, are there, you know, to your seriously to your question, I think there probably are going to be some pollsters who overcompensate, but I go through their polling data, I'm seeing what they're doing.And there's nothing that's unjustifiable.
You know, like you and I were talking about Quinnipiac before, okay. they're going to play little games and they're going to give her like a lead in Michigan.
And then today wasn't, was the mate.I mean, it was crazy to swing, right?
I mean, they cannot afford another election where they get every battleground state wrong.
They had Trump up, right?
Nationally by two.And they got, they got them up in Pennsylvania.And the trend is so clear.It was like Biden plus seven Harris plus six Harris plus four Harris plus two. Trump plus two.The trend was so clear.
They simply are thinking to Tim Maloy over there is thinking to himself, I cannot afford to understate Trump in every state again.So let's take the safe picks like Michigan, the safer ones. Let's give her a lead there.
This way, still, if we're wrong, we'll say, look, our poll was close.Trump, you know, he overperformed by only like two or three points.That's a good poll.We had him up in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.So we knew this was going to happen.
This is what they're doing.And then who's the who is the sacrificial cow? CNN, they come along, they pull ties everywhere.Everywhere's a tie except for Wisconsin.Oh, shocker, shocker.Now there's an outlier in Wisconsin.And it's virus plus six.
It's like such as such an obvious bullshit game.And I've been watching them play it for years.This time they're just doing it to hedge their bets and they cannot afford not only a miss, They cannot afford another anti-Trump miss.
Listen, tell everybody to smash the like button.Smash the like button.Okay.Listen, I want to do, we're over time.I know you've been very, very generous, but like, yeah, it goes way too fast, but check this out.So.
So let's just say, I'm trying to figure out here, let's say Nevada, let's say- You gotta give Arizona and Nevada.I'm gonna leave, I'm gonna say Nevada's blue, okay?I'm just gonna say it.Let's say, let's say Georgia.
My gosh, there's a delay here because of course there is.
You gotta put Georgia and North Carolina in his column.I meant to bring that up before about North Carolina.Been difficult state to poll. to a
Let's say New Mexico goes blue.Yeah.So look, so now here you have an electoral map.You have Nevada going blue.You have New Mexico going blue.Let's say that Trump, yeah, right.So there's a lot to, there's a lot at play here, I think.
But like here you have Arizona going red, Trump winning Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina.
and then you have Kamala Harris winning Nevada and New Mexico and Virginia, and now you have the electoral map looking at 262 for Republicans, 232 for Democrats, and Rich, that means that Trump has got to win one of the blue wall.He has to win one.
Or you look at it the other way.She cannot lose a single blue wall state. if she loses just one, she's done.The pass to 270 for Trump are more, they're many, and they're more.You know what I mean?
Then Harris has, because honestly, the truth is most people don't think she's gonna win Nevada.All right, let's just blow it open.John Raulston is over there trying to find scandals and hoaxes.
It's pathetic.All right, so let's put Nevada in the red column, and let's say Nevada, which by the way, the reason why I'm- It's still not.
Yeah, Nevada's tough, but look, that still doesn't put them over the top.
It doesn't.And the reason why, listen, that Nevada poll, which I was allowed to share the result of basic stuff, but I really wish I was able to put it out.But in any event, I think we are going to come pretty close.We had Trump up by two.
We did not have the electorate as Republican.We had more Republican leaning independents.So, you know, sometimes the poll works that way.All things iron out.
If we did remodel it to what we're seeing now, which is Republicans having more like a four or five point turnout advantage, then you're looking at more like a Trump plus four to six, depending on the independence.All right.
We would have understated him there.
this is what john ralston and everybody else didn't understand and this is why pennsylvania probably is still the easiest one for pollsters to throw trump's lead to all right because we have party registration there and they're looking at if he went to pennsylvania we go to bed
if you yeah it's over it's over i mean it puts trump if trump let's say you keep nevada blue but if he wins pennsylvania and carries the sun if he carries arizona he carries georgia he carries north carolina he gets pennsylvania you lose arizona too watch click it he can actually lose arizona
That's so, yeah, he can lose Nevada and Arizona.
I'm telling you, his pass are way more and more.When we run these simulations, it'll give you, it depends on how many you run, but it's looking for combinations.
And when you show them on the chart, which I've shown to people, you'll see Kamala Harris's chart, right, is so much more narrow.The highest frequency is always where Harris wins 300 plus, 310 plus electoral votes.
And that's because what the model's telling you is, if she's going to win, it's because she really is going to just run the table and take it all, because that's her only way to win.
Because if she starts to lose of one of these states, if she loses a Pennsylvania, then not only is it likely she loses, it's likely she loses badly. because of the demographic similarities between different states.All right.
And by the way, there are these weird relationships which are really neat to model out.I've started talking about one before, which is like Duval County, Florida and Georgia.They trend together.It's insane.It's very cool.
But also Wisconsin and Nevada, very different demographics, yet they have moved and trended together in presidential cycles.She doesn't have the same X number, or actually it's an N, number of scenarios to win that he has.
His spectrum is much wider, which means he has many different, far more combinations of states that he could put together to get to 270.I'm glad you did that because we just stumbled upon one of them, right?And here's the kicker.
Most people think the Sunbelt is gone, sir.All right.Most people think that yes, they do.Democrats and Republicans, they think the Sunbelt is gone.It's around.
I have heard internal, I've heard a
what it looks like on the Democrats' point of view in North Carolina.I had reported days ago, days ago, that she was pulling money out of North Carolina because she needed to put it into Virginia.
I got all sorts of fanboy tweets, oh, you're an idiot, you're lying, you're making shit up.I'm like, I love you too, assholes.
And then the Trump campaign confirmed it too.
And then that ad impact place, you know, like, of course, I wasn't pulling this out of my ass.I know people in the broadcast industry in this state.I live here.I know all the major media markets.I know the people. and they dished the tea.All right.
And the tea was, she bailed in Greensboro, Wilmington, parts of Charlotte, parts of Raleigh, New Bern.She's bailing, pulled all the money.And people ask, hey, what happened?I hope we can do business again in the future.
And some idiot inevitably opens their mouth and it's like, yeah, we're going to take this and put this in Virginia. And then it gets passed along.And then it ends up in Politico two days, three days later.And it turns out I was telling the truth.
No shit.When are people going to learn?I don't bullshit.I obviously was told that.And I usually only, you know, it's one person.I better really trust that person.But it almost never is.I had that stone cold.And that's because
Democratic turnout, the polling is finicky and can't really be trusted, but it does look like Trump's pulling away.And also the Democratic turnout is being modeled too favorably.
Sean, I was trying to say before, like Republicans are doing better in early vote in North Carolina. But that's not really the full picture.They're only a little bit ahead of where they were in 2020.I mean, margin.I mean, good.
They're doing very well.It's very well.But it's nothing, you know, extreme, like in Arizona, where it's, oh, my God, or Nevada.Oh, my God. what's making it look worse is that Kamala Harris is doing really badly.Democrats are not voting.
So, and they again, vote early.They're not suddenly going to end up.
I mean, listen Rich, today in Pennsylvania, and I know people have been ragging on Pennsylvania for this, but it's, it, this was a,
an extraordinarily tall mountain for me to climb, to cobble together this mail-in ballot group and raise all this money that we've done here.But by the way, we just found out today that the Democrats only have a 379,000 person lead on returns.
And we're closing the gap every day.Now, listen, people are like, oh my God.Because your requests were higher.Your requests have been higher.Over 830,000 person lead in 2020.Yeah. And so to your point, that's exactly right.It's exactly right.
I mean, I'm not counting them out.They can turn their voters out, but it's, it's, it's, they already did for Hillary Clinton.
He went early voting.Wasn't even that prevalent.They are.They certainly did for Joe Biden.And I think there's part of the equation we're forgetting here.Two parts.One is nobody voted for this woman.
this was a donor picked propaganda operation for the donors.They voted for Joe Biden.She's a usurper.She's an illegitimate nominee.Let's never forget that.And then number two,
Number two is, uh, if you hesitated, I'm yeah, let's leave it at this.
There's a lot less, there's a lot less Trump hate today than there was in 2020.Yeah, sure.There's still this group of people and they hate them and they hate them with the fire of a thousand sons, but they're less.
They're not impacting the normies the way that they had been all those years ago.Trump is now looked back at more favorably and he's more popular now than he has ever been.
So it's very difficult to motivate the peripheral voter who you just like are like, man, orange man, bad dude, get that ballot in.They're like, man, up yours. That interesting.
I'm not going to use the language they would use, but it's like, you know, I'm not voting for that.You know, that dude was senile.She knew all about it.Like, that's a peripheral voter.I'm not voting for her.You don't want my ballot, man.
I'm a mark in Trump.Get the hell off my porch.You know, like, that's the way that like you lied to these people. You're going to go knock on their door now again, four years from now, and tell them they need you to save the nation again?
You know, Hitler's ascendant again?Come on, bro.Shit don't work again.It doesn't, you know?
Rich, I love your passion and your optimism, man.I love it.
Well, again, you've got to get these people to vote.But Harry Enten finally was honest with his people today.And he said, look, if next week on Wednesday, we're like, hey, it's president elect Donald Trump. All the signs were there.
And I'm like thinking to myself, where the hell was this Harry?Why were you lying to everybody for weeks?
You know, like now it's people are saying in the live chat, you look a lot better and healthier with good lighting.Why thank you. God, you're such a maniac.Rich, tell us where we can find you.We're way over time.Oh, as always, I told you.
You're on OnlyFans.People'sPundit.Locals.com.You're using those 20 pound dumbbells to get ready for your OnlyFans.Ladies, 50 coins and I lose the shirt.
PeoplesPundit.Locals.com, folks.
All right.All right.Don't tell Laura that.She may pimp me out.You get it?No, thank God I'm not married to a Joe Biden-like figure.She would never do that to me.
Thank the Lord.Rich, you're always awesome with your time, my friend.I'll see you next week.Anytime, brother.See you soon.All right.See you, Rich.Take care.
That is Savage Rich Barris, the best pollster in the business, giving us his take on the final Savage Wednesday before 11 day, folks.
I've kept you a long time, but I thought it was important just to give you a sense of what was going on prior to this race coming to a close.Folks, before we leave, smash that like button, that little green thumb beneath the video,
um so look rich just texted me he's still going he's still on someone just texted me ralston simulation 70 chance that trump wins um i'm not trying to make you all complacent get your asses out and vote bring 10 people to the polls with you in fact make yourself accountable the thousands of people
who are watching this show live and then listening to it thereafter, I'm asking you to make yourself accountable for getting 10 people to the polls.
If you think that people are going to be these people that you'll be reaching out to, or going to vote for Republicans up and down the ballot, Get out your phone and text them to have a plan to get out on election day.It's only 10 people.
Are you voting today?Do you have a plan?I'm asking each and every one of you to do this.Folks, it is go time.This is the time where the rubber meets the road.
These final days in the waning days before this election, the task falls to all of us to save this country.And my question for you all is, are you up to it?And I know that you are.
but make yourself accountable for getting 10 people to the polls on election day, folks.So make sure you smash that like button on your way out.We're almost to 600 likes, which has never happened before on the show.
600 likes before the show closes out would be a record, but smash that like button on your way out.As always, folks, I will see you tomorrow night.It's gonna be another amazing show that we have planned.Don't forget about Write Night on Friday.
And then the final weekend, final weekend before election day.All right, folks, God bless you all.God bless this amazing country that we call home.Take care.Good night.And I will see you tomorrow night, battle crew.
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